• Title/Summary/Keyword: logistic model

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Steal Success Model for 2007 Korean Professional Baseball Games (2007년 한국프로야구에서 도루성공모형)

  • Hong, Chong-Sun;Choi, Jeong-Min
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.455-468
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    • 2008
  • Based on the huge baseball game records, the steal plays an important role to affect the result of games. For the research about success or failure of the steal in baseball games, logistic regression models are developed based on 2007 Korean professional baseball games. The analyses of logistic regression models are compared of those of the discriminant models. It is found that the performance of the logistic regression analysis is more efficient than that of the discriminant analysis. Also, we consider an alternative logistic regression model based on categorical data which are transformed from uneasy obtainable continuous data.

Making a Hazard Map of Road Slope Using a GIS and Logistic Regression Model (GIS와 Logistic 회귀모형을 이용한 접도사면 재해위험도 작성)

  • Kang, In-Joon;Kang, Ho-Yun;Jang, Yong-Gu;Kwak, Young-Joo
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.14 no.1 s.35
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    • pp.85-91
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    • 2006
  • Recently, slope failures are happen to natural disastrous when they occur in mountainous areas adjoining highways in Korea. The accidents associated with slope failures have increased due to rapid urbanization of mountainous areas. Therefore, Regular maintenance is essential for all slope and needs maintenance of road safety as well as road function. In this study, we take priority of making a database of risk factor of the failure of a slope before assesment and analysis. The purpose of this paper is to recommend a standard of Slope Management Information Sheet(SMIS) like as Hazard Map. The next research, we suggest to pre-estimated model of a road slope using Logistic Regression Model.

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Penalized logistic regression models for determining the discharge of dyspnea patients (호흡곤란 환자 퇴원 결정을 위한 벌점 로지스틱 회귀모형)

  • Park, Cheolyong;Kye, Myo Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.125-133
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, penalized binary logistic regression models are employed as statistical models for determining the discharge of 668 patients with a chief complaint of dyspnea based on 11 blood tests results. Specifically, the ridge model based on $L^2$ penalty and the Lasso model based on $L^1$ penalty are considered in this paper. In the comparison of prediction accuracy, our models are compared with the logistic regression models with all 11 explanatory variables and the selected variables by variable selection method. The results show that the prediction accuracy of the ridge logistic regression model is the best among 4 models based on 10-fold cross-validation.

Modeling the Growth of Neurology Literature

  • Hadagali, Gururaj S.;Anandhalli, Gavisiddappa
    • Journal of Information Science Theory and Practice
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.45-63
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    • 2015
  • The word ‘growth’ represents an increase in actual size, implying a change of state. In science and technology, growth may imply an increase in number of institutions, scientists, or publications, etc. The present study demonstrates the growth of neurology literature for the period 1961-2010. A total of 291,702 records were extracted from the Science Direct Database for fifty years. The Relative Growth Rate (RGR) and Doubling Time (Dt.) of neurology literature have been calculated, supplementing with different growth patterns to check whether neurology literature fits exponential, linear, or logistic models. The results of the study indicate that the growth of literature in neurology does not follow the linear, or logistic growth model. However, it follows closely the exponential growth model. The study concludes that there has been a consistent trend towards increased growth of literature in the field of neurology.

Bivariate odd-log-logistic-Weibull regression model for oral health-related quality of life

  • Cruz, Jose N. da;Ortega, Edwin M.M.;Cordeiro, Gauss M.;Suzuki, Adriano K.;Mialhe, Fabio L.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.271-290
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    • 2017
  • We study a bivariate response regression model with arbitrary marginal distributions and joint distributions using Frank and Clayton's families of copulas. The proposed model is used for fitting dependent bivariate data with explanatory variables using the log-odd log-logistic Weibull distribution. We consider likelihood inferential procedures based on constrained parameters. For different parameter settings and sample sizes, various simulation studies are performed and compared to the performance of the bivariate odd-log-logistic-Weibull regression model. Sensitivity analysis methods (such as local and total influence) are investigated under three perturbation schemes. The methodology is illustrated in a study to assess changes on schoolchildren's oral health-related quality of life (OHRQoL) in a follow-up exam after three years and to evaluate the impact of caries incidence on the OHRQoL of adolescents.

Prediction Model with a Logistic Regression of Sequencing Two Arrival Flows (합류하는 두 항공기간 도착순서 결정에 대한 로지스틱회귀 예측 모형)

  • Jung, Soyeon;Lee, Keumjin
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.42-48
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    • 2015
  • This paper has its purpose on constructing a prediction model of the arrival sequencing strategy which reflects the actual sequencing patterns of air traffic controllers. As the first step, we analyzed a pair-wise sequencing of two aircraft entering TMA from different entering points. Based on the historical trajectory data, several traffic factors such as time, speed and traffic density were examined for the model. With statistically significant factors, we constructed a prediction model of arrival sequencing through a binary logistic regression analysis. With the estimated coefficients, the performance of the model was conducted through a cross validation.

An Idea, Strategy of Congestion Pricing for Differentiated Services and Forecasting Probability of Access using Logistic Regression Model (차등서비스를 위한 혼잡요금부과의 타당성 검토와 로지스틱 회귀모형을 이용한 인터넷 접속 확률 예측)

  • Ji Seonsu
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.9-15
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    • 2005
  • Congestion control is an important research area in computer network. In this paper, I provided strategy of congestion pricing with differentiated services. And, suggested forecasting model of access that considered differentiated pricing, delay time, satisfaction using logistic regression. In a forecasting model of access with logistic regression technique, it is shown that coefficient of determination using suggested model is $70.7\%$.

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Development of Traffic Accident Forecasting Model in Pusan (부산시 교통사고예측모형의 개발)

  • 이일병;임현정
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.103-122
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    • 1992
  • The objective of this research is to develop a traffic accident forecasting model using traffic accident data in pusan from 1963 to 1991 and then to make short-term forecasts('93~'94) of traffic accidents in pusan. In this research, several forecasting models are developed. They include a multiple regression model, a time-series ARIMA model, a Logistic curve model, and a Gompertz curve model. Among them, the model which shows the most significance in forecasting accuracy is selected as the traffic accident forecasting model. The results of this research are as followings. 1. The existing model such as Smeed model which was developed for foreign countries shows only 47.8% explanation for traffic accident deaths in Korea. 2. A nonliner regression model ($R^2$=0.9432) and a Logistic curve model are appeared to be th gest forecasting models for the number of traffic accidents, and a Logistic curve model shows th most significance in predicting the accident deaths and injuries. 3. The forecasting figures of the traffic accidents in pusan are as followings: . In 1993, 31, 180 accidents are predicted to happen, and 430 persons are predicted to be deaths and 29, 680 persons are predicated to be injuries. . In 1994, 33, 710 accidents are predicted to happen, and 431.persons are predicted to be deat! and 30, 510 persons are predicted to be injuried. Therefore, preventive measures against traffic accidents are certainly required.

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An Analysis of Environmental Policy Effect on Green Space Change using Logistic Regression Model : The Case of Ulsan Metropolitan City (로지스틱 회귀모형을 이용한 환경정책 효과 분석: 울산광역시 녹지변화 분석을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Sung-Joo;Ryu, Ji-Eun;Jeon, Seong-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.13-30
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to analyze the qualitative and quantitative effects of environmental policies in terms of green space management using logistic regression model(LRM). Landsat satellite imageries in 1985, 1992, 2000, 2008, and 2015 are classified using a hybrid-classification method. Based on these classified maps, logistic regression model having a deforestation tendency of the past is built. Binary green space change map is used for the dependent variable and four explanatory variables are used: distance from green space, distance from settlements, elevation, and slope. The green space map of 2008 and 2015 is predicted using the constructed model. The conservation effect of Ulsan's environmental policies is quantified through the numerical comparison of green area between the predicted and real data. Time-series analysis of green space showed that restoration and destruction of green space are highly related to human activities rather than natural land transition. The effect of green space management policy was spatially-explicit and brought a significant increase in green space. Furthermore, as a result of quantitative analysis, Ulsan's environmental policy had effects of conserving and restoring 111.75㎢ and 175.45㎢ respectively for the periods of eight and fifteen years. Among four variables, slope was the most determinant factor that accounts for the destruction of green space in the city. This study presents logistic regression model as a way of evaluating the effect of environmental policies that have been practiced in the city. It has its significance in that it allows us a comprehensive understanding of the effect by considering every direct and indirect effect from other domains, such as air and water, on green space. We conclude discussing practicability of implementing environmental policy in terms of green space management with the focus on a non-statutory plan.