• 한국경영과학회지
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• 제20권1호
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• pp.85-99
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• 1995

Increasingly, risk analysis is becoming important ingredients in achieving the successful implementation and application in the area of the project management. The project management system is designed to manage or control the project resources on a given activity within time, cost and performance so called TPPM (Total Productive Project Management). In this research, a risk analysis model misproposed to identify potential problem areas, quantify the risks, and generated the chice of the action that can be taken to reduce the risk. In addition two analysis models are proposed : 1) risk factor model and 2) network simulation model using VERT (Venture Evaluation and Review Technique ). The objective of the remodels is to estimate the schedule, cost performance risks. These proposed quantitative models for project risk analysis are proving its value for the project managers who need to assess the risk of changes in cost, schedule, or performance. The proposed models will be used in the area of project selection, evaluation and the allocation of project resources.

• 수산경영론집
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• 제20권2호
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• pp.53-65
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• 1989

• 기술혁신연구
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• 제15권2호
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• pp.123-152
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• 2007

The striking characteristic of the contemporary global security environment is that the nature of threats has become diverse and complex. For example, transnational and non-military threats including terrorism and proliferation of weapon of mass destruction has increased. In this security environment, Advanced countries funnel their investments for defense budgets into the assurance of key force capability and R&D of cutting-edge core technologies, in consideration of future battlefield environments so as to get an edge on not only defense science and technology but also intelligence capabilities. As shown by past practices of the korea's defense acquisition, the ministry of national defense has tried to enhance its force capabilities in the short-term by purchasing foreign weapon systems rather than by investing in domestic R&D. Accordingly, the technological gaps between the korea and advanced countries were widened due to both insufficient investment in development of domestic technologies and avoidance of technological transfer by advanced countries. Thus, for the effective execution of the R&D budget and the successful performance of the projects, the importance of selection, management and evaluation of the R&D projects is emphasized. So, The objective of this study is that the analysis of the proposal-selection evaluation system for the realization of the successful defense core technology R&D projects. This study focused on the improvement of the proposal-selection evaluation model which can be applicable to the national defense core R&D projects. Using the improved proposal-selection evaluation system, we propose a model to enhance the reliability of the national defense core technology R&D project evaluation system.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제33권2호
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• pp.89-96
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• 2010

This study explores the application of the analytic network process (ANP) approach for the evaluation of R&D projects with heterogeneous objectives. The ANP model in this study produced the final priorities of projects with respect to several performance measures when there are interdependencies between research objectives and performance measures. The paper provides value to practitioners by providing a generic model for R&D project evaluation. The ANP approach is tested against empirical data drawn from fourteen R&D projects under six different objective programs sponsored by the Korean government.

• 대한산업공학회지
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• 제3권2호
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• pp.63-72
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• 1977

The trend of computerization is significant in Korea even at its beginning stage, especially for governmental administration. However, full-fledged success of computerization in an organization is reported to be rare while the cost of computerization has been high and increasing. This paper is concerned with two features for the successful implementation of a computerized system in an organization selection criteria for the computerization among the possible candidate projects and project selection models. Due to the dearth of literature regarding successful implementation of computerization, other sources of literature with respect to R & D management, method engineering, etc. were reviewed to develop a set of factors influencing successful computerization. Thus, project selection criteria for computerization of governmental administration are developed and organized as follows: cost of computerization project including both system development and operating cost, quanitative and qualitative benefits of computerization project, probability of technical and implementation success of computerization and other organizational and political factors to be considered. These criteria are broken down into detailed sets of subcriteria to be measured. To select a project after thorough consideration of the selection criteria, a project selection model which takes into account all criteria together has to be developed. In the study three project selection models are suggested and developed. They are the checklist model, multi-stage cut-off model, and composite criteria model. A detailed procedure for each of the three models is illustrated. Although the project selection criteria and models are developed here primarily for the computerization of governmental administration, they are easily applicable to other settings of computerization. Finally, some caveats for the use of selection criteria and models are discussed.

• 기술혁신연구
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• 제5권1호
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• pp.266-287
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• 1997

The purpose of this paper is to purpose methods and procedures by which we can set up technology planning scheme essential for R'||'&'||'D(or technology) planning in public sector (governmental and government-sponsored institutions), and can develop and select "main R'||'&'||'D projects" which are crucial to R'||'&'||'D planning, were quite specifically discussed in case of I'||'&'||'T(Information '||'&'||' Telecommunications) sector, so that they may not remain theoretical but may be practically applicable to real R'||'&'||'D programs. In this paper, the concept of technology planning was defined as a procedure for establishing nominal planning to acquire technologies efficiently for a specific sector. More detailed definition optimal technology-acquisition strategy, i.e., analyzing technological development '||'&'||' environ-ment, establishing R'||'&'||'D objectives as promising technology opportunities, selecting main R'||'&'||'D projects, allocating resources and so on."The"main R'||'&'||'D projects by technology sectors and by planning phases and then deciding on priority. Scoring method was rsed in assessment phase. Summing up, this paper suggested technology planning scheme of methods and procedures for sorting out required technologies, developing and assessing public R'||'&'||'D projects, and finally selecting main R'||'&'||'D projects.

• 디지털융복합연구
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• 제8권2호
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• pp.203-216
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• 2010

본 연구는 디지털화된 한국인 인체정보 데이터세트의 전략적 활용계획수립과 관련된다. 구체적으로 국가경쟁력 제고를 위한 R&D 전략 포트폴리오의 작성을 위하여 필요한 중요한 의사결정 요인들을 파악하고 조직화하는 것이다. 타 국가의 경우를 보더라도 디지털 인체정보 데이터세트와 시각화 에프리케이션의 개발은 국가수준에서 전략적인 R&D 프로젝트로 선정하여 추진하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 연구목적을 달성하기 위하여 해당 분야의 전문가 집단을 구성하였으며, 이들을 통하여 R&D 비전, SWOT분석 및 전략개발, 연구분야 및 세부과제를 파악하였다. 또한 전략계획 수립을 위하여 각 세부과제들을 중요도와 시급도 관점에서 우선순위를 파악하였다. 연구의 방법으로는 브레인스토밍, 델파이방법과 AHP(Analytical Hierarchy Process) 기법을 도입하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 추후 R&D 포트폴리오 작성을 위한 가이드라인이 될 뿐 아니라, 해당 분야에 연구투자를 평가하는 프레임워크로서 중요한 역할을 담당할 것이다.

• 한국재난정보학회 논문집
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• 제10권2호
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• pp.208-218
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• 2014

재난 안전사고에 따른 피해액 증가 및 재난 안전 관련 산업의 성장은 소방방재 R&D 사업에 대한 과학적 성과평가의 필요성을 높여 주고 있다. 2004~2011년 동안의 소방방재 R&D 성과분석 결과에 따르면 성과유형에 있어서 학술적 성과와 공공적 성과가 다수를 이룬다. 그리고 연구수행주체와 연구개발단계별로 성과유형의 특성이 있음을 확인하였다. 이와 같은 결과는 연구수행주체별 성과물의 특성과 연구개발단계별 성과물의 특성을 감안하여 연구과제 선정평가 시 적절한 연구수행 주체와 과학기술분야의 선정과 수행 주체별 성과목표 설정의 적절성을 판단하는데 활용할 수 있을 것으로 보인다. 아울러 성과관리를 위한 기초적인 자료로 활용될 것으로 보인다. 향후 이와 같은 소방 방재 특성을 개선하기 위한 방안을 마련하기 위한 연구를 전문적으로 수행할 필요가 있는 것으로 보인다.

• 기술혁신연구
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• 제15권1호
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• pp.87-113
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• 2007

For the realization of the national self-defense, the trend of the defense R&D projects becomes global and diverse with the increase of their budget. Thus, for the effective execution of the budget and the successful performance of the projects, the importance of selection, management and evaluation of the R&D projects is emphasized. This study suggests the applicability of a meta-evaluation model for the realization of the successful defense R&D project evaluation system. This study focused on the development of the meta-evaluation model design which can be applicable to the national defense R&D projects. Using the proposed meta-evaluation model, we propose a technique to enhance the fairness and the reliability of the national defense R&D projects evaluation system.

• 한국산학기술학회논문지
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• 제20권10호
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• pp.179-186
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• 2019

국내 무기체계 연구개발은 사업의 특성을 고려하여 정부 출연 연구소 또는 국내 업체 중 한 곳이 주관하여 추진한다. 그러나 그동안 연구개발 주관기관 선정을 위한 평가항목 및 절차 등에 대한 연구는 부족하였다. 이에 본 연구에서는 연구개발 주관기관 선정에 필요한 절차, 항목 등이 포함된 방법론을 제시하고자 한다. 먼저 연구개발 주관기관 평가항목을 객관화하기 위해 과거 사례 조사, 전문가 자문을 통해 평가항목 후보군을 작성하였다. 델파이 설문을 통해 최종적으로 '핵심기술 보유/준비 현황' 등 5개의 항목이 선정되었으며, 계층분석법(AHP: Analytic Hierarchy Process, 이하 AHP)을 통하여 평가항목 간 가중치를 설정하였다. 가중치는 대분류에서 '기술적 요소', '사업적 요소'로 분류하였으며, '기술적 요소'의 하위요소는 '핵심기술 보유/준비현황', '유사체계 경험'으로, '사업적 요소'의 하위요소는 '위험요소 관리', '사업수행 기반 여건', '사업참여의지'로 분류하였다. 각 평가항목의 최종가중치는 '핵심기술 보유/준비현황(0.405)'이 가장 높게 나타났으며, 그 다음으로 '유사체계 경험(0.297)', '위험요소 관리(0.127)', '사업수행 기반 여건(0.124)', '사업참여의지(0.047)'의 순으로 나타났다. 도출된 평가항목은 00 체계의 사례에 적용하여 그 결과를 확인하였다.