• Title/Summary/Keyword: mean-squared error

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Determination of the Number of Components in Spectroscopy from the Multilinear Model Fitting

  • Kim, Choong-Rak;Chung, Byung-Chull;Lee, Choon-Hwan
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.367-374
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    • 1999
  • Biological specimens contain several components and multilinear models are very useful in analyzing these data. After fitting the model the number of components are determined by the change of mean squared error however this method is quite rule of thumb. in this paper we suggest a measure to decide the number of components based on the relative change of to mean squared error. Simulations are done and applications to real data set are given as illustrations.

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Estimation of the Lorenz Curve of the Pareto Distribution

  • Kang, Suk-Bok;Cho, Young-Suk
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.285-292
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    • 1999
  • In this paper we propose the several estimators of the Lorenz curve in the Pareto distribution and obtain the bias and the mean squared error for each estimator. We compare the proposed estimators with the uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimator (UMVUE) and the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) in terms of the mean squared error (MSE) through Monte Carlo methods and discuss the results.

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Selection of Data-adaptive Polynomial Order in Local Polynomial Nonparametric Regression

  • Jo, Jae-Keun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.177-183
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    • 1997
  • A data-adaptive order selection procedure is proposed for local polynomial nonparametric regression. For each given polynomial order, bias and variance are estimated and the adaptive polynomial order that has the smallest estimated mean squared error is selected locally at each location point. To estimate mean squared error, empirical bias estimate of Ruppert (1995) and local polynomial variance estimate of Ruppert, Wand, Wand, Holst and Hossjer (1995) are used. Since the proposed method does not require fitting polynomial model of order higher than the model order, it is simpler than the order selection method proposed by Fan and Gijbels (1995b).

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Approximate Maximum Likelihood Estimation for the Three-Parameter Weibull Distribution

  • Kang, S.B.;Cho, Y.S.;Choi, S.H.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.209-217
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    • 2001
  • We obtain the approximate maximum likelihood estimators (AMLEs) for the scale and location parameters $\theta$ and $\mu$ in the three-parameter Weibull distribution based on Type-II censored samples. We also compare the AMLEs with the modified maximum likelihood estimators (MMLEs) in the sense of the mean squared error (MSE) based on complete sample.

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Estimation for scale parameter of type-I extreme value distribution

  • Choi, Byungjin
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.535-545
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    • 2015
  • In a various range of applications including hydrology, the type-I extreme value distribution has been extensively used as a probabilistic model for analyzing extreme events. In this paper, we introduce methods for estimating the scale parameter of the type-I extreme value distribution. A simulation study is performed to compare the estimators in terms of mean-squared error and bias, and the obtained results are provided.

Bayesian small area estimations with measurement errors

  • Goo, You Mee;Kim, Dal Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.885-893
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    • 2013
  • This paper considers Bayes estimations of the small area means under Fay-Herriot model with measurement errors. We provide empirical Bayes predictors of small area means with the corresponding jackknifed mean squared prediction errors. Also we obtain hierarchical Bayes predictors and the corresponding posterior standard deviations using Gibbs sampling. Numerical studies are provided to illustrate our methods and compare their eciencies.

Efficient Use of Auxiliary Variables in Estimating Finite Population Variance in Two-Phase Sampling

  • Singh, Housila P.;Singh, Sarjinder;Kim, Jong-Min
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.165-181
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    • 2010
  • This paper presents some chain ratio-type estimators for estimating finite population variance using two auxiliary variables in two phase sampling set up. The expressions for biases and mean squared errors of the suggested c1asses of estimators are given. Asymptotic optimum estimators(AOE's) in each class are identified with their approximate mean squared error formulae. The theoretical and empirical properties of the suggested classes of estimators are investigated. In the simulation study, we took a real dataset related to pulmonary disease available on the CD with the book by Rosner, (2005).

Convergence Analysis of the Modified Adaptive Sign (MAS) Algorithm Using a Mixed Norm Error Criterion

  • Lee, Young-Hwan
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.16 no.3E
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    • pp.62-68
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    • 1997
  • In this paper, a modified adaptive sign (MAS) algorithm based on a mixed norm error criterion is proposed. The mixed norm error criterion of be minimized is constructed as a combined convex function of the mean-absolute error and the mean-absolute error to the third power. A convergence analysis of the MAS algorithm is also presented. Under a set of mild assumptions, a set of nonlinear evolution equations that characterizes the statistical mean and mean-squared behavior of the algorithm is derived. Computed simulations are carried out to verify the validity of our derivations.

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Volatility analysis and Prediction Based on ARMA-GARCH-typeModels: Evidence from the Chinese Gold Futures Market (ARMA-GARCH 모형에 의한 중국 금 선물 시장 가격 변동에 대한 분석 및 예측)

  • Meng-Hua Li;Sok-Tae Kim
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.47 no.3
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    • pp.211-232
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    • 2022
  • Due to the impact of the public health event COVID-19 epidemic, the Chinese futures market showed "Black Swan". This has brought the unpredictable into the economic environment with many commodities falling by the daily limit, while gold performed well and closed in the sunshine(Yan-Li and Rui Qian-Wang, 2020). Volatility is integral part of financial market. As an emerging market and a special precious metal, it is important to forecast return of gold futures price. This study selected data of the SHFE gold futures returns and conducted an empirical analysis based on the generalised autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH)-type model. Comparing the statistics of AIC, SC and H-QC, ARMA (12,9) model was selected as the best model. But serial correlation in the squared returns suggests conditional heteroskedasticity. Next part we established the autoregressive moving average ARMA-GARCH-type model to analysis whether Volatility Clustering and the leverage effect exist in the Chinese gold futures market. we consider three different distributions of innovation to explain fat-tailed features of financial returns. Additionally, the error degree and prediction results of different models were evaluated in terms of mean squared error (MSE), mean absolute error (MAE), Theil inequality coefficient(TIC) and root mean-squared error (RMSE). The results show that the ARMA(12,9)-TGARCH(2,2) model under Student's t-distribution outperforms other models when predicting the Chinese gold futures return series.

A Posterior Preference Articulation Method to the Weighted Mean Squared Error Minimization Approach in Multi-Response Surface Optimization (다중반응표면 최적화에서 가중평균제곱오차 최소화법을 위한 선호도사후제시법)

  • Jeong, In-Jun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.16 no.10
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    • pp.7061-7070
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    • 2015
  • Multi-Response Surface Optimization aims at finding the optimal setting of input variables considering multiple responses simultaneously. The Weighted Mean Squared Error (WMSE) minimization approach, which imposes a different weight on the two components of mean squared error, squared bias and variance, first obtains WMSE for each response and then minimizes all the WMSEs at once. Most of the methods proposed for the WMSE minimization approach to date are classified into the prior preference articulation approach, which requires that a decision maker (DM) provides his/her preference information a priori. However, it is quite difficult for the DM to provide such information in advance, because he/she cannot experience the relationships or conflicts among the responses. To overcome this limitation, this paper proposes a posterior preference articulation method to the WMSE minimization approach. The proposed method first generates all (or most) of the nondominated solutions without the DM's preference information. Then, the DM selects the best one from the set of nondominated solutions a posteriori. Its advantage is that it provides an opportunity for the DM to understand the tradeoffs in the entire set of nondominated solutions and effectively obtains the most preferred solution suitable for his/her preference structure.