• Title/Summary/Keyword: housing market bubble

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A Study of Housing Transaction Market and Commercial Policy in United States in the Perspective of Neuroeconomics (미국의 주택거래시장 동향과 통상정책의 향후방향에 관한 연구: 신경경제학의 관점을 중심으로)

  • Chung, Yong-Kyun
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.267-288
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    • 2010
  • The collapse of housing market bubble in United States had a considerable impact on the world economy. The collapse of housing market bubble in United States generates the global financial crisis at the worldwide level. The housing market bubble question the efficacy of fundamental proposition of orthodox economics based on the rationality of human choice. According to neuroeconomics and neuroscience, emotion and affect play the important role in purchasing the commodity in retails market. On the basis of the neuroeconomics, this study focuses on the role of affect and emotion in the purchase of subprime loan in United States. Robert Schiller suggests that one of the causes of housing market bubble is the contagion effect of human belief in the society. The structure of this paper is as follows. First, this study investigates the mechanism of human brain and role of various neurons to influence the human behavior in the purchase of house in United States, such as Dophamine neuron and mirroring neuron. Second, this study shows the possibility that the mirror neuron might explain the contagion of human belief in housing transaction market. It can be a seed of housing market bubble. Furthermore, this study show the implications of neuroeconomics is suggestive to the negotiation process in commercial policy in United States.

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Analysis of the Fundamental Principles in the Korean Housing Market Using System Dynamics (시스템 다이내믹스를 이용한 주택 시장 작동 원리 분석)

  • Hwang, Sung-Joo;Lee, Hyun-Soo;Park, Moon-Seo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.371-375
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    • 2008
  • Nowadays, Korean Housing Market have been unstable because of the global economic fluctuation such as steady decline in the interest rate and the house price bubble. While Korean Government policy responses these state, rapidly changing policies led to deep confusion in the Korean Housing Market. In this situation, Analysis for housing market forecasting has been partial and fragmentary, therefore comprehensive solution and systematical approach is required to analyze the housing market including causal nexus between market determining factors. In an integrated point of view, applying the system dynamics modeling, the paper aims at proposing basic Korean housing market dynamics models based on Fundamental principles of housing market determined by supply and demand.

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The Impact of Inflation on Chinese Housing Bubble -Empirical Study Based on Provincial Panel Data-

  • Gao, Feng Mu;Fan, Gang Zhi;Zhang, Yan Yan
    • Korea Real Estate Review
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.33-44
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    • 2017
  • The continuously rising housing prices in major Chinese cities have raised question about whether inflation is the main reason to drive up housing price to skyrocket in recent years. Based on the provincial panel dataset of China from 2006-2014, this paper investigates the impact of inflation on Chinese housing markets within the frameworks of both static and dynamic panel data models. Our empirical results show evidence that inflation has indeed been a main force of accumulating housing bubbles in these housing markets, especially in eastern region of China. We also find an interesting phenomenon in which Chinese housing bubble is, to a certain extent, affected by market self-adjustment mechanism.

Implementing an Analysis System for Housing Business Based on Seoul Apartment Price Data (주택 사업 분석 시스템 구축 : 서울지역 아파트 가격 데이터를 중심으로)

  • 김태훈;이희석;김재윤;전진오;이은식
    • The Journal of Information Technology and Database
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.115-130
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    • 1999
  • The price structure of housing market varies depending upon market price policy rather than low or high price policy because of IMF. The object of this study is to develop an analysis system for analyzing housing market and its demand. The analysis system consists of four major categories: macro index analysis, market decision analysis, housing market analysis, and consumer analysis. We model each category by using a variety of techniques such as generalized linear model, categorical analysis, bubble analysis, drill-down analysis, price sensitivity meter analysis, optimum price index analysis, profit index measurement analysis, correspondence analysis, conjoint analysis, and multidimensional scaling analysis. Seoul apartment data is analyzed to demonstrate the practical usefulness of the system.

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Lessons of systems thinking on housing policy (부동산 정책에 관한 시스템 사고의 교훈)

  • Kim, Dong-Hwan
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.187-209
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    • 2007
  • This paper deals with the policy failure in housing markets. In order to understand basic mechanism leading to policy failure, systems thinking and system dynamics modeling is applied to housing markets and housing policy. This paper will show different set of causal maps on housing policy, and compare causal reasons of housing policy and its critics.

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Analysis of the Korean Housing Market Mechanisms and Housing Sales Policies Using System Dynamics (시스템다이내믹스를 이용한 분양 제도 변화에 따른 주택 시장 영향 분석)

  • Park, Moon-Seo;Ahn, Chang-Bum;Lee, Hyun-Soo;Hwang, Sung-Joo
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.42-52
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    • 2009
  • From the beginning of 2000, Korean housing market has experienced cyclical volatility because of the global economic fluctuation such as steady decline in the interest rate and the house price bubble. In response to these state Korean Government announced policies about housing sales system kinds of Sales Unit Price Restraint and Post-Sales System to stabilize housing market. But such policies has brought unprecedented arguments both for and against, most of whom still seem to stick to self-centered judgement ahead of impact on housing market. In an integrated point of view, applying the system dynamics modeling, the paper aims at proposing basic Korean housing market dynamics models based on basis principles of housing market determined by supply and demand. And then, after research policies about housing sales system, analyze Impact on Korean Housing Market by change of Sales Systems applying policies to basic Korean housing market dynamics models.

A Study on the Strength Variation According to the Air Pressure Using the Independent Bubble Type Foaming Agent (독립기포형태 기포제를 활용한 기압에 따른 강도 변화에 대한 논문)

  • You, Nam Gyu;Hong, Sang Hun;Seo, Eun-Seok;Kim, Han-Nah;Kim, Bong Joo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2018.11a
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    • pp.19-20
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    • 2018
  • As energy related problems continue to arise, Korea's thermal insulation market for the zero energy homes is also demanding major changes, but there are no realistic countermeasures. Also, interest in inorganic insulation is growing as damage from multifamily housing fire using flammable insulation materials is increasing. On the other hand, many studies have been conducted on lightweight foam concrete, which implies a sufficient possibility as an insulation material by generating a large amount of air bubbles. However, studies of existion bubble concrete are not quantified by the experimental difficulty of using bubbles when compared. Therefore, in this study, the change in strength due to air pressure using a bubble foam, one of the types of air bubbles for the development of light foam concrete.

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Estimation and Determinants on Residential Investment Profits in Seoul: A Focus on Housing Transaction Price from 2010 to 2018 (서울시 주택 예상투자이익 추정과 영향요인에 대한 시론적 분석 - 2010-2018년 주택 실거래가를 중심으로 -)

  • Ahn, Hye-Sung;Kang, Chang-Deok
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.37-50
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    • 2020
  • Estimating investment profits of real estate is critical to understand real estate markets and create relevant policy as real estate market and capital market combines closely. Thus, this study applied the concept of Tobin's Q to estimate investment profits for apartments as well as row-houses and multi-family homes in Seoul from 2010 to 2018. Investment profits were estimated by two approaches: subtracting the replacement cost from the transaction price and calculating ratio of the transaction price to the replacement cost, respectively. The spatio-temporal changes in investment profits were apparent in apartments compared with row-houses and multi-family homes. As a result of analyzing the spatial econometrics models, the investment profit was higher in the area with high density and new developments regardless of the housing types. The framework and key findings would be the effective reference to understand residential investment behavior, create relevant housing policy, introduce value capture of windfall, measure regional competitiveness, and estimate housing bubble.

A Case Study on the Operation and Management of Community Service Programs in Japanese Condominiums (일본 분양아파트의 생활서비스프로그램 운영실태 사례 연구)

  • Kang, Soon-Joo
    • Korean Institute of Interior Design Journal
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.85-93
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    • 2011
  • The Japanese housing market has implemented management and operation systems of community service ahead of the Korean market. This paper examines case studies of Japanese community services by reviewing related studies, studying homepages, and conducting in-depth interviews with management staff. The goal of this study is to find marketing strategies and the proper management practices in preparation for the upcoming low-fertility and aging society. The results of this study are as follows: 1) After Japan's bubble economy burst in 1985, so called that incorporated various community facilities with life services were introduced to the Japanese housing market in order to cope with the diversifying family types and lifestyles. This new trend was also due in part to customers' increasing demands for convenient urban condominiums. 2) In Japan, many developers and construction companies have run the management of community service programs and created new business models in collaboration with other affiliated companies. However, many of these programs have been found even more successful and reliable when the facility management companies collaborate with local service providers instead of relying solely on affiliated companies. 3) The early stage of life services began with "front-desk services", but these have evolved into more upgraded "concierge services" that can provide residents with tailored services and conveniences. Furthermore, some of the service providers have encouraged resident participation in the process of designing and implementing their community services. 4) In Korea, most construction companies and developers are still oriented toward providing hardware such as spaces and facilities in developing their community services. Therefore, companies with high market reputations must seek alternative ways to maintain and enhance their brand values by implementing new approaches in collaboration with both affiliated companies and local service providers. This can be done by finding new notions of managing and operating community services through research and development.

Home Financing and its Debt Load of Home-owning Households in korea (권역별 주택금융부채 실태)

  • Han, Ji-Young;Lee, Hyun-Jeong
    • Proceeding of Spring/Autumn Annual Conference of KHA
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    • 2011.04a
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    • pp.296-300
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    • 2011
  • It's well known that housing is one of the largest holdings in household wealth and at the same time the majority of households highly concentrate on it for their wealth accumulation. Coupled with a low interest rate and increasing housing price, the rationale is conspicuous and the propensity to debt-financed consumption becomes strengthened. This research was to examine the risk of home financing. In doing so, the study utilized several secondary data to identify the characteristics of households who finance loans for home buying in three regions of the nation - so-called Bubble 7, Seoul Metropolitan Area, and others. Based on the 2009 KB survey, the major findings were as follows: the majority of the studied households in Seoul Metropolitan Area who owned a house lived in rental housing, housing accounted for 89% of the household wealth, and home loans taken on were a ballon payment amortized for a short-term period (5 years) with an adjustable interest rate. In addition, the payment method most of the households depend on is income. The financing mechanism fueled debt load of the households, and further they are financially very vulnerable to such factors as increase in interest rate, unemployment and market downturn. In the absence of understanding the financial system, the consumption behavior leads to house-poor, so that financial accountability and ethics are addressed while the intervention of the government in home financing system should be more cautious but stimulate financial soundness in household wealth accumulation.

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