• Title/Summary/Keyword: Random Failures

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A Group Maintenance Model with Extended Operating Horizon (연장된 운용기간을 활용하는 그룹보전모형)

  • Yoo, Young-Kwan
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.89-95
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    • 2017
  • This paper presents another maintenance policy for a group of units under finite operating horizon. A group of identical units are subject to random failures. Group maintenances are performed to all units together at specified intervals, and the failed units during operation are remained idle until the next group maintenance set-up. Unlike the traditional assumption of infinite operating horizon, we adopt the assumption of the finite operating horizon which reflect the rapid industrial advance and short life cycle of modern times. The units are under operation until the end of the operating horizon. Further, the operation of units are extended to the first group maintenance time after the end of the horizon. The total cost under the proposed maintenance policy is derived. The optimal group maintenance interval and the expected number of group maintenances during the horizon are found. It is shown that the proposed policy is better than the classical group maintenance policy in terms of total cost over the operating horizon. Numerical examples are presented for illustrations.

Performance Analysis of Closed-Loop Production Systems with Random Processing Times and Machine Failures (랜덤가공시간과 기계고장이 존재하는 폐쇄형 생산시스템의 성능분석)

  • 백천현
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Simulation Conference
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    • 1999.04a
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    • pp.47-52
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    • 1999
  • In this paper we propose new approximate method for the performance analysis of closed-loop production system with unreliable machines and random processing times. The approximate method decomposes the production system consisting of K machines into a set of K subsystems, each subsystem consisting of two machines separated by a finite buffer. Then, each subsystem is analyzed by analyzing method n isolation. The population constraint of the closed-loop production system is taken into account by prescribing that the sum of average buffer level in the subsystems is equal to the number of customers in the closed-loop production system,. We establish a set of equations that characterizes unknown parameters of the servers in the subsystems. An iterative procedure is then used to determine the unknown parameters. Experimental results show that these methods provide a good estimation of the throughput.

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Point Availability of Multi_Component System When Each Component Has a Finite Number of Spares

  • Jee, Man-Won
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.43-62
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    • 1981
  • Computational expressions for point availability and average availability of a system of components each of which is subject to random failures and has random restoration times are determined. Each component is assumed to have a fixed number of spares such that where all spares are exhausted no restoration can take place. These expressions are useful in deciding PL and ASL in the military logistic applications. Given a fixed length of mission duration and finite number of spares, a system may not be available at the end of a mission due to lack of spares. The probability distribution of system down time due to lack of spares is determined as a function of number of spares and mission duration.

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Experimental Assessment of PBGA Packaging Reliability under Strong Random Vibrations (강력한 임의진동 하에서 PBGA 패키지의 실험적 신뢰성 검증)

  • Kim, Yeong K.;Hwang, Dosoon
    • Journal of the Microelectronics and Packaging Society
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.59-62
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    • 2013
  • Experimental analyses on the solder joint reliability of plastic ball grid array under harsh random vibration were presented. The chips were assembled on the daisy chained circuit boards for the test samples preparation, half of which were processed for underfill to investigate the underfill effects on the solder failures. Acceptance and qualification levels were applied for the solder failure tests, and the overall controlled RMS of the power spectrum densities of the steps were 22.7 Grms and 32.1 Grms, respectively. It was found that the samples survived without any solder failure during the tests, demonstrating the robustness of the packaging structure for potential avionics and space applications.

Infrastructure Anomaly Analysis for Data-center Failure Prevention: Based on RRCF and Prophet Ensemble Analysis (데이터센터 장애 예방을 위한 인프라 이상징후 분석: RRCF와 Prophet Ensemble 분석 기반)

  • Hyun-Jong Kim;Sung-Keun Kim;Byoung-Whan Chun;Kyong-Bog, Jin;Seung-Jeong Yang
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.113-124
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    • 2022
  • Various methods using machine learning and big data have been applied to prevent failures in Data Centers. However, there are many limitations to referencing individual equipment-based performance indicators or to being practically utilized as an approach that does not consider the infrastructure operating environment. In this study, the performance indicators of individual infrastructure equipment are integrated monitoring and the performance indicators of various equipment are segmented and graded to make a single numerical value. Data pre-processing based on experience in infrastructure operation. And an ensemble of RRCF (Robust Random Cut Forest) analysis and Prophet analysis model led to reliable analysis results in detecting anomalies. A failure analysis system was implemented to facilitate the use of Data Center operators. It can provide a preemptive response to Data Center failures and an appropriate tuning time.

Unscented Filtering Approach to Magnetometer-Only Orbit Determination

  • Cheon, Yee-Jin
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.2331-2334
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    • 2003
  • The basic difference between the EKF(Extended Kalman Filter) and UKF(Unscented Kalman Filter) stems from the manner in which Gaussian random variables(GRV) are represented for propagating through system dynamics. In the EKF, the state distribution is approximated by a GRV, which is then propagated analytically through the first-order linearization of the nonlinear system. This can possibly introduce large errors in the true posterior mean and covariance of the transformed GRV, which may lead to sub-optimal performance and sometimes divergence of the filter. However, the UKF addresses this problem by using a deterministic sampling approach. The state distribution is also approximated by a GRV, but is now represented using a minimal set of carefully chosen sample points. These sample points completely capture the true mean and covariance of the GRV, and UKF captures the posterior mean and covariance accurately up to the 2nd order(Taylor series expansion) for any nonlinearity. This paper utilizes the UKF to determine spacecraft orbit when only magnetometer is available. Several catastrophic failures of spacecraft in orbit have been attributed to failures of the spacecraft mission. Recently studies on contingency-major sensor failure cases- have been performed. For mission success, contingency design or plan should be implemented in case of a major sensor failure. Therefore the algorithm presented in this paper can be used for a spacecraft without GPS or contingency design in case of GPS failure.

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STUDY ON KOMPSAT SATELLITE MISSION LIFETIME FACTORS (다목적 실용위성의 임무수명 인자에 대한 연구)

  • 장영근;백명진;최해진
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.459-473
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    • 1998
  • As the satellite system becomes more complex, the probability of unpredictable failures may be increased due to design inadequacy, experience deficiency, lack of problem recognition. Poor quality control, improper testing, and workmanship fault. Consequently, these problems can lead to the reduction or end of the satellite mission lifetime. This article addresses general satellite failure modes and factors influencing satellite mission life. The mission life factors of LEO sun-synchronous KOMPSAT spacecraft are investigated, in which its mission life is predicted based on these factors. Since the end of mission due to random failures is not predictable, the predictable mission life factors such as power budget, propellant budget, battery charging/discharging cycle, radiation effects payload reliability, single point failure, and redundancy are primarily investigated.

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Understanding radiation effects in SRAM-based field programmable gate arrays for implementing instrumentation and control systems of nuclear power plants

  • Nidhin, T.S.;Bhattacharyya, Anindya;Behera, R.P.;Jayanthi, T.;Velusamy, K.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.49 no.8
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    • pp.1589-1599
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    • 2017
  • Field programmable gate arrays (FPGAs) are getting more attention in safety-related and safety-critical application development of nuclear power plant instrumentation and control systems. The high logic density and advancements in architectural features make static random access memory (SRAM)-based FPGAs suitable for complex design implementations. Devices deployed in the nuclear environment face radiation particle strike that causes transient and permanent failures. The major reasons for failures are total ionization dose effects, displacement damage dose effects, and single event effects. Different from the case of space applications, soft errors are the major concern in terrestrial applications. In this article, a review of radiation effects on FPGAs is presented, especially soft errors in SRAM-based FPGAs. Single event upset (SEU) shows a high probability of error in the dependable application development in FPGAs. This survey covers the main sources of radiation and its effects on FPGAs, with emphasis on SEUs as well as on the measurement of radiation upset sensitivity and irradiation experimental results at various facilities. This article also presents a comparison between the major SEU mitigation techniques in the configuration memory and user logics of SRAM-based FPGAs.

Vulnerability model of an Australian high-set house subjected to cyclonic wind loading

  • Henderson, D.J.;Ginger, J.D.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.269-285
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    • 2007
  • This paper assesses the damage to high-set rectangular-plan houses with low-pitch gable roofs (built in the 1960 and 70s in the northern parts of Australia) to wind speeds experienced in tropical cyclones. The study estimates the likely failure mode and percentage of failure for a representative proportion of houses with increasing wind speed. Structural reliability concepts are used to determine the levels of damage. The wind load and the component connection strengths are treated as random variables with log-normal distributions. These variables are derived from experiments, structural analysis, damage investigations and experience. This study also incorporates progressive failures and considers the inter-dependency between the structural components in the house, when estimating the types and percentages of the overall failures in the population of these houses. The progressively increasing percentage of houses being subjected to high internal pressures resulting from damage to the envelope is considered. Results from this study also compare favourably with levels of damage and related modes of failure for high-set houses observed in post-cyclone damage surveys.

Statistical Inference for an Arithmetic Process

  • Francis, Leung Kit-Nam
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.87-92
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    • 2002
  • A stochastic process {$A_n$, n = 1, 2, ...} is an arithmetic process (AP) if there exists some real number, d, so that {$A_n$ + (n-1)d, n =1, 2, ...} is a renewal process (RP). AP is a stochastically monotonic process and can be used for modeling a point process, i.e. point events occurring in a haphazard way in time (or space), especially with a trend. For example, the vents may be failures arising from a deteriorating machine; and such a series of failures id distributed haphazardly along a time continuum. In this paper, we discuss estimation procedures for an AP, similar to those for a geometric process (GP) proposed by Lam (1992). Two statistics are suggested for testing whether a given process is an AP. If this is so, we can estimate the parameters d, ${\mu}_{A1}$ and ${\sigma}^{2}_{A1}$ of the AP based on the techniques of simple linear regression, where ${\mu}_{A1}$ and ${\sigma}^2_{A1}$ are the mean and variance of the first random variable $A_1$ respectively. In this paper, the procedures are, for the most part, discussed in reliability terminology. Of course, the methods are valid in any area of application, in which case they should be interpreted accordingly.