• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• 제22권2호
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• pp.147-157
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• 1993

In the survivla analysis the problem of estimating mean residual life function (MRLF) under random censoring is very important. In this paper we propose and study a nonparametric estimator of MRLF, which is a functional form based on the estimator of the survival function due to Susarla and Van Ryzin (1980). The proposed estimator is shown to be better than some other estimators in terms of mean square errors for the exponential and Weibull cases via Monte Carlo simulation studies.

• 한국통계학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국통계학회 2004년도 학술발표논문집
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• pp.135-140
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• 2004

Lindsay and Basu (1994)에 의해 소개된 최소차이추정량 (Minimum Disparity Estimators)들은 실제 자료 분석 도구로써 유용하다. 본 논문에서는 최소일반화음지수 차이추정량 (Minimum Generalized Negative Exponential Disparity Estimator, MGNEDE)이 최대가능도추정량 (Maximum Likelihood Estimator, MLE)와 최소가중 헬링거거리추정량 (Minimum Blended Weight Hellinger Distance Estimator, MBWHDE)에 비해 오염된 정규모형에서 효율적이고 로버스트하다는 것을 모의실험을 통하여 확인하였다. 또한 세 가지 추정량들에 의해 추정된 모수들을 이용하여 판별하였을 때 자 추정량득의 판별율을 비교함으로써 오염된 정규모형에서 MLE의 대안으로 MGNEDE와 MBWHDE를 사용할 수 있음을 보였다.

• ETRI Journal
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• 제14권4호
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• pp.19-27
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• 1992

Since. as is well known, direct computation of the reliability for a large-scaled and complex net work generally requires exponential time, a variety of alternative methods to estimate the network reliability using simulation have been proposed. Monte Carlo sampling is the major approach to estimate the network reliability using simulation. In the paper, a dynamic Monte Carlo sampling method, called conditional minimal cut set (CMCS) algorithm, is suggested. The CMCS algorithm simulates a minimal cut set composed of arcs originated from the (conditional) source node until s-t connectedness is confirmed, then reduces the network on the basis of the states of simulated arcs. We develop the importance sampling estimator and the total hazard estimator and compare the performance of these simulation estimators. It is found that the CMCS algorithm is useful in reducing variance of network reliability estimator.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제25권5호
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• pp.569-575
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• 2018

Pareto distribution is important to analyze data in actuarial sciences, reliability, finance, and climatology. In general, unknown parameters of the Pareto distribution are estimated based on the maximum likelihood method that may yield inadequate inference results for small sample sizes and high percent censored data. In this paper, a new approach based on the regression framework is proposed to estimate unknown parameters of the Pareto distribution under the progressive Type-II censoring scheme. The proposed method provides a new regression type estimator that employs the spacings of exponential progressive Type-II censored samples. In addition, the provided estimator is a consistent estimator with superior performance compared to maximum likelihood estimators in terms of the mean squared error and bias. The validity of the proposed method is assessed through Monte Carlo simulations and real data analysis.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제9권1호
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• pp.153-164
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• 1996

분포함수의 모수가 순서제약조건을 갖는 경우에 깁스샘플러(Gibbs sampler)를 이용한 모수 추정에 관해 논의하였다. 순서화 모수를 갖는 지수분포족 및 이항분포모형을 고려하고 완전조건부 분포를 유도하였으며 순서제약 조건을 만족하는 표본추출을 위해 일 대 일 대응 추출 알고리즘을 적용하였다. 동위회귀 최우추정량 및 동위베이지안 추정량과 그 결과를 비교하였다.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제23권6호
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• pp.479-496
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• 2016

In this survey, we present a modified inverse moment estimation of parameters and its applications. We use a specific model to demonstrate its principle and how to apply this method in practice. The estimation of unknown parameters is considered. A necessary and sufficient condition for the existence and uniqueness of maximum-likelihood estimates of the parameters is obtained for the classical maximum likelihood estimation. Inverse moment and modified inverse moment estimators are proposed and their properties are studied. Monte Carlo simulations are conducted to compare the performances of these estimators. As far as the biases and mean squared errors are concerned, modified inverse moment estimator works the best in all cases considered for estimating the unknown parameters. Its performance is followed by inverse moment estimator and maximum likelihood estimator, especially for small sample sizes.

• 융합보안논문지
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• 제7권1호
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• pp.45-53
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• 2007

유한고장수를 가진 비동질적인 포아송 과정에 기초한 모형들에서 잔존 결함 1개당 고장 발생률은 일반적으로 상수, 혹은 단조증가 및 단조 감소 추세를 가지고 있다. 본 논문에서는 기존의 소프트웨어 신뢰성 모형인 Goel-Okumoto 모형과 Yamada-Ohba-Osaki 모형을 재조명하고 이 분야에 적용될 수 있는 hyper-exponential 분포를 이용한 모형을 제안하였다. 수치적인 예에서는 Minitab(version 14) 통계 페키지에 있는 와이블분포(형상모수가 0.5이고 척도모수가 1)에서 발생시킨 30개의 난수를 이용한 모의 실험 고장 간격시간으로 구성된 자료를 이용하였고 모수추정 방법은 최우추정법 과 일반적인 수치해석 방법인 이분법을 사용하여 모수 추정을 실시하였다. 그리고 모형 설정과 선택 판단기준은 편차 자승합을 이용한 적합도 검정이 사용되었다.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제26권6호
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• pp.623-633
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• 2019

This paper proposes two distance measures between two cumulative hazard functions that can be obtained by comparing their difference and ratio, respectively. Then we estimate the measures and present goodness of t test statistics. Since the proposed test statistics are expressed in terms of the cumulative hazard functions, we can easily give more weights on earlier (or later) departures in cumulative hazards if we like to place an emphasis on earlier (or later) departures. We also show that these test statistics present comparable performances with other well-known test statistics based on the empirical distribution function for an exponential null distribution. The proposed test statistic is an omnibus test which is applicable to other lots of distributions than an exponential distribution.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제17권4호
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• pp.1375-1386
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• 2006

In life testing, the lifetimes of test units under the usual conditions are so long that life testing at usual conditions is impractical. Testing units are subjected to conditions of high stress to yield informations quickly. In this paper, the inferences of parameters on the three step-stress accelerated life testing are studied. The two-parameter exponential distribution with a failure rate function that a log-quadratic function of stress and the tempered failure rate model are considered. We obtain the maximum likelihood estimators of the model parameters and their confidence regions. A numerical example will be given to illustrate the proposed inferential procedures.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제24권3호
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• pp.445-451
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• 2013

시간 중도 절단된 지수모형에서 고장이 일어나는 즉시 고장 난 부품들을 새로운 부품들로 대체시키는 방법을 고려하였다. 이때 대체 가능한 개수를 제한하는 조건하에서 부품들의 수명분포가 모두 같은 경우와 모두 같지 않은 일반적인 경우에 대한 모수의 최우추정량을 구하였다. 그리고 모의실험을 통해 대체 가능한 개수를 제한한 경우의 모수에 대한 최우추정량과, 대체개수를 제한하지 않은 경우의 모수에 대한 최우추정량을 평균제곱오차의 관점에서 비교하고, 그 차이가 미세하게 되는 제한된 대체 개수를 제시하였다.