• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.25 no.4
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• pp.355-371
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• 2018

The two parameter negative exponential distribution has many practical applications in queuing theory such as the service times of agents in system, the time it takes before your next telephone call, the time until a radioactive practical decays, the distance between mutations on a DNA strand, and the extreme values of annual snowfall or rainfall; consequently, has many applications in reliability systems. This paper considers an estimation problem of stress-strength model with two parameter negative parameter exponential distribution. We introduce a maximum penalized likelihood method, Bayes estimator using Lindley approximation to estimate stress-strength model and compare the proposed estimators with regular maximum likelihood estimator for complete data. We also introduce a maximum penalized likelihood method, Bayes estimator using a Markov chain Mote Carlo technique for incomplete data. A Monte Carlo simulation study is performed to compare stress-strength model estimates. Real data is used as a practical application of the proposed model.

• Journal of the Chungcheong Mathematical Society
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• v.21 no.4
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• pp.501-510
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• 2008

The distribution of the sum of n independent random variables having exponential distributions with different parameters ${\beta}_i$ ($i=1,2,{\ldots},n$) is given in [2], [3], [4] and [6]. In [1], by using Laplace transform, Jasiulewicz and Kordecki generalized the results obtained by Sen and Balakrishnan in [6] and established a formula for the distribution of this sum without conditions on the parameters ${\beta}_i$. The aim of this note is to present a method to find the distribution of the sum of n independent exponentially distributed random variables with different parameters. Our method can also be used to handle the case when all ${\beta}_i$ are the same.

• Wind and Structures
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• v.16 no.4
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• pp.355-372
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• 2013

The Gringorten estimator has been extensively used in extreme value analysis of wind speed records to obtain unbiased estimates of design wind speeds. This paper reviews the derivation of the Gringorten estimator for the mean plotting position of extremes drawn from parents of the exponential type and demonstrates how it eliminates most of the bias caused by the classical Weibull estimator. It is shown that the coefficients in the Gringorten estimator are the asymptotic values for infinite sample sizes, whereas the estimator is most often used for small sample sizes. The principles used by Gringorten are used to derive a new Consistent Linear Unbiased Estimator (CLUE) for the mean plotting positions for the Fisher Tippett Type 1, Exponential and Weibull distributions and for the associated standard deviations. Analytical and Bootstrap methods are used to calibrate the bias error in each of the estimators and to show that the CLUE are accurate to better than 1%.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 1996.07b
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• pp.887-889
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• 1996

This paper presents Variance Reduction Techniques of the Monte Carlo Simulation considering Non-Exponential Distribution for Power System Reliability Evaluation. Generally, the components consisting of power system are assumed to be exponentially distributed in their state residence time. Sometimes, however, this assumption may cause a lot of errors in the reliability index evaluation. Non-exponential distribution can be approximated by a sum of several Erlangian distributions, whose inverse transform is easily calculated by using composition method. This paper proposes a new approach to deal with the non-exponential distribution and to reduce the simulation time by virtue of Variance Reduction Techniques such as Control Variate and Antithetic Variate.

• Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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• v.42 no.1
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• pp.1-14
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• 2014

Purpose: In this paper, the minimal repair-replacement warranty policy is used to carry out a warranty cost analysis with warranty servicing times and failure times that are statistically correlated to bivariate distributions. Methods: Based on the developed approach by Park and Pham (2012a), we investigate the property of the Freund's bivariate exponential distribution and obtain the number of warranty services using the field data to conduct the warranty cost analysis. Results: Maximum likelihood estimates are presented to estimate the parameters and the warranty model is investigated using a Freund's bivariate exponential distribution. A numerical example is discussed to deal with the applicability of the developed approach in the paper. Conclusion: A novel approach of analyzing the warranty cost is proposed for a product in which failure times and warranty servicing times are used simultaneously to investigate the eligibility of a warranty claim.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.19 no.5
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• pp.697-704
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• 2012

The maximum likelihood(ML) estimation of the scale parameters of an exponential distribution based on progressive Type II censored samples is given. The sample is multiply censored (some middle observations being censored); however, the ML method does not admit explicit solutions. In this paper, we propose multiply progressive Type II censoring. This paper presents the statistical inference on the scale parameter for the exponential distribution when samples are multiply progressive Type II censoring. The scale parameter is estimated by approximate ML methods that use two different Taylor series expansion types ($AMLE_I$, $AMLE_{II}$). We also obtain the maximum likelihood estimator(MLE) of the scale parameter under the proposed multiply progressive Type II censored samples. We compare the estimators in the sense of the mean square error(MSE). The simulation procedure is repeated 10,000 times for the sample size n = 20 and 40 and various censored schemes. The $AMLE_{II}$ is better than MLE and $AMLE_I$ in the sense of the MSE.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.18 no.4
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• pp.485-493
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• 2011

The proportional likelihood ratio order is an extension of the likelihood ratio order for the non-negative absolutely continuous random variables. In addition, the Lindley distribution has been over looked as a mixture of two exponential distributions due to the popularity of the exponential distribution. In this paper, we first recalled the above concepts and then obtained various properties of the Lindley distribution due to the proportional likelihood ratio order. These results are more general than the likelihood ratio ordering aspects related to this distribution. Finally, we discussed the proportional likelihood ratio ordering in view of the weighted version of the Lindley distribution.

• Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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• v.22 no.2
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• pp.195-203
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• 2008

This study collected the latest 30-year (1976~2005) continuous rainfall data hourly recorded at 61 meterological observatories in Korea. The continuous rainfall data was divided into individual rainfall events. In addition, distribution charts of average intervent times between adjacent rainfall events were created to facilitate the application to the overflow risk-based design of storm-water infiltration basin. This study shows that the one-parameter exponential distribution is suitable for the frequency distribution of the average intervent times for the domestic rainfall data. Distribution charts of the average intervent times were created for 4 hour and 6 hour of storm separation time, respectively. The inland Gyeongsangbuk-do and Western coastal area had relatively longer average intervent times, whereas Southern coastal area and Jeju-do had relatively shorter average intervent times.

• Korean Management Science Review
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• v.26 no.3
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• pp.145-156
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• 2009

The probability distribution of the repair process should be determined to choose the optimal spare level of a weapon system with a queueing model. Though most weapon systems have a multi-step repair process, previous studies use the exponential distribution for the multi-step repair process. But the PH distribution is more appropriate for this case. We utilize the PH distribution on a queueing model and solve it with MGM(Matrix Geometric Method). We derive the optimal spare level using the PH distribution and show the difference of results between the PH and exponential distribution.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.24 no.6
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• pp.1309-1317
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• 2013

There are various parameter estimation methods for the generalized exponential distribution under progressive type I interval censoring. Chen and Lio (2010) studied the parameter estimation method by the maximum likelihood estimation method, mid-point approximation method, expectation maximization algorithm and methods of moments. Among those, mid-point approximation method has the smallest mean square error in the generalized exponential distribution under progressive type I interval censoring. However, this method is difficult to derive closed form of solution for the parameter estimation using by maximum likelihood estimation method. In this paper, we propose two type of approximate maximum likelihood estimate to solve that problem. The simulation results show the obtained estimators have good performance in the sense of the mean square error. And proposed method derive closed form of solution for the parameter estimation from the generalized exponential distribution under progressive type I interval censoring.