• Title/Summary/Keyword: red tide prediction

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Marine Disasters Prediction System Model Using Marine Environment Monitoring (해양환경 모니터링을 이용한 해양재해 예측 시스템 모델)

  • Park, Sun;Lee, Seong Ro
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.38C no.3
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    • pp.263-270
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    • 2013
  • Recently, the prediction and analysis technology of marine environment are actively being studied since the ocean resources in the world is taken notice. The prediction of marine disaster by automatic collecting marine environment data and analyzing the collected data can contribute to minimized the damages with respect to marine pollution of oil spill and fisheries damage by red tide blooms and marine environment upsets. However the studies of the marine environment monitoring and analysis system are limited in South Korea. In this paper, we study the marine disasters prediction system model to analyze collection marine information of out sea and near sea. This paper proposes the models for the marine disasters prediction system as communication system model, a marine environment data monitoring system model, prediction and analyzing system model, and situations propagation system model. The red tide prediction model and summarizing and analyzing model is proposed for prediction and analyzing system model.

Experimental Performance Comparison for Prediction of Red Tide Phenomenon (적조현상의 실험적 예측성능 비교)

  • Heo, Won-Ji;Won, Jae-Kang;Jung, Yong-Gyu
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea CI
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    • v.49 no.2
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2012
  • In recent years global climate change of hurricanes and torrential rains are going to significantly, that increase damages to property and human life. The disasters have been several claimed in every field. In future, climate changes blowing are keen to strike released to the world like in several movies. Reducing the damage of long-term weather phenomena are emerging with predicting changes in weather. In this study, it is shown how to predict the red tide phenomenon with multiple linear regression analysis and artificial neural network techniques. The red tide phenomenon causing risk could be reduced by filtering sensor data which are transmitted and forecasted in real time. It could be ubiquitous driven custom marine information service system, and forecasting techniques to use throughout the meteorological disasters to minimize damage.

The Prediction of Red Tides in Jinhae Bay using a Discriminant Function (판별함수에 의한 진해만 적조예측)

  • 이문옥;백상호
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.8-19
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    • 1998
  • The dicriminant function was introduced to understand the cause and establish the prediction method of red tides occurring In Jinhae Bay. Korea. Two sea re91ons of Masan and Haengam Bays and Dang- dong and Wonmun Bays had different types of causes and patterns for red tides. In Masan and Haengam Bays, the red tides concentrically occurred during June and September. For example, in .lune the red tides occurred from physical and meteorological factors, which are related to the stratification and the increase in planktons. However in August the red tides occurred from the water quality environment, based on these conditoins. Futhermore, in September the red tides were caused by the balance between the meteorological and water quality environmental factors. In contrast to those, In Dangdong and Won-mun Bays, the red tides mainly occurred during July and October and the frequency of occurrence was not as much as Masan and Haengam Bays. Especially, in August and September most meteorological and physical factors or water quality environmental factors appeared to contribute to the occurrence of red tides. This indicates that red tides do not easily occur as they are controlled by various environmental factors particularly in these regions The discriminant functions were applied to predict red tides which they were actually occurred In Masan and Haengam Bays in June. The results showed that they were successful for the prediction of red tide at Haengam Bay but not at Masan Bay. The reason for their discrepancy in Masan Bay could have come from using a slight higher value of pH or COD in May, instead of its value in June.

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Optimal Growth Model of the Cochlodinium Polykrikoides (Cochlodinium Polykrikoides 최적 성장모형)

  • Cho, Hong-Yeon;Cho, Beom Jun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.217-224
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    • 2014
  • Cochlodinium polykrikoides is a typical harmful algal species which generates the red-tide in the coastal zone, southern Korea. Accurate algal growth model can be established and then the prediction of the red-tide occurrence using this model is possible if the information on the optimal growth model parameters are available because it is directly related between the red-tide occurrence and the rapid algal bloom. However, the limitation factors on the algal growth, such as light intensity, water temperature, salinity, and nutrient concentrations, are so diverse and also the limitation function types are diverse. Thus, the study on the algal growth model development using the available laboratory data set on the growth rate change due to the limitation factors are relatively very poor in the perspective of the model. In this study, the growth model on the C. polykrikoides are developed and suggested as the optimal model which can be used as the element model in the red-tide or ecological models. The optimal parameter estimation and an error analysis are carried out using the available previous research results and data sets. This model can be used for the difference analysis between the lab. condition and in-situ state because it is an optimal model for the lab. condition. The parameter values and ranges also can be used for the model calibration and validation using the in-situ monitoring environmental and algal bloom data sets.

The numerical simulation on variation of phytoplankton maximum region in the estuary of Nakdong river -II. The numerical simulation on variation of phytoplankton maximum region- (낙동강 하구지역의 식물플랑크톤 극대역 변동에 관한 수직시뮬레이션 -II. 식물플랑크톤 극대역 변동의 수치시뮬레이션-)

  • 이대인
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.375-384
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    • 2000
  • It is very important to interprete and simulate the variation of phytoplankton maximum region for the prediction and control of red tide. This study was composed of two parts first the hydrodynamic simulation such as residual current and salinity diffusion and second the ecological simulation such as phytoplankton distribution according to freshwater discharge and pollutant loads. Without the Nakdong river discharge residual current was stagnated in inner side of this estuary and surface distribution of salinity was over 25psu. On the contrary with summer mean discharge freshwater stretched very far outward and some waters flowed into Chinhae Bay through the Kadok channel and low salinity extended over coastal sea and salinity front occurred. From the result of contributed physical process to phytioplankton biomass the accumulation was occurred at the west part of this estuary and the Kadok channel with the Nakdong river discharge. When more increased input discharge the accumulation band was transported to outer side of this estuary. The frequently outbreak of red tide in this area is caused by accumulation of physical processes. The phytoplankton maximum region located inner side of this estuary without the Nakdong river discharge and with mean discharge of winter but it was moved to outer side when mean discharge of the Nakdong river was increased. The variation of input concentration from the land loads was not largely influenced on phytoplankton biomass and location of maximum region. When discharge was increased phytoplankton maximum region was transferred to inner side of the Kadok channel. ON the other hand when discharge was decreased phytoplankton maximum region was transferred to inner side of this estuary and chlorophyll a contents increased to over 20$\mu\textrm{g}$/L Therefore if any other conditions are favorable for growth of phytoplankton. decreas of discharge causes to increase of possibility of red tide outbreak.

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A Study on Realizing the GUI Based Ocean Pollutant Information Simulator I (GUI 기반 해양오염원 정보제공 SIMULAIOR 구현에 관한 연구 I)

  • Rho J. H.;Yoon S. H.;Kim M. H.;Yoon B. S.
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.23-27
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    • 2002
  • Ocean pollution like as oil spill and red tide have occurred considerable and executing clean-up them. Rapid prediction of polluting area is necessary that efficiency clean-up. In this study, develop the program that clean-up worker could easy predict polluted area. This paper is introduced configuration and contents of ODM(oil diffusion modelling) which constructed with GUI(Graphic User Interface) system. ODM is consisted with pre, post and main process, and constructed on window process. So, clean-up worker easy operating program and confirm the result. Studying this program, the distribution of ocean pollutant and phase of ocean movement is shown without difficulty on a computer.

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Growth rates and nitrate uptake of co-occurring red-tide dinoflagellates Alexandrium affine and A. fraterculus as a function of nitrate concentration under light-dark and continuous light conditions

  • Lee, Kyung Ha;Jeong, Hae Jin;Kang, Hee Chang;Ok, Jin Hee;You, Ji Hyun;Park, Sang Ah
    • ALGAE
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.237-251
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    • 2019
  • The dinoflagellate genus Alexandrium is known to often form harmful algal blooms causing human illness and large-scale mortality of marine organisms. Therefore, the population dynamics of Alexandrium species are of primary concern to scientists and aquaculture farmers. The growth rate of the Alexandrium species is the most important parameter in prediction models and nutrient conditions are critical parameters affecting the growth of phototrophic species. In Korean coastal waters, Alexandrium affine and Alexandrium fraterculus, of similar sizes, often form red-tide patches together. Thus, to understand bloom dynamics of A. affine and A. fraterculus, growth rates and nitrate uptake of each species as a function of nitrate ($NO_3$) concentration at $100{\mu}mol\;photons\;m^{-2}s^{-1}$ under 14-h light : 10-h dark and continuous light conditions were determined using a nutrient repletion method. With increasing $NO_3$ concentration, growth rates and $NO_3$ uptake of A. affine or A. fraterculus increased, but became saturated. Under light : dark conditions, the maximum growth rates of A. affine and A. fraterculus were 0.45 and $0.42d^{-1}$, respectively. However, under continuous light conditions, the maximum growth rate of A. affine slightly increased to $0.46d^{-1}$, but that of A. fraterculus largely decreased. Furthermore, the maximum nitrate uptake of A. affine and A. fraterculus under light : dark conditions were 12.9 and $30.1pM\;cell^{-1}d^{-1}$, respectively. The maximum nitrate uptake of A. affine under continuous light conditions was $16.4pM\;cell^{-1}d^{-1}$. Thus, A. affine and A. fraterculus have similar maximum growth rates at the given $NO_3$ concentration ranges, but they have different maximum nitrate uptake rates. A. affine may have a higher conversion rate of $NO_3$ to body nitrogen than A. fraterculus. Moreover, a longer exposure time to the light may confer an advantage to A. affine over A. fraterculus.

Study on monitoring and prediction for the occurrence of red tide in the middle coastal area in the South Sea of Korea (원격탐사를 이용한 한국 남해 중부해역에서의 적조 예찰 연구 1. 적조발생과 기상인자간의 상관성 연구)

  • 윤홍주;김승철;윤양호;김상우
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2002.05a
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    • pp.333-337
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    • 2002
  • 남해 중부해역에서 적조발생과 관련해서 기상인자와의 상관성을 요약하면 다음과 같다. 적조 다발 월 비교에서 강수량이 적조 발생과 밀접한 상관을 보였다. 즉, 강수량은 육지 및 연안지역의 영양염류를 해역으로 유입시킴으로서 적조발생의 영양 공급원으로 중요한 역할을 한다. 이때의 기온은 대체로 적조 다발철인 여름과 초가을에 높은 값을 유지했다. 그러나 일조시수나 바람은 적조발생에 직접적인 연관성을 가지지는 않은 것으로 사료된다.

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Study on monitoring and prediction for the occurrence of red tide in the middle coastal area in the South Sea of Korea II: (원격탐사를 이용한 한국 남해 중부해역에서의 적조 예찰 연구 II: 적조발생과 해양인자간의 상관성 연구)

  • 윤홍주;김승철;김영섭;김상우
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2002.11a
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    • pp.505-509
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    • 2002
  • 남해 중부해역에서 적조발생과 관련해서 적조 다발월인 여름과 초가을에 기온과 마찬가지로 높은 수온을 유지한다. 또한 많은 강수량에 의하여 부유물질 및 영양염류가 증가하고 염분이 대체로 떨어지는 것을 알 수 있었다. 이때 적조의 bloom으로 인하여 대표적인 영양염류인 질소와 인의 값이 떨어진다. 그리고 적조생물의 사후 미생물 분해 작용이 활발하여 산소의 소모가 증가하여 용존산소가 급격히 떨어지고 화학적산소요구량이 높게 나타나는 것을 알 수 있었다. 즉, 해양인자와의 상관성은 적조의 발생조건인 수온이 적당하며 저염분과 부유물질, 클로로필, 질소, 인이 높게 나타났고 용존산소는 적조생물의 인해 낮게 나타났음을 알수 있었다.

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Enhancing of Red Tide Blooms Prediction using Ensemble Train (적조발생예측에 대한 통계학적 성능 향상 연구)

  • Kim, Wonju;Park, Sun;Cho, Jiu;Na, Yeonghwa;Yang, Huyeol;Lee, Seong Ro
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2012.04a
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    • pp.1010-1011
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    • 2012
  • 적조란 유해조류의 일시적인 대 번식으로 바다를 적색으로 변화시키며 연안 환경 및 바다 생태계에 악영향뿐만 아니라 양식장의 어패류를 집단 폐사 시키는 현상이다. 적조에 의한 양식어업의 피해는 매년 발생하고 있으며 매년 적조방제에 많은 비용을 소비하고 있다. 이 때문에 적조 발생을 미리 예측할 수 있으면 적조에 대한 피해 및 방재 비용을 최소화 시킬 수 있다. 본 논문은 앙상블 학습은 이용한 적조발생 예측 방법을 제안한다. 제안방법은 앙상블 학습의 bagging과 boosting 방법을 이용하여서 적조를 예측의 성능을 향상시킨다. 실험결과 제안방법은 단일 분류기에 비하여서 더 좋은 적조 발생 예측 성능을 보였다.