• Title/Summary/Keyword: Quantitative parameter

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Quantitative risk assessment for wellbore stability analysis using different failure criteria

  • Noohnejad, Alireza;Ahangari, Kaveh;Goshtasbi, Kamran
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.281-293
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    • 2021
  • Uncertainties in geomechanical input parameters which mainly related to inappropriate data acquisition and estimation due to lack of sufficient calibration information, have led wellbore instability not yet to be fully understood or addressed. This paper demonstrates a workflow of employing Quantitative Risk Assessment technique, considering these uncertainties in terms of rock properties, pore pressure and in-situ stresses to makes it possible to survey not just the likelihood of accomplishing a desired level of wellbore stability at a specific mud pressure, but also the influence of the uncertainty in each input parameter on the wellbore stability. This probabilistic methodology in conjunction with Monte Carlo numerical modeling techniques was applied to a case study of a well. The response surfaces analysis provides a measure of the effects of uncertainties in each input parameter on the predicted mud pressure from three widely used failure criteria, thereby provides a key measurement for data acquisition in the future wells to reduce the uncertainty. The results pointed out that the mud pressure is tremendously sensitive to UCS and SHmax which emphasize the significance of reliable determinations of these two parameters for safe drilling. On the other hand, the predicted safe mud window from Mogi-Coulomb is the widest while the Hoek-Brown is the narrowest and comparing the anticipated collapse failures from the failure criteria and breakouts observations from caliper data, indicates that Hoek-Brown overestimate the minimum mud weight to avoid breakouts while Mogi-Coulomb criterion give better forecast according to real observations.

Three Stage Estimation for the Mean of a One-Parameter Exponential Family

  • M. AlMahmeed;A. Al-Hessainan;Son, M.S.;H. I. Hamdy
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.539-557
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    • 1998
  • This article is concerned with the problem of estimating the mean of a one-parameter exponential family through sequential sampling in three stages under quadratic error loss. This more general framework differs from those considered by Hall (1981) and others. The differences are : (i) the estimator and the final stage sample size are dependent; and (ii) second order approximation of a continuously differentiable function of the final stage sample size permits evaluation of the asymptotic regret through higher order moments. In particular, the asymptotic regret can be expressed as a function of both the skewness $\rho$ and the kurtosis $\beta$ of the underlying distribution. The conditions on $\rho$ and $\beta$ for which negative regret is expected are discussed. Further results concerning the stopping variable N are also presented. We also supplement our theoretical findings wish simulation results to provide a feel for the triple sampling procedure presented in this study.

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Characteristics of Electroantennogram Parameters for the Detection of Odorants

  • Yun, Eung-Sik;Ko, Hwi-Jin;Sun, Jong-Hwan;Park, Tai-Hyun
    • Journal of Microbiology and Biotechnology
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.885-888
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    • 2000
  • Electroantennogram(EAG) can be applied to detect odorants since insects have highly specialized olfactory receptors inside their antennae. The characteristics of EAG parameters were investigated for the quantitative measurement of a general odorant using ammonia as a model odorant. The antennae of male silkworm moth, Bombyx mori, were used for the EAG. The electical signal curves generated from a pair of antennae originating from the same silkworm moth were never identical; however, they exhibited a typical type I or type II characteristic curve pattern for every pair of antennae. The correlation between the EAG parameters and the ammonia concentration was analyzed for the type I and type II antennae. The stability of each parameter was also investigated for each type of antenna. The results show the possibility of the quantitative measurement of general odorants using the EAG technique.

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Sensitivity Analysis of Rockfill Parameters Influencing Crest Displacements of CFRD Subjected to Earthquake Loading (지진하중을 받는 필댐 정부변위에 영향을 미치는 입력물성에 대한 민감도 분석)

  • Ha, Ik-Soo;Shin, Dong-Hoon
    • Proceedings of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea Conference
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    • 2006.03a
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    • pp.351-357
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    • 2006
  • In this study, quantitative sensitivity analysis on rockfill material influencing the dam crest displacement of Concrete-Faced Rockfill Dam(CFRD) subjected to earthquake loading was carried out. The purpose of this study is to indicate the most important input parameter and to show the quantitative variation of displacement at the crest of CFR type dam during earthquake loading with this input parameter. From the sensitivity analysis, it was found that the crest displacement of CFR type dam subjected to dynamic loading was absolutely affected by the shear modulus of rockfill material and the effect of friction angle of it was negligible. This relative difference of sensitivity was more outstanding in case of crest settlement than in case of crest horizontal displacement. Also, it was found that the extent of effect of shear modulus on the displacement at the crest of CFRD due to dynamic loading decreased as maximum amplitude of input acceleration increased.

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Bayesian Estimation of Shape Parameter of Pareto Income Distribution Using LINEX Loss Function

  • Saxena, Sharad;Singh, Housila P.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.33-55
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    • 2007
  • The economic world is full of patterns, many of which exert a profound influence over society and business. One of the most contentious is the distribution of wealth. Way back in 1897, an Italian engineer-turned-economist named Vilfredo Pareto discovered a pattern in the distribution of wealth that appears to be every bit as universal as the laws of thermodynamics or chemistry. The present paper proposes some Bayes estimators of shape parameter of Pareto income distribution in censored sampling. Asymmetric LINEX loss function has been considered to study the effects of overestimation and underestimation. For the prior distribution of the parameter involved a number of priors including one and two-parameter exponential, truncated Erlang and doubly truncated gamma have been contemplated to express the belief of the experimenter s/he has regarding the parameter. The estimators thus obtained have been compared theoretically and empirically with the corresponding estimators under squared error loss function, some of which were reported by Bhattacharya et al. (1999).

Modelling of Rock Joint Shear Strength Using Surface Roughness Parameter, Rs (표면 거칠기 계수 Rs를 이용한 암석 절리면 전단강도 모델)

  • 이석원;배석일;이인모
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2001.03a
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    • pp.73-80
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    • 2001
  • The shear strength of jointed rock is influenced by effective normal stress, joint wall compressive strength, joint roughness and so on. Since joint roughness makes considerable influences on shear strength of jointed rock, many studies tried to get quantitative joint roughness parameter. Until now, Joint Roughness Coefficient, JRC proposed by Barton has been prevalently used as a rock joint roughness parameter In spite of its disadvantages. In this study, a quantification of rock joint roughness is performed using surface roughness parameter, Rs. Proposed method is applied to rock core specimens, field joint surfaces, and JRC profiles. The scale of fluctuation is introduced to extend the suggested method to the large scale field joint surface roughness. Based on the quantification of joint surface roughness, joint shear tests are performed with the portable shear box. The relationship between joint surface roughness and joint shear strength is investigated and finally, a rock joint shear strength equation is derived from these results. The equation has considerable credibility and originality in that it is obtained from laboratory tests and expressed with quantified parameter.

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Blending Surface with Parameter Control in Compound Surface (복합 곡면에서 매개변수 조정에 의한 블렌딩곡면 생성)

  • 김종열;이희관;공영식;양균의
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.15 no.10
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    • pp.148-155
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    • 1998
  • For products of various shapes, compound surfaces are used. Blending surfaces are essential to the products of the compound surfaces. In this paper a method of making shape of blending surface flexible with parameter control is discussed. The parameter has quantitative control of shape of the blend. The blending surface is applied to NURBS and simple primitives in solid model. Intersection curves of surfaces is used to provide the blend with generality. Rail curve are found with the intersection curves. The blend is generated by rail curves and parameter control. Also, In strict constraint condition, blending surface with flexible shapes is discussed, keeping ;${GC}^1$ and ;${GC}^2$ continuity between free-formed surfaces and solids. Joining blending ,bridge blending and blending surface at corner are generated.

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Proposal of a New Parameter for Extra Straining Effects (이차적인 변형률효과를 나타내는 새로운 변수의 제안)

  • 명현국
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.184-192
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    • 1994
  • The parameters such as Richardson numbers or stability parameters are widely used to account for the extra straining effects due to three-dimensionality, curvature, rotation, swirl and others arising in paractical complex flows. Existing expressions for the extra strain in turbulence models such as $k-{\epsilon}$ models, however, do not satisfy the tensor invariant condition representing the coordinate indifference. In the present paper, considering the characteristics of both the mean strain rate and the mean vorticity, a new parameter to deal with the extra straining effects is proposed. The new parameter has a simple form and satisfies the tensor invariant condition. A semi-quantitative analysis between the present and previous parameters for several typical complex flows suggests that the newly proposed parameter is more general and adequate in representing the extra straining effects than the previous ad-hoc parameters.

Electron Energy Distribution function in CH4 by MCS-BEq (MCS-BEq에 의한 CH4기체에서 전자에너지 분포함수)

  • Kim, Sang-Nam
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers P
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    • v.62 no.1
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    • pp.18-22
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    • 2013
  • This paper describes the information for quantitative simulation of weakly ionized plasma. We must grasp the meaning of the plasma state condition to utilize engineering application and to understand materials of plasma state. Using quantitative simulations of weakly ionized plasma, we can analyze gas characteristic. In this paper, the electron transport characteristic in $CH_4$ has been analysed over the E/N range 0.1~300[Td], at the 300[$_{\circ}\;K$] by the two term approximation Boltzmann equation method and Monte Carlo Simulation. Boltzmann equation method has also been used to predict swarm parameter using the same cross sections as input. The behavior of electron has been calculated to give swarm parameter for the electron energy distribution function has been analysed in $CH_4$ at E/N=10, 100 for a case of the equilibrium region in the mean energy. A set of electron collision cross section has been assembled and used in Monte Carlo simulation to predict values of swarm parameters. The result of Boltzmann equation and Monte Carlo Simulation has been compared with experimental data by Ohmori, Lucas and Carter. The swarm parameter from the swarm study are expected to sever as a critical test of current theories of low energy scattering by atoms and molecules.

Ionization and Diffusion Coefficients in CH4 Gas by Simulation (시뮬레이션에 의한 CH4 기체의 전리 및 확산계수)

  • Kim, Sang-Nam
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers P
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    • v.63 no.4
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    • pp.317-321
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    • 2014
  • This paper describes the information for quantitative simulation of weakly ionized plasma. We must grasp the meaning of the plasma state condition to utilize engineering application and to understand materials of plasma state. Using quantitative simulations of weakly ionized plasma, we can analyze gas characteristic. In this paper, the electron Ionization and diffusion Coefficients in $CH_4$ has been analysed over the E/N range 0.1~300[Td], at the 300[$^{\circ}K$] by the two term approximation Boltzmann equation method and Monte Carlo Simulation. Boltzmann equation method has also been used to predict swarm parameter using the same cross sections as input. The behavior of electron has been calculated to give swarm parameter for the electron energy distribution function has been analysed in $CH_4$ at E/N=10, 100 for a case of the equilibrium region in the mean energy. A set of electron collision cross section has been assembled and used in Monte Carlo simulation to predict values of swarm parameters. The result of Boltzmann equation and Monte Carlo Simulation has been compared with experimental data by Ohmori, Lucas and Carter. The swarm parameter from the swarm study are expected to sever as a critical test of current theories of low energy scattering by atoms and molecules.