• Title/Summary/Keyword: prediction accuracy

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Utility of Structural Information to Predict Drug Clearance from in Vitro Data

  • Lee, So-Young;Kim, Dong-Sup
    • Interdisciplinary Bio Central
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.3.1-3.4
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    • 2010
  • In the present research, we assessed the utility of the structural information of drugs for predicting human in vivo intrinsic clearance from in vitro intrinsic clearance data obtained by human hepatic microsome experiment. To compare with the observed intrinsic clearance, human intrinsic clearance values for 51 drugs were estimated by the classical methods using in vivo-in vitro scale-up and by the new methods using the in vitro experimental data and selected molecular descriptors of drugs by the forward selection technique together. The results showed that taking consideration of molecular descriptors into prediction from in vitro experimental data could improve the prediction accuracy. The in vitro experiment is very useful when the data can estimate in vivo data accurately since it can reduce the cost of drug development. Improvement of prediction accuracy in the present approach can enhance the utility of in vitro data.

Fatigue Growth Life Prediction for Collinear Multiple Surface Cracks (동일평면상에 존재하는 복수표면균열의 피로성장수명예측)

  • Lee, J.H.;Choy, Y.S.;Kim, Y.J.
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.17 no.7 s.94
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    • pp.1668-1677
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    • 1993
  • The objective of this paper is to develop a computational model for predicting the fatigue propagation of collinear multiple surface cracks under constant amplitude and variable amplitude loadings. After examining fatigue crack growth behavior for CT specimens and single surface crack specimens, empirical equations of(11) and(12) are proposed for the prediction of fatigue life in a multiple surface crack geometry. The accuracy of the proposed model is verified using a life prediction computer program. Several case studies were performed to check the accuracy of the proposed model and to verify the usefulness of the developed program. Good agreement is observed between the numerical results based on the proposed model and the published experimental data.

Enhance Health Risks Prediction Mechanism in the Cloud Using RT-TKRIBC Technique

  • Konduru, Venkateswara Raju;Bharamgoudra, Manjula R
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.166-174
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    • 2021
  • A large volume of patient data is generated from various devices used in healthcare applications. With increase in the volume of data generated in the healthcare industry, more wellness monitoring is required. A cloud-enabled analysis of healthcare data that predicts patient risk factors is required. Machine learning techniques have been developed to address these medical care problems. A novel technique called the radix-trie-based Tanimoto kernel regressive infomax boost classification (RT-TKRIBC) technique is introduced to analyze the heterogeneous health data in the cloud to predict the health risks and send alerts. The infomax boost ensemble technique improves the prediction accuracy by finding the maximum mutual information, thereby minimizing the mean square error. The performance evaluation of the proposed RT-TKRIBC technique is realized through extensive simulations in the cloud environment, which provides better prediction accuracy and less prediction time than those provided by the state-of-the-art methods.

Deep-learning based In-situ Monitoring and Prediction System for the Organic Light Emitting Diode

  • Park, Il-Hoo;Cho, Hyeran;Kim, Gyu-Tae
    • Journal of the Semiconductor & Display Technology
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.126-129
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    • 2020
  • We introduce a lifetime assessment technique using deep learning algorithm with complex electrical parameters such as resistivity, permittivity, impedance parameters as integrated indicators for predicting the degradation of the organic molecules. The evaluation system consists of fully automated in-situ measurement system and multiple layer perceptron learning system with five hidden layers and 1011 perceptra in each layer. Prediction accuracies are calculated and compared depending on the physical feature, learning hyperparameters. 62.5% of full time-series data are used for training and its prediction accuracy is estimated as r-square value of 0.99. Remaining 37.5% of the data are used for testing with prediction accuracy of 0.95. With k-fold cross-validation, the stability to the instantaneous changes in the measured data is also improved.

Performance Improvement of Prediction-Based Parallel Gate-Level Timing Simulation Using Prediction Accuracy Enhancement Strategy (예측정확도 향상 전략을 통한 예측기반 병렬 게이트수준 타이밍 시뮬레이션의 성능 개선)

  • Yang, Seiyang
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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    • v.5 no.12
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    • pp.439-446
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, an efficient prediction accuracy enhancement strategy is proposed for improving the performance of the prediction-based parallel event-driven gate-level timing simulation. The proposed new strategy adopts the static double prediction and the dynamic prediction for input and output values of local simulations. The double prediction utilizes another static prediction data for the secondary prediction once the first prediction fails, and the dynamic prediction tries to use the on-going simulation result accumulated dynamically during the actual parallel simulation execution as prediction data. Therefore, the communication overhead and synchronization overhead, which are the main bottleneck of parallel simulation, are maximally reduced. Throughout the proposed two prediction enhancement techniques, we have observed about 5x simulation performance improvement over the commercial parallel multi-core simulation for six test designs.

Branch Prediction Latency Hiding Scheme using Branch Pre-Prediction and Modified BTB (분기 선예측과 개선된 BTB 구조를 사용한 분기 예측 지연시간 은폐 기법)

  • Kim, Ju-Hwan;Kwak, Jong-Wook;Jhon, Chu-Shik
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.14 no.10
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2009
  • Precise branch predictor has a profound impact on system performance in modern processor architectures. Recent works show that prediction latency as well as prediction accuracy has a critical impact on overall system performance as well. However, prediction latency tends to be overlooked. In this paper, we propose Branch Pre-Prediction policy to tolerate branch prediction latency. The proposed solution allows that branch predictor can proceed its prediction without any information from the fetch engine, separating the prediction engine from fetch stage. In addition, we propose newly modified BTE structure to support our solution. The simulation result shows that proposed solution can hide most prediction latency with still providing the same level of prediction accuracy. Furthermore, the proposed solution shows even better performance than the ideal case, that is the predictor which always takes a single cycle prediction latency. In our experiments, IPC improvement is up to 11.92% and 5.15% in average, compared to conventional predictor system.

Research on Financial Distress Prediction Model of Chinese Cultural Industry Enterprises Based on Machine Learning and Traditional Statistical (전통적인 통계와 기계학습 기반 중국 문화산업 기업의 재무적 곤경 예측모형 연구)

  • Yuan, Tao;Wang, Kun;Luan, Xi;Bae, Ki-Hyung
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.545-558
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is to explore a prediction model for accurately predicting Financial Difficulties of Chinese Cultural Industry Enterprises through Traditional Statistics and Machine Learning. To construct the prediction model, the data of 128 listed Cultural Industry Enterprises in China are used. On the basis of data groups composed of 25 explanatory variables, prediction models using Traditional Statistical such as Discriminant Analysis and logistic as well as Machine Learning such as SVM, Decision Tree and Random Forest were constructed, and Python software was used to evaluate the performance of each model. The results show that the Random Forest model has the best prediction performance, with an accuracy of 95%. The SVM model was followed with 93% accuracy. The Decision Tree model was followed with 92% accuracy.The Discriminant Analysis model was followed with 89% accuracy. The model with the lowest prediction effect was the Logistic model with an accuracy of 88%. This shows that Machine Learning model can achieve better prediction effect than Traditional Statistical model when predicting financial distress of Chinese cultural industry enterprises.

Settlement Prediction Accuracy Analysis of Weighted Nonlinear Regression Hyperbolic Method According to the Weighting Method (가중치 부여 방법에 따른 가중 비선형 회귀 쌍곡선법의 침하 예측 정확도 분석)

  • Kwak, Tae-Young ;Woo, Sang-Inn;Hong, Seongho ;Lee, Ju-Hyung;Baek, Sung-Ha
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.45-54
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    • 2023
  • The settlement prediction during the design phase is primarily conducted using theoretical methods. However, measurement-based settlement prediction methods that predict future settlements based on measured settlement data over time are primarily used during construction due to accuracy issues. Among these methods, the hyperbolic method is commonly used. However, the existing hyperbolic method has accuracy issues and statistical limitations. Therefore, a weighted nonlinear regression hyperbolic method has been proposed. In this study, two weighting methods were applied to the weighted nonlinear regression hyperbolic method to compare and analyze the accuracy of settlement prediction. Measured settlement plate data from two sites located in Busan New Port were used. The settlement of the remaining sections was predicted by setting the regression analysis section to 30%, 50%, and 70% of the total data. Thus, regardless of the weight assignment method, the settlement prediction based on the hyperbolic method demonstrated a remarkable increase in accuracy as the regression analysis section increased. The weighted nonlinear regression hyperbolic method predicted settlement more accurately than the existing linear regression hyperbolic method. In particular, despite a smaller regression analysis section, the weighted nonlinear regression hyperbolic method showed higher settlement prediction performance than the existing linear regression hyperbolic method. Thus, it was confirmed that the weighted nonlinear regression hyperbolic method could predict settlement much faster and more accurately.

Comparison between Machine Learning and Traditional Tecnique for Suicide Prediction based on Meta-analysis (메타분석에 기반한 자살 예측 연구에서 전통적 통계 기법과 머신러닝 기반 접근법의 예측력 비교)

  • Hyeokjun Kwon;Jonghan Sea
    • Korean Journal of Culture and Social Issue
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.239-265
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    • 2024
  • The purpose of this study was to compare the predictive accuracy of traditional prediction models (methods) and machine learning algorithms in predicting suicidal behaviors. The research aimed to go beyond a systematic review level and scientifically examine the predictive capabilities of these two techniques through meta-analysis, analyzing variables identified through domestic research, particularly at the regional level. In order to achieve this, a total of 124 studies, including 50 studies utilizing machine learning and 74 studies employing traditional methods, were included in the meta-analysis. The results of the study revealed that the integrated area under the curve (AUC) for studies using traditional methods was .770, which was lower than the integrated AUC value of .853 for studies using machine learning. Particularly, studies conducted in Asia (AUC = .944) demonstrated higher accuracy compared to studies in Western countries (AUC = .820) and Korea (AUC = .864). Additional analysis of the moderating effects in domestic research indicated that a higher proportion of males and the prediction of suicide attempts were associated with higher prediction accuracy. On the other hand, prediction accuracy was lower when the prediction target was suicide deaths and when studies utilized neural network analysis. This study synthesized various research findings on the prediction of suicidal behaviors, verified the effectiveness of prediction using machine learning, and holds significance in exploring variables applicable in the context of South Korea.

Investigation of the Prediction Accuracy for the Stamping CAE of Thin-walled Automotive Products (고강도강 차체 박판부품 프레스성형 CAE의 예측 정확도 고찰)

  • Jung, D.G.;Kim, S.H.;Rho, J.D.
    • Transactions of Materials Processing
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    • v.23 no.7
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    • pp.446-452
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    • 2014
  • In the current study finite element forming analysis is performed to understand the final geometric accuracy limitations for the stamping of an automotive S-rail from four different steel sheets having tensile strengths of 340MPa, 440MPa, 590MPa and 780MPa. Comparisons between the analysis and the experiments for both springback and formability as measured by the amount of edge draw-in and the thickness distribution were conducted. The springback modes were classified according to a scheme proposed in the current investigation and the error was calculated using the normalized root mean square error method. While the analysis results show fairly good agreement with the experimental data for deformation and formability, the simulation accuracy is lower for predicting wall curl, camber and section twist as the UTS of steel sheet increases.