• Title/Summary/Keyword: shift-share 분석

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Characteristic Analysis of Industrial Structure in Jeju Special Self-Governing Province Using Dynamic Shift-Share Analysis (동태적 변이할당분석을 이용한 제주특별자치도 산업구조 특성 분석)

  • Yang, Young-Jun
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.10 no.8
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    • pp.181-193
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    • 2019
  • The regional economy growth of Jeju has seen higher than national growth since 2011 by the establishment of Jeju Special Self-Governing Province and the increase of incoming population, but its economic growth has slowed after 2016. This study conducted the dynamic shift-share analysis using the production and employees of each industry from 2010 to 2016, targeting Jeju with many factors of regional economic change. In the results of empirical analysis, the regional economy of Jeju was not the industrial structure depending on the national growth, but the industrial structure by the competitiveness and industrial structure of Jeju region. The industries having positive(+) effects of industrial mix effect and competitive effect on the production and the number of employees were the electricity/gas/heavy equipments & waterworks, construction, accommodation & restaurants, and service industry. These industries have positive effects on the regional industry of Jeju. The above-mentioned industries are not only more likely to grow than other regions, but also to drive the local economy of Jeju. In order for these industries to continuously contribute to the regional economy of Jeju, it would be necessary to have the policy/institutional support in the long-term perspective.

Effects of the Localities' Competitiveness Contributing to Employment Growth on Local Economic Development: Based on a Shift-Share Method (지역 경쟁력과 경제발전 간의 관계 : 변이할당분석기법의 고총성장에의 적용을 토대로)

  • Kim Kwang-lk;Byun Pillsung;Kim Tae-Hwan
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.267-284
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    • 2005
  • This study analyzes the effects of localities' competitiveness which can contribute to employment growth in industries, on economic development in the local jurisdictions. For this analysis, such competitiveness is measured by competitive shares calculated from the application of a shift-share method to the employment growth in industries each locality witnessed over the 1990s. And we use annual population growth rate and average annual per capita income (substituted by per capita head tax derived from income tax) of the early 2000s as variables of local economic development. The analysis targets 167 local jurisdictions in Korea for the employment growth in industries, and is mainly placed in a spatial econometric setting. The results of analysis are as follows : The competitive share of manufacturing has the effect of increasing annual population growth rate whereas that of construction has a negative effect on the population growth rate. As well, the competitive shares of manufacturing and of construction negatively influence average annual per capita income while that of community, social and personal services positively affects the income.

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A Study on the Concentration and Responses of Container Ports in China (중국 컨테이너 항만의 집중화와 대응에 관한 연구)

  • Zhang, Jun-Qing;Lee, Ja-Yeon;Woo, Su-Han
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.169-187
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    • 2015
  • Ports as central factors of the logistics industry and principal bases in industrial activities play a significant role in the development of the social economy. This paper takes the throughput data from 2000 to 2014 of 10 container ports located in China as the research object with the Gini coefficient and employs the shift-share analysis. It aims to analyze the changes in port concentration and movement of container throughputs and propose a stage of development port system in China. The results are as follows. First, the system of container ports clearly moves northward. According to the above shift-share analysis, the throughput moves from the Pearl River Delta to the other two regions. This indicates that the center of Chinese container port system moves northward. Second, container port diversification development takes a representative position in the change of container throughput space structure. According to the calculation results of Gini coefficient, diversified development gradually predominates the change of container throughput space structure.

An Analysis of the Concentration Ratios and the Shift Effect of Korean Container Ports (우리나라 컨테이너항만의 집중도와 변이효과 분석)

  • Kim, Eun-Soo;Lee, Su-Young
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.135-149
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    • 2016
  • This study analyzes the concentration ratios (CR) and the shift effect in the system of Korean container ports that concern the export and import of container cargos, especially from/to 5 overseas origin/destination (O/D) regions, using the Hirshmann-Herfindahl Index (HHI) and the Shift-Share Method. The results shows that the CR has decreased during the last 20 years, from 0.86 to 0.44, mainly because cargos from/to the Far-East/South-East Asian regions have become more dispersed to several domestic container ports, especially from the Port of Busan. This study also indicates that there has been little change in the CR for all cargos, like the value of -0.3%, in the last 5 years. However the change in CRs for the cargos from/to the North America and Europe is positive, with the value of 7.6% and 6.6%, respectively. It can be inferred that the future development of medium- and small-sized container ports in Korea is not very likely. The study also suggests that the CR and the shift effect of the Korean container ports for the cargos by the domestic O/D regions should be analyzed in the future to suggest policy implications in great detail.

A Study on the Changes in Specialization Degree and Cargo Volume by Cargo Type in Major Ports in Korea (우리나라 주요항만의 품목별 특화도와 물동량의 변동에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Choong-bae;Su, Miao;Liu, Yanfeng
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.103-119
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    • 2021
  • Ports in Korea have been increasing in terms of volume while they have performed functions and roles such as industrial ports in promoting industries of their hinterlands as well as commercial ports supporting imports and exports. Nevertheless, specialization degree is different from port to port by cargo type and the changes in cargo volume. This study aims to analyze the structural changes and the degree of concentration and specialization by cargo type and port between 2001 and 2020. Top 10 ports were analyzed in terms of traffic volume by categorizing liquid, dry, general cargo and containers. HHI(Herfindahl-Hirschman Index), LQ(Location Coefficient), and shift-share analysis were employed in order to identify the degree of concentration, specialization and changes in cargo volume by port and cargo type. As a result of the analysis, the degree of port concentration and specialization for each cargo of 4 categories have maintained a high level, and no significant difference were found in fluctuations over the past 20 years. As a result of calculating the flucation of cargo volume through the shift-share analysis, the growth rate of liquid cargo was high in Yeosu Gwangyang Port, Pyeongtaek Dangjin Port in dry cargo, and Busan Port in general cargo and container ports. The result implies that it is not expected that the structural changes including degree of cargo concentration, specialization and relative fluctuation of cargo volume is significant in Korean ports in the future since the effects of economies of scale and clustering were achieved to the great degree.

Competitive Advantages and Growth Characteristics of Korea's Tourism Industry - Comparative Analysis with Northeast Asian Countries by Using Shift-Share Method (우리나라 관광산업의 경쟁우위와 성장 특성 - 변이할당분석방법을 이용한 동북아시아 지역 국가들과의 비교 분석)

  • Kim, Young-Joon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.370-379
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    • 2020
  • This study examined the growth characteristics and competitive advantages of Korea's tourism industry compared to other Northeast Asian countries using the Balassa Indices and Shift-Share method. The analysis results showed that the growth of Korea's tourism industry over the past decade was due mainly to external factors, such as the growth of the global economy and the expansion of the tourism sector, while the role of growth momentum of the tourism industry itself was insignificant. Employment in Korea's tourism industry has shown relatively higher increasing rates compared to the rates of the total amount of sales and value-adding. This appears to be caused by the decreased absorption of the labor force in the tourism industry due to the overall capacity of job creation. (Ed note: This sentence was unclear. Please check the edits.)The competitive advantage of Korea's tourism industry has been strengthened over the past decade, but it is still inferior to other countries. The travel account balance showed that the economic size of the Chinese tourism sector had grown rapidly over the past decade, but the competitive advantage of the sector has been weakened. On the other hand, the economic size of the Japanese tourism sector has shown sluggish growth, while its competitive advantage has been strengthened significantly.

Analysis on the Growth Characteristics of Real Estate Industry in Jeju (제주 부동산업의 성장특성 분석)

  • Yang, Young-Jun
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.585-594
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    • 2020
  • After the launch of Jeju Special Self-Governing Province in 2006, a number of real estate development projects were carried out; the real estate industry has relatively largely grown as compared with other regions since 2011. This growth has slowed down in 2017, along with the increase of unsold houses and the short of its incoming population, causing its real estate market recession. This study analyzed the source of real estate industry growth in Jeju: either affected by national growth power or its regional competitiveness. This study applied Shift-Share Analysis and Growth Differential Analysis, by dividing the recovery period ('06~'10) and expansion period ('11~'16). According to the result, sales amount and the number of employees in the real estate industry in Jeju had grown in the recovery period based on the national growth power. Its regional competitiveness and stable industrial structure grew in the growth period. Development and subdividing of real estate contributed to the growth of the real estate industry in Jeju. On the other hand, management of real estate weakened its market.

Analysis of Industry Growth and Employment Effect in the Korean Manufacturing Sector by Regions (제조업종의 지역별 산업성장 및 고용효과 분석)

  • Koo, Hoonyoung;Min, Daiki
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.15-25
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    • 2017
  • We evaluated industry growth and employment effects of every possible pairs of 22 manufacturing sectors and 16 regions (i.e, 352 region-sectors). We used annual data of manufacturing sectors from 2008 to 2014 for the evaluation. The evaluation comprises of two steps; We first find several region-sectors that outperform others with respect to the effects of industry growth and employment, which are measured by location quotient analysis, shift share method, employment to GDP ratio and employment elasticity. In addition, cross-efficiency analysis follows to classify region-sector pairs into two sub-categories : efficient region-sectors that deserve to hold the current level of investments and inefficient region-sectors where we should consider efficiency improvements. To examine the efficiency, R&D investment, employment size, and capital investment were used as input factors and production volume, added value, changes in employment size, changes in annual salary per capita were used as output factors. For region-sector pairs that have outstanding growth and employment effects but are inefficient, we employed a CCR DEA model and analyzed how much to adjust the values of input and output factors to improve the efficiency scores. The analysis results showed that inefficiency is mainly due to several factors such as R&D investment, changes in employment size and changes in annual salary per capita.

An analysis of Deconcentration Tendencies and Shifting -Share Situations of ICDs: Focused on the Southern Vietnam (내륙 컨테이너 기지의 탈 집중화 및 전이할당 현상 분석: 베트남 남부지역을 중심으로)

  • Phan, Minh Tien;Yeo, Gi-Tae
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.143-156
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    • 2020
  • In Southern Vietnam, the competition among Inland Clearance Depot (ICD) has resulted in deconcentration tendencies and shifting share situations. However, related research on Southern Vietnam ICDs in particular and ICDs in Vietnam in general has been extremely limited. Hence, In this study, empirical research is conducted on ICDs located in southern Vietnam from 2010 to 2017. The throughput volume data of ICDs is analyzed by concentration indicators, namely the concentration ratio (CR), the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI), the Gini coefficient, the Lorenz curve, and the shift share analysis (SSA). The results of adopting all the methodologies indicate that deconcentration was the mainstream trend for ICDs in Southern Vietnam during the period of 2010-2017. The findings provide insights into the process of container terminal development and have academic and managerial implications. The strengthening of the competitiveness of Vietnamese container ports and ICDs could affect the competing Southeast Asian neighbors by facilitating the port of more shipping companies.

Regional Change and Location of Industrial Complex: A Case of Yeochon National Industrial Complex of Korea (공업단지의 입지와 지역변화에 관한 연구: 여천산단을 사례로)

  • 이정록
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.137-155
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    • 2002
  • The purpose of this study is concerned with the relationship between the location of industrial complex and regional changes. Yeochon National Industrial Complex(YNIC) was dedicated as an industrial site in 1967 according to a part of the Korean government's plan of developing for heavey chemical industry. Yeochun city has been changed with location and establishment of YNIC since 1969. The establishment of YNIC have influence upon the increase of population and employment, urban development, and growth of regional economy within research areas including of Yeochun city, Yeochun county, and Yeosu city. In addition, with the establishment of YNIC, the regional economical structure was progressed from farm and fishery oriented sector to manufacturing oriented sector, thus the petrochemical business related companies hold a majority among regional manufacturing structure. We used the shift-share analysis and regional growth rate differential analysis in order to examine the characteristics revealed in the transformation of employment and industrial structure. The petrochemical related manufacturing and construction industries provided a great influence on the growth of regional employment.

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