• Title/Summary/Keyword: optimal replacement time

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On Optimal Burn-in and Maintenance Policy

  • Na, Myung Hwan;Son, Young Nam
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.865-870
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    • 2002
  • Burn-in is a widely used method to eliminate the initial failures. Preventive maintenance policy such as age replacement is often used in field operation. In this paper burn-in and maintenance policy are taken into consideration at the same time. The properties of the corresponding optimal burn-in times and optimal maintenance policy are discussed.

Periodic Replacement Policies with Minimal Repair Cost Limit

  • Yun, W.Y.;Bai, D.S.
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.3-10
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    • 1985
  • Periodic replacement policies are proposed for a system whose repair cost, when it fails, can be estimated by inspection. The system is replaced when it reaches age T (Policy A), or when it fails for the first time after age T (Policy B). If it fails before reaching age T, the repair cost is estimated and minimal repair is then undertaken if the estimated cost is less than a predetermined limit L; otherwise, the system is replaced. The expected cost rate functions are obtained, their behaviors are examined, and ways of obtaining optimal T and L are explored.

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A Stochastic Optimization Model for Equipment Replacement Considering Life Uncertainty (수명의 불확실성을 반영한 추계학적 장비 대체시기 결정모형)

  • 박종인;김승권
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.100-110
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    • 2003
  • Equipment replacement policy may not be defined with certainty, because physical states of any technological system may not be determined with foresight. This paper presents Markov Decision Process(MDP) model for army equipment which is subject to the uncertainty of deterioration and ultimately to failure. The components of the MDP model is defined as follows: ⅰ) state is identified as the age of the equipment, ⅱ) actions are classified as 'keep' and 'replace', ⅲ) cost is defined as the expected cost per unit time associated with 'keep' and 'replace' actions, ⅳ) transition probability is derived from Weibull distribution. Using the MDP model, we can determine the optimal replacement policy for an army equipment replacement problem.

Optimal Burn-in Time under Cumulative Pro-Rata Replacement Warranty

  • Yun, Won-Young;Lee, Yang-Woo;Chung, Il-Han;Luis Ferreira
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.2 no.4
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    • pp.241-251
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, optimal bum-in time to minimize the total mean cost, which is the sum of manufacturing cost with burn-in and cumulative warranty-related cost, is obtained. When the products with cumulative pro-rata warranty have high failure rate in the early period (infant mortality period), a burn-in procedure is adopted to eliminate early product failures. After burn-in, the posterior product life distribution and the warranty-related cost are dependent on burn-in time; long burn-in period may reduce the warranty-related cost, but it increases the manufacturing cost. The paper provides a methodology to obtain total mean cost under burn-in and cumulative pro-rata warranty. Property of the optimal burn-in time is analyzed, and numerical examples and sensitivity analysis are studied.

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Replacement Policies Under Minimal Repair with Cyclic Failure Rates

  • Choi, Sung-Woon;Lee, Sang-Hoon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Quality Management Conference
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    • 1998.11a
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    • pp.277-286
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    • 1998
  • This paper investigates the problem of determining optimal replacement policies for equipment subject to failures with cyclic rates. In many situations, the system failures depend on the operating environmental conditions that vary on time, usually with periodical manners. We use nonhomogeneous Poisson processes whose rate functions exhibit cyclic behavior as well as a long-term evolutionary trend to model the stochastic process of the failures when the rate of occurrence of the failures varies periodically, for example from day to day or between seasons. In this study, we compare optimal policies under the nonhomogeneous process with/without a cyclic component in the failure rate function. The analytical results for various situations are presented along with numerical examples using simulated data.

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Optimal Age Replacement Policy for a Repairable System with Increasing Minimal Repair Times at Failure (수리시간이 증가하는 수리가능한 시스템에서의 최적 교체시간의 결정)

  • 차지환;이강현;김재주
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.53-58
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    • 2000
  • In many cases, it is more practical and economical to repair a system than to replace the whole system or to perform a complete overhaul when it fails. The age replacement policy with minimal repair at failure is considered. The system is replaced every time its age reaches at $T_0$. For each intervening failure only minimal repair is done. The minimal repair times in a renewal period are increasing in the sense that the minimal repair times constitute a strictly increasing geometric process. The long-run expected cost rate Is obtained and the properties of the existence and the uniqueness of the optimal policy minimizing the long-run expected cost rate are derived.

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Deciding the Appropriate Combination Ratio for FA and BS in High-Intensity Cement Mortar (고강도 시멘트 모르타르에서 FA 및 BS의 적정조합비율 결정)

  • Kim, Min-Sang;Moon, Byeong-Yong;Jo, Man-Ki;Park, Sung-Bae;Han, Min-Cheol;Han, Cheon-Goo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2016.10a
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    • pp.26-27
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    • 2016
  • This study analyzes the engineering characteristics of mortar according to admixture replacement ratios in cement mortar in a high-intensity ternary system, and changes in FA and BS combination ratios, in order to deduce the optimal combination ratio of FA and BS. Results showed that due to the characteristics of unhardened mortar, flow rate increased with the increase in admixture replacement and FA combination ratios, whereas air quantity decreased and setting time was delayed. Due to the characteristics of light mortar, compression strength decreased at early material ages as the overall combination ratio of FA increased. The FA : BS combination ratio was 2 : 3 on day 28 of material age, proving the best and potentially optimal combination ratio.

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Optimal replacement of biomass for maximizing gas production

  • Lee, Hwa-Ki
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.54-64
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    • 1985
  • Biomass conversion processes have the potential for satisfying approximately 25% of the national demand for methane gas. At the current time very littel analytical work has been done to optimally design and operate the production facilities associated with these processes. This study was motivated by the high cost of these proposed systems. The biomass in storage decays (exponentially) with time while the batch methane production rate decreases (exponentially) over time. The basic problem is to determine the optimal residence times for batches in the anaerobic degester to maximize total production over a fixed planning horizon. The analysis characteries the form of the optimal policy and presents efficient algorithm for obtaining this solution.

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Replacement Model Following the Expiration of NFRRW (비 재생무료교체-수리보증이 종료된 이후의 교체모형)

  • Jung, Ki-Mun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.1147-1156
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    • 2010
  • This paper proposes a replacement policy following the expiration of a non-renewing free replacement-repair Warranty(NFFRW). The non-renewing free replacement-repair warranty is defined and then the maintenance model following the expiration of the NFRRW is studied from the user's point of view. As the criteria to determine the optimality of the maintenance policy, we consider the expected cost rate per unit time from the user's perspective. All maintenance costs of the system incurred after the expiration of the warranty are paid by the user. Given the cost structures during the life cycle of the system, we determine the optimal maintenance period following the expiration of a NFRRW. Finally, the numerical examples are presented for illustrative purposes.

Modeling of the Failure Rates and Estimation of the Economical Replacement Time of Water Mains Based on an Individual Pipe Identification Method (개별관로 정의 방법을 이용한 상수관로 파손율 모형화 및 경제적 교체시기의 산정)

  • Park, Su-Wan;Lee, Hyeong-Seok;Bae, Cheol-Ho;Kim, Kyu-Lee
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.42 no.7
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    • pp.525-535
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    • 2009
  • In this paper a heuristic method for identifying individual pipes in water pipe networks to determine specific sections of the pipes that need to be replaced due to deterioration. An appropriate minimum pipe length is determined by selecting the pipe length that has the greatest variance of the average cumulative break number slopes among the various pipe lengths used. As a result, the minimum pipe length for the case study water network is determined as 4 m and a total of 39 individual pipe IDs are obtained. The economically optimal replacement times of the individual pipe IDs are estimated by using the threshold break rate of an individual pipe ID and the pipe break trends models for which the General Pipe Break Prediction Model(Park and Loganathan, 2002) that can incorporate the linear, exponential, and in-between of the linear and exponetial failure trends and the ROCOFs based on the modified time scale(Park et al., 2007) are used. The maximum log-likelihoods of the log-linear ROCOF and Weibull ROCOF estimated for the break data of a pipe are compared and the ROCOF that has a greater likelihood is selected for the pipe of interest. The effects of the social costs of a pipe break on the optimal replacement time are also discussed.