• Title/Summary/Keyword: stochastic control

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Investigations on Dynamic Trading Strategy Utilizing Stochastic Optimal Control and Machine Learning (확률론적 최적제어와 기계학습을 이용한 동적 트레이딩 전략에 관한 고찰)

  • Park, Jooyoung;Yang, Dongsu;Park, Kyungwook
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.348-353
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    • 2013
  • Recently, control theory including stochastic optimal control and various machine-learning-based artificial intelligence methods have become major tools in the field of financial engineering. In this paper, we briefly review some recent papers utilizing stochastic optimal control theory in the fields of the pair trading for mean-reverting markets and the trend-following strategy, and consider a couple of strategies utilizing both stochastic optimal control theory and machine learning methods to acquire more flexible and accessible tools. Illustrative simulations show that the considered strategies can yield encouraging results when applied to a set of real financial market data.

Experimental and analytical studies on stochastic seismic response control of structures with MR dampers

  • Mei, Zhen;Peng, Yongbo;Li, Jie
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.395-416
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    • 2013
  • The magneto-rheological (MR) damper contributes to the new technology of structural vibration control. Its developments and applications have been paid significant attentions in earthquake engineering in recent years. Due to the shortages, however, inherent in deterministic control schemes where only several observed seismic accelerations are used as the trivial input and in classical stochastic optimal control theory with assumption of white noise process, the derived control policy cannot effectively accommodate the performance of randomly base-excited engineering structures. In this paper, the experimental and analytical studies on stochastic seismic response control of structures with specifically designed MR dampers are carried out. The random ground motion, as the base excitation posing upon the shaking table and the design load used for structural control system, is represented by the physically based stochastic ground motion model. Stochastic response analysis and reliability assessment of the tested structure are performed using the probability density evolution method and the theory of extreme value distribution. It is shown that the seismic response of the controlled structure with MR dampers gain a significant reduction compared with that of the uncontrolled structure, and the structural reliability is obviously strengthened as well.

Approximate Dynamic Programming-Based Dynamic Portfolio Optimization for Constrained Index Tracking

  • Park, Jooyoung;Yang, Dongsu;Park, Kyungwook
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.19-30
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    • 2013
  • Recently, the constrained index tracking problem, in which the task of trading a set of stocks is performed so as to closely follow an index value under some constraints, has often been considered as an important application domain for control theory. Because this problem can be conveniently viewed and formulated as an optimal decision-making problem in a highly uncertain and stochastic environment, approaches based on stochastic optimal control methods are particularly pertinent. Since stochastic optimal control problems cannot be solved exactly except in very simple cases, approximations are required in most practical problems to obtain good suboptimal policies. In this paper, we present a procedure for finding a suboptimal solution to the constrained index tracking problem based on approximate dynamic programming. Illustrative simulation results show that this procedure works well when applied to a set of real financial market data.

A Study on the new design method of a stochastic controller (확률영역 제어기의 새로운 설계법에 대한 연구)

  • Cho, Yun-Hyun;Kim, Dae-Jung;Yang, Jae-Hyuk;Heo, Hoon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 1998.04a
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    • pp.450-453
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    • 1998
  • Investigation is performed on the characteristics and new control technique for general form of dynamic system under the randomly disturbance. Also, a controller design method in stochastic domain in studied, which is preliminary result in the course of research on the control of stochastic system. The governing equation is derived via F-P-K approach in stochastic sense. A controller is designed in term of auto power density and cross power density.

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Control of an stochastic nonlinear system by the method of dynamic programming

  • Choi, Wan-Sik
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1994.10a
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    • pp.156-161
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    • 1994
  • In this paper, we consider an optimal control problem of a nonlinear stochastic system. Dynamic programming approach is employed for the formulation of a stochastic optimal control problem. As an optimality condition, dynamic programming equation so called the Bellman equation is obtained, which seldom yields an analytical solution, even very difficult to solve numerically. We obtain the numerical solution of the Bellman equation using an algorithm based on the finite difference approximation and the contraction mapping method. Optimal controls are constructed through the solution process of the Bellman equation. We also construct a test case in order to investigate the actual performance of the algorithm.

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Numerical Solution of an Elliptic Type H-J-B Equation Arising from Stochastic Optimal Control Problem (확률 최적 제어문제에서 발생되는 Elliptic Type H-J-B 방정식의 수치해)

  • Wan Sik Choi
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.4 no.6
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    • pp.703-706
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    • 1998
  • 본 논문에서는 확률 최적 제어문제에서 발생되는 Elliptic type H-J-B(Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman) 방정식에 대한 수치해를 구하였다. 수치해를 구하기 위하여 Contraction 사상 및 유한차분법을 이용하였으며, 시스템은 It/sub ∧/ 형태의 Stochastic 방정식으로 취하였다. 수치해는 수학적인 테스트 케이스를 설정하여 검증하였으며, 최적제어 Map을 방정식의 해를 구하면서 동시에 구하였다.

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Computational Solution of a H-J-B equation arising from Stochastic Optimal Control Problem

  • Park, Wan-Sik
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1998.10a
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    • pp.440-444
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, we consider numerical solution of a H-J-B (Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman) equation of elliptic type arising from the stochastic control problem. For the numerical solution of the equation, we take an approach involving contraction mapping and finite difference approximation. We choose the It(equation omitted) type stochastic differential equation as the dynamic system concerned. The numerical method of solution is validated computationally by using the constructed test case. Map of optimal controls is obtained through the numerical solution process of the equation. We also show how the method applies by taking a simple example of nonlinear spacecraft control.

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Model Tracking Dual Stochastic Controller Design Under Irregular Internal Noises

  • Lee Jong-Bok;Cho Yun-Hyun;Ji Tae-Young;Heo Hoon
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.652-657
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    • 2006
  • Although many methods about the control of irregular external noise have been introduced and implemented, it is still necessary to design a controller that will be more effective and efficient methods to exclude for various noises. Accumulation of errors due to model tracking, internal noises (thermal noise, shot noise and 1/f noise) that come from elements such as resistor, diode and transistor etc. in the circuit system and numerical errors due to digital process often destabilize the system and reduce the system performance. New stochastic controller is adopted to remove those noises using conventional controller simultaneously. Design method of a model tracking dual controller is proposed to improve the stability of system while removing external and internal noises. In the study, design process of the model tracking dual stochastic controller is introduced that improves system performance and guarantees robustness under irregular internal noises which can be created internally. The model tracking dual stochastic controller utilizing F-P-K stochastic control technique developed earlier is implemented to reveal its performance via simulation.

Eigenstructure Assignment Methodology Considering Stochastic Robustness Characteristics (확률적 견실특성을 고려한 고유구조 지정기법)

  • Seo, Young-Bong;Park, Jae-Weon
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.6 no.11
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    • pp.974-980
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, we present a method that has flexibility of exact assignment of eigenstructure with the stochastic robustness for LTI(Linear-Time-Invariant) systems. The stochastic robustness of LTI systems is determined by the probability distributions of closed-loop eigenvalues. The probabilistic stability region is presented stochastically using the Monte Carlo evaluations. The proposed scheme is applied to designing a simple system and a flight control system with stochastic parameter variations to confirm the usefulness of the scheme.

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Efficient Computations for Evaluating Extended Stochastic Petri Nets using Algebraic Operations

  • Kim, Dong-Sung;Moon, Hong-Ju;Bahk, Je-Hyeong;Kwon, Wook-Hyun;Zygmunt J. Haas
    • International Journal of Control, Automation, and Systems
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    • v.1 no.4
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    • pp.431-443
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    • 2003
  • This paper presents an efficient method to evaluate the performance of an extended stochastic Petri net by simple algebraic operations. The reachability graph is derived from an extended stochastic Petri net, and then converted to a timed stochastic state machine, using a semi-Markov process. The n-th moments of the performance index are derived by algebraic manipulations with each of the n-th moments of transition time and transition probability. For the derivation, three reduction rules are introduced on the transition trajectories in a well-formed regular expression. Efficient computation algorithms are provided to automate the suggested method. The presented method provides a proficient means to derive both the numerical and the symbolic solutions for the performance of an extended stochastic Petri net by simple algebraic manipulations.