• Title/Summary/Keyword: extreme utility

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Validation of Extreme Rainfall Estimation in an Urban Area derived from Satellite Data : A Case Study on the Heavy Rainfall Event in July, 2011 (위성 자료를 이용한 도시지역 극치강우 모니터링: 2011년 7월 집중호우를 중심으로)

  • Yoon, Sun-Kwon;Park, Kyung-Won;Kim, Jong Pil;Jung, Il-Won
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.47 no.4
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    • pp.371-384
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    • 2014
  • This study developed a new algorithm of extreme rainfall extraction based on the Communication, Ocean and Meteorological Satellite (COMS) and the Tropical Rainfall Measurement Mission (TRMM) Satellite image data and evaluated its applicability for the heavy rainfall event in July-2011 in Seoul, South Korea. The power-series-regression-based Z-R relationship was employed for taking into account for empirical relationships between TRMM/PR, TRMM/VIRS, COMS, and Automatic Weather System(AWS) at each elevation. The estimated Z-R relationship ($Z=303R^{0.72}$) agreed well with observation from AWS (correlation coefficient=0.57). The estimated 10-minute rainfall intensities from the COMS satellite using the Z-R relationship generated underestimated rainfall intensities. For a small rainfall event the Z-R relationship tended to overestimated rainfall intensities. However, the overall patterns of estimated rainfall were very comparable with the observed data. The correlation coefficients and the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 10-minute rainfall series from COMS and AWS gave 0.517, and 3.146, respectively. In addition, the averaged error value of the spatial correlation matrix ranged from -0.530 to -0.228, indicating negative correlation. To reduce the error by extreme rainfall estimation using satellite datasets it is required to take into more extreme factors and improve the algorithm through further study. This study showed the potential utility of multi-geostationary satellite data for building up sub-daily rainfall and establishing the real-time flood alert system in ungauged watersheds.

Experimental Design Depicted on Hussein Chalayan' Works (Hussein Chalayan의 실험적 디자인)

  • 장애란
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Costume
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    • v.52 no.5
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    • pp.91-107
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    • 2002
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate the experimental design by using deconstructive design and mobile design depicted on Hussein Chalayan' works. Hussein Chalayan, the Turkish-Cypriot who is based in London, says' Challenging is the best word for me'. And so word, 'radical' that has difficult connotations was chosen for this study It implies two menainigs for the word. The first thing is "extreme" - something that is drastic. And 'Applied to clothes', it can probably mean "experimental". He has iconoclastic ideas and his ramp shows are always high on concept, experimentation of art and utility. His approach to fashion derives from philosophical and intellectual theories of deconstruction and mobility, which he expresses through his designs. Deconstructionism, in fashion, rejects customary rules and breaks all conventions. It questions aesthetic norms about bodily proportions and the criteria of beauty, emphasizes the adding on, or discovery of, an irrational moment, and reveals the processes of tailoring in clothing. The shape and the construction of the garment is more important than the color. Cuts. tears, asymmetries, matching different materials are among the most evident features of the deconstructive design. And Chalayan performed the mobile design of transforming furniture into clothes. Chair covers became dresses. a coffee table became a skirt which were designed by Chalayan, with geometric and architectural references. Chalayan says he was inspired by the idea of refugees fleeing. Besides Chalayan uses clothing as an art to reinterpret and reform the human body in a continuous tour de force of body/identity conceptualism and dressmaking. He reflect the body's function in the cultural context of architecture, science, or nature - and then attempt to translate his findings into clothing.dings into clothing.

Simulation of Inundation at Mokpo City Using a Coupled Tide-Surge Model (조석-해일 결합모형을 이용한 목포시 범람 모의)

  • Park, Seon-Jung;Kang, Ju-Whan;Moon, Seung-Rok;Kim, Yang-Seon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.93-100
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    • 2011
  • A coupled tide-surge model, which has been evaluated the utility in the previous study, is applied for simulating the inundation phenomena. The coupled model system adopts the hydrodynamic module of MIKE21 software, and the study area is identical to the previous study. The only difference is additional detailed areas for simulating inundation. An artificial scenario of a virtual typhoon striking Mokpo coastal zone at spring high tide is simulated. Then the calculated water level corresponds to the extreme high water level(556 cm) for 100 year return period. The result also shows the inundation depth is 50~100 cm not only near the Mokpo Inner Port but also near the Mokpo North Port. Finally, the coastal inundation prediction map is drawn on the basis of inundation simulation results.

A Study on the Values of MBS of Various Security Designs (주택저당증권(MBS)의 발행구조에 관한 연구 : 다양한 MBS 구조설계를 중심으로)

  • Yoo, Jin
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.165-191
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    • 2006
  • I examine the relationship between values and security designs of MBS(mortgage-backed securities), using four different types of them. To this end I consider a pass-through and three different kinds of CMOs(collateralized mortgage obligations). It turns out that the pass-through has the lowest value and that, among CMOs, that of a senior-mezzanine-subordinate design has the highest value. This implies that CMOs of a simple and extreme design, like that of a senior-subordinate design, are not likely to be the best CMOs for risk averse buyers. Another critical finding is that the optimal security design of CMOs or MBS does exist in the form of an interior solution. This indicates that MBS issuers could charge higher prices of MBS given their underlying mortgages by tailoring MBS security designs to the needs or utilities of MBS buyers, usually by removing and combining risks of component tranches of MBS. Accordingly a thorough study of realistic utility functions of MBA buyers could enhance the values or prices of MBS to be issued.

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Development of a Risk Assessment Program for Chemical Terrorism (화학적 테러에 대한 위험성 평가 프로그램 개발)

  • Lee, Younghee;Kim, Eunyong;Kim, Jinkyung;Moon, Il
    • Journal of Korean Society of societal Security
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.63-67
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    • 2008
  • This study focuses on assessing the security ri sk or the terrorism in chemical process industries. This research modifies conventional method for assessing the terrorism risk. The risk assessment method is developed and it is implemented as software to analyze the possibility of terrorism and sabotage. This program includes five steps; asset characterization, threat assessment, vulnerability analysis, risk assessment and new countermeasures. It is a systematic, risk based approach in which risk is a function of the severity of consequences of an undesired event, the likelihood of adversary attack, and the likelihood of adversary success in causing the undesired event. The reliability of the program is verified using a dock zone case. The case dock zone includes a storage farm, a manufacturing plant, an electrical supply utility, a hydrotreater unit, many containers, and administration buildings. This study represents chemical terrorism response technology, the prevention plan, and new countermeasure to mitigate by using risk assessment methods in the chemical industry and public sector. This study suggests an effective approach to the chemical terrorism response management.

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A study on the type analysis of design magazine through analyzing tool of Magazine Identity (매거진아이덴티티(Magazine Identity)분석툴을 통한 디자인잡지 유형분석연구)

  • 이나리;백진경
    • Archives of design research
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.15-24
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    • 2004
  • Information technology (IT) revolution rapidly advanced from the end of the 20th century has caused an extreme change in the publication market, which brought fierce struggle for existence. In this whirlpool, magazine, which is settling as a part of culture and as a center field of publication, presswork, is concentrating in making new determined position with comparatively liberal theme. So identity study that enables readers to remember a magazine more easily, will suggest a new direction of improvement as a culture business by inducing the brand-making of a magazine. This study is focused on the ability of configuration of its unique image of a magazine building an identity in the magazine design field. Each type of magazine has common characteristics but even though it is grouped into same type, it shows mobility on the relative importance of application according to the strategy of the magazine rather than matching perfectly to the type. The result is limited to the range of professional design magazine. However, through result-pursuing study procedure, it is anticipated of its gui dance of improvement of magazine design at large as well as professional design magazine by inquiring of consequence and utility of Magazine Identity in the digital age and clarifying the role of magazine design.

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Synthesis of Energetic Metal-free Cyclo-pentazolate Salts Through Efficient Preparation Method (효율적인 제조 방법을 통한 비금속-펜타졸 염화합물의 합성)

  • Kown, Kuktae;Kim, Seunghee;Lee, Sojung;Yoo, Hae-Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.66-73
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    • 2021
  • The development of excellent high-energy materials has progressed in the direction of synthesizing compounds with high nitrogen content, ultimately oriented toward the form of polynitrogen. As cyclo-N5-, a type of polynitrogen, is synthesized as sodium pentazolate(NaN5) and the results of various metal and non-metal compounds have been studied, the usage of polynitrogen compounds is attracting attention. However, since the known synthesis and purification method of NaN5 are very extreme and complicated, it is essential to improve the process in order to increase the utility of the pentazolate compounds in the future. In this study, only a simple filtration method was applied to purify the NaN5, and based on this, two non-metal pentazolate salt compounds were successfully synthesized.

Development of the RP and SP Combined using Error Component Method (Error Component 방법을 이용한 RP.SP 결합모형 개발)

  • 김강수;조혜진
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.119-130
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    • 2003
  • SP data have been widely used in assessing new transport policies and transport related plans. However, one of criticisms of using SP is that respondents may show different reaction between hypothetical experiments and real life. In order to overcome the problem, combination of SP and RP data has been suggested and the combined methods have been being developed. The purpose of this paper is to suggest a new SP and RP combined method using error component method and to verify the method. The error component method decomposes IID extreme value error into non-IID error component(s) and an IID error component. The method estimates both of component parameters and utility parameters in order to obtain relative variance of SP data and RP data. The artificial SP and RP data was created by using simulation and used for the analysis, and the estimation results of the error component method were compared with those of existing SP and RP combined methods. The results show that regardless of data size, the parameters of the error component method models are similar to those assumed parameters much more than those of the existing SP and RP combined models, indicating usefulness of the error component method. Also the values of time for error component method are more similar to those assumed values than those of the existing combined models. Therefore, we can conclude that the error component method is useful in combining SP and RP data and more efficient than the existing methods.

Dynamic Nonlinear Prediction Model of Univariate Hydrologic Time Series Using the Support Vector Machine and State-Space Model (Support Vector Machine과 상태공간모형을 이용한 단변량 수문 시계열의 동역학적 비선형 예측모형)

  • Kwon, Hyun-Han;Moon, Young-Il
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.3B
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    • pp.279-289
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    • 2006
  • The reconstruction of low dimension nonlinear behavior from the hydrologic time series has been an active area of research in the last decade. In this study, we present the applications of a powerful state space reconstruction methodology using the method of Support Vector Machines (SVM) to the Great Salt Lake (GSL) volume. SVMs are machine learning systems that use a hypothesis space of linear functions in a Kernel induced higher dimensional feature space. SVMs are optimized by minimizing a bound on a generalized error (risk) measure, rather than just the mean square error over a training set. The utility of this SVM regression approach is demonstrated through applications to the short term forecasts of the biweekly GSL volume. The SVM based reconstruction is used to develop time series forecasts for multiple lead times ranging from the period of two weeks to several months. The reliability of the algorithm in learning and forecasting the dynamics is tested using split sample sensitivity analyses, with a particular interest in forecasting extreme states. Unlike previously reported methodologies, SVMs are able to extract the dynamics using only a few past observed data points (Support Vectors, SV) out of the training examples. Considering statistical measures, the prediction model based on SVM demonstrated encouraging and promising results in a short-term prediction. Thus, the SVM method presented in this study suggests a competitive methodology for the forecast of hydrologic time series.