• 제목/요약/키워드: interval probability

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Confidence Intervals for a Proportion in Finite Population Sampling

  • Lee, Seung-Chun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.501-509
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    • 2009
  • Recently the interval estimation of binomial proportions is revisited in various literatures. This is mainly due to the erratic behavior of the coverage probability of the well-known Wald confidence interval. Various alternatives have been proposed. Among them, the Agresti-Coull confidence interval, the Wilson confidence interval and the Bayes confidence interval resulting from the noninformative Jefferys prior were recommended by Brown et al. (2001). However, unlike the binomial distribution case, little is known about the properties of the confidence intervals in finite population sampling. In this note, the property of confidence intervals is investigated in anile population sampling.

Optimal Time-Interval for Time-based Location Update in Mobile Communications

  • Lee, Goo-Yeon
    • 산업기술연구
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    • 제21권B호
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    • pp.85-89
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, we analyze a time-based update method in location management and calculate the optimal time-interval. The probability that an MT is j rings away from the center cell is obtained by computer programming. And using these values, an exact analysis is made for the time-based location management cost. From the result, when the time-based method is applied to location update, we can get the optimal time-interval which minimizes the location management cost.

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Sequential Estimation of variable width confidence interval for the mean

  • Kim, Sung Lai
    • 충청수학회지
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.47-54
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    • 2001
  • Let {Xn, n = 1,2,${\cdots}$} be i.i.d. random variables with the only unknown parameters mean ${\mu}$ and variance a ${\sigma}^2$. We consider a sequential confidence interval C1 for the mean with coverage probability 1-${\alpha}$ and expected length of confidence interval $E_{\theta}$(Length of CI)/${\mid}{\mu}{\mid}{\leq}k$ (k : constant) and give some asymptotic properties of the stopping time in various limiting situations.

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RM 스케줄링된 실시간 태스크에서의 최적 체크 포인터 구간 선정 (Determination of Optimal Checkpoint Interval for RM Scheduled Real-time Tasks)

  • 곽성우;정용주
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제56권6호
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    • pp.1122-1129
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    • 2007
  • For a system with multiple real-time tasks of different deadlines, it is very difficult to find the optimal checkpoint interval because of the complexity in considering the scheduling of tasks. In this paper, we determine the optimal checkpoint interval for multiple real-time tasks that are scheduled by RM(Rate Monotonic) algorithm. Faults are assumed to occur with Poisson distribution. Checkpoints are inserted in the execution of task with equal distance in the same task, but different distances in other tasks. When faults occur, rollback to the latest checkpoint and re-execute task after the checkpoint. We derive the equation of maximum slack time for each task, and determine the number of re-executable checkpoint intervals for fault recovery. The equation to check the schedulibility of tasks is also derived. Based on these equations, we find the probability of all tasks executed within their deadlines successfully. Checkpoint intervals which make the probability maximum is the optimal.

로짓모형의 비모수적 추론의 비교 (Comparison of Some Nonparametric Statistical Inference for Logit Model)

  • 정형철;김대학
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제15권2호
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    • pp.355-366
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    • 2002
  • 범주형 자료의 구조파악에 주로 이용되는 로짓모형에서 비모수적 방법을 이용한 모수의 신뢰구간추정과 가설검정 등의 통계적 추론에 대하여 살펴보았다. 모수에 대한 통계적 추론에서 정규분포에 근거한 모수적 방법(Wald 방법)보다는 붓스트랩 방법이나 임의순열을 활용한 비모수적 방법이 많이 활용되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 로짓모형의 모수에 대한 비모수적 추론방법으로 붓스트랩(bootstrap)과 임의순열(random permutation)의 두 방법을 고려하고 모의실험을 통하여 가설검정의 검정력과 신뢰구간추정의 포함확률을 비교하였고 사례분석을 다루었다.

이항모수의 신뢰구간추정량에 대한 실제포함확률에 관한 연구 (On the actual coverage probability of binomial parameter)

  • 김대학
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.737-745
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    • 2010
  • 본 연구는 이항분포의 성공의 확률에 대한 신뢰구간추정량들을 비교분석하고자 한다. 일반적으로 대표본의 경우에 적용되는 잘 알려진 신뢰구간추정량과 소표본의 경우에도 적용될 수 있는 정확신뢰구간, 그리고 포아송 분포를 이용하여 구한 신뢰구간추정량과 연속성의 수정을 고려한 추정량들을 소 표본의 모의실험을 통하여 실제포함확률의 측면에서 비교하였다.

하드 데드라인을 가지는 다중 실시간 주기적 태스크에서의 체크포인팅 기법 (Checkpoint Placement for Multiple Real-time Periodic Tasks with Hard Deadlines)

  • Kwak, Seong-Woo
    • 대한전기학회논문지:시스템및제어부문D
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    • 제53권8호
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    • pp.594-601
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    • 2004
  • We analyze checkpoint strategy for multiple real-time periodic tasks with hard deadlines. Real-time tasks usually have deadlines associated with them. For multiple real-time tasks, checkpoint strategy considering deadlines of all tasks is very difficult to derive. We analyze the problem of checkpoint placement for such multiple periodic tasks. In our strategy, the interval between checkpoints is determined for each task considering its deadline. An approximated failure probability over a specified interval is derived. Then the number of checkpoints for each task is selected to minimize the approximated failure probability. To show the usefulness of our strategy, error bound between the exact and the approximated failure probability is estimated, which is revealed to be quite small.

Asymptotics in Transformed ARMA Models

  • Yeo, In-Kwon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.71-77
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, asymptotic results are investigated when a parametric transformation is applied to ARMA models. The conditions are determined to ensure the strong consistency and the asymptotic normality of maximum likelihood estimators and the correct coverage probability of the forecast interval obtained by the transformation and backtransformation approach.

안전계통의 이용불능도 및 최적시험주기에 미치는 인간실수의 영향 (Effects of Human Error on the Optimal Test Internal and Unavailability of the Safety System)

  • Chung, Dae-Wook;Koo, Bon-Hyun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.174-182
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    • 1991
  • 안전계통의 이용불능도 및 최적시험주기 평가에 있어서 주기적인 시험과 관련된 인간실수의 영향을 고려하였다. 시험 및 보수와 관련된 인간실수는 건전한 계통이 시험 후 잘못된 상태에 놓이게 될 가능성과(Type A인간실수)건전하지 못한 계통이 시험시 감지되지 못할 가능성(Type B인간실수)이다. 계통이용불능도 및 최적시험주기에 미치는 인간실수의 영향을 결정하기 위하여 안전계통의 이용불능도를 계산하기 위한 사상수목모델이 개발되었다. 또한 안전주입계통의 신뢰도 분석을 통하여 계통전체에 미치는 영향을 평가하였다. 다양한 민감도 분석 결과, (1) 계통이용불능도는 인간실수의 확률이 커질수록 증가하며 Type A인간실수의 영향이 훨씬 크다. (2) 최적시험주기 는 Type A 인간실수가 커 질수록 약간 증가하나, Type B 인간실수가 커 질수록 감소한다. (3) 안전주입펌프의 시험주기를 고정시키면 안전주입계통의 이용불능도는 Type A인간실수가 커질수록 크게 증가하나 Type B 인간실수가 커지더라도 약간 증가한다. 따라서 인간실수의 영향을 고려 할 때 계통의 이용불능도를 일정 수준으로 유지하기 위해서는 시험주기(최적시험주기가 아님 )를 줄여야 한다. 그리고 시험 및 보수시 Type A 인간실수는 계통의 이용불능도에 미치는 영향이 크므로, 특히 TyPe A 인간실수를 줄이기 위한 노력이 필요하다.

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Spectrum Sensing Techniques for Cognitive radio-A Review

  • Matin, Mohammad A.
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제8권11호
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    • pp.3638-3654
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    • 2014
  • Cognitive Radio (CR) users need to sense the environment or channel at regular time interval for sharing the spectrum band of the primary users (PUs). Once find the spectrum idle, CR users start their transmission through it. Even while transmitting, they need to continue the sensing process so that they can leave the spectrum immediately whenever find a PU wanting to use the band. Therefore, detecting PUs is one of the main functions of cognitive radio before transmission and higher the detection probability ensures better protection to the primary users. However, it is not possible to attain a high detection probability (or a low miss detection probability) and low false alarm probability simultaneously as there is a tradeoff between false alarm probability ($P_{fa}$) and the probability of detection ($P_d$). In this paper, the author has provided a comprehensive study on different sensing techniques and discussed their advantages and disadvantages. Moreover, it is expected that, with this article, readers can have a through understanding of sensing techniques in CR and the current research trends in this area.