• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
• /
• 제35권1호
• /
• pp.91-103
• /
• 2006

Yun (2005) introduced an estimator of the second order parameter characterizing the tail behavior of probability distributions and proved its consistency. In this paper we prove its asymptotic normality under a third order condition.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
• /
• 제34권4호
• /
• pp.273-280
• /
• 2005

In this paper we introduce an estimator of the second order parameter characterizing the tail behavior of probability distributions and prove its consistency.

• 응용통계연구
• /
• 제27권4호
• /
• pp.655-665
• /
• 2014

폭염, 폭우와 가뭄 등과 같은 이상 기후 현상에 대한 적절한 대응이 최근 많이 요구되고 있다. 이상 기후 현상을 분석하기 위해 극단값 분석 기법을 적용할 수 있는데, 본 논문은에서는 한국의 여름철 강수량 자료(1973년부터 2012년까지의 5월부터 9월)를 분계점 초과값 모형으로 분석해보았다. 분계점은 한국의 기상관측소들을 5개의 군집으로 나누어, 각 군집별로 지리 정보와 시간을 공변량으로 하는 분위수 회귀 방법을 통하여 추정하였다. Northrop과 Jonathan (2011)과 같이 극단값들이 시공간적으로 독립이라고 가정하고 분석한 후, 추정오차와 검정 과정에 공간 종속성을 반영하였다.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
• /
• 제30권3호
• /
• pp.419-433
• /
• 2001

In this paper we introduce a method of improving efficiency of the moment estimator of Dekkers, Einmahl and de Haan(1989) for the extreme value index $\beta$. a new estimator of $\beta$ is proposed by adding the third moment ot the original moment estimator which is composed of the first two moments of the log-transformed sample data. We establish asymptotic normality of the new estimator and examine and adaptive procedure for the new estimator. The resulting adaptive estimator proves to be asymptotically better than the moment estimator particularly for $\beta$<0.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
• /
• 제15권5호
• /
• pp.793-798
• /
• 2008

Extreme value inference deals with fitting the generalized extreme value distribution model and the generalized Pareto distribution model, which are recently combined to give a single model, namely a two-dimensional non-homogeneous Poisson exceedance point process model. In this paper, we extend the two-dimensional non-homogeneous Poisson process model to include non-stationary effect or dependence on covariates and then derive the likelihood for the extended model.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
• /
• 제16권3호
• /
• pp.629-638
• /
• 2005

We derive the approximate maximum likelihood estimators of the scale parameter and location parameter of the extreme value distribution based on multiply Type-II censored samples. We compare the proposed estimators in the sense of the mean squared error for various censored samples.

• 응용통계연구
• /
• 제23권4호
• /
• pp.635-650
• /
• 2010

We model surrender rates with a few explanatory variables such as the difference between reference marke rates and product crediting rates, the policy age since the contract was issued, unemployment rates, economy growth rates, and seasonal effects using logit function. We investigate the policy holder surrender behaviors of US single premium deferred annuities(SPDA) and Korean interest indexed annuities under extreme financial conditions.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
• /
• 제28권1호
• /
• pp.57-72
• /
• 1999

Falk(1994) showed that the asymptotic efficiency of the Pickands estimator of the extreme value index $\beta$ can considerably be improved by a simple convex combination. In this paper we propose an alternative estimator of $\beta$ which is as asymptotically efficient as the optimal convex combination of the Pickands estimators but has a better finite-sample performance. We prove consistency and asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator. Monte Carlo simulations are conducted to compare the finite-sample performances of the proposed estimator and the optimal convex combination estimator.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
• /
• 제25권3호
• /
• pp.313-336
• /
• 1996

In this paper we consider weak convergence of some rescaled transi-tion probabilities of a real-valued, k-th order (k $\geq$ 1) stationary Markov chain. Under the assumption that the joint distribution of K + 1 consecutive variables belongs to the domain of attraction of a multivariate extreme value distribution, the paper gives a sufficient condition for the weak convergence and characterizes the limiting distribution via the multivariate extreme value distribution.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
• /
• 제31권3호
• /
• pp.315-328
• /
• 2002

As an extension of the well-known Pickands (1975) estimate. for the extreme value index, Yun (2002) introduced a generalized Pickands estimator. This paper searches for a minimax estimator in the sense of minimizing the maximum asymptotic relative efficiency of the Pickands estimator with respect to the generalized one. To reduce the asymptotic variance of the resulting estimator, convex combinations of the minimax estimator are also considered and their asymptotic normality is established. Finally, the optimal combination is determined and proves to be superior to the generalized Pickands estimator.