• Title/Summary/Keyword: binomial statistics

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Threshold-asymmetric volatility models for integer-valued time series

  • Kim, Deok Ryun;Yoon, Jae Eun;Hwang, Sun Young
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.295-304
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    • 2019
  • This article deals with threshold-asymmetric volatility models for over-dispersed and zero-inflated time series of count data. We introduce various threshold integer-valued autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (ARCH) models as incorporating over-dispersion and zero-inflation via conditional Poisson and negative binomial distributions. EM-algorithm is used to estimate parameters. The cholera data from Kolkata in India from 2006 to 2011 is analyzed as a real application. In order to construct the threshold-variable, both local constant mean which is time-varying and grand mean are adopted. It is noted via a data application that threshold model as an asymmetric version is useful in modelling count time series volatility.

Comparing the performance of likelihood ratio test and F-test for gamma generalized linear models (감마 일반화 선형 모형에서의 가능도비 검정과 F-검정 비교연구)

  • Jo, Seongil;Han, Jeongseop;Lee, Woojoo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.475-484
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    • 2018
  • Gamma generalized linear models are useful for non-negative and skewed responses. However, these models have received less attention than Poisson and binomial generalized linear models. In particular, hypothesis testing for the significance of regression coefficients has not been thoroughly studied. In this paper we assess the performance of various test statistics for gamma generalized linear models based on numerical studies. Our results show that the likelihood ratio test and F-type test are generally recommended and that the partial deviance test should be avoided in practice.

RESPONSES OF DAMPED HARMONIC OSCILLATORS TO EXCITATIONS OBEYING POISSON DISTRIBUTIONS

  • Lee, Hyoung-In;Mok, Jinsik
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.31 no.1_2
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    • pp.111-118
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    • 2013
  • External excitations are employed to investigate properties of optical media, with measurement data often analyzed via linear response theory. In this respect, external forcing is modeled here by well-known Poisson and negative-binomial distributions. Ensuing dynamics is examined with a special attention to the relative decay rates of damped harmonic oscillators to such external forcing, along with its relationship to other physical phenomena.

Corresponding between Error Probabilities and Bayesian Wrong Decision Lasses in Flexible Two-stage Plans

  • Ko, Seoung-gon
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.435-441
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    • 2000
  • Ko(1998, 1999) proposed certain flexible two-stage plans that could be served as one-step interim analysis in on-going clinical trials. The proposed Plans are optimal simultaneously in both a Bayes and a Neyman-Pearson sense. The Neyman-Pearson interpretation is that average expected sample size is being minimized, subject just to the two overall error rates $\alpha$ and $\beta$, respectively of first and second kind. The Bayes interpretation is that Bayes risk, involving both sampling cost and wrong decision losses, is being minimized. An example of this correspondence are given by using a binomial setting.

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Taylor's Power Law and Quasilikelihood

  • Park, Heung-Sun;Cho, Ki-Jong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.253-256
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    • 2003
  • In ecological studies, animal science, or entomology, the variance of count is considered to have the power of the mean relationship with the mean count as Taylor (1961) presented his famous 'Taylor's Power Law'. In this talk, we are going to review the development of TPL and its extension toward pest management sampling scheme. Different estimation methods are compared. Quasilikelihood approach is suggested to incorporate covariate information. Possible extensions will be discussed.

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Derivations of moments for discrete probability distributions using backward difference operators (후진 미분 연산자를 이용한 이산확률분포의 적률 유도)

  • Cho, Kil-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.505-513
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we obtain the derivations of moments of discrete probability distributions by using the backward difference operators. Also, we presents such derivations for several well-known distributions; they are the binomial, Poisson, geometric, hypergeometric and negative hypergeometric distributions.

A Comparative Study of Restricted Randomization Methods in Clinicla Trials

  • Huh, Myung-Hoe
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.48-55
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    • 1985
  • In clinical trials subjects are avalible sequentially and must be assigned to treatments immediately. Completely randomized procedure for the allocation of treatments to each subject may result in severe imbalance among the number of subjects in treatment groups, especially for small experiments or interim analyses of large experiments. In this study, restricted randomization methods such as biased coin designs (Efron, 1971), permuted block design, and truncated binomial design are compared to teh completely randomized design in the presence of selection and/or accidential bias by Monte Carlo simulations.

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Empirical Bayes Pproblems with Dependent and Nonidentical Components

  • Inha Jung;Jee-Chang Hong;Kang Sup Lee
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.145-154
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    • 1995
  • Empirical Bayes approach is applied to estimation of the binomial parameter when there is a cost for observations. Both the sample size and the decision rule for estimating the parameter are determined stochastically by the data, making the result more useful in applications. Our empirical Bayes problems with non-iid components are compared to the usual empirical Bayes problems with iid components. The asymptotic optimal procedure with a computer simulation is given.

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Exploring Interaction in Generalized Linear Models

  • Kahng, Myung-Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.13-18
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    • 2005
  • We explore the structure and usefulness of the 3-D residual plot as a basic tool for dealing with interaction in generalized linear models. If predictors have an interaction effect, the shape obtained by rotating the 3-D residual plot will show its presence. To illustrate the use of this plot as an aid to exploring the interaction, we present an example of a binomial regression model using simulated data.

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Fit of the number of insurance solicitor's turnovers using zero-inflated negative binomial regression (영과잉 음이항회귀 모형을 이용한 보험설계사들의 이직횟수 적합)

  • Chun, Heuiju
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.1087-1097
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    • 2017
  • This study aims to find the best model to fit the number of insurance solicitor's turnovers of life insurance companies using count data regression models such as poisson regression, negative binomial regression, zero-inflated poisson regression, or zero-inflated negative binomial regression. Out of the four models, zero-inflated negative binomial model has been selected based on AIC and SBC criteria, which is due to over-dispersion and high proportion of zero-counts. The significant factors to affect insurance solicitor's turnover found to be a work period in current company, a total work period as financial planner, an affiliated corporation, and channel management satisfaction. We also have found that as the job satisfaction or the channel management satisfaction gets lower as channel management satisfaction, the number of insurance solicitor's turnovers increases. In addition, the total work period as financial planner has positive relationship with the number of insurance solicitor's turnovers, but the work period in current company has negative relationship with it.