• Title/Summary/Keyword: public transportation demand model

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An Analysis of Demand Elasticity to Facilitate the Use of Public Transportation in the Administrative City (행정중심복합도시 대중교통 이용활성화를 위한 수요탄력성 분석)

  • Kim, Tae-Gyun;Park, Ji-Eun;Lee, Yun-Sang
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.9-18
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    • 2018
  • Administrative city has been developed step by step aiming to being a public transport-oriented new city. In spite of its primary goal, administrative city is dominated by car-oriented tansportaion system because the supply of public transportation has not been adequately and timely performed. In this study, we investigate the current situation related to (public) transportation use in administrative city. Also, we examine the issues of traffic system through a survey on residents' consciousness about public transportation use. Additionally, the analysis of demand elasticity according to the change of the conditions of using public transportation and passenger car is conducted for passenger car users. As a result, it is analyzed that as the neighborhood is more stabilized after the completion of development the resistance to the abandonment of passenger car is higher when the tide demand control method is introduced. Therefore, it is concluded that pre-emptive public transportation supply and the management of car demand management are necessary for the activation of public transportation in Administrative city.

Analysis of Models and Contributions of Demand Responsive Transit(DRT) for Public Transportation Service Weak Areas (지방자치단체의 대중교통 소외지역 수요응답형 교통수단(DRT) 제도 도입에 따른 모형 및 기여도 분석)

  • Ji, Minkyung;Kim, Eungcheol
    • Journal of Urban Science
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2018
  • In this study, Analysis of DRT model and contribustion based on the case of local governments adopting the Demand Responsive Transit(DRT) in order to provide transportation in public transportation service weak area. Based on the case of Yeoju Area, the contribution of the DRT was analyzed. The DRT model was established as a fixed and call type model with taxi and bus transportation. Based on the results of the happy taxi service in Yeoju Area in 2016, the contribution of DRT was analyzed. According to the happy taxi performance of Yeoju city, it was introduced to 27 villages, and operated 4,188 times. And 9,111 people used it and Yeoju Area supported about 53 million Won. The contribution of local governments was analyzed in terms of local government, users, and social aspects. On local government aspects, we analyzed the budget cuts and complaints resolution. On the user aspects, we analyzed waiting time reduction, walking time reduction, travel time reduction, comfort, punctuality, and stability. On social aspects, we analyzed taxi and regional economy activation, and convenience of mobility.

A Study of Mode Choice Analysis of Blind Spot Areas for Public Transportation in Four Metropolitan Cities (대도시권 대중교통 사각지대 통행자들의 수단선택 모형 개발 - 급행버스 노선 도입에 따른 선호의식 조사를 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Hwang Bae
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.32 no.6D
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    • pp.565-569
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    • 2012
  • This study selected blind spot areas for public transportation in four metropolitan cities including Busan, Daegue, Gwangju, and Daejeon. Then this study developed a nested logit model and analyzed the changes of mode choice behaviors after adopting rapid transit system using stated preference(SP) survey. As the study results, blind spot areas have more potential public transportation demand and tendency to shift to public transportation from autos than built-up areas. This study results can be utilized to evaluate demand changes for new rapid transit system in a circular expressway and an arterial highway connecting CBD and surrounding areas. The study results also can be utilized to analyze the potential public transportation demand in the surrounding areas.

The Effects of COVID-19 on Public Transportation Demand: The Case of Busan Metropolitan City (코로나19의 확산이 대중교통 수요변화에 미치는 영향요인 분석 - 부산광역시를 중심으로 -)

  • Minjeong KIM;Hoe Kyoung KIM
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2023
  • COVID-19 has caused the dramatic reduction of public transportation demand in Busan Metropolitan City, that is, daily public transportation trips in 2020 dropped by approximately 920,000 trips from 2019 based on the public transportation card data. This study investigated the underlying factors affecting the public transportation demand discrepancy between before and after COVID-19 at the primary administration unit(i.e., Eup, Myeon, Dong) level with Ordered Logistic Regression model. Finding of this study is as follows. The primary administration units characterized with high ratio of welfare recipients, industrial area, and day boarders were heavily dependent on public transit, indicating little change in public transportation demand. On the other hands, the primary administration units which have high ratio of urban rail transit uses experienced significant reduction of public transportation demand. In conclusion, transportation policies taken under emergent situation such as COVID-19 need to take into account the region-based characteristics rather than unilateral ones.

A Model Design on the Korean AGT System (한국형 경량 전철 모델 연구)

  • 최출헌;한석윤;신학수
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2001.05a
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    • pp.114-122
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    • 2001
  • As of these, the exterior design of the public transportation systems, especially electric multiple, tends to mimic advanced country's design rather than design of car shape reflecting cultural and spiritual background. However, in the new transportation system, the design which satisfies the transportation demand must be changed into the design which creates transportation demand. In this respect, this research focuses on the factor's embodiment which is perceived by Korean passenger sympathetic to cultural and spiritual needs. The results of this research are Korean AGT design on rubber tire AGT, steel wheel AGT, LM AGT system and environmental design related to AGT systems.

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An Empirical Analysis on Public Transportation Demand and TOD Design Factors in Seoul subway adjacent area (서울시 역세권의 TOD환경과 대중교통이용수요 관계분석)

  • Moon, Young-Il;Rho, Jeong-Hyun
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.211-220
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    • 2011
  • TOD(Transit Oriented Development) has recently been active, which presents that TOD planning elements should be comprehensively taken into consideration in order to enhance domestic transit ridership by changing environments in rail station areas and an empirical analysis on the type of rail station areas and transportation demand should be a prerequisite for usage of future development planning. This study aims to grasp a variety of TOD of influence factors in Seoul rail station area and to perform analysis to identify relationship between public transportation demand and these TOD design factors. To make it come true, we gathered data with respect to Density, Diversity, and Accessibility as representative TOD planning elements and carried out factorial and regression analysis. Consequently, we drew 7 influence factors base on factorial analysis: Factor 1(Diversity/ -Use Mix(LUM)), Factor 2(Density/development density), Factor 3(Accessibility/public transportation facility supply), Factor 4(Design/street design), Factor 5(Green/access mode (pedestrian, bike), Factor 6(Design/subway size), Factor 7(Accessibility/Public transit operation) As the result of model development by using factorial and regression analysis, positive influence factors on passenger flow in rail station area are Factor 1(Diversity : Land-Use Mix), Factor 3(Accessibility : public transportation facility supply), Factor 2(Density : development density), Factor 5(Design/ access mode) and Factor 6(subway size) Next, negative influence factor on passenger flow in rail station area shows Factor 7(Accessibility/Public transit operation) as the most influential factor. This is because the growth of service interval of linked subway and bus leads to reduced demand.

Development of BPR Functions with Truck Traffic Impacts for Network Assignment (노선배정시 트럭 교통량을 고려한 BPR 함수 개발)

  • Yun, Seong-Soon;Yun, Dae-Sic
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.22 no.4 s.75
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    • pp.117-134
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    • 2004
  • Truck traffic accounts for a substantial fraction of the traffic stream in many regions and is often the source of localized traffic congestion, potential parking and safety problems. Truck trips tend to be ignored or treated superficially in travel demand models. It reduces the effectiveness and accuracy of travel demand forecasting and may result in misguided transportation policy and project decisions. This paper presents the development of speed-flow relationships with truck impacts based on CORSIM simulation results in order to enhance travel demand model by incorporating truck trips. The traditional BPR(Bureau of Public Road) function representing the speed-flow relationships for roadway facilities is modified to specifically include the impacts of truck traffics. A number of new speed-flow functions have been developed based on CORSIM simulation results for freeways and urban arterials.

A Nonlinear Programming Model for Evaluating Public Transit Fare Structure (비선형설계모형을 이용한 대중교통요금구조평가)

  • 조중래
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.17-27
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    • 1989
  • A nonlinear programming model for evaluating public transit fare system is proposed. The model finds transit fare level and the structure that maximizes gross fare-box revenue subject to constraints on minimum ridership and the form of the fare equations. It is assumed that the demand for transit is a function of fare and its own-fare elasticity. It is assumed that the demand for transit is a function of fare and its own-fare elasticity. It is also assumed that the conditions including fare of the other modes are unchanged ; i.e., partial equilibrium. Empirical study has been performed for the case of Seoul subway system. This study includes an analysis of fare structure ; flat system and distance-based fare system. Sensitivity and comperative static analysis for elasticity has been also demonstrated.

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Development of Demand Forecasting Model for Public Bicycles in Seoul Using GRU (GRU 기법을 활용한 서울시 공공자전거 수요예측 모델 개발)

  • Lee, Seung-Woon;Kwahk, Kee-Young
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.1-25
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    • 2022
  • After the first Covid-19 confirmed case occurred in Korea in January 2020, interest in personal transportation such as public bicycles not public transportation such as buses and subways, increased. The demand for 'Ddareungi', a public bicycle operated by the Seoul Metropolitan Government, has also increased. In this study, a demand prediction model of a GRU(Gated Recurrent Unit) was presented based on the rental history of public bicycles by time zone(2019~2021) in Seoul. The usefulness of the GRU method presented in this study was verified based on the rental history of Around Exit 1 of Yeouido, Yeongdengpo-gu, Seoul. In particular, it was compared and analyzed with multiple linear regression models and recurrent neural network models under the same conditions. In addition, when developing the model, in addition to weather factors, the Seoul living population was used as a variable and verified. MAE and RMSE were used as performance indicators for the model, and through this, the usefulness of the GRU model proposed in this study was presented. As a result of this study, the proposed GRU model showed higher prediction accuracy than the traditional multi-linear regression model and the LSTM model and Conv-LSTM model, which have recently been in the spotlight. Also the GRU model was faster than the LSTM model and the Conv-LSTM model. Through this study, it will be possible to help solve the problem of relocation in the future by predicting the demand for public bicycles in Seoul more quickly and accurately.

An Empirical Analysis of Influencing Factors toward Public Transportation Demand Considering Land Use Type Seoul Subway Station Area in Seoul (토지이용유형별 서울시 역세권 대중교통 이용수요 영향인자 실증분석)

  • Oh, Young Taek;Kim, Tae Ho;Park, Je Jin;Rho, Jeong Hyun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.4D
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    • pp.467-472
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    • 2009
  • Even if Seoul City administration improved its public transportation service, transportation model share in seoul has not been increased. Subway user is also decreasing. Therefore, policy transition into TOD(Transit Oriented Development) should be applied in oder to enhance subway modal share. This paper develops a influencing model by using variables of transportation demand and supply. In addition, it provides major influencing factors for users in subway station area and level of transportation supply based on the analysis results. The results show that: first, cluster analysis presents that traffic pattern is proved to be different according to land use characteristics(residence, non-residence); second, main transportation variables such as transferring distance, the number of bus stop, the number of short distant bus lines, and the number of bicycle are more supplied in residential area compared to non-residential areas; third, the number of lines, bus dispatching interval, operating time, and distance between subway stations are more supplied in non-residential areas than residential areas. All in all, the results will be useful for providing priority of considerations in case of decision-making on public transportation policy in subway station area.