• Title/Summary/Keyword: cumulant

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A STUDY ON THE PROBABILISTIC POWER SYSTEM PRODUCTION COSTING SIMULATION BY MONA AND MOCA METHOD (MONA 및 MOCA법에 의한 발전시뮬레이션에 관한 연구)

  • Song, K.Y.;Choi, J.S.;Kim, Y.H.
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1989.07a
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    • pp.207-210
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    • 1989
  • In probabilistic production costing simulation, cumulant method is widely used. But this method have some limitations in some cases. To overcome these serious drawbacks, MONA(Mixture of Normals Approximation) method was proposed. The MONA method uses multiple normals to represent the Equivalent Load Duration Curve. In this paper we investigate the MONA's characteristics by comparing other methods and derive the efficient formulae for MONA. Also, we propose the fundamental algorithm for Mixture of Cumulants Approximation(MOCA) which is the general case of MONA.

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A Study on the Analysis of Stochastic Nonlinear Dynamic System (확률적 비선형 동적계의 해석에 관한 연구)

  • 남성현;김호룡
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.697-704
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    • 1995
  • The dynamic characteristics of a system can be critically influenced by system uncertainty, so the dynamic system must be analyzed stochastically in consideration of system uncertainty. This study presents the stochastic model of a nonlinear dynamic system with uncertain parameters under nonstationary stochastic inputs. And this stochastic system is analyzed by a new stochastic process closure method and moment equation method. The first moment equation is numerically evaluated by Runge-Kutta method and the second moment equation is numerically evaluated by stochastic process closure method, 4th cumulant neglect closure method and Runge-Kutta method. But the first and the second moment equations are coupled each other, so this equations are approximately evaluated by a iterative method. Finally the accuracy of the present method is verified by Monte Carlo simulation.

Time-Delay Estimation using Wavelet Theory and Higher-Order Statistics (웨이블릿 이론과 고차통계 처리기법을 이용한 시간지연 추정)

  • 차용철;김용남;정지현;남상원
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.4 no.5
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    • pp.630-635
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    • 1998
  • The objective of this paper is to propose a new efficient technique for the estimation of time-delay parameters using wavelet theory and third-order cumulants, yielding good performance even in the case of low SNR. In particular, band-limited non-Gaussian signals with non-zero skewness and spatially correlated Gaussian noises are considered here. The approach is based on the fact that the effects of spatially correlated Gaussian noises on time-delay estimation can be reduced by using the projection sequences (based on the redundant wavelet decomposition) of given measurements in the higher-order cumulant domain. Finally, the performance of the proposed approach is demonstrated using simulations.

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Saddlepoint Approximation to the Linear Combination Based on Multivariate Skew-normal Distribution (다변량 왜정규분포 기반 선형결합통계량에 대한 안장점근사)

  • Na, Jonghwa
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.809-818
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    • 2014
  • Multivariate skew-normal distribution(distribution that includes multivariate normal distribution) has been recently applied to many application areas. We consider saddlepoint approximation for a statistic of linear combination based on a multivariate skew-normal distribution. This approach can be regarded as an extension of Na and Yu (2013) that dealt saddlepoint approximation for the distribution of a skew-normal sample mean for a linear statistic and multivariate version. Simulations results and examples with real data verify the accuracy and applicability of suggested approximations.

Saddlepoint Approximations to the Distribution Function of Non-homogeneous Quadratic Forms (비동차 이차형식의 분포함수에 대한 안장점근사)

  • Na Jong-Hwa;Kim Jeong-Soak
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.183-196
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    • 2005
  • In this paper we studied the saddlepoint approximations to the distribution of non-homogeneous quadratic forms in normal variables. The results are the extension of Kuonen's which provide the same approximations to homogeneous quadratic forms. The CGF of interested statistics and related properties are derived for applications of saddlepoint techniques. Simulation results are also provided to show the accuracy of saddlepoint approximations.

Numerical Comparisons for the Null Distribution of the Bagai Statistic

  • Ha, Hyung-Tae
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.267-276
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    • 2012
  • Bagai et al. (1989) proposed a distribution-free test for stochastic ordering in the competing risk model, and recently Murakami (2009) utilized a standard saddlepoint approximation to provide tail probabilities for the Bagai statistic under finite sample sizes. In the present paper, we consider the Gaussian-polynomial approximation proposed in Ha and Provost (2007) and compare it to the saddlepoint approximation in terms of approximating the percentiles of the Bagai statistic. We make numerical comparisons of these approximations for moderate sample sizes as was done in Murakami (2009). From the numerical results, it was observed that the Gaussianpolynomial approximation provides comparable or greater accuracy in the tail probabilities than the saddlepoint approximation. Unlike saddlepoint approximation, the Gaussian-polynomial approximation provides a simple explicit representation of the approximated density function. We also discuss the details of computations.

Identification of fault signal for rotating machinery diagnosis using Blind Source Separation (BSS) (BSS를 이용한 회전 기계 진단 신호 분석)

  • Seo, Jong-Soo;Lee, Jeong-Hak;J. K. Hammond
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.839-845
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    • 2003
  • This paper introduces multichannel blind source separation (BSS) and multichannel blind deconvolution (MBD) based on higher order statistics of signals from convolutive mixtures. In particular, we are concerned with the case that the number of inputs is the same as the number of outputs. Simulations for two input two output cases are carried out and their performances are assessed. One of the major applications of those sequential algorithms (BSS and MBD) is demonstrated through the fault signal detection from only a single measurement of rotating machine, which offers a certain degree of practicability in the engineering field such as machine health monitoring or condition monitoring.

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Security Assessment for Bus Voltages Using Probabilistic Load Flow (PLF(Probabilistic Load Flow)를 이용한 모선 전압 안전도 평가)

  • Lee, Seung-Hyuk;Jung, Chang-Ho;Kim, Jin-O;Kim, Tae-Kyun;Choo, Jin-Bu
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.28-30
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    • 2003
  • Probabilistic Load Flow(PLF) solution based on the method of moments is used for security assessment of bus voltages in power systems. Bus voltages, line currents, line admittances, generated real and reactive power, and bus loads are treated as complex random variables. These complex random variables are known in terms of probability density functions(PDF). Also, expressions for the convolutions of complex random variables in terms of moments and cumulants have been derived. Proposed PLF solution using the method of moments is fast, because the process of convolution of various complex random variables is performed in moment and cumulant domain. Therefore, the method is applied to security assessment of power systems in this paper. Finally, system operator also can be used information of security assessment to improve reliability of power systems.

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Saddlepoint approximation to the distribution function of quadratic forms based on multivariate skew-normal distribution (다변량 왜정규분포 기반 이차형식의 분포함수에 대한 안장점근사)

  • Na, Jonghwa
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.571-579
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    • 2016
  • Most of studies related to the distributions of quadratic forms are conducted under the assumption of multivariate normal distribution. In this paper, we suggested an approximation to the distribution of quadratic forms based on multivariate skew-normal distribution as alternatives for multivariate normal distribution. Saddlepoint approximations are considered and the accuracy of the approximations are verified through simulation studies.

A Study on the Analysis of Stochastic Dynamic System (확률적 동적계의 해석에 관한 연구)

  • Nam, S.H.;Kim, H.R.
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.127-134
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    • 1995
  • The dynamic characteristics of a system can be critically influenced by system uncertainty, so the dynamic system must be analyzed stochastically in consideration of system uncertainty. This study presents a generalized stochastic model of dynamic system subjected to bot external and parametric nonstationary stochastic input. And this stochastic system is analyzed by a new stochastic process closure method and moment equation method. The first moment equation is numerically evaluated by Runge-Kutta method. But the second moment equation is founded to constitute an infinite coupled set of differential equations, so this equations are numerically evaluated by cumulant neglect closure method and Runge-Kutta method. Finally the accuracy of the present method is verified by Monte Carlo simulation.

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