• Title/Summary/Keyword: Random Effect model

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A comparative study of methods to predict fatigue crack growth under random loading (랜덤하중 하에서 피로균열진전예측 방법들의 비교)

  • Choi, Byung-Ik;Kang, Jae-Youn;Lee, Hak-Joo;Kim, Chung-Youb
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2003.04a
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    • pp.235-240
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    • 2003
  • Methods to predict fatigue crack growth are compared in a quantitative manner for crack growth test data of 2024-T351 aluminum alloy under narrow and wide band random loading. In order to account for the effect of load ratio, crack closure model, Hater's equation and NASGRO's equation have been employed. Load interaction effect under random loading has been considered by crack closure model, Willenborg's model and Wheeler's model. The prediction method using the measured crack opening results provides the best result among the prediction methods discussed for narrow and wide band random loading data.

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A Comparative Study of Methods to Predict Fatigue Crack Growth under Random Loading (랜덤하중 하에서 피로균열진전예측 방법들의 비교)

  • Lee, Hak-Joo;Kang, Jae-Youn;Choi, Byung-Ik;Kim, Chung-Youb
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.27 no.10
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    • pp.1785-1792
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    • 2003
  • Methods to predict fatigue crack growth are compared in a quantitative manner for crack growth test data of 2024- T351 aluninum alloy under narrow and wide band random loading. In order to account for the effect of load ratio, crack closure model, Hater's equation and NASGRO's equation have been employed. Load interaction effect under random loading has been considered by crack closure model, Willenborg's model and Wheeler's model. The prediction method using the measured crack opening results provides the best result among the prediction methods discussed for narrow and wide band random loading data.

Random effect models for simple diffusions (단순 확산과정들에 대한 확률효과 모형)

  • Lee, Eun-Kyung;Lee, In Suk;Lee, Yoon Dong
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.801-810
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    • 2018
  • Diffusion is a random process used to model financial and physical phenomena. When we construct statistical models for repeatedly observed diffusion processes, the idea of random effects needs to be considered. In this research, we introduce random parameters for an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck diffusion model and geometric Brownian motion diffusion model. In order to apply the maximum likelihood estimation method, we tried to build likelihoods in closed-forms, by assuming appropriate distributions for random effects. We applied the random effect models to data consisting of Dow Jones Industrial Average indices recorded daily over 27 years from 1991 to 2017.

A statistical analysis of the fat mass experimental data using random coefficient model (변량계수모형을 이용한 체지방 실험자료에 관한 통계적 분석)

  • Jo, Jin-Nam
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.287-296
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    • 2011
  • Thirty six female students participated in the experiment of the fat mass weight loss. they kept diary for foods they ate every day, took a picture of the foods, transmitted the picture to the experimenter by the camera phone, and consulted him about fat mass loss once a week for 8 weeks period. Fat mass weight and its related factors of the students had been measured repeatedly every week during 8 weeks, The repeated measurement data were used for applying various random coefficient models. And hence optimal random coefficient model was selected. From the optimal model, the baseline, body mass index, diastolic blood pressure, total cholesterol and time of the fixed factors were very significant. The fixed quadratic time effect existed. The variance components corresponding to the subject effect, linear time effect of the random coefficients were all positive. Thus random coefficients up to the linear terms were considered as the optimal model. The treatment effect reduced the weight loss to an average of 2.1kg at the end of the period.

Bayesian Test for the Intraclass Correlation Coefficient in the One-Way Random Effect Model

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Lee, Hee-Choon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.645-654
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, we develop the Bayesian test procedure for the intraclass correlation coefficient in the unbalanced one-way random effect model based on the reference priors. That is, the objective is to compare two nested model such as the independent and intraclass models using the factional Bayes factor. Thus the model comparison problem in this case amounts to testing the hypotheses $H_1:\rho=0$ versus $H_2:{\rho}{\neq}0$. Some real data examples are provided.

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Modeling clustered count data with discrete weibull regression model

  • Yoo, Hanna
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.413-420
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    • 2022
  • In this study we adapt discrete weibull regression model for clustered count data. Discrete weibull regression model has an attractive feature that it can handle both under and over dispersion data. We analyzed the eighth Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES VIII) from 2019 to assess the factors influencing the 1 month outpatient stay in 17 different regions. We compared the results using clustered discrete Weibull regression model with those of Poisson, negative binomial, generalized Poisson and Conway-maxwell Poisson regression models, which are widely used in count data analyses. The results show that the clustered discrete Weibull regression model using random intercept model gives the best fit. Simulation study is also held to investigate the performance of the clustered discrete weibull model under various dispersion setting and zero inflated probabilities. In this paper it is shown that using a random effect with discrete Weibull regression can flexibly model count data with various dispersion without the risk of making wrong assumptions about the data dispersion.

Efficient Prediction in the Semi-parametric Non-linear Mixed effect Model

  • So, Beong-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.225-234
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    • 1999
  • We consider the following semi-parametric non-linear mixed effect regression model : y\ulcorner=f($\chi$\ulcorner;$\beta$)+$\sigma$$\mu$($\chi$\ulcorner)+$\sigma$$\varepsilon$\ulcorner,i=1,…,n,y*=f($\chi$;$\beta$)+$\sigma$$\mu$($\chi$) where y'=(y\ulcorner,…,y\ulcorner) is a vector of n observations, y* is an unobserved new random variable of interest, f($\chi$;$\beta$) represents fixed effect of known functional form containing unknown parameter vector $\beta$\ulcorner=($\beta$$_1$,…,$\beta$\ulcorner), $\mu$($\chi$) is a random function of mean zero and the known covariance function r(.,.), $\varepsilon$'=($\varepsilon$$_1$,…,$\varepsilon$\ulcorner) is the set of uncorrelated measurement errors with zero mean and unit variance and $\sigma$ is an unknown dispersion(scale) parameter. On the basis of finite-sample, small-dispersion asymptotic framework, we derive an absolute lower bound for the asymptotic mean squared errors of prediction(AMSEP) of the regular-consistent non-linear predictors of the new random variable of interest y*. Then we construct an optimal predictor of y* which attains the lower bound irrespective of types of distributions of random effect $\mu$(.) and measurement errors $\varepsilon$.

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A Development of Traffic Accident Models at 4-legged Signalized Intersections using Random Parameter : A Case of Busan Metropolitan City (Random Parameter를 이용한 4지 신호교차로에서의 교통사고 예측모형 개발 : 부산광역시를 대상으로)

  • Park, Minho;Lee, Dongmin;Yoon, Chunjoo;Kim, Young Rok
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.65-73
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    • 2015
  • PURPOSES : This study tries to develop the accident models of 4-legged signalized intersections in Busan Metropolitan city with random parameter in count model to understanding the factors mainly influencing on accident frequencies. METHODS : To develop the traffic accidents modeling, this study uses RP(random parameter) negative binomial model which enables to take account of heterogeneity in data. By using RP model, each intersection's specific geometry characteristics were considered. RESULTS : By comparing the both FP(fixed parameter) and RP modeling, it was confirmed the RP model has a little higher explanation power than the FP model. Out of 17 statistically significant variables, 4 variables including traffic volumes on minor roads, pedestrian crossing on major roads, and distance of pedestrian crossing on major/minor roads are derived as having random parameters. In addition, the marginal effect and elasticity of variables are analyzed to understand the variables'impact on the likelihood of accident occurrences. CONCLUSIONS : This study shows that the uses of RP is better fitted to the accident data since each observations'specific characteristics could be considered. Thus, the methods which could consider the heterogeneity of data is recommended to analyze the relationship between accidents and affecting factors(for example, traffic safety facilities or geometrics in signalized 4-legged intersections).

Empirical Analysis on Agent Costs against Ownership Structure in Accordance with Verification of Suitability of the Model (모형의 적합성 검증에 따른 소유구조대비 대리인 비용의 실증분석)

  • Kim, Dae-Lyong;Lim, Kee-Soo;Sung, Sang-Hyeon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.13 no.8
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    • pp.3417-3426
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    • 2012
  • This study aims to determine how ownership structure (share-holding ratio of insiders, foreigners) affects agent costs (the portion of asset efficiency or non-operating expenses) through empirical analysis. However, as existing studies on correlations between ownership structure and agent costs adopted Pooled OLS Model, this study focused on additionally formulating Fixed Effect Model and Random Effect Model aimed to reflect the time of data formation and corporate effects as study models based on verification results on the suitability of Pooled-OLS Model before comparative analysis for the purpose of improvement of credibility and statistical validity of the results of empirical analysis based on the premise that the Pooled OLS Model is not reliable enough to verify massive panel data. The data has been accumulated over 10 years from 1998 to 2007 after the IMF crisis hit the nation, from a subject 331 companies except for financial institutions. As a result of the empirical analysis, verification of the suitability of model has determined that the Random Effect Model is appropriate in terms of asset efficiency among agent costs items. On the other hand, the Fixed Effect Model is appropriate in terms of non-operating costs. As a result of the empirical analysis according to the appropriate model, no hypothesis adopted in the Pooled OLS Model has been accepted. This suggests that developing an appropriate model is more important than other factors for the purpose of generating statistically significant empirical results by showing that different empirical results are produced according to the type of empirical analysis.

An INS Filter Design Considering Mixed Random Errors of Gyroscopes

  • Seong, Sang-Man;Kang, Ki-Ho
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2005.06a
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    • pp.262-264
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    • 2005
  • We propose a filter design method to suppress the effect of gyroscope mixed random errors at INS system level. It is based on the result that mixed random errors can be represented by a single equivalent ARMA model. At first step, the time difference of equivalent ARMA process is performed, which consider the characteristic of indirect feedback Kalman filter used in INS filter. Next, a state space conversion of time differenced ARMA model is achieved. If the order of AR is greater than that of MA, the controllable or observable canonical form is used. Otherwise, we introduce the state equation of which the state variable is composed of the ARMA model output and several step ahead predicts of that. At final step, a complete form state equation is presented. The simulation results shows that the proposed method gives less transient error and better convergence compared to the conventional filter which assume the mixed random errors as white noise.

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