• Title/Summary/Keyword: electronic prediction

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Development of a Sales Prediction Model of Electronic Appliances using Artificial Neural Networks (인공신경망을 이용한 가전제품의 판매예측모델 개발)

  • Seo, Kwang-Kyu
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.12 no.11
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    • pp.209-214
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    • 2014
  • Despite the recession of the global market, the domestic electronic appliance companies dominated TV market in North America. They took both the premium and mid-priced product market and achieved both profitability and volume due to strong product competitiveness and brand power. Despite doing well in the North American market, the domestic TV manufacturers are worried about product development, marketing and sales strategies to remain the continuous competitiveness in the TV market. This study proposes the a sales prediction model of electronic appliances using sales data of S company from the North American market. We develop the sales prediction models based on multiple regression analysis and artificial neural network and compare two models. Especially, this study analyzes the relevance between the TV sales and TV main features in order to improve the price competitiveness or improve the value of TV products.

Groundwater Level Prediction Using ANFIS Algorithm (ANFIS 알고리즘을 이용한 지하수수위 예측)

  • Bak, Gwi-Man;Bae, Young-Chul
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.1235-1240
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    • 2019
  • It is well known that the ground water level changes rapidly before and after the earthquake, and the variation of ground water level prediction is used to predict the earthquake. In this paper, we predict the ground water level in Miryang City using ANFIS algorithm for earthquake prediction. For this purpose, this paper used precipitation and temperature acquired from National Weather Service and data of underground water level from Rural Groundwater Observation Network of Korea Rural Community Corporation which is installed in Miryang city, Gyeongsangnam-do. We measure the prediction accuracy using RMSE and MAPE calculation methods. As a result of the prediction, the periodic pattern was predicted by natural factors, but the change value of ground water level was changed by other variables such as artificial factors that was not detected. To solve this problem, it is necessary to digitize the ground water level by numerically quantifying artificial variables, and to measure the precipitation and pressure according to the exact location of the observation ball measuring the ground water level.

A Study on Life Estimate of Insulation Cable for Image Processing of Electrical Tree (전기트리의 영상처리를 이용한 절연케이블의 수명예측에 관한 연구)

  • 정기봉;김형균;김창석;최창주;오무송;김태성
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
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    • 2001.07a
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    • pp.319-322
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    • 2001
  • The proposed system was composed of pre-processor which was executing binary/high-pass filtering and post-processor which ranged from statistic data to prediction. In post-processor work, step one was filter process of image, step two was image recognition, and step three was destruction degree/time prediction. After these processing, we could predict image of the last destruction timestamp. This research was produced variation value according to growth of tree pattern. This result showed improved correction, when this research was applied image Processing. Pre-processing step of original image had good result binary work after high pass- filter execution. In the case of using partial discharge of the image, our research could predict the last destruction timestamp. By means of experimental data, this Prediction system was acquired ${\pm}$3.2% error range.

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Optimal Interval Censoring Design for Reliability Prediction of Electronic Packages (전자패키지 신뢰성 예측을 위한 최적 구간중도절단 시험 설계)

  • Kwon, Daeil;Shin, Insun
    • Journal of the Microelectronics and Packaging Society
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.1-4
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    • 2015
  • Qualification includes all activities to demonstrate that a product meets and exceeds the reliability goals. Manufacturers need to spend time and resources for the qualification processes under the pressure of reducing time to market, as well as offering a competitive price. Failure to qualify a product could result in economic loss such as warranty and recall claims and the manufacturer could lose the reputation in the market. In order to provide valid and reliable qualification results, manufacturers are required to make extra effort based on the operational and environmental characteristics of the product. This paper discusses optimal interval censoring design for reliability prediction of electronic packages under limited time and resources. This design should provide more accurate assessment of package capability and thus deliver better reliability prediction.

Characteristic Prediction and Analysis of 3-D Embedded Passive Devices (3차원 매립형 수동소자의 특성 예측 및 분석에 대한 연구)

  • Shin, Dong-Wook;Oh, Chang-Hoon;Lee, Kyu-Bok;Kim, Jong-Kyu;Yun, Il-Gu
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
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    • 2003.07b
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    • pp.607-610
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    • 2003
  • The characteristic prediction and analysis of 3-dimensional (3-D) solenoid-type embedded inductors is investigated. The four different structures of 3-D inductor are fabricated by using low-temperature cofired ceramic (LTCC) process. The circuit model parameters of the each building block are optimized and extracted using the partial element equivalent circuit method and HSPICE circuit simulator. Based on the model parameters, predictive modeling is applied for the structures composed of the combination of the modeled building blocks. And the characteristics of test structures, such as self-resonant frequency, inductance and Q-factor, are analyzed. This approach can provide the characteristic conception of 3-D solenoid embedded inductors for structural variations.

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Linear Prediction Approach for Accurate Dual-Channel Sine-Wave Parameter Estimation in White Gaussian Noise

  • So, Hing-Cheung;Zhou, Zhenhua
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.641-644
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    • 2012
  • The problem of sinusoidal parameter estimation at two channels with common frequency in white Gaussian noise is addressed. By making use of the linear prediction property, an iterative linear least squares (LLS) algorithm for accurate frequency estimation is devised. The remaining parameters are then determined according to the LLS fit with the use of the frequency estimate. It is proven that the variance of the frequency estimate achieves Cram$\acute{e}$r-Rao lower bound at sufficiently small noise conditions.

A Study on Reliability Prediction for Korea High Speed Train Control System (한국형고속철도 열차제어시스템 하부구성요소 신뢰도예측에 관한 연구)

  • Shin Duc-Ko;Lee Jae-Ho;Lee Kang-Mi;Kim Young-Kyu
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.9 no.4 s.35
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    • pp.419-424
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    • 2006
  • In this paper we study on a method to predict and to demonstrate the reliability of the Korea high speed train control system in quantitative point of view. For the prediction of the reliability in train control system which is composed of electronic parts, Relax Software 7.7 automation tool is employed and MIL-HDBK-217 Handbook that is a standard for the prediction of the failure rate in electronic components is used. Mean Time Between Failure (MTBF) is predicted based on the failure rate of the subsystems, State Modeling and Markov Modeling method is used to express a reliability function of the train control system composed by hardware redundancy as a function of time. We propose a Reliability Test which is performed on the level of the subsystems and Failure Report, Analysing, Correction action system which use the test operation data to prove the predicted reliability.

LM-BP algorithm application for odour classification and concentration prediction using MOS sensor array (MOS 센서어레이를 이용한 냄새 분류 및 농도추정을 위한 LM-BP 알고리즘 응용)

  • 최찬석;변형기;김정도
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2000.10a
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    • pp.210-210
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, we have investigated the properties of multi-layer perceptron (MLP) for odour patterns classification and concentration estimation simultaneously. When the MLP may be has a fast convergence speed with small error and excellent mapping ability for classification, it can be possible to use for classification and concentration prediction of volatile chemicals simultaneously. However, the conventional MLP, which is back-Propagation of error based on the steepest descent method, was difficult to use for odour classification and concentration estimation simultaneously, because it is slow to converge and may fall into the local minimum. We adapted the Levenberg-Marquardt(LM) algorithm [4,5] having advantages both the steepest descent method and Gauss-Newton method instead of the conventional steepest descent method for the simultaneous classification and concentration estimation of odours. And, We designed the artificial odour sensing system(Electronic Nose) and applied LM-BP algorithm for classification and concentration prediction of VOC gases.

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Analysis of structural dynamic reliability based on the probability density evolution method

  • Fang, Yongfeng;Chen, Jianjun;Tee, Kong Fah
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.45 no.2
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    • pp.201-209
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    • 2013
  • A new dynamic reliability analysis of structure under repeated random loads is proposed in this paper. The proposed method is developed based on the idea that the probability density of several times random loads can be derived from the probability density of single-time random load. The reliability prediction models of structure based on time responses under several times random loads with and without strength degradation are obtained by using the stress-strength interference theory and probability density evolution method. The resulting differential equations in the prediction models can be solved by using the forward finite difference method. Then, the probability density functions of strength redundancy of the structures can be obtained. Finally, the structural dynamic reliability can be calculated using integral method. The efficiency of the proposed method is demonstrated numerically through a speed reducer. The results have shown that the proposed method is practicable, feasible and gives reasonably accurate prediction.

Case Study on Improvement of Reliability Prediction Accuracy in Development Phase for Aircraft (항공기 개발단계에서의 신뢰도 예측 정확도 향상에 관한 사례연구)

  • Kim, Young-Il;Byun, Kwang-Sik;Kim, Han-Tai
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.25-31
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    • 2009
  • In development phase of the Aircraft Systems, the reliability prediction of electronic equipments are usually performed using MIL-HDBK-217. The reliability of fielded electronic systems, however, used to be underestimated with MIL-HDBK-217. To solve this problem, some alternatives are suggested and Telcordia SR-332 is among them. In this case study, the reliability of ESU which controls gas turbine engine is predicted using Telcordia SR-332 along with the development test data. The predicted reliabilities of ESU using Telcordia SR-332 and MIL-HDBK-217 are also compared. As a result this case study showed that the predicted reliability using Telcordia SR-332 was better close to field(operation) reliability than MIL-HDBK-217.

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