DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

Benefits and Spillover Effects of Infrastructure: A Spatial Econometric Approach

  • Kim, Kijin (Economic Research and Regional Cooperation Department, Asian Development Bank) ;
  • Lee, Junkyu (Sustainable Development and Climate Change Department, Asian Development Bank) ;
  • Albis, Manuel Leonard (School of Statistics, University of the Philippines) ;
  • Ang, Ricardo III B. (Department of Economics, Georgia State University)
  • Received : 2020.09.02
  • Accepted : 2021.01.20
  • Published : 2021.03.30

Abstract

This paper estimates the effects of transport (road and rail) & energy and ICT infrastructure (telephone, mobile, and broadband) on GDP growths in neighboring countries as well as own countries. We confirm positive direct contributions of infrastructure, access to Internet, and human capital on economic growth. The spatial panel regression models indicate that there exist positive externalities of the broadband infrastructure and human capital, and these results are robust regardless of the choice of spatial weight matrices. Our findings on spillover effects of infrastructure suggest the key role of neighboring countries' infrastructure on own country's economic growth.

Keywords

References

  1. Acemoglu, D. and J. A. Robinson. 2012. Why Nations Fail: The Origins of Power, Prosperity and Poverty. New York, NY: Crown Publishers.
  2. Alvarez-Ayuso, I. C. and M. J. Delgado-Rodriguez. 2012. "High-capacity Road Networks and Spatial Spillovers in Spanish Regions," Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, vol. 46, no. 2, pp. 281-292.
  3. Asian Development Bank (ADB). 2017a. Meeting Asia's Infrastructure Needs. Abd.org eBook. (accessed December 21, 2020)
  4. Asian Development Bank (ADB). 2017b. Innovative Strategies for Accelerated Human Resource Development in South Asia: Information and Communication Technology for Education-Special Focus on Bangladesh, Nepal, and Sri Lanka. Abd.org eBook. (accessed December 21, 2020)
  5. Anselin, L. 2003. "Spatial Externalities, Spatial Multipliers, and Spatial Econometrics," International Regional Science Review, vol. 26, no. 2, pp. 156-166.
  6. Barro, R. J. and J. W. Lee. 2013. "A New Data Set of Educational Attainment in the World, 1950-2010," Journal of Development Economics, vol. 104, pp. 184-198. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2012.10.001
  7. Batey, P. W. and P. Friedrich. 2000. Regional Competition. Berlin: Springer.
  8. Berndt, E. R. and B. Hansson. 1991. Measuring the Contribution of Public Infrastructure Capital in Sweden. NBER Working Paper, no. 3842.
  9. Bhattacharyay, B. N. 2010. Estimating Demand for Infrastructure in Energy, Transport, Telecommunications, Water and Sanitation in Asia and the Pacific: 2010-2020. ADBI Working Paper Series, no. 248.
  10. Boarnet, M. G. 1998. "Spillovers and the Locational Effects of Public Infrastructure," Journal of Regional Science, vol. 38, no. 3, pp. 381-400. https://doi.org/10.1111/0022-4146.00099
  11. Calderon, C., Moral-Benito, E. and L. Serven. 2015. "Is Infrastructure Capital Productive? A Dynamic Heterogeneous Approach," Journal of Applied Econometrics, vol. 30, no. 2, pp. 177-198. https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.2373
  12. Canning, D. and E. Bennathan. 1999. The Social Rate of Return on Infrastructure Investments. World Bank Policy Research Working Papers, no. 2390.
  13. Choi, C. and M. H. Yi. 2009. "The Effect of the Internet on Economic Growth: Evidence from Cross-country Panel Data," Economics Letters, vol. 105, no. 1, pp. 39-41. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2009.03.028
  14. Cohen, J. and K. Monaco. 2007. "Ports and Highways Infrastructure: An Analysis of Intra- and Inter-state Spillovers," International Regional Science Review, vol. 31, no. 3, pp. 257-274. https://doi.org/10.1177/0160017608318946
  15. Egert, B., Kozluk, T. and D. Sutherland. 2009. Infrastructure and Growth: Empirical Evidence. OECD Economics Department Working Papers, no. 685.
  16. Feenstra, R. C., Inklaar, R. and M. P. Timmer. 2015. "The Next Generation of the Penn World Table," American Economic Review, vol. 105, no. 10, pp. 3150-3182. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20130954
  17. Fleisher, B. M., Li, H. and M. Q. Zhao. 2008. Human Capital, Economic Growth, and Regional Inequality in China. IZA Discussion Paper, no. 3576. (accessed December 21, 2020)
  18. Guild, R. L. 2000. "Infrastructure Investment and Interregional Development: Theory, Evidence, and Implications for Planning," Public Works Management & Policy, vol. 4, no. 4, pp. 274-285. (accessed October 21, 2020)
  19. Grigoriou, C. 2007. Landlockedness, Infrastructure and Trade: New Estimates for Central Asian Countries. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper, no. 4335. (accessed December 21, 2020)
  20. Hu, Z. and S. Luo. 2017. "Road Infrastructure, Spatial Spillover and County Economic Growth," IOP Conference Series: Materials Science and Engineering, vol. 231. (accessed December 22, 2020)
  21. International Road Federation (IRF). n.d. (accessed October 21, 2020)
  22. International Telecommunication Union (ITU). n.d. (accessed October 21, 2020)
  23. LeSage, J. and R. K. Pace. 2009. Introduction to Spatial Econometrics. Boca Raton: CRC Press.
  24. Lin, J., Yu, Z., Wei, Y. D. and M. Wang. 2017. "Internet Access, Spillover and Regional Development in China," Sustainability, vol. 9, no. 6. (accessed December 22, 2020)
  25. Mincer, J. 1981. Human capital and economic growth. NBER Working Paper, no. 803.
  26. Moshiri, S. 2016. "ICT Spillovers and Productivity in Canada: Provincial and Industry Analysis," Economics of Innovation and New Technology, vol. 25, no.8, pp. 801-820. https://doi.org/10.1080/10438599.2016.1159864
  27. O'Mahony, M. and M. Vecchi. 2005. "Quantifying the Impact of ICT Capital on Output Growth: A Heterogeneous Dynamic Panel Approach," Economica, vol. 72, no. 288, pp. 615-633. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0335.2005.0435.x
  28. Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). 2002. Measuring the Information Economy. OECD eBook. (accessed December 22, 2020)
  29. Pradhan, R. P., Arvin, M. B., Norman, N. R. and S. K. Bele. 2014. "Economic Growth and the Development of Telecommunications Infrastructure in the G-20 Countries: A Panel-VAR Approach," Telecommunications Policy, vol. 38, no. 7, pp. 634-649. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.telpol.2014.03.001
  30. Sandler, T. 2006. "Regional Public Goods and International Organizations," The Review of International Organizations, vol. 1, no. 1, pp. 5-25. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11558-006-6604-2
  31. Shahiduzzaman, M., Layton, A. and K. Alam. 2015. "On the Contribution of Information and Communication Technology to Productivity Growth in Australia," Economic Change and Restructuring, vol. 48, no.3-4, pp. 281-304. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10644-015-9171-9
  32. Skorupinska, A. and J. Torrent-Sellens. 2015. "The Role of ICT in the Productivity of Central and Eastern European Countries: Cross-Country Comparison," Revista de Economia Mundial, vol. 39, pp. 201-222. (accessed December 22, 2020)
  33. Sloboda, B. W. and V. W. Yao. 2008. "Interstate Spillovers of Private Capital and Public Spending," The Annals of Regional Science, vol. 42, no. 3, pp. 505-518. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00168-007-0181-z
  34. Tong, T., Yu, T.-H., Cho, S.-H., Jensen, K. and D. D. Ugarte. 2013. "Evaluating the Spatial Spillover Effects of Transportation Infrastructure on Agricultural Output across the United States," Journal of Transport Geography, vol. 30, pp. 47-55. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2013.03.001
  35. U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). n.d. (accessed October 21, 2020)
  36. van Leeuwen, G. and H. van der Wiel. 2003. Spillover Effects of ICT. CPB Report, no. 2003/3. (accessed December 21, 2020)
  37. Wamboye, E., Adekola, A. and B. Sergi. 2016. "ICTs and Labour Productivity Growth in SubSaharan Africa," International Labour Review, vol. 155, no. 2, pp. 231-252. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1564-913X.2014.00021.x
  38. Yu, N., de Jong, M., Storm, S. and J. Mi. 2013. "Spatial Spillover Effects of Transport Infrastructure: Evidence from Chinese Regions," Journal of Transport Geography, vol. 28, pp. 56-66. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2012.10.009