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Study on a Quantitative Risk Assessment of a Large-scale Hydrogen Liquefaction Plant (대형 수소 액화 플랜트의 정량적 위험도 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Do, Kyu Hyung;Han, Yong-Shik;Kim, Myung-Bae;Kim, Taehoon;Choi, Byung-Il
    • Transactions of the Korean hydrogen and new energy society
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.609-619
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    • 2014
  • In the present study, the frequency of the undesired accident was estimated for a quantitative risk assessment of a large-scale hydrogen liquefaction plant. As a representative example, the hydrogen liquefaction plant located in Ingolstadt, Germany was chosen. From the analysis of the liquefaction process and operating conditions, it was found that a $LH_2$ storage tank was one of the most dangerous facilities. Based on the accident scenarios, frequencies of possible accidents were quantitatively evaluated by using both fault tree analysis and event tree analysis. The overall expected frequency of the loss containment of hydrogen from the $LH_2$ storage tank was $6.83{\times}10^{-1}$times/yr (once per 1.5 years). It showed that only 0.1% of the hydrogen release from the $LH_2$ storage tank occurred instantaneously. Also, the incident outcome frequencies were calculated by multiplying the expected frequencies with the conditional probabilities resulting from the event tree diagram for hydrogen release. The results showed that most of the incident outcomes were dominated by fire, which was 71.8% of the entire accident outcome. The rest of the accident (about 27.7%) might have no effect to the population.

Insights gained from applying negate-down during quantification for seismic probabilistic safety assessment

  • Kim, Ji Suk;Kim, Man Cheol
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.8
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    • pp.2933-2940
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    • 2022
  • Approximations such as the delete-term approximation, rare event approximation, and minimal cutset upper bound (MCUB) need to be prudently applied for the quantification of a seismic probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) model. Important characteristics of seismic PSA models indicate that preserving the success branches in a primary seismic event tree is necessary. Based on the authors' experience in modeling and quantifying plant-level seismic PSA models, the effects of applying negate-down to the success branches in primary seismic event trees on the quantification results are summarized along with the following three insights gained: (1) there are two competing effects on the MCUB-based quantification results: one tending to increase and the other tending to decrease; (2) the binary decision diagram does not always provide exact quantification results; and (3) it is identified when the exact results will be obtained, and which combination provides more conservative results compared to the others. Complicated interactions occur in Boolean variable manipulation, approximation, and the quantification of a seismic PSA model. The insights presented herein can assist PSA analysts to better understand the important theoretical principles associated with the quantification of seismic PSA models.

A Visual Programming Environment for Medical Image Processing (의료영상처리를 위한 시각 프로그래밍 환경)

  • Sung, Chong-Won;Kim, Jin-Ho;Kim, Jee-In
    • The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
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    • v.7 no.8
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    • pp.2349-2360
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    • 2000
  • In medical image processing, if new technologies arc developed, they arc applied to real clinical cases. The results are to be analyzed by doctors to improve the new technologies. So, it is important for doctors to have a tool that helps the doctors in applying the new technologies to clinical cases and analyzing the clinical results. In this paper, we design and implement a visual programming environment where non-programming experts, such as medical doctors, can easily compose a medical image processing application program. A set of image processing functions are implemented and represented as icons. Thc user selects functions by clicking correslxmding icons. The users can easily find necessary' functions from the visualized library. A user selects a function from the visualized library and [Jut the function node into a canvas of Visual Programming Interface. The user connects nodes to compose a dataflow diagram. The connected dataflow diagram shows the now of the program. Hyperbolic Tree is helpful in visualizing a set of function icons in a single screen because it provides both the whole stmcture of the function Iihrary and the details of the focused functions at the same time. We also developed a CUI builder where the user interfaces of the medical image processing applications are composed. Therefore. non'programming experts such as physicians can apply new medical image processing algorithms to clinical cases without performing complex computer programming procedures.

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A Method of BDD Restructuring for Efficient MCS Extraction in BDD Converted from Fault Tree and A New Approximate Probability Formula (고장수목으로부터 변환된 BDD에서 효율적인 MCS 추출을 위한 BDD 재구성 방법과 새로운 근사확률 공식)

  • Cho, Byeong Ho;Hyun, Wonki;Yi, Woojune;Kim, Sang Ahm
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.711-718
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    • 2019
  • BDD is a well-known alternative to the conventional Boolean logic method in fault tree analysis. As the size of fault tree increases, the calculation time and computer resources for BDD dramatically increase. A new failure path search and path restructure method is proposed for efficient calculation of CS and MCS from BDD. Failure path grouping and bottom-up path search is proved to be efficient in failure path search in BDD and path restructure is also proved to be used in order to reduce the number of CS comparisons for MCS extraction. With these newly proposed methods, the top event probability can be calculated using the probability by ASDMP(Approximate Sum of Disjoint MCS Products), which is shown to be equivalent to the result by the conventional MCUB(Minimal Cut Upper Bound) probability.

Developing the Traffic Accident Prediction Model using Classification And Regression Tree Analysis (CART분석을 이용한 교통사고예측모형의 개발)

  • Lee, Jae-Myung;Kim, Tae-Ho;Lee, Yong-Taeck;Won, Jai-Mu
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.31-39
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    • 2008
  • Preventing the traffic accident by accurately predicting it in advance can greatly improve road traffic safety. The accurate traffic accident prediction model requires not only understanding of the factors that cause the accident but also having the transferability of the model. So, this paper suggest the traffic accident diagram using CART(Classification And Regression Tree) analysis, developed Model is compared with the existing accident prediction models in order to test the goodness of fit. The results of this study are summarized below. First, traffic accident prediction model using CART analysis is developed. Second, distance(D), pedestrian shoulder(m) and traffic volume among the geometrical factors are the most influential to the traffic accident. Third. CART analysis model show high predictability in comparative analysis between models. This study suggest the basic ideas to evaluate the investment priority for the road design and improvement projects of the traffic accident blackspots.

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A Study on FTA of Off-Site Packaged Hydrogen Station (Off-Site 패키지형 수소충전소의 FTA 분석)

  • SEO, DOO HYOUN;KIM, TAE HUN;RHIE, KWANG WON;CHOI, YOUNG EUN
    • Transactions of the Korean hydrogen and new energy society
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.73-81
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    • 2020
  • For the fault tree analysis (FTA) analysis of the packaged hydrogen filling station, the composition of the charging station was analyzed and the fault tree (FT) diagram was prepared. FT diagrams were created by dividing the causes of events into external factors and internal factors with the hydrogen event as the top event. The external factors include the effects of major disasters caused by natural disasters and external factors as OR gates. Internal factors are divided into tube tailer, compressor & storage tank, and dispenser, which are composed of mistakes in operation process and causes of accidents caused by parts leakage. In this study, the purpose was to improve the hydrogen station. The subjects of this study were domestic packaged hydrogen stations and FTA study was conducted based on the previous studies, failure mode & effect analysis (FMEA) and hazard & operability study (HAZOP). Top event as a hydrogen leaking event and constructed the flow of events based on the previous study. Refer to "Off shore and onshore reliability data 6th edition", "European Industry Reliability Data Bank", technique for human error rate prediction (THERP) for reliability data. We hope that this study will help to improve the safety and activation of the hydrogen station.

Development of customized patient data analysis process for quality of care improvement : focused on foreign patients (진료 품질 향상을 위한 환자 데이터 맞춤형 분석 프로세스 개발: 외국인 환자를 중심으로)

  • Roh, Eul Hee;Kim, Yoo Jung;Park, Sang Chan
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.46 no.3
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    • pp.539-550
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to find meaningful patient groups of disease using foreign patients data and analyze implemented test of the patient groups. Methods: The data was collected by foreign patients' EMR data of K university hospital. The author proposed tree-form patients' characteristic diagram through statistical methods that association rule, proportion test, clustering using prescription information and questionnaire information. Results: This study's analysis process was applied high blood data and diabetes data. Analysis showed other characteristic of meaningful patient groups in high blood and diabetes. In high blood, test implementation rate of patient group showed the differences. And in diabetes, test implementation rate of patient group and implemented test list showed differences. Conclusion: The result of this study can play a role as basic data that can be clinical testing standard in preventive aspect. Eventually, 5 dimensions of SERVQUAL will be improved by this study's process.

Distribution of Biomass and Production in Man-made Pitch Pine Plantation in Korea (리기다 소나무 인공조림지의 물질생산량에 관한 연구)

  • Yim Kyong-bin;Lee Kyong-jae;Kwon Tae-ho;Park In-hyeop
    • Journal of Korea Foresty Energy
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 1982
  • To study tile comparison of aboveground biomass of Pinus rigida Mill. of 18-year-old, plantations located in Whaseong, Yuseong and Wanju district were selected. Ten sample trees in each district selected taking account of DBH distribution were felled carefully to minimize loss of branches and stem analysed by 1m lag segment sectioned from base . The tree height and DBH were measured for sample trees in total growing within $200m^2$ experimental plot. The diagram of oven-dry weight distribution of stem, branch and needle for each 1m segment was constructed. The logarithmic regression equations between dry weight of each component and the two variables, $DBH^2$ and tree height, combined term were presented. The standing crops in the sample stand was estimated to be as much as 23.88, 54.09 and 42.68 tons of dry matter, above ground , per ha in Whaseong, Yuseong anf Wanju district respectively. Annual net production was estimated at 253,657 and 3.65 tons per ha per year respectively. The net assimilation rate was 1.65,1.95 and 1.81 kg/kg/yr in Whaseong, Yuseong and Wanju district respectively. The efficency of leaf to produce stem was 0.99, 1.12 and 1.30 kg/kg/yr respectively.

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Domestic earthquake prediction using bayesian approach (베이지안 기법을 이용한 국내 지진 사고 예측)

  • Yang, Hee-Joong
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.119-125
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    • 2009
  • We predict the earthquake rate in Korea following Bayesian approach. We make a model that can utilize the data to predict other levels of earthquake. An event tree model which is a frequently used graphical tool in describing accident initiation and escalation to more severe accident is transformed into an influence diagram model. Prior distributions for earthquake occurrence rate and probabilities to escalating to more severe earthquakes are assumed and likelihood of number of earthquake in a given period of time is assessed. And then posterior distributions are obtained based on observed data. We find that the minor level of earthquake is increasing while major level of earthquake is less likely.

Development of Decision Support System Using Decision Analysis Cycle (의사결정분석사이클을 활용한 기업경영 의사결정지원체계 (DSS) 개발 : DACUL)

  • Choe, Su-Dong;Kim, Jae-Gyeong;Jeong, Byeong-Ho;Kim, Seong-Hui
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.47-58
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    • 1989
  • Many decision problems in the real world have uncertainty and complexity. In many cases, decision makers do not have decision-analytic knowledge enough to solve a given decision problem. This paper developes a Decision Support System(DSS) that can be used for structuring decision problem into decision tree based on the concept of influence diagram and analyzing the decision problem by following Decision Analysis Cycle. This study suggests a DSS system(DACUL) in order to implement Decision Analysis Cycle using Lotus1-2-3. DACUL system has been developed in IBM XT/AT compatible PC.

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