• Title/Summary/Keyword: survey curve

검색결과 289건 처리시간 0.031초

M-추정을 사용한 국방과학기술 수준조사 기술성장모형의 이상치 제거 (Elimination of Outlier from Technology Growth Curve using M-estimator for Defense Science and Technology Survey)

  • 김장헌
    • 한국군사과학기술학회지
    • /
    • 제23권1호
    • /
    • pp.76-86
    • /
    • 2020
  • Technology growth curve methodology is commonly used in technology forecasting. A technology growth curve represents the paths of product performance in relation to time or investment in R&D. It is a useful tool to compare the technological performances between Korea and advanced nations and to describe the inflection points, the limit of improvement of a technology and their technology innovation strategies, etc. However, the curve fitting to a set of survey data often leads to model mis-specification, biased parameter estimation and incorrect result since data through survey with experts frequently contain outlier in process of curve fitting due to the subjective response characteristics. This paper propose a method to eliminate of outlier from a technology growth curve using M-estimator. The experimental results prove the overall improvement in technology growth curves by several pilot tests using real-data in Defense Science and Technology Survey reports.

예측소음도를 이용한 어노이언스 예측모델을 위한 로지스틱 회귀분석의 적용방법 (Application Method of Logistic Regression Analysis for Annoyance Prediction Model Based on Predicted Noise Level)

  • 손진희;이건;정태량;장서일
    • 한국소음진동공학회논문집
    • /
    • 제20권6호
    • /
    • pp.555-561
    • /
    • 2010
  • Predicted noise level has been used to assess the annoyance response since noise map was generalized and being the normal method to assess the environmental noise. Unfortunately using predicted noise level to derive the annoyance prediction curve caused some problems. The data have to be grouped manually to use the annoyance prediction curve. The aim of this paper is to propose the method to handle the predicted noise level and the survey data for annoyance prediction curve. This paper used the percentage of persons annoyed(%A) and the percentage of persons highly annoyed as the descriptor of noise annoyance in a population. The logistic regression method was used for deriving annoyance prediction curve. It is concluded that the method of dichotomizing data and logistic regression was suitable to handle the predicted noise level and survey data.

조명기구 부하곡선 실태조사 (A Survey on the Actual Load Curve of Lighting Apparatus)

  • 곽희로;이진우
    • 한국조명전기설비학회지:조명전기설비
    • /
    • 제9권5호
    • /
    • pp.37-40
    • /
    • 1995
  • In this paper, we investigate the daily load curve and yearly lighting hours of general and industrial Korean lighting apparatus. The daily load curve of lighting apparatus shows the peak use at 8 p.m. in general and 10 a.m. in industrial building. The yearly lighting hours are 2,948 hours in general and 4,066 hors in industrial building.

  • PDF

지역산업 발전을 위한 블루오션전략 수립 : 래프팅산업에의 적용 사례 (Formulating Blue Ocean Strategy to Revitalize a Regional Industry : A Case of Rafting Industry in Korea)

  • 박경민
    • 경영과학
    • /
    • 제26권1호
    • /
    • pp.7-20
    • /
    • 2009
  • The framework of "blue ocean strategy (Kim and Mauborgne, 2005)" applies to not only business firm level but also region or regional industry level. The paper suggests an approach of survey-based blue ocean strategy formulation. The result from survey on customer group and non-customer group gives information on positions of value curves for regions on strategy canvas and hints on how to reposition the focal region's value curve for both increases in value for customers and decreases in cost for local government, i.e., value innovation. In the context of rafting industry in Korea, this study shows the process how blue ocean strategy can be formulated with results from the survey on customers and business people in rafting industry. Relative positions of value curves on strategy canvas and importance scores for strategy elements provides the local government in region A with implications on which elements to raise or to reduce to create "blue ocean" in rafting industry under fierce inter-region competition.

Intensive Monitoring Survey of Nearby Galaxies

  • Im, Myungshin;Choi, Changsu;Lim, Gu;Lee, Sangyun;Yoon, Sung Chul;Chun, Sang Hyun;Yoon, Hyun-Il;Jeon, Yeong-Beaom;Lee, Sang Gak;Kang, Wonseok;Kwon, Sun-gil;Pak, Soojong;Eghamberdiev, Shuhrat
    • 천문학회보
    • /
    • 제41권2호
    • /
    • pp.31.1-31.1
    • /
    • 2016
  • SNe light curves have been used to understand the expansion history of the universe, and a lot of efforts have gone into understanding the overall shape of the radioactively powered light curve. However, we still have little direct observational evidence for the theorized SN progenitor systems. Recent studies suggest that the light curve of a supernova shortly after its explosion (< 1 day) contains valuable information about its progenitor system and can be used to set a limit on the progenitor size, R*. In order to catch the early light curve of SNe explosion and understand SNe progenitors, we are performing a ~8hr interval monitoring survey of nearby galaxies (d < 50 Mpc) with 1-m class telescopes around the world. Through this survey, we expect to catch the very early precursor emission as faint as R=21 mag (~0.1 Rsun for the progenitor). In this talk, we outline this project, and present a few scientific highlights, such as the early light curve of SN 2015F in NGC 2442.

  • PDF

곡선부 시각왜곡현상 분석 및 설계기법 제시 (Analysis of Visual Distortion and Suggestion of Design Criteria at Curve Sections)

  • 하태준;정준화;이정환;이석기
    • 대한토목학회논문집
    • /
    • 제29권6D호
    • /
    • pp.663-673
    • /
    • 2009
  • 도로의 곡선구간에서 운전자가 주행시 느끼는 인지곡선반경은 실제곡선반경과 상이하게 나타나는데, 이러한 현상을 시각왜곡현상이라 한다. 시각왜곡현상은 운전자에게 시각변화를 일으켜 운행속도에 영향을 미치고, 이로 인한 운행속도의 변화는 각운전자들의 인지정도 차이에 따라 운행속도의 편차에 영향을 주어 곡선부 주행안전에 악영향을 미친다. 그러나 현재까지 곡선부의 사고위험도를 증가시키는 시각왜곡현상을 정량적으로 분석하여 산정하거나, 시각왜곡현상을 고려해 도로 곡선부 설계시 이용될 설계기법에 대한 연구는 미비한 실정이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 도로 곡선부의 시각왜곡현상을 경험적 실험을 통한 분석을 실시하여 시각왜곡도를 정량적인 수치로 제시하였고, 곡선부 시각왜곡도를 고려한 설계기법을 제시하였다. 본 연구의 수행절차는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 설문조사를 실시하여 자료를 수집 활용하여 인지곡선반경을 종속변수로 하고, 기하구조를 독립변수로 하는 곡선부 인지곡선반경 모형식을 개발하였다. 둘째, 도로의 유형별로 인지곡선반경에 대한 실제곡선반경의 비율을 계산하여 곡선부 시각왜곡도를 산정하였다. 마지막으로, 곡선부 시각왜곡도 영향인자를 분석하여 이를 고려한 설계기법을 제시하였다.

퍼텐셜 에너지 곡선에 대한 예비 화학 교사들의 이해 조사 (Pre-service Chemistry Teachers’ Understanding of the Potential Energy Curve)

  • 박종윤;김은경
    • 대한화학회지
    • /
    • 제59권6호
    • /
    • pp.508-519
    • /
    • 2015
  • 본 연구에서는 개념 질문지를 사용하여 퍼텐셜 에너지 곡선에 대한 예비 화학 교사들의 이해 정도를 조사하였다. 조사 대상은 화학교육을 전공하는 사범대학 3학년 학생 24명, 4학년 학생 26명으로 총 50명이었다. 개념 질문지는 구슬 두 개의 거리에 따른 퍼텐셜 에너지 변화 곡선을 주고 상상실험을 하는 것으로 구성하였다. 질문지의 응답을 분석한 결과 예비 화학 교사들은 퍼텐셜 에너지나 전체 역학적 에너지가 음의 값을 가지는 것을 받아들이기 어려워하였다. 또한 역학적 에너지 보존은 대부분 알고 있었으나 이를 상상실험의 조건에 제대로 적용하지 못하는 것으로 나타났다. 그리고 구슬에 작용하는 힘의 방향은 대체로 알고 있었으나, 초기 위치에서 구슬이 이동하여 퍼텐셜 에너지가 가장 낮은 우물 바닥에서 정지할 것이라는 응답이 상당히 많았다. 또한 퍼텐셜 에너지 곡선과 관련지어 화학 결합, 기체의 액화, 분자의 진동 운동에 대한 이해도가 매우 낮은 것으로 드러났다.

로지스틱함수법 및 Markov 전이모형법을 이용한 농업기계의 수요예측에 관한 연구 (Study on Demand Estimation of Agricultural Machinery by Using Logistic Curve Function and Markov Chain Model)

  • 윤여두
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
    • /
    • 제29권5호
    • /
    • pp.441-450
    • /
    • 2004
  • This study was performed to estimate mid and long term demands of a tractor, a rice transplanter, a combine and a grain dryer by using logistic curve function and Markov chain model. Field survey was done to decide some parameters far logistic curve function and Markov chain model. Ceiling values of tractor and combine fer logistic curve function analysis were 209,280 and 85,607 respectively. Based on logistic curve function analysis, total number of tractors increased slightly during the period analysed. New demand for combine was found to be zero. Markov chain analysis was carried out with 2 scenarios. With the scenario 1(rice price $10\%$ down and current supporting policy by government), new demand for tractor was decreased gradually up to 700 unit in the year 2012. For combine, new demand was zero. Regardless of scenarios, the replacement demand was increased slightly after 2003. After then, the replacement demand is decreased after the certain time. Two analysis of logistic owe function and Markov chain model showed the similar trend in increase and decrease for total number of tractors and combines. However, the difference in numbers of tractors and combines between the results from 2 analysis got bigger as the time passed.

The Verification of the Reliability and Validity of Special Needs Education Assessment Tool (SNEAT) in Miyagi, Japan

  • HAN, Changwan;KOHARA, Aiko
    • 한국콘텐츠학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국콘텐츠학회 2016년도 춘계 종합학술대회 논문집
    • /
    • pp.383-384
    • /
    • 2016
  • The Special Needs Education Assessment Tool (SNEAT) were verified of reliability and validity. However, the reliability and validity has been verified is only Okinawa Prefecture, the national data has not been analyzed. Therefore, this study aimed to verify the reliability and construct validity of SNEAT in Miyagi Prefecture as part of the national survey. SNEAT using 55 children collected from the classes on independent activities of daily living for children with disabilities in Miyagi Prefecture between November and December 2015. Survey data were collected in a longitudinal prospective cohort study. The reliability of SNEAT was verified via the internal consistency method; the coefficient of Cronbach's ${\alpha}$ were over 0.7. The validity of SNEAT was also verified via the latent growth curve model. SNEAT is valid based on its goodness-of-fit values obtained using the latent growth curve model, where the values of comparative fit index (0.997), tucker-lewis index (0.996) and root mean square error of approximation (0.025) were within the goodness-of-fit range. These results indicate that SNEAT has high reliability and construct validity.

  • PDF

A Study on Estimation Method for $CO_2$ Uptake of Vegetation using Airborne Hyperspectral Remote Sensing

  • Endo, Takahiro;Yonekawa, Satoshi;Tamura, Masayuki;Yasuoka, Yoshifumi
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 대한원격탐사학회 2003년도 Proceedings of ACRS 2003 ISRS
    • /
    • pp.1076-1080
    • /
    • 2003
  • $CO_2$ uptake of vegetation is one of the important variables in order to estimate photosynthetic activity, plant growth and carbon budget estimations. The objective of this research was to develop a new estimation method of $CO_2$ uptake of vegetation based on airborne hyperspectral remote sensing measurements in combination with a photosynthetic rate curve model. In this study, a compact airborne spectrographic imager (CASI) was used to obtain image over a field that had been set up to study the $CO_2$ uptake of corn on August 7, 2002. Also, a field survey was conducted concurrently with the CASI overpass. As a field survey, chlorophyll a content, photosynthetic rate curve, Leaf area, dry biomass and light condition were measured. The developed estimation method for $CO_2$ uptake consists of three major parts: a linear mixture model, an enhanced big leaf model and a photosynthetic rate curve model. The Accuracy of this scheme indicates that $CO_2$ uptake of vegetation could be estimated by using airborne hyperspectral remote sensing data in combination with a physiological model.

  • PDF