• 제목/요약/키워드: Spatial Econometrics Models

검색결과 13건 처리시간 0.222초

공간계량모형을 이용한 도시와 농촌의 비선호시설이 토지 가격에 미치는 영향 분석 (The Effects of Non-Preferred Facilities on Land Prices in Urban and Rural Areas using Spatial Econometrics)

  • 전정배;권성문
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.103-113
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    • 2020
  • Land price can be affected by convenience or psychological repulsion like PIMFY (Please In My Front Yard) or NIMBY (Not In My Back Yard) for various facilities. The purpose of this study is to evaluate whether non-preferred facilities are related to NIMBY impact that negatively affect land prices using the spatial econometrics models which are spatial autoregressive models (SAR), spatial errors models (SEM), and general spatial model (SAC). The land price in urban area increases by 0.07-0.2% when the distance from aversion facilities increases by 1%. However, the land price in rural areas decreases when the distance from aversion or pollution facilities increase. Therefore, these facilities in rural areas located in the areas with higher land price because funeral homes located in center of rural administrative areas and charnel house or crematorium located in the fringe of urban areas. That is, this study explain the difference between land price and non-preferred facilities in urban and rural areas and why there are more N IMBY symptoms in urban areas.

비명시적 평가지표를 활용한 농촌정책 평가 (A Quantitative Evaluation of Composite Indicators : Empirical Analysis of Comprehensive Rural Village Development Project)

  • 황재희;이성우
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.25-36
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study is to construct a quantitative evaluation method that can analyze the policy effectiveness with the construction of a implicit composite index incorporating spatial econometrics models. In order to propose a methodological framework for the program evaluation, this study conducts an empirical analysis with the application of the Comprehensive Rural Village Development Project (CRVDP) which explicitly claims to achieve comprehensive goal of community development. The present study pays particular attention to quantifying the composite evaluation index and drawing net effect through the application of a series of spatial econometrics models. The spatial unit of the analysis is drawn at Eup-Myeon level in rural areas in Korea, and the time horizon is in between 2005 and 2010. We utilize the Korean Agricultural Census data in 2005 and 2010. Three steps of methodological processes are needed to satisfy the objective of the present study. First, we apply factor analysis to construct the composite index that represents comprehensive settlement environment in rural area. The index should be matched with the main objective of the CRVDP. Second, we apply the derived index to a series of spatial econometrics model as dependent variable. Lastly, utilizing the estimated coefficients of the econometrics models, we apply decomposition technique to estimate CRVDP's net effect from both cross-sectional and longitudinal perspectives. We find that the results of the decomposition analysis by the execution of the CRVDP are positively associated with the explicit object of the project.

Innovative Spatial Analysis of Violent Crime Hot Spots in Korea: Implications for Urban Policy

  • Kyungjae, Lee
    • Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.320-341
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    • 2022
  • Empirical applications to explain criminogenic events are abundant. While much of the research in criminal studies concentrates on understanding the motivations of offenders and preventing victimization from a micro perspective, there have been recent theoretical advancements that give priority to the role of spatial factors in directly impacting crime rates. The primary purpose of this study is to investigate the empirical inference between violent crime incidence and spatial characteristics of local areas focusing particularly on spatial accessibility conditions in the areas. Applying discrete spatial econometrics models, this study reveals a significant relationship between spatial accessibility and the formation of violent crime hot spots in South Korea. Along with other variables, it is revealed that road accessibility has a clear association with violent crime hot spots. Based on the findings, this study suggests some policy implications such as effective surveillance systems, land use restrictions, and advanced street lighting.

공간적탐색기법을 이용한 부산 주택시장 다이나믹스 분석 (Busan Housing Market Dynamics Analysis with ESDA using MATLAB Application)

  • 정건섭
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.461-471
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    • 2012
  • 본 논문의 목적은 공간적탐색기법을 이용한 부산 주택시장 다이나믹스 분석으로써 MATLAB toolbox M-file을 이용하였다. 본 연구에서 사용된 자료는 2006년부터 2009년 2분기까지 공개된 부산지역 아파트 실거래가 64,530개 자료를 기준으로 법정동을 분류하여 각 평균값을 분석에 이용하였다. 주택시장분석에 많이 이용되는 헤도닉가격 모형은 도시주택경제 분야에서 주택시장 다이나믹스를 설명하는데 강력한 분석기법의 하나이다. 그럼에도 불구하고 전통적인 헤도닉가격 모형은 공간적자기상관의 영향력을 반영하지 않는 단점이 있다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 공간자기상관 관계를 반영한 다양한 공간계량모형, 예를 들어, 공간자기회귀모형(SAR), 공간오차모형(SEM), 일반공간모형(SAC) 등을 보통최소자승법을 이용한 전통적 헤도닉가격 모형과 비교하고자 한다. 이를 위해 결정계수($R^2$), 분산(${\sigma}^2$), 우도함수(Likelihood)의 값 등의 지표들을 이용하였다. 분석결과 공간자기상관을 고려한 공간계량모형이 전통적 헤도닉모형에 비해 높은 설명력을 보여주고 있다. 공간계량모형에서는 공간오차모형(SEM)과 일반공간모형(SAC)이 공간자기회귀모형(SAR) 보다 우수한 설명력을 보이고 있다.

The Effects of Spatial Factors on the Incidence of Violent Crime in Korea, 2005-2015

  • Lee, Kyungjae;Choi, Eunji;Lee, Seongwoo
    • Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.249-273
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    • 2021
  • While many criminal studies have focused on the motivation of offenders and avoidance of victimization in the micro perspective, there have been a number of theoretical developments emphasizing space as a direct factor that influences the incidence of crime. The main purpose of this study is to analyze the effects of regional characteristics and violent crime incidence in Korea. Applying diverse spatial econometrics models that have less been utilized in the crime literature, this study finds an important association between spatial accessibility and crime incidence. The results suggest that the type of predominant business and the level of road accessibility affect the vulnerability of areas with respect to the incidence of violent crime. This study concludes with some important implications for urban planners and policymakers with respect to crime control and prevention.

농업.농촌정책평가를 위한 정량적 분석모형 연구 (Quantitative Approaches for Agricultural and Rural Policy Evaluation)

  • 이성우;윤성도
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.97-108
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    • 2008
  • The present study construct a new technique that can evaluate diverse rural policies, which have been applied to the rural development programs at the village level. The method incorporates spatial econometrics models with a decomposition method that has little been utilized before. We applies the technique to evaluate the rural development programs that have been carried out by the Korea Forest Service and. Korea Rural Development Agency. The technique proved to be quite useful in that the technique efficiently separate the direct effect caused by the government policy from the effect explained by the endowment effect such as regional or area characteristics, and residual effect that cannot be identified by the models. The present study concludes with suggesting more quantitative methods need to be developed to evaluate diverse government policy programs, which enables us to discern correct policy effects.

Generalized Bayes estimation for a SAR model with linear restrictions binding the coefficients

  • Chaturvedi, Anoop;Mishra, Sandeep
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제28권4호
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    • pp.315-327
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    • 2021
  • The Spatial Autoregressive (SAR) models have drawn considerable attention in recent econometrics literature because of their capability to model the spatial spill overs in a feasible way. While considering the Bayesian analysis of these models, one may face the problem of lack of robustness with respect to underlying prior assumptions. The generalized Bayes estimators provide a viable alternative to incorporate prior belief and are more robust with respect to underlying prior assumptions. The present paper considers the SAR model with a set of linear restrictions binding the regression coefficients and derives restricted generalized Bayes estimator for the coefficients vector. The minimaxity of the restricted generalized Bayes estimator has been established. Using a simulation study, it has been demonstrated that the estimator dominates the restricted least squares as well as restricted Stein rule estimators.

공공자전거 이용에 영향을 미치는 공간 특성 분석 - 대전광역시 '타슈'를 대상으로 - (Analysis of Spatial Characteristics Affecting the Use of Public Bicycles: Case of 'Tashu' in Daejeon)

  • 안민수;이창효
    • 지역연구
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    • 제38권4호
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    • pp.75-91
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    • 2022
  • 최근 기후변화 이슈에 대한 관심이 높아지면서 자전거 이용이 대중교통을 보완하고 친환경 교통수단의 하나로 주목받고 있다. 대전광역시는 2008년부터 공공자전거인 '타슈'를 운영하고 있다. 본 연구는 공공자전거의 이용현황과 특성을 파악하고 공간 자료의 공간적 의존성을 고려한 분석 모델인 공간계량분석을 적용하여 공공자전거 이용에 영향을 미치는 공간적 특성을 실증적으로 분석하였다. 그리고 최적 공간계량모델로 파악된 공간오차 모형을 기준으로 대여, 반납, 첨두시간, 비첨두시간, 평일, 주말의 측면에서 6가지 모형을 분석한 결과를 도출하여 비교분석을 하였다. 분석모형 결과는 공공자전거 이용유형에 따라 유의미한 공간특성이 다르게 나타났다. 일반적으로 공공자전거 이용은 청년층 비중이 높고 대중교통 이용자 수가 많고 대학과 하천 접근성이 좋으며 토지이용혼합도가 상대적으로 낮은 지역, 아파트 비중이 높은 지역에서 높게 나타났다. 이러한 결과는 공공자전거가 평일에는 통학목적으로, 주말에는 레저목적으로 이용되고 있음을 나타내며, 자전거 이용 편의성이 향상된다면 공공자전거 이용을 더욱 늘릴 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

Benefits and Spillover Effects of Infrastructure: A Spatial Econometric Approach

  • Kim, Kijin;Lee, Junkyu;Albis, Manuel Leonard;Ang, Ricardo III B.
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.3-31
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    • 2021
  • This paper estimates the effects of transport (road and rail) & energy and ICT infrastructure (telephone, mobile, and broadband) on GDP growths in neighboring countries as well as own countries. We confirm positive direct contributions of infrastructure, access to Internet, and human capital on economic growth. The spatial panel regression models indicate that there exist positive externalities of the broadband infrastructure and human capital, and these results are robust regardless of the choice of spatial weight matrices. Our findings on spillover effects of infrastructure suggest the key role of neighboring countries' infrastructure on own country's economic growth.

부산시 실거래 주택매매 가격을 이용한 공간계량모형의 적합도 비교연구 (A Comparative Study on the Goodness of Fit in Spatial Econometric Models Using Housing Transaction Prices of Busan, Korea)

  • 정건섭;김성우;이양원
    • 한국지리정보학회지
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.43-51
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    • 2012
  • 주택시장 분석에 널리 사용되는 헤도닉 방법은 OLS(ordinary least squares) 모형을 이용하는데, 이는 오차가 독립적이며, 평균이 0이고, 분산이 일정하다는 가정에 기초한다. 그러나 공간 자기상관이 존재할 경우에는 이러한 가정에 위배되며, 공간효과를 제대로 반영하지 않으면 왜곡된 추정결과를 가져오게 된다. 최근 이에 대한 대안으로 공간계량모형이 도입되고 있는데, 이 연구에서는 OLS 모형과 공간계량모형의 적합도를 비교 평가하고자 한다. 부산시 실거래 주택매매 가격자료를 이용하여 분석한 결과, OLS를 이용한 기존의 헤도닉 모형보다는 공간자기상관을 고려한 공간계량모형들이 보다 설명력이 높았다. Dubin이 제시한 기준과 Log Likelihood 기준을 통해 볼 때 공간계량모형 중에서는 공간자기회귀모형(spatial autoregressive model: SAR)모형의 적합도가 높은 것으로 나타났다. 이를 통해 주택가격에 있어서의 공간효과를 확인할 수 있었으며, 재건축 추진여부가 아파트 매매가격에 매우 큰 영향을 미침을 알 수 있었다. 또한 적절한 공간계량모형의 선택은 정부의 주택정책에 있어서도 매우 중요하다고 하겠다.