• Title/Summary/Keyword: noninformative prior

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A Bayesian Test for Simple Tree Ordered Alternative using Intrinsic Priors

  • Kim, Seong W.
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.73-92
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    • 1999
  • In Bayesian model selection or testing problems, one cannot utilize standard or default noninformative priors, since these priors are typically improper and are defined only up to arbitrary constants. The resulting Bayes factors are not well defined. A recently proposed model selection criterion, the intrinsic Bayes factor overcomes such problems by using a part of the sample as a training sample to get a proper posterior and then use the posterior as the prior for the remaining observations to compute the Bayes factor. Surprisingly, such Bayes factor can also be computed directly from the full sample by some proper priors, namely intrinsic priors. The present paper explains how to derive intrinsic priors for simple tree ordered exponential means. Some numerical results are also provided to support theoretical results and compare with classical methods.

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The Fractional Bayes Factor Approach to the Bayesian Testing of the Weibull Shape Parameter

  • Cha, Young-Joon;Cho, Kil-Ho;Cho, Jang-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.927-932
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    • 2006
  • The techniques for selecting and evaluating prior distributions are studied over recent years which the primary emphasis is on noninformative priors. But, noninformative priors are typically improper so that such priors are defined only up to arbitrary constants which affect the values of Bayes factors. In this paper, we consider the Bayesian hypotheses testing for the Weibull shape parameter based on fractional Bayes factor which is to remove the arbitrariness of improper priors. Also we present a numerical example to further illustrate our results.

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Bayesian Hypothesis Testing for Homogeneity of the Shape Parameters in the Gamma Populations

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.1191-1203
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we consider the hypothesis testing for the homogeneity of the shape parameters in the gamma distributions. The noninformative priors such as Jeffreys# prior or reference prior are usually improper which yields a calibration problem that makes the Bayes factor to be defined up to a multiplicative constant. So we propose the objective Bayesian testing procedure for the homogeneity of the shape parameters based on the fractional Bayes factor and the intrinsic Bayes factor under the reference prior. Simulation study and a real data example are provided.

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Bayesian Analysis for the Difference of Exponential Means

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.1067-1078
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, we develop the noninformative priors for the exponential models when the parameter of interest is the difference of two means. We develop the first and second order matching priors. We reveal that the second order matching priors do not exist. It turns out that Jeffreys' prior does not satisfy the first order matching criterion. The Bayesian credible intervals based on the first order matching meet the frequentist target coverage probabilities much better than the frequentist intervals of Jeffreys' prior.

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Bayesian Analysis for the Difference of Exponential Means

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2005.04a
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    • pp.135-144
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, we develop the noninformative priors for the exponential models when the parameter of interest is the difference of two means. We develop the first and second order matching priors. We reveal that the second order matching priors do not exist. It turns out that Jeffreys' prior does not satisfy a first order matching criterion. The Bayesian credible intervals based on the first order matching meet the frequentist target coverage probabilities much better than the frequentist intervals of Jeffreys' prior.

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Bayesian Analysis for Burr-Type XStrength-Stress Model

  • Kang, Sang-gil;Ko, Jeong-Hwan;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.47-52
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    • 1999
  • In this paper, we develop noninformative priors that are used for estimating the reliability of stress-strength system under the Burr-type X distribution. A class of priors is found by matching the coverage probabilities of one-sided Bayesian credible interval with the corresponding frequentist coverage probabilities. It turns out that the reference prior is a first order matching prior. The propriety of posterior under matching prior is provided. The frequentist coverage probabilities are given for small samples.

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Noninformative priors for the common location parameter in half-t distributions

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.1327-1335
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we want to develop objective priors for the common location parameter in two half-t distributions with unequal scale parameters. The half-t distribution is a non-regular class of distribution. One can not develop the reference prior by using the algorithm of Berger of Bernardo (1989). Specially, we derive the reference priors and prove the propriety of joint posterior distribution under the developed priors. Through the simulation study, we show that the proposed reference prior matches the target coverage probabilities in a frequentist sense.

Objective Bayesian testing for the location parameters in the half-normal distributions

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.1265-1273
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    • 2011
  • This article deals with the problem of testing the equality of the location parameters in the half-normal distributions. We propose Bayesian hypothesis testing procedures for the equality of the location parameters under the noninformative prior. The non-informative prior is usually improper which yields a calibration problem that makes the Bayes factor to be defined up to arbitrary constants. This problem can be deal with the use of the fractional Bayes factor or intrinsic Bayes factor. So we propose the default Bayesian hypothesis testing procedures based on the fractional Bayes factor and the intrinsic Bayes factors under the reference priors. Simulation study and an example are provided.

A Bayesian Approach to Paired Comparison of Several Products of Poisson Rates

  • Kim Dae-Hwang;Kim Hea-Jung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.229-236
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    • 2004
  • This article presents a multiple comparison ranking procedure for several products of the Poisson rates. A preference probability matrix that warrants the optimal comparison ranking is introduced. Using a Bayesian Monte Carlo method, we develop simulation-based procedure to estimate the matrix and obtain the optimal ranking via a row-sum scores method. Necessary theory and two illustrative examples are provided.

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Bayesian Hypothesis Testing for Two Lognormal Variances with the Bayes Factors

  • Moon, Gyoung-Ae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.1119-1128
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    • 2005
  • The Bayes factors with improper noninformative priors are defined only up to arbitrary constants. So it is known that Bayes factors are not well defined due to this arbitrariness in Bayesian hypothesis testing and model selections. The intrinsic Bayes factor and the fractional Bayes factor have been used to overcome this problem. In this paper, we suggest a Bayesian hypothesis testing based on the intrinsic Bayes factor and the fractional Bayes factor for the comparison of two lognormal variances. Using the proposed two Bayes factors, we demonstrate our results with some examples.

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