• Title/Summary/Keyword: prior and posterior probabilities

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Noninformative Priors for the Stress-Strength Reliability in the Generalized Exponential Distributions

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.467-475
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    • 2011
  • This paper develops the noninformative priors for the stress-strength reliability from one parameter generalized exponential distributions. When this reliability is a parameter of interest, we develop the first, second order matching priors, reference priors in its order of importance in parameters and Jeffreys' prior. We reveal that these probability matching priors are not the alternative coverage probability matching prior or a highest posterior density matching prior, a cumulative distribution function matching prior. In addition, we reveal that the one-at-a-time reference prior and Jeffreys' prior are actually a second order matching prior. We show that the proposed reference prior matches the target coverage probabilities in a frequentist sense through a simulation study and a provided example.

BAYESIAN INFERENCE FOR FIELLER-CREASY PROBLEM USING UNBALANCED DATA

  • Lee, Woo-Dong;Kim, Dal-Ho;Kang, Sang-Gil
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.489-500
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we consider Bayesian approach to the Fieller-Creasy problem using noninformative priors. Specifically we extend the results of Yin and Ghosh (2000) to the unbalanced case. We develop some noninformative priors such as the first and second order matching priors and reference priors. Also we prove the posterior propriety under the derived noninformative priors. We compare these priors in light of how accurately the coverage probabilities of Bayesian credible intervals match the corresponding frequentist coverage probabilities.

Note on Properties of Noninformative Priors in the One-Way Random Effect Model

  • Kang, Sang Gil;Kim, Dal Ho;Cho, Jang Sik
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.835-844
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    • 2002
  • For the one-way random model when the ratio of the variance components is of interest, Bayesian analysis is often appropriate. In this paper, we develop the noninformative priors for the ratio of the variance components under the balanced one-way random effect model. We reveal that the second order matching prior matches alternative coverage probabilities up to the second order (Mukerjee and Reid, 1999) and is a HPD(Highest Posterior Density) matching prior. It turns out that among all of the reference priors, the only one reference prior (one-at-a-time reference prior) satisfies a second order matching criterion. Finally we show that one-at-a-time reference prior produces confidence sets with expected length shorter than the other reference priors and Cox and Reid (1987) adjustment.

Noninformative priors for common scale parameter in the regular Pareto distributions

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Kim, Yong-Ku
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.353-363
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, we introduce the noninformative priors such as the matching priors and the reference priors for the common scale parameter in the Pareto distributions. It turns out that the posterior distribution under the reference priors is not proper, and Jeffreys' prior is not a matching prior. It is shown that the proposed first order prior matches the target coverage probabilities in a frequentist sense through simulation study.

Real-Time Motion Estimation Algorithm for Mobile Surveillance Robot (모바일 감시 로봇을 위한 실시간 움직임 추정 알고리즘)

  • Han, Cheol-Hoon;Sim, Kwee-Bo
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.311-316
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    • 2009
  • This paper presents the motion estimation algorithm on real-time for mobile surveillance robot using particle filter. the particle filter that based on the monte carlo's sampling method, use bayesian conditional probability model which having prior distribution probability and posterior distribution probability. However, the initial probability density was set to define randomly in the most of particle filter. In this paper, we find first the initial probability density using Sum of Absolute Difference(SAD). and we applied it in the partical filter. In result, more robust real-time estimation and tracking system on the randomly moving object was realized in the mobile surveillance robot environments.

Reference priors for nonregular Pareto distribution

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.819-826
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we develop the reference priors for the scale and shape parameters in the nonregular Pareto distribution. We derive the reference priors as noninformative priors and prove the propriety of joint posterior distribution under the general priors including reference priors in the order of inferential importance. Through the simulation study, we compare the reference priors with respect to coverage probabilities of parameter of interest in a frequentist sense.

Noninformative priors for the common location parameter in half-t distributions

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.1327-1335
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we want to develop objective priors for the common location parameter in two half-t distributions with unequal scale parameters. The half-t distribution is a non-regular class of distribution. One can not develop the reference prior by using the algorithm of Berger of Bernardo (1989). Specially, we derive the reference priors and prove the propriety of joint posterior distribution under the developed priors. Through the simulation study, we show that the proposed reference prior matches the target coverage probabilities in a frequentist sense.

Dirichlet Process Mixtures of Linear Mixed Regressions

  • Kyung, Minjung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.625-637
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    • 2015
  • We develop a Bayesian clustering procedure based on a Dirichlet process prior with cluster specific random effects. Gibbs sampling of a normal mixture of linear mixed regressions with a Dirichlet process was implemented to calculate posterior probabilities when the number of clusters was unknown. Our approach (unlike its counterparts) provides simultaneous partitioning and parameter estimation with the computation of the classification probabilities. A Monte Carlo study of curve estimation results showed that the model was useful for function estimation. We find that the proposed Dirichlet process mixture model with cluster specific random effects detects clusters sensitively by combining vague edges into different clusters. Examples are given to show how these models perform on real data.

Bayesian Test of Quasi-Independence in a Sparse Two-Way Contingency Table

  • Kwak, Sang-Gyu;Kim, Dal-Ho
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.495-500
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    • 2012
  • We consider a Bayesian test of independence in a two-way contingency table that has some zero cells. To do this, we take a three-stage hierarchical Bayesian model under each hypothesis. For prior, we use Dirichlet density to model the marginal cell and each cell probabilities. Our method does not require complicated computation such as a Metropolis-Hastings algorithm to draw samples from each posterior density of parameters. We draw samples using a Gibbs sampler with a grid method. For complicated posterior formulas, we apply the Monte-Carlo integration and the sampling important resampling algorithm. We compare the values of the Bayes factor with the results of a chi-square test and the likelihood ratio test.

Bayesian analysis of random partition models with Laplace distribution

  • Kyung, Minjung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.457-480
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    • 2017
  • We develop a random partition procedure based on a Dirichlet process prior with Laplace distribution. Gibbs sampling of a Laplace mixture of linear mixed regressions with a Dirichlet process is implemented as a random partition model when the number of clusters is unknown. Our approach provides simultaneous partitioning and parameter estimation with the computation of classification probabilities, unlike its counterparts. A full Gibbs-sampling algorithm is developed for an efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo posterior computation. The proposed method is illustrated with simulated data and one real data of the energy efficiency of Tsanas and Xifara (Energy and Buildings, 49, 560-567, 2012).