• 제목/요약/키워드: Project risk

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원전건설 성과관리시스템(EVMS) 개발을 위한 요건 분석 (Requirement Analysis for Development of EVMS in Nuclear Power Plant)

  • 원서경;박원섭;정영환;김재용;김윤명
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2013년도 춘계 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.271-272
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    • 2013
  • The Korean nuclear industry acquired technology for each construction stage including engineering, procurement, construction and commissioning from advanced nuclear countries. While the levels of technology and quality have greatly improved, the same cannot be said for the level of project management. In particular, the level of project performance measurement and forecasting project risk still remain at the single project management level. Thus, this paper reviewed the concept of the EVMS method and requirement for the system. The adoption of the EVMS, an advanced project management method, can enable efficient management of project risks and promote an adequate environment for project implementation.

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Measuring Performance to Engage the Extended Project Team in Construction

  • Bal, Menoka;Bryde, David
    • Journal of Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2015
  • In construction, stakeholders of extended project team play a key role in the overall project performance. Successful integration of stakeholders demands for good management practices at strategic, operational and project levels. Targets and measures to improve the stakeholder performance encourage the creativity and willingness of stakeholders of extended project team to develop the better ways to achieve the project objectives. This paper presents a generic descriptive method, showing how stakeholder's ability and influence impacts on project performance in the construction sector. The findings of a series of interviews with key informants are presented and the following main conclusion is drawn: improving project performance through stakeholder's contribution and measuring their performance can strengthen the project performance. This innovative approach which redefines the process of improving the project performance in construction projects will be of interest to those who intend to manage the projects in practice as well as to those who interested in advancing theory.

Software Architecture Analysis for Risk Management

  • Kang, Byeong-Do;Lee, Roger Y.
    • 한국산업정보학회논문지
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    • 제14권5호
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    • pp.83-89
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    • 2009
  • Management of risks is critical issue in the project management and it is important to ensure that risk management is done in a sensible way. Risk analysis is an activity geared towards risk mitigation in risk management technique. Many techniques to manage, analyze and reduce risks have been done previously but only few have addressed the design analysis to reduce risk and none have attempted to analyze architecture to manage risks. In this paper we try to find a solution through various analyzing various software architectural design concepts. We follow Pressman's method of analyzing architecture design, and then alter it to identify risks which are used in risk analysis process further in risk management process. The risks assessed are analyzed later in the risk management cycle.

토목공사에서 발생 가능한 리스크평가에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Risk Assessment Occurred Possibly in a Civil Project)

  • 윤용균
    • 화약ㆍ발파
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    • 제29권2호
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    • pp.59-66
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    • 2011
  • 자연적, 기술적, 생물학적 재해에 의해 유발된 다양한 리스크가 조직의 업무연속성에 위협을 미친다. 업무연속성은 모든 조직에 가장 중요한 과제로써 그것을 적절히 관리하는 것은 조직의 성패를 가르게 된다. 업무연속성계획(BCP)은 업무연속성을 담보할 수 있는 관리 절차로 정의될 수 있다. BCP는 리스크관리, 상시운영계획, 재난대응/복구, 훈련/학습, 위기 전달 등을 포함한다. 이중에서 리스크관리는 리스크확인, 분석, 평가 처리를 하기 위한 체계적 방법으로 리스크평가는 리스크확인, 분석, 평가로 구성된다. 리스크평가는 BCP를 계획하기 위한 첫 번째 단계이다. 본 연구에서는 하수관거 매설 공사에 대해서 리스크평가를 수행하였다. 리스크평가 과정을 통해 건설 공사에 위협을 주는 18개의 리스크를 확인하였고 이들에 대한 리스크 수준 분석을 통해 대책이 필요한 가장 상위 수준의 리스크로는 '굴착면의 붕괴', '지중매설물 파손', '소음 및 먼지날림', '원자재값 상승'으로 나타났다.

건설현장의 위험요소 사례연구를 통한 위험저감 방안의 고찰 -토공사, 기초공사, 철근콘크리트공사를 대상으로- (Plans for Reducing Risk through a Case Study of Risk Factors at a Construction Site -Focused on Earth work, Foundation Work, Reinforced Concrete Construction-)

  • 김진호
    • 한국건축시공학회지
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    • 제10권4호
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    • pp.83-93
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    • 2010
  • 건설프로젝트가 점차 복잡화, 대형화 되어감에 따라 건설공사에서의 위험요소와 불확실성이 증가하고 있으며, 프로젝트 수행과정에서 발생하는 불확실한 요인을 사전에 파악하여 대응하는 것은 프로젝트의 승패를 좌우할 수 있다. 따라서 본 연구의 목적은 토공사, 기초공사, 철근콘크리트 공사에서의 제약조건과 위험요소를 파악함과 동시에 시공 계획수립의 실태를 분석함으로써 위험을 저감할 수 있는 방안을 제시하는 것이다. 이러한 연구목적을 달성하기 위해 위험분류체계에 관한 기존연구를 고찰하였으며, 건설현장에 근무하는 기사를 대상으로 인터뷰조사를 실시하여 안전 관리의 문제점을 구체화하기 위해 실증적인 현장사례연구를 수행하였다. 주요 연구내용은 건설현장의 특수상황 및 주요 공법의 적용실태, 제약조건과 위험요소의 인과관계이며, 위험을 저감하기 위한 중점관리 방안을 제시하였다.

Application of Big Data and Machine-learning (ML) Technology to Mitigate Contractor's Design Risks for Engineering, Procurement, and Construction (EPC) Projects

  • Choi, Seong-Jun;Choi, So-Won;Park, Min-Ji;Lee, Eul-Bum
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 9th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.823-830
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    • 2022
  • The risk of project execution increases due to the enlargement and complexity of Engineering, Procurement, and Construction (EPC) plant projects. In the fourth industrial revolution era, there is an increasing need to utilize a large amount of data generated during project execution. The design is a key element for the success of the EPC plant project. Although the design cost is about 5% of the total EPC project cost, it is a critical process that affects the entire subsequent process, such as construction, installation, and operation & maintenance (O&M). This study aims to develop a system using machine-learning (ML) techniques to predict risks and support decision-making based on big data generated in an EPC project's design and construction stages. As a result, three main modules were developed: (M1) the design cost estimation module, (M2) the design error check module, and (M3) the change order forecasting module. M1 estimated design cost based on project data such as contract amount, construction period, total design cost, and man-hour (M/H). M2 and M3 are applications for predicting the severity of schedule delay and cost over-run due to design errors and change orders through unstructured text data extracted from engineering documents. A validation test was performed through a case study to verify the model applied to each module. It is expected to improve the risk response capability of EPC contractors in the design and construction stage through this study.

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사례연구 : 해외 프로젝트 파이낸스 투자 사례와 실물옵션기반 투자 의사결정 (Case Study : A Real Options Approach to an Overseas Project Finance Deal)

  • 변진호;최문섭
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제39권5호
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    • pp.429-439
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    • 2013
  • The Korean Veterans' Pension Fund has previously pre-purchased Gibril Tower on Business Complex in Dubai, UAE, via a project-financed construction investment. Although the property is near completion, the investor syndicate's attempt to debt-finance due arrears was foiled in Dubai central bank's credit control of real estaterelated loans. Accordingly, the investment coordinator offered an additional capital injection, a collateralized leverage, and a maturity extension to the syndicate. If the syndicate rejects the offer, they may risk a nearcomplete capital loss and a possible default of the main contractor. Otherwise, the syndicate may still face uncertainties regarding interest receivables, principal re-payment, foreclosure, economic recession in Dubai, and the Islamic bond bill in the Korean Parliament. A possible exercise of the latter option may be due to the agency-prone nature of pension fund managers. Given these qualitative risk factors as at April 1, 2011, a real options approach-implied optimal decision suggests an extended and complete cash augmentation into the project finance deal.

SEISMIC ISOLATION OF LEAD-COOLED REACTORS: THE EUROPEAN PROJECT SILER

  • Forni, Massimo;Poggianti, Alessandro;Scipinotti, Riccardo;Dusi, Alberto;Manzoni, Elena
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제46권5호
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    • pp.595-604
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    • 2014
  • SILER (Seismic-Initiated event risk mitigation in LEad-cooled Reactors) is a Collaborative Project, partially funded by the European Commission in the $7^{th}$ Framework Programme, aimed at studying the risk associated to seismic-initiated events in Generation IV Heavy Liquid Metal reactors, and developing adequate protection measures. The project started in October 2011, and will run for a duration of three years. The attention of SILER is focused on the evaluation of the effects of earthquakes, with particular regards to beyond-design seismic events, and to the identification of mitigation strategies, acting both on structures and components design. Special efforts are devoted to the development of seismic isolation devices and related interface components. Two reference designs, at the state of development available at the beginning of the project and coming from the $6^{th}$ Framework Programme, have been considered: ELSY (European Lead Fast Reactor) for the Lead Fast Reactors (LFR), and MYRRHA (Multi-purpose hYbrid Research Reactor for High-tech Applications) for the Accelerator-Driven Systems (ADS). This paper describes the main activities and results obtained so far, paying particular attention to the development of seismic isolators, and the interface components which must be installed between the isolated reactor building and the non-isolated parts of the plant, such as the pipe expansion joints and the joint-cover of the seismic gap.

주거용 오피스텔의 최적 분양가 산정 모델 개발 연구 (A Basic Study on Optimal Price Estimation Model Development of Residential Officetel Project)

  • 전상섭;장준호;하선근;이주형;손기영;손승현
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2018년도 추계 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.124-125
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    • 2018
  • Recently, risk analysis studies regarding the architecture development project have been carried out by applying probabilistic method. However, it had a limit that this studies was conducted in only an apartment. Therefore, the objective of this study is to develop an optimal price estimation model that can be utilized on residential officetel project by applying Monte Carlo simulation. To achieve the objective, first, the variables are selected affecting the feasibility of an officetel based on literature review. Second, causal loop diagram is constructed by arranging the relationship between variables, then the import and expense model is suggested. Third, to carry out optimized parcel price, the range limits are set for each variables then Monte Carlo simulation is performed. In the future, the developed model is expected to help decision-makers as a tool to determine both risk and feasibility of the officetel development project.

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Stakeholders' Perception of the Causes and Effect of Construction Delays on Project Delivery-A Review

  • Gandhak, Prajyot;Sabihuddin, Syed
    • Journal of Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • 제4권4호
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    • pp.41-46
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    • 2014
  • Indian Construction industry is large, volatile, and requires tremendous capital outlays. Typically, the work offers low rates of return in relation to the amount of risk involved. A unique element of risk in the industry is the manner in which disputes and claims are woven through the fibre of the construction process. Delay is generally acknowledged as the most common, costly, complex and risky problem encountered in construction projects. Because of the overriding importance of time for both the Owner and the Contractor, it is the source of frequent disputes and claims leading to lawsuits. The growing rate of delays is adversely affecting the timely delivery of construction projects. Presently construction industries are facing a lot of problems, considering that a paper assess construction stakeholder's perception to the causes of delays and its effects on project delivery. And also one case study is considered in this paper to elicit responses from construction stakeholders. The primary aim of this paper is to identify the perceptions of the different parties regarding causes of delays, the allocation of responsibilities and the types of delays, and method of minimizing the construction delays.