• 제목/요약/키워드: Uncertain

검색결과 2,773건 처리시간 0.028초

불확실성 정보가 맥주배송게임 기반의 공급사슬 수행도에 미치는 영향 평가 : 기상정보 사례를 중심으로 (The Effect of Uncertain Information on Supply Chain Performance in a Beer Distribution Game-A Case of Meterological Forecast Information)

  • 이기광;김인겸;고광근
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.139-158
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    • 2007
  • Information sharing is key to effective supply chain management. In reality, however, it is impossible to get perfect information. Accordingly, only uncertain information can be accessed in business environment, and thus it is important to deal with the uncertainties of information in managing supply chains. This study adopts meteorological forecast as a typical uncertain information. The meteorological events may affect the demands for various weather-sensitive goods, such as beer, ices, clothes, electricity etc. In this study, a beer distribution game is modified by introducing meterological forecast information provided in a probabilistic format. The behavior patterns of the modified beer supply chains are investigated. for two conditions using the weather forecast with or without an information sharing. A value score is introduced to generalize the well-known performance measures employed in the study of supply chains, i.e.. inventory, backlog, and deviation of orders. The simulation result showed that meterological forecast information used in an information sharing environment was more effective than without information sharing, which emphasizes the synergy of uncertain information added to the information sharing environment.

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불확실한 제품 수명주기를 고려한 최적가격결정 모형에 관한 연구 (Optimal Pricing Policy under Uncertain Product Lifetimes)

  • 이훈영;주기인
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.23-31
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    • 2000
  • Many studies in marketing and economics have attempted to model price and sales path under the dynamic diffusion process. Most of these models have been based on a fixed product lifetime. The current business climate requiring intensive development of new products however affects the diffusion of new products and their lifetime. Many products have not enjoyed the expected life cycle at the launching stage due to intense technical development competitive reactions, and financial problems. Most diffusion models however have not taken account of the lifetime uncertainty of new product. If the products do not last over the planning horizon set by those models. the optimal price derived from them could be futile. Therefore we had better take such lifetime uncertainty into consideration when developing diffusion models, In this paper we study the impact of uncertain product lifetime on its optimal pricing path in non-competitive market. We develop an optimal pricing model under uncertain product lifetimes and conduct a simulation study to investigate their effects on the optimal pricing and corresponding sales paths. The simulation study provides some interesting findings on optimal pricing policy under uncertain product lifetime. This study could be a stepping stone for the further extended study of optimal pricing strategy with uncertain product lifetime.

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가상 디바이스 네트워크상에서 불확실한 시간지연을 갖는 실시간 분산제어를 이용한 예지보전에 관한 연구 (Real-time Distributed Control in Virtual Device Network with Uncertain Time Delay for Predictive Maintenance (PM))

  • Kiwon Song;Gi-Heung Choi
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.154-160
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    • 2003
  • 원격지에 위치한 분산제어 시스템과 센서 데이터 또는 제어 명령을 주고받을 때에는 불확실한 시간지연이 발생한다. TCP/IP 프로토콜을 이용한 데이터 네트워크와 마찬가지로 데이터 네트워크와 디바이스 네트워크를 결합한 가상 디자이스 네트워크도 불확실한 시간지연이 내재되어 있다. 이러한 시간지연은 분산제어시스템의 성능을 저하시키고 불안전성을 야기하는 원인이 된다. 본 논문에서는 이러한 네트워크상에 내재하는 시간지연을 평가하고 부정적인 효과를 최소화하기 위하여 Smith Predictor를 적용하였다. 제안된 제어 알고리즘은 실시간 서보제어를 통하여 효과를 입증하였으며 가상 디바이스 네트워크 개념에 근거한 분산제어 시스템을 이용하여 실시간 예지보전을 수행할 때 효과가 있음을 제시하였다.

Design of robust gain scheduling controllers in uncertain nonlinear systems

  • Lee, Seon-Ho;Lim, Jong-Tae
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 1996년도 Proceedings of the Korea Automatic Control Conference, 11th (KACC); Pohang, Korea; 24-26 Oct. 1996
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    • pp.231-234
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    • 1996
  • This paper considers the output regulation problems on uncertain systems. Using NR-estimator(on-line), a family of equilibrium points for the uncertain system is computed. The state variables of the closed loop system track the average value of the obtained equilibrium manifold by dynamic state feedback control.

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불확실성을 고려한 디젤엔진의 견실한 이상검출 (Application of robust fault detection method for uncertain systms to diesel engine system)

  • 유경상;김대우;권오규
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 1997년도 한국자동제어학술회의논문집; 한국전력공사 서울연수원; 17-18 Oct. 1997
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    • pp.1419-1422
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    • 1997
  • This paper deals with the Appliation of robust fault detection problem in uncertain linear systems, having both model mismatch and noise. A robust fault detection method presented by Kwon et al.(1994) for SISO uncertain systems. Here we experimented this method to the diesel engine systems described by difference ARMA models. The model mismatch includes here linearization error as well as undermodeling. Comparisons are made with alternative fault detection method which do not account noise. The new method is shown to have good performance.

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Implementation issues for Uncertain Relational Databases

  • Yu, Hairong;Ramer, Arthur
    • 한국지능시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국퍼지및지능시스템학회 1998년도 The Third Asian Fuzzy Systems Symposium
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    • pp.128-133
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    • 1998
  • This paper aims to present some ideas for implementation of Uncertain Relational Databases (URD) which are extensions of classical relational databases. Our system firstly is based on possibility distribution and probability theory to represent and manipulate fuzzy and probabilistic information, secondly adopts flexible mechanisms that allow the management of uncertain data through the resources provided by both available relational database management systems and front-end interfaces, and lastly chooses dynamic SQL to enhance versatility and adjustability of systems.

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Fredholm 적분식을 이용하여 불확실성의 경계치를 추정하는 적응강인제어기 설계 (Design of a Continuous Adaptive Robust Control Estimating the Upper Bound of the Uncertainties using Fredholm Integral Formulae)

  • 유동상
    • 대한전기학회논문지:시스템및제어부문D
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    • 제53권4호
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    • pp.207-211
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    • 2004
  • We consider a class of uncertain nonlinear systems containing the uncertainties without a priori information except that they are bounded. For such systems, we assume that the upper bound of the uncertainties is represented as a Fredholm integral equation of the first kind and we propose an adaptation law that is capable of estimating the upper bound. Using this adaptive upper bound, a continuous robust control which renders uncertain nonlinear systems uniformly ultimately bounded is designed.

불확실한 시스템에 대한 2-자유도 $H_\infty$ 제어기의 성능해석 (Performance Analyses of TDF $H_\infty$ Controllers for Uncertain Systems)

  • 강영중;이군석;권오규
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 1993년도 한국자동제어학술회의논문집(국내학술편); Seoul National University, Seoul; 20-22 Oct. 1993
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    • pp.477-481
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    • 1993
  • The aim of this paper is to analyze via computer simulation the robust performance of TDF(Two Degree of Freedom) H.$_{\infty}$ controller for uncertain systems having parameter uncertainty. We apply the TDF H$_{\infty}$ controller to autopilot design. We evaluate the robust performance of the TDF H$_{\infty}$ controller for uncertain systems and present the guaranteed bound of robust performance via computer simulation.on.

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Adaptive control of uncertain systems with application to a robotic manipulator

  • Choi, Chong-Ho;Kim, Hong-Seok
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 1989년도 한국자동제어학술회의논문집; Seoul, Korea; 27-28 Oct. 1989
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    • pp.1085-1090
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    • 1989
  • In this paper, an adaptive control method is presented to guarantee the ultimate boundedness of uncertain systems with partially known uncertainty bounds. This method, with a conventional linear compensator, is used to improve the performance of the trajectory tracking of a robotic manipulator with uncertainties. The proposed method is simulated under several different environments, and its performance is compared with the computed torque method. The simulation results show that the proposed method is well suited for high-performance operation of uncertain robotic systems.

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