• Title/Summary/Keyword: predictive model

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Estimation Model of Wind speed Based on Time series Analysis (시계열 자료 분석기법에 의한 풍속 예측 연구)

  • Kim, Keon-Hoon;Jung, Young-Seok;Ju, Young-Chul
    • 한국태양에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.288-293
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    • 2008
  • A predictive model of wind speed in the wind farm has very important meanings. This paper presents an estimation model of wind speed based on time series analysis using the observed wind data at Hangyeong Wind Farm in Jeju island, and verification of the predictive model. In case of Hangyeong Wind Farm and Haengwon Wind Farm, The ARIMA(Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) predictive model was appropriate, and the wind speed estimation model was developed by means of parametric estimation using Maximum likelihood Estimation.

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A Model Predictive Tracking Control Algorithm of Autonomous Truck Based on Object State Estimation Using Extended Kalman Filter (확장 칼만 필터를 이용한 대상 상태 추정 기반 자율주행 대차의 모델 예측 추종 제어 알고리즘)

  • Song, Taejun;Lee, Hyewon;Oh, Kwangseok
    • Journal of Drive and Control
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.22-29
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    • 2019
  • This study presented a model predictive tracking control algorithm of autonomous truck based on object state estimation using extended Kalman filter. To design the model, the 1-layer laser scanner was used to estimate position and velocity of the object using extended Kalman filter. Based on these estimations, the desired linear path for object tracking was computed. The lateral and yaw angle errors were computed using the computed linear path and relative positions of the truck. The computed errors were used in the model predictive control algorithm to compute the optimal steering angle for object tracking. The performance evaluation was conducted on Matlab/Simulink environments using planar truck model and actual point data obtained from laser scanner. The evaluation results showed that the tracking control algorithm developed in this study can track the object reasonably based on the model predictive control algorithm based on the estimated states.

Control of Two-Link Manipulator Via Feedback Linearization and Constrained Model Based Predictive Control

  • Son, Won-Kee;Park, Jin-Young;Ryu, Hee-Seb;Kwon, Oh-Kyu
    • Transactions on Control, Automation and Systems Engineering
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    • v.2 no.4
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    • pp.221-227
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    • 2000
  • This paper combines the constrained model predictive control with the feedback linearization to solve a nonlinear system control problem with input constraints. The combined approach consists of two steps: Firstly, the nonlinear model is linearized by the feedback linearization. Secondly, based on the linearized model, the constrained model predictive controller is designed taking input constraints into consideration. The proposed controller is applied to two link robot system, and tracking performances of the controller are investigated via some simulations, where the comparisons are done for the cases of unconstrained, constrained input in feedback linearization.

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Integrated Control of Torque Vectoring and Rear Wheel Steering Using Model Predictive Control (모델 예측 제어 기법을 이용한 토크벡터링과 후륜조향 통합 제어)

  • Hyunsoo, Cha;Jayu, Kim;Kyongsu, Yi
    • Journal of Auto-vehicle Safety Association
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.53-59
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    • 2022
  • This paper describes an integrated control of torque vectoring and rear wheel steering using model predictive control. The control objective is to minimize the yaw rate and body side slip angle errors with chattering alleviation. The proposed model predictive controller is devised using a linear parameter-varying (LPV) vehicle model with real time estimation of the varying model parameters. The proposed controller has been investigated via computer simulations. In the simulation results, the performance of the proposed controller has been compared with uncontrolled cases. The simulation results show that the proposed algorithm can improve the lateral stability and handling performance.

Simplified predictive control employing kalman filter

  • Shimizu, Hiroshi;Mori, Ryoichi
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1991.10b
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    • pp.1879-1882
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    • 1991
  • Kalman Filter application to model predictive control is discussed. Most of refinery and petrochemical processes contain uncertainties in their output. Simplified state estimation algorithm is merged to model predictive control to improve overall control accuracy.

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Neural model predictive control for nonlinear chemical processes (비선형 화학공정의 신경망 모델예측제어)

  • 송정준;박선원
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1992.10a
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    • pp.490-495
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    • 1992
  • A neural model predictive control strategy combining a neural network for plant identification and a nonlinear programming algorithm for solving nonlinear control problems is proposed. A constrained nonlinear optimization approach using successive quadratic programming cooperates with neural identification network is used to generate the optimum control law for the complicate continuous/batch chemical reactor systems that have inherent nonlinear dynamics. Based on our approach, we developed a neural model predictive controller(NMPC) which shows excellent performances on nonlinear, model-plant mismatch cases of chemical reactor systems.

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Nonlinear model predictive control of chemical reactors

  • Lee, Jongku;Park, Sunwon
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1992.10b
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    • pp.419-424
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    • 1992
  • A robust nonlinear predictive control strategy using a disturbance estimator is presented. The disturbance estimator is comprised of two parts: one is the disturbance model parameter adaptation and the other is future disturbance prediction. RLSM(recurrsive least square method) with a forgetting factor is used to de the uncertain distance model parameters and for the future disturbance prediction, future process outputs and inputs projected by the process model are used. The simulation results for chemical reactors indicate that a substantial improvement in nonlinear predictive control performance is possible using the disturbance estimator.

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Water consumption prediction based on machine learning methods and public data

  • Kesornsit, Witwisit;Sirisathitkul, Yaowarat
    • Advances in Computational Design
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.113-128
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    • 2022
  • Water consumption is strongly affected by numerous factors, such as population, climatic, geographic, and socio-economic factors. Therefore, the implementation of a reliable predictive model of water consumption pattern is challenging task. This study investigates the performance of predictive models based on multi-layer perceptron (MLP), multiple linear regression (MLR), and support vector regression (SVR). To understand the significant factors affecting water consumption, the stepwise regression (SW) procedure is used in MLR to obtain suitable variables. Then, this study also implements three predictive models based on these significant variables (e.g., SWMLR, SWMLP, and SWSVR). Annual data of water consumption in Thailand during 2006 - 2015 were compiled and categorized by provinces and distributors. By comparing the predictive performance of models with all variables, the results demonstrate that the MLP models outperformed the MLR and SVR models. As compared to the models with selected variables, the predictive capability of SWMLP was superior to SWMLR and SWSVR. Therefore, the SWMLP still provided satisfactory results with the minimum number of explanatory variables which in turn reduced the computation time and other resources required while performing the predictive task. It can be concluded that the MLP exhibited the best result and can be utilized as a reliable water demand predictive model for both of all variables and selected variables cases. These findings support important implications and serve as a feasible water consumption predictive model and can be used for water resources management to produce sufficient tap water to meet the demand in each province of Thailand.

Design of a Nuclear Reactor Controller Using a Model Predictive Control Method

  • Na, Man-Gyun;Jung, Dong-Won;Shin, Sun-Ho;Lee, Sun-Mi;Lee, Yoon-Joon;Jang, Jin-Wook;Lee, Ki-Bog
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • v.18 no.12
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    • pp.2080-2094
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    • 2004
  • A model predictive controller is designed to control thermal power in a nuclear reactor. The basic concept of the model predictive control is to solve an optimization problem for finite future time steps at current time, to implement only the first optimal control input among the solved control inputs, and to repeat the procedure at each subsequent instant. A controller design model used for designing the model predictive controller is estimated every time step by applying a recursive parameter estimation algorithm. A 3-dimensional nuclear reactor analysis code, MASTER that was developed by Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute (KAERI), was used to verify the proposed controller for a nuclear reactor. It was known that the nuclear power controlled by the proposed controller well tracks the desired power level and the desired axial power distribution.

Static Output Feedback Model Predictive Control for Wiener Models with Polytopic Uncertainty Descriptions

  • Kim, Sun-Jang;Lee, Sang-Moon;Kim, Sang-Un;Won, Sang-Chul
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.1435-1437
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, we proposed static output feedback model predictive control for Wiener models. We adopted polytopic uncertainty description of Wiener Model Predictive Control (WMPC) algorithms for considering output nonlinearities. Robust stability conditions have been presented under which the closed loop stability of static output feedback MPC is guaranteed. The proposed control law is determined from the static output feedback WMPC based on the current estimated state with explicit satisfaction of input constraints.

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