• Journal of KIBIM
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• v.9 no.1
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• pp.22-31
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• 2019

In this paper, we construct a prototype model for city data prediction by using time series data of floating population, and use machine learning to analyze urban data of complex structure. A correlation prediction model was constructed using three of the 10 data (total flow population, male flow population, and Monday flow population), and the result was compared with the actual data. The results of the accuracy were evaluated. The results of this study show that the predicted model of the floating population predicts the correlation between the predicted floating population and the current state of commerce. It is expected that it will help efficient and objective design in the planning stages of architecture, landscape, and urban areas such as tree environment design and layout of trails. Also, it is expected that the dynamic population prediction using multivariate time series data and collected location data will be able to perform integrated simulation with time series data of various fields.

• Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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• v.27 no.5
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• pp.55-67
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• 2022

Sensor data can provide fault diagnosis for equipment. However, the cause analysis for fault results of equipment is not often provided. In this study, we propose an explainable convolutional neural network framework for the sensor-based time series classification model. We used sensor-based time series dataset, acquired from vehicles equipped with sensors, and the Wafer dataset, acquired from manufacturing process. Moreover, we used Cycle Signal dataset, acquired from real world mechanical equipment, and for Data augmentation methods, scaling and jittering were used to train our deep learning models. In addition, our proposed classification models are convolutional neural network based models, FCN, 1D-CNN, and ResNet, to compare evaluations for each model. Our experimental results show that the ResNet provides promising results in the context of time series classification with accuracy and F1 Score reaching 95%, improved by 3% compared to the previous study. Furthermore, we propose XAI methods, Class Activation Map and Layer Visualization, to interpret the experiment result. XAI methods can visualize the time series interval that shows important factors for sensor data classification.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 1993.10b
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• pp.18-23
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• 1993

In this paper, we attempt to estimate the state of a finite state system. In such system, we can observe time series data which has some significant behaviors corresponding to its system states. The behavior is characterized by feature parameters extracted from time series. Our thought is that the system output time series data is expressed as a sequence of behavior patterns which are represented by clusters in feature parameters space. An algorithm jointing fuzzy clustering to fuzzy finite state transition model is suggested.

• 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2005.10a
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• pp.151-152
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• 2005

IGARCH and Stochastic Volatility Model(SVM, for short) have frequently provided useful approximations to the real aspects of financial time series. This article is concerned with modeling various Korean financial time series using both IGARCH and Stochastic Volatility Models. Daily data sets with sample period ranging from 2000 and 2004 including KOSPI, KOSDAQ and won-dollar exchange rate are comparatively analyzed using IGARCH and SVM.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.16 no.4
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• pp.979-987
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• 2005

In this research we study conventional and new statistical methods to analyse and detect outliers in network traffic and we apply the nonlinear time series model to make better performance of detecting abnormal traffic rather the linear time series model to compare the performances of the two models.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2003.11c
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• pp.449-451
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• 2003

The estimation of time-series data is fundamental process in many data analysis cases. However, the unwanted measurement error is usually added to true data, so that the exact estimation depends on efficient method to eliminate the error components. The wavelet transform method nowadays is expected to improve the accuracy of estimation, because it is able to decompose and analyze the data in various resolutions. Therefore, the wavelet based Kalman filter method for the estimation of time-series data is proposed in this paper. The wavelet transform separates the data in accordance with frequency bandwidth, and the detail wavelet coefficient reflects the stochastic process of error components. This property makes it possible to obtain the covariance of measurement error. We attempt the estimation of true data through recursive Kalman filtering algorithm with the obtained covariance value. The procedure is verified with the fundamental example of Brownian walk process.

• The Journal of Information Systems
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• v.31 no.3
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• pp.197-220
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• 2022

Purpose The purpose of this study is to identifies the demand pattern categorization of repair parts of Automotive After-sales Service(A/S) and proposes a demand prediction model for Auto repair parts using Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) of artificial neural networks (ANN). The optimal parts inventory quantity prediction model is implemented by applying daily, weekly, and monthly the parts demand data to the LSTM model for the Lumpy demand which is irregularly in a specific period among repair parts of the Automotive A/S service. Design/methodology/approach This study classified the four demand pattern categorization with 2 years demand time-series data of repair parts according to the Average demand interval(ADI) and coefficient of variation (CV²) of demand size. Of the 16,295 parts in the A/S service shop studied, 96.5% had a Lumpy demand pattern that large quantities occurred at a specific period. lumpy demand pattern's repair parts in the last three years is predicted by applying them to the LSTM for daily, weekly, and monthly time-series data. as the model prediction performance evaluation index, MAPE, RMSE, and RMSLE that can measure the error between the predicted value and the actual value were used. Findings As a result of this study, Daily time-series data were excellently predicted as indicators with the lowest MAPE, RMSE, and RMSLE values, followed by Weekly and Monthly time-series data. This is due to the decrease in training data for Weekly and Monthly. even if the demand period is extended to get the training data, the prediction performance is still low due to the discontinuation of current vehicle models and the use of alternative parts that they are contributed to no more demand. Therefore, sufficient training data is important, but the selection of the prediction demand period is also a critical factor.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.10 no.9
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• pp.97-106
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• 2010

Various time series representation methods have been suggested in order to process time series data efficiently and effectively. SAX is the representative time series representation method combining segmentation and discretization techniques, which has been successfully applied to the time series classification task. But SAX requires a large number of segments in order to represent the meaningful dynamic patterns of time series accurately, since it loss the dynamic property of time series in the course of smoothing the movement of time series. Therefore, this paper suggests a new time series representation method that combines PIPs detection and Persist discretization techniques. The suggested method represents the dynamic movement of high-diemensional time series in a lower dimensional space by detecting PIPs indicating the important inflection points of time series. And it determines the optimal discretizaton ranges by applying self-transition and marginal probabilities distributions to KL divergence measure. It minimizes the information loss in process of the dimensionality reduction. The suggested method enhances the performance of time series classification task by minimizing the information loss in the course of dimensionality reduction.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Soil and Groundwater Environment Conference
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• 2003.09a
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• pp.254-257
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• 2003

Statistical analysis is performed to estimate the correlations between geological or geographical factor and groundwater inflow rates in the Seoul subway system. Correlation analysis shows that among several geological and geographical factors fractures and streams have most strong effects on inflow rate into tunnels. In particular, subway line 5∼8 are affected more by these factors than subway line 1∼4. Time series analysis is carried out to forecast groundwater inflow rate. Time series analysis is a useful empirical method for simulation and forecasts in case that physical model can not be applied to. The time series of groundwater inflow rates is calculated using the observation data. Transfer function-noise model is applied with the precipitation data as input variables. For time series analysis, statistical methods are performed to identify proper model and autoregressive-moving average models are applied to evaluation of inflow rate. Each model is identified to satisfy the lowest value of information criteria. Results show that the values by result equations are well fitted with the actual inflow rate values. The selected models could give a good explanation of inflow rates variation into subway tunnels.

• Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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• v.11 no.5 s.43
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• pp.69-74
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• 2006

The recent development of multimedia content-based retrieval technologies brings great attention of musician retrieval using features of a digital audio data among music information retrieval technologies. But the indexing techniques for music databases have not been studied completely. In this paper, we present a musician retrieval technique for audio features using the space split methods in the time-series pattern index file. We use features of audio to retrieve the musician and a time-series pattern index file to search the candidate musicians. Experimental results show that the time-series pattern index file using the rotational split method is efficient for musician retrievals in the time-series pattern files.