A STUDY ON THE PROBABILISTIC POWER SYSTEM PRODUCTION COSTING SIMULATION BY MONA AND MOCA METHOD

MONA 및 MOCA법에 의한 발전시뮬레이션에 관한 연구

In probabilistic production costing simulation, cumulant method is widely used. But this method have some limitations in some cases. To overcome these serious drawbacks, MONA(Mixture of Normals Approximation) method was proposed. The MONA method uses multiple normals to represent the Equivalent Load Duration Curve. In this paper we investigate the MONA's characteristics by comparing other methods and derive the efficient formulae for MONA. Also, we propose the fundamental algorithm for Mixture of Cumulants Approximation(MOCA) which is the general case of MONA.