• Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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• 제9권3호
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• pp.262-274
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• 2010

This article investigates how to adaptively predict the time-varying metrology delay that could realistically occur in the semiconductor manufacturing practice. Metrology delays pose a great challenge for the existing run-to-run (R2R) controllers, driving the process output significantly away from target if not adequately predicted. First, the expected asymptotic double exponentially weighted moving average (DEWMA) control output, by using the EWMA and recursive least squares (RLS) prediction methods, is derived. It has been found that the relationships between the expected control output and target in both estimation methods are parallel, and six cases are addressed. Within the context of time-varying metrology delay, this paper presents a modified recursive least squares-linear trend (RLS-LT) controller, in combination with runs test. Simulated single input-single output (SISO) R2R processes subject to various time-varying metrology delay scenarios are used as a testbed to evaluate the proposed algorithms. The simulation results indicate that the modified RLS-LT controller can yield the process output more accurately on target with smaller mean squared error (MSE) than the original RLSLT controller that only deals with constant metrology delays.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제4권
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• pp.31-44
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• 1993

Multivariate exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts for monitoring the variance-covariance matrix are investigated. A variable sampling interval (VSI) feature is considered in these charts. Multivariate EWMA control charts for monitoring the variance-covariance matrix are compared on the basis of their average time to signal (ATS) performances. The numerical results show that multivariate VSI EWMA control charts are more efficient than corrsponding multivariate fixed sampling interval (FSI) EWMA control charts.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제13권1호
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• pp.105-112
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• 2002

In this paper we establish bivariate exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts for autocorrelated processes using residual vectors. We first derive the residual vectors, their expectation, variance-covariance matrix, then evaluate the control chart based on the average run length (ARL).

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제4권3호
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• pp.715-723
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• 1997

Multivariate control statistics to simultaneously monitor both means and variances for several quality variables under multivariate normal process are proposed. Performances of the proposed multivariate charts are evaluated in terms of average run length(ARL). Multivariate Shewhart chart is also proposed to compare the performances of multivariate exponentially weighted moving average(EWMA) charts. A numerical comparison shows that multivariate EWMA charts are more efficient than multivariate Shewhart chart for small and moderate shifts and multivariate EWMA scheme based on accumulate-combine approach is more efficient than corresponding multivariate EWMA chart based on combine-accumulate approach.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제10권1호
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• pp.233-241
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• 1999

본 논문에서는 공정평균을 관리하기 위한 관리도로서 지수가중 이동평균(EWMA)관리도를 고려하였다. 기존의 표본평균에 기초한 관리도의 비로버스트성 (non-robustness)에 근거하여 공정평균의 로버스트 추정량인 M-추정량에 기초한 지수가중 이동평균 관리도를 제안하였다. 제안된 관리도의 성능을 기존의 관리도와 비교해 보기 위하여 다양한 상황에서 모의실험을 행하였으며, 실험결과 제안된 관리도의 우수성이 입증되었다.

• 품질경영학회지
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• 제31권2호
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• pp.183-193
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• 2003

A special cause producing temporary deviation in the underlying process can influence on process adjustment in responsive feedback control system. In this paper, the impact of special causes on the EWMA(Exponentially Weighted Moving Average) forecasts and the process adjustment that is based on the EWMA forecasts are derived. For some special causes with patterned type of contamination, the influence of the causes on the output process are explicitly investigated. A data set, contaminated by a special cause of level shift, is analyzed to evaluate the impact numerically.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 2009년도 제40회 하계학술대회
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• pp.1731_1732
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• 2009

This paper presents a stability analysis of networked control systems with packet dropouts. The packet dropouts are modeled as a linear function of the stochastic variable satisfying Bernoulli random binary distribution and weighted moving average (WMA). The observer based controller scheme is designed to exponentially mean square stabilize the NCS. Simulation results is provided to show the applicability of the proposed method.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제15권26호
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• pp.119-124
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• 1992

본 논문은 장치산업에서 적용되는 다변량 EWMA 공정제어와 통계적 공정감시 통합시스템을 제안한다. 본 논문에서 제안한 통합시스템은 자동공정제어(APC)의 예측, 조정기능과 통계적 정정감시(SPM)의 이상점 발견 및 제거등의 각각의 장점을 이용하였다. 기존의 다변량 EWMA연구는 데이타간의 독립성을 가정하였으나 본 논문은 데이타간의 종속적인 형태인 IMA(1,1)모델을 대상으로 하였다.

• 대한전기학회논문지
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• 제35권5호
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• pp.193-198
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• 1986

In this paper, 1-168 hours ahead load prediction algorithm is developed for power system economic weekly operation. Total load is composed of three components, which are base load, week load and weather-sensitive load. Base load and week load are predicted by moving average and exponential smoothing method, respectively. The days of moving average and smoothing constant are optimally determined. Weather-sensitive load is modeled by linear form. The paramiters of weather load model are estimated by exponentially weighted recursive least square method. The load prediction of special day is very tedious, difficult and remains many problems which should be improved. Test results are given for the day of different types using the actual load data of KEPCO.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제7권3호
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• pp.773-788
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• 2000

Statistical process control (SPC) and engineering process control (EPC) are based on different strategies for processes quality improvement. SPC reduces process variability by detecting and eliminating special causes of process variation. while EPC reduces process variability by adjusting compensatory variables to keep the quality variable close to target. Recently there has been needs for a process control proceduce which combines the tow strategies. This paper considers a combined scheme which simultaneously applies SPC and EPC techniques to reduce the variation of a process. The process model under consideration is an integrated moving average(IMA) process with a step shift. The EPC part of the scheme adjusts the process back to target at every fixed monitoring intervals, which is referred to a repeated adjustment scheme. The SPC part of the scheme uses an exponentially weighted moving average(EWMA) of observed deviation from target to detect special causes. A Markov chain model is developed to relate the scheme's expected cost per unit time to the design parameters of he combined control scheme. The expected cost per unit time is composed of off-target cost, adjustment cost, monitoring cost, and false alarm cost.