• Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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• 2004.11a
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• pp.123-128
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• 2004

A finite dam under $P_{\lambda,;,T}^M-policy$ is considered, where the input of water is formed by a Wiener process subject to random jumps arriving according to a Poisson process. Explicit expression is deduced for the stationary distribution of the level of water. And the long-run average cost per unit time is obtained after assigning costs to the changes of release rate, a reward to each unit of output, and a penalty which is a function of the level of water in the reservoir.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• v.24 no.2
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• pp.471-479
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• 1995

A random shock model for a linearly deteriorating system is introduced. The system deteriorating linearly with time is subject to random shocks which arrive according to a Poisson process and decrease the state of the system by a random amount. The system is repaired by a repairmen arriving according to another Poisson process if the state when he arrives is below a threshold. Explicit expressions are deduced for the characteristic function of the distribution function of X(t), the state of the system at time t, and for the distribution function of X(t) if X(t) is over the threshold. The stationary case is briefly discussed.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 1998.05b
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• pp.3-3
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• 1998

In this pressentation it is argued that the heterogeneity of a hydrologic attribute which may seem to be nonstationary at one scale, may become stationary at a larger scale. The fundamental reason for transformation from nonstationarity to stationarity whith the increase in scale is the phenomenon of coarse-graining of the hydrologic processes with increasing scale. Due to the phenomenon of aliasing, a particular scale hydrologic process heterogeneity which is observed as a nonstationary process at that scale, may be observed as a stationary process at a higher(larger) scale whose size is bigger than the stationary extent of the lower scale heterogeneity. As one goes through a hierarchical sequence of larger and larger scales for observations, one would eliminate nonstationarities which emerge at some lower scales at the expense of losing information on the high frequency fluctuations of the lower scale heterogeneities which will no longer be observed at the larger sampling scales. We call this phenimenon as the "coarse-graining in hydrologic observations". In this presentation, it is also argued that by the coarse-graining of hydrologic processes due to the averaging and aliasing operations at increasing scales, the conservation laws corresponging to these scales may still be quite parsimonious, and need not be more complicated as the scales get larger. It is shown that shen a higher(larger) scale process is formed by averaging a lower(smaller) scale process in time or space, the high frequency components of the lower scale process will be eliminated by the averaging operation. Thereby, the resuliiting average hydrologic dynamics, free from the effects of the high frequency components of the lower scale process, can still be quite simple in form. This is demonstrated by means of some recent upscaling work on the solute teansport conservation equation for hetergeneous aquifers. By means of this solute transport example, it is also shown that for the ensemble average form of a hydrologic conservation equation to be equivalent to its volume-average form at any scale, the parameter functions of that conservation equation at the immediately lower scale must be ergodic.

• Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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• 2000.11a
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• pp.119-121
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• 2000

A functional central limit theorem is obtained for a stationary multivariate linear process of the form $X_t=\sum\limits_{u=0}^\infty{A}_{u}Z_{t-u}$, where {$Z_t$} is a sequence of strictly stationary m-dimensional linearly positive quadrant dependent random vectors with $E Z_t = 0$ and $E{\parallel}Z_t{\parallel}^2 <{\infty}$ and {$A_u$} is a sequence of coefficient matrices with $\sum\limits_{u=0}^\infty{\parallel}A_u{\parallel}<{\infty}$ and $\sum\limits_{u=0}^\infty{A}_u{\neq}0_{m{\times}m}$. AMS 2000 subject classifications : 60F17, 60G10.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.21 no.3
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• pp.245-251
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• 2014

Two exponential inequalities are established for a wide class of general weakly dependent sequences of random variables, called ${\psi}$-weakly dependent process which unify weak dependence conditions such as mixing, association, Gaussian sequences and Bernoulli shifts. The ${\psi}$-weakly dependent process includes, for examples, stationary ARMA processes, bilinear processes, and threshold autoregressive processes, and includes essentially all classes of weakly dependent stationary processes of interest in statistics under natural conditions on the process parameters. The two exponential inequalities are established on more general conditions than some existing ones, and are proven in simpler ways.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• v.32 no.1
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• pp.71-94
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• 2009

In this paper a procedure for Monte Carlo simulation of univariate stationary stochastic processes with the aid of neural networks is presented. Neural networks operate model-free and, thus, circumvent the need of specifying a priori statistical properties of the process, as needed traditionally. This is particularly advantageous when only limited data are available. A neural network can capture the "pattern" of a short observed time series. Afterwards, it can directly generate stochastic process realizations which capture the properties of the underlying data. In the present study a simple feed-forward network with focused time-memory is utilized. The proposed procedure is demonstrated by examples of Monte Carlo simulation, by synthesis of future values of an initially short single process record.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• v.35 no.1
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• pp.37-47
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• 2006

Recently, as a result of the growing interest in modeling stationary processes with discrete marginal distributions, several models for integer valued time series have been proposed in the literature. One of these models is the integer-valued autoregressive (INAR) models. However, when modeling with integer-valued autoregressive processes, the distributional properties of forecasts have been not yet discovered due to the difficulty in handling the Steutal Van Ham thinning operator 'o' (Steutal and van Ham, 1979). In this study, we derive the mean squared error of h-step-ahead prediction from a Poisson INAR(1) process, reflecting the effect of the variability of parameter estimates in the prediction mean squared error.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.8 no.3
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• pp.615-623
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• 2001

A functional central limit theorem is obtained for a stationary multivariate linear process of the form (no abstract. see full-text) where{ $Z_{t}$} is a sequence of strictly stationary m-dimensional negatively associated random vectors with E $Z_{t}$=O and E∥ $Z_{t}$∥$^2$<$\infty$ and { $A_{u}$} is a sequence of coefficient matrices with (no abstract. see full-text) and (no abstract. see full-text).text).).

• Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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• v.37 no.2
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• pp.31-43
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• 2012

Delivery of a good quality of service in an efficient manner requires matching the supply of capacity with customer demand. Much research has employed queueing models that analyzed the service system on the basis of independent and stationary customer arrivals. However, the appointment system, which is widely used to facilitate customer access to service in many industries including healthcare, has significant influence on the customer arrival process so that the independent and stationary assumption does not hold in an appointment-based service system. In this regard, this paper aims to propose a model for accurate illustration of the appointment-based customer arrival process. The use of the proposed model allows us to evaluate the overall system performance such as mean waiting time and service level under various appointment policies instead of conducting simulation studies.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• v.28 no.1
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• pp.125-133
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• 1999

We consider a FIFO single-server queueing model in which both the arrival and service processes are modulated by the amount of work in the system. The arrival process is a non-homogeneous Poisson process(NHPP) modulated by work, that is, with an intensity that depends on the work in the system. Each customer brings a job consisting of an exponentially distributed amount of work to be processed. The server processes the work at various service rates which also depend on the work in the system. Under the stability conditions obtained by Browne and Sigman(1992) we derive the exact stationary distribution of the work W(t) and the first exit probability that the work level b is exceeded before the work level a is reached, starting from x$\in$[a, b].