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Optimal Growth Model of the Cochlodinium Polykrikoides

Cochlodinium Polykrikoides 최적 성장모형

  • Cho, Hong-Yeon (Marine Environment and Conservation Research Division, Korea Institute of Ocean Science and Technology) ;
  • Cho, Beom Jun (Marine Environment and Conservation Research Division, Korea Institute of Ocean Science and Technology)
  • 조홍연 (한국해양과학기술원 해양환경보전연구부) ;
  • 조범준 (한국해양과학기술원 해양환경보전연구부)
  • Received : 2014.07.28
  • Accepted : 2014.08.26
  • Published : 2014.08.30

Abstract

Cochlodinium polykrikoides is a typical harmful algal species which generates the red-tide in the coastal zone, southern Korea. Accurate algal growth model can be established and then the prediction of the red-tide occurrence using this model is possible if the information on the optimal growth model parameters are available because it is directly related between the red-tide occurrence and the rapid algal bloom. However, the limitation factors on the algal growth, such as light intensity, water temperature, salinity, and nutrient concentrations, are so diverse and also the limitation function types are diverse. Thus, the study on the algal growth model development using the available laboratory data set on the growth rate change due to the limitation factors are relatively very poor in the perspective of the model. In this study, the growth model on the C. polykrikoides are developed and suggested as the optimal model which can be used as the element model in the red-tide or ecological models. The optimal parameter estimation and an error analysis are carried out using the available previous research results and data sets. This model can be used for the difference analysis between the lab. condition and in-situ state because it is an optimal model for the lab. condition. The parameter values and ranges also can be used for the model calibration and validation using the in-situ monitoring environmental and algal bloom data sets.

Cochlodinium polykrikoides 적조생물은 우리나라 연안에서 가장 빈번하게 적조를 유발하는 생물이다. 적조는 식물플랑크톤의 급격한 번식(algal bloom)으로 발생하기 때문에 적조를 유발하는 적조생물에 대한 최적의 성장조건 정보가 가용하다면 정확한 적조성장 모형 구성이 가능하며, 적조 발생예측에도 활용할 수 있다. 그러나 적조 성장에 영향을 미치는 인자가 빛, 수온, 염분, 영양염류 농도 등으로 다양하고, 적조성장을 제어하는 함수형태가 다양하기 때문에 실험조건의 최적 성장조건에 대한 연구 성과를 활용하여 적조 수치모형에서 활용할 수 있는 최적 성장모형을 구성한 연구는 매우 미흡한 수준이다. 본 연구에서는 우리나라의 대표적인 적조생물에 해당하는 Cochlodinium polykrikoides 적조생물의 최적 성장조건에 관한 연구 자료를 이용하여 다양한 함수형태에 따른 최적 매개변수 추정 및 오차비교 분석과정을 거쳐 적조 모형에서 바로 활용할 수 있는 최적 성장모형을 개발 제시하였다. 개발된 성장모형은 실험조건에서 추정된 최적 성장모형이기 때문에 현장자료를 이용한 모형의 보정 및 검정과정에서 본 연구결과로 제시된 최적 함수형태, 최적 매개변수 및 보정 매개변수의 범위 등을 기본 정보로 활용할 수 있으며, 실험조건과 현장조건의 차이 평가에도 활용할 수 있다.

Keywords

References

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  1. Global parameter estimation of the Cochlodinium polykrikoides model using bioassay data vol.35, pp.2, 2016, https://doi.org/10.1007/s13131-016-0806-0