• Title/Summary/Keyword: stochastic characteristic

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Simulation of Groundwater Flow in Fractured Porous Media using a Discrete Fracture Model (불연속 파쇄모델을 이용한 파쇄 매질에서의 지하수 유동 시뮬레이션)

  • Park, Yu-Chul;Lee, Kang-Kun
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.503-512
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    • 1995
  • Groundwater flow in fracture networks is simulated using a discrete fracture (DF) model which assume that groundwater flows only through the fracture network. This assumption is available if the permeability of rock matrix is very low. It is almost impossible to describe fracture networks perfectly, so a stochastic approach is used. The stochastic approach assumes that the characteristic parameters in fracture network have special distribution patterns. The stochastic model generates fracture networks with some characteristic parameters. The finite element method is used to compute fracture flows. One-dimensional line element is the element type of the finite elements. The simulation results are shown by dominant flow paths in the fracture network. The dominant flow path can be found from the simulated groundwater flow field. The model developed in this study provides the tool to estimate the influences of characteristic parameters on groundwater flow in fracture networks. The influences of some characteristic parameters on the frcture flow are estimated by the Monte Carlo simulation based on 30 realizations.

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Probability Distribution of Battle Duration in Stochastic Combats (전투시간의 확률분포에 관한 연구)

  • 홍윤기
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2003
  • Knowing the characteristic of battle duration is important for commanders and logicians in the analysis of combat realization. Analytic solutions for mean and standard deviation can be found in small sized battles. Stochastic combat simulation model is utilized to study a probabilistic behavior of the combat duration. Output data is fitted to a certain probability distribution and some moments such as skewness and kurtosis are investigated. Fire allocation strategies, reselect options, interfiring time random variables, and kill rates are considered to investigate how they affect the battle termination time.

Lagged Unstable Regressor Models and Asymptotic Efficiency of the Ordinary Least Squares Estimator

  • Shin, Dong-Wan;Oh, Man-Suk
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.251-259
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    • 2002
  • Lagged regressor models with general stationary errors independent of the regressors are considered. The regressor process is unstable having characteristic roots on the unit circle. If the order of the lag matches the number of roots on the unit circle, the ordinary least squares estimator (OLSE) is asymptotically efficient in that it has the same limiting distribution as the generalized least squares estimator (GLSE) under the same normalization. This result extends the well-known result of Grenander and Rosenblatt (1957) for asymptotic efficiency of the OLSE in deterministic polynomial and/or trigonometric regressor models to a class of models with stochastic regressors.

A Stochastic Control for Nonlinear Systems under Random Disturbance Based on a Fluid Motion (유체운동에 의한 불규칙 가진을 받는 비선형계의 확률제어)

  • Oh, Soo-Young;Kim, Yong-Kwan;Cho, Lae-Kyoung;Choi, Young-Seob;Heo, Hoon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2001.05a
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    • pp.892-896
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    • 2001
  • Investigation is performed on the stability of nonlinear system under turbulent fluid motion modelled as white noise random process, which is a preliminary result in the course of research on the characteristic and nonlinear control of the stochastic system. Adopted physical model is beam-type structure with tip-mass and main base mass. The governing equation is derived via F-P-K approach in stochastic sense. By means of Gaussian Closure method infinite dynamic moment equations due to system nonlinearity is closed to finite one. At the best of authors' knowledge, it is the first trial to design nonlinear controller by using of sliding mode technique in stochastic domain and control performance and effect in stochastic domain is studied.

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Stochastic Modeling of Plug-in Electric Vehicle Distribution in Power Systems

  • Son, Hyeok Jin;Kook, Kyung Soo
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.1276-1282
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    • 2013
  • This paper proposes a stochastic modeling of plug-in electric vehicles (PEVs) distribution in power systems, and analyzes the corresponding clustering characteristic. It is essential for power utilities to estimate the PEV charging demand as the penetration level of PEV is expected to increase rapidly in the near future. Although the distribution of PEVs in power systems is the primary factor for estimating the PEV charging demand, the data currently available are statistics related to fuel-driven vehicles and to existing electric demands in power systems. In this paper, we calculate the number of households using electricity at individual ending buses of a power system based on the electric demands. Then, we estimate the number of PEVs per household using the probability density function of PEVs derived from the given statistics about fuel-driven vehicles. Finally, we present the clustering characteristic of the PEV distribution via case studies employing the test systems.

Study and Experimentation on Detection of Nicks inside of Porcelain with Acoustic Emission

  • Jin, Wei;Li, Fen
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.9 no.12
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    • pp.1572-1579
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    • 2006
  • An usual acoustic emission(AE) event has two widely characterized parameters in time domain, peak amplitude and event duration. But noise in AE measuring may disturb the signals with its parameters and aggrandize the signal incertitude. Experiment activity of detection of the nick inside of porcelain with AE was made and study on AE signal processing with statistic be presented in this paper in order to pick-up information expected from the signal with noise. Effort is concentrated on developing a novel arithmetic to improve extraction of the characteristic from stochastic signal and to enhance the voracity of detection. The main purpose discussed in this paper is to treat with signals on amplitudes with statistic mutuality and power density spectrum in frequency domain, and farther more to select samples for neural networks training by means of least-squares algorithm between real measuring signal and deterministic signals under laboratory condition. By seeking optimization with the algorithm, the parameters representing characteristic of the porcelain object are selected, while the stochastic interfere be weakened, then study for detection on neural networks is developed based on processing above.

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Probabilistic stability analysis of underground structure using stochastic finite element method

  • Na, Sang-Min;Moon, Hyun-Koo
    • 한국지구물리탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.192-197
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    • 2003
  • It can be said that rock mass properties are characterized not by a mean value but by values with variation due to its characteristic uncertainty. This characteristic is one of the most important parts for the design of underground structures, but yet to be fully examined. Stochastic finite element method (SFEM) has been developed in order to take the randomness of structural systems into account. Using SFEM, the response variability of structural system can be obtained and it leads probabilistic stability of structure to be analyzed. In this study, displacements response variability of circular opening with hydrostatic stress field are analyzed in terms of rock mass properties having a certain mean and a standard deviation using the SFEM. The analyzed response variability shows that the necessity of probabilistic stability analysis of underground structures using reliable mean value and standard deviation of deformation modulus.

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Stochastic stability control analysis of an inclined stay cable under random and periodic support motion excitations

  • Ying, Z.G.;Ni, Y.Q.;Duan, Y.F.
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.641-651
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    • 2019
  • The stochastic stability control of the parameter-excited vibration of an inclined stay cable with multiple modes coupling under random and periodic combined support disturbances is studied by using the direct eigenvalue analysis approach based on the response moment stability, Floquet theorem, Fourier series and matrix eigenvalue analysis. The differential equation with time-varying parameters for the transverse vibration of the inclined cable with control under random and deterministic support disturbances is derived and converted into the randomly and deterministically parameter-excited multi-degree-of-freedom vibration equations. As the stochastic stability of the parameter-excited vibration is mainly determined by the characteristics of perturbation moment, the differential equation with only deterministic parameters for the perturbation second moment is derived based on the $It{\hat{o}}$ stochastic differential rule. The stochastically and deterministically parameter-excited vibration stability is then determined by the deterministic parameter-varying response moment stability. Based on the Floquet theorem, expanding the periodic parameters of the perturbation moment equation and the periodic component of the characteristic perturbation moment expression into the Fourier series yields the eigenvalue equation which determines the perturbation moment behavior. Thus the stochastic stability of the parameter-excited cable vibration under the random and periodic combined support disturbances is determined directly by the matrix eigenvalues. The direct eigenvalue analysis approach is applicable to the stochastic stability of the control cable with multiple modes coupling under various periodic and/or random support disturbances. Numerical results illustrate that the multiple cable modes need to be considered for the stochastic stability of the parameter-excited cable vibration under the random and periodic support disturbances, and the increase of the control damping rather than control stiffness can greatly enhance the stochastic stability of the parameter-excited cable vibration including the frequency width increase of the periodic disturbance and the critical value increase of the random disturbance amplitude.

Pole Placement Controller Design for Multivariable Nonlinear Stochastic Systems (다변수 비선형 확률 시스템에 대한 극점배치 제어기 설계)

  • Kim, Jong-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.33-44
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    • 1989
  • A controller disign method is proposed for multivariable nonlinear stochastic systems with hard nonlinearities such as Coulomb friction, backlash and saturation. In order to take the nonlinearities into account statistical linearization techniques are used. And multi- variable pole placement techniques are applied to design controller for the statistically linearized multivariable systems. The basic concept of the controller design method is to solve two coupled equations, characteristic equation and Lyapunov equation, simultaneously and iteratively for statistically linearized multivariable stochastic systems. An aircraft with saturation serves as a design example. The design example illustrates the influence of nonlinear effects. The results of the analysis are compared to Monte Carlo simulation to test their accuracy.

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States Estimation of Nonlinear Stochastic System Using Single Term Walsh Series (월쉬 단일항 전개를 이용한 비선형 확률 시스템의 상태추정)

  • Lim, Yun-Sik
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers P
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    • v.57 no.2
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    • pp.115-120
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    • 2008
  • The EKF(Extended Kalman filter) method which is the state estimation algorithm of nonlinear stochastic system depends on the initial error and the estimated states. Therefore, the divergence of the estimated state can be caused if the initial values of the estimated states are not chosen as approximate real state values. In this paper, the demerit of the existing EKF method is improved using the EKF algorithm transformated by STWS(Single Term Walsh Series). This method linearizes each sampling interval of continous-time system through the derivation of an algebraic iterative equation without discretizing continuous system by the characteristic of STWS, the convergence of the estimated states can be improved. The validity of the proposed method is checked through comparison with the existing EKF method in simulation.