• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prior information

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Discontinuity of Representativeness Heuristic

  • 이호창
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.101-113
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    • 1999
  • The individual behavior on considering prior information when one assesses the probability of uncertain event by representativeness heuristic has been investigated. While prior researches proposed two contrasting behaviors on the employment, we tested the mixed hypothesis that individual ignores the prior information to some extents and begins to consider it above certain threshold when the evidence of representativeness is not salient. The threshold effect of prior probability is positively experimented and the results strongly support the discontinuity hypothesis of representativeness heuristic.

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Background Prior-based Salient Object Detection via Adaptive Figure-Ground Classification

  • Zhou, Jingbo;Zhai, Jiyou;Ren, Yongfeng;Lu, Ali
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.1264-1286
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, a novel background prior-based salient object detection framework is proposed to deal with images those are more complicated. We take the superpixels located in four borders into consideration and exploit a mechanism based on image boundary information to remove the foreground noises, which are used to form the background prior. Afterward, an initial foreground prior is obtained by selecting superpixels that are the most dissimilar to the background prior. To determine the regions of foreground and background based on the prior of them, a threshold is needed in this process. According to a fixed threshold, the remaining superpixels are iteratively assigned based on their proximity to the foreground or background prior. As the threshold changes, different foreground priors generate multiple different partitions that are assigned a likelihood of being foreground. Last, all segments are combined into a saliency map based on the idea of similarity voting. Experiments on five benchmark databases demonstrate the proposed method performs well when it compares with the state-of-the-art methods in terms of accuracy and robustness.

Sensitivity analysis in Bayesian nonignorable selection model for binary responses

  • Choi, Seong Mi;Kim, Dal Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.187-194
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    • 2014
  • We consider a Bayesian nonignorable selection model to accommodate the selection bias. Markov chain Monte Carlo methods is known to be very useful to fit the nonignorable selection model. However, sensitivity to prior assumptions on parameters for selection mechanism is a potential problem. To quantify the sensitivity to prior assumption, the deviance information criterion and the conditional predictive ordinate are used to compare the goodness-of-fit under two different prior specifications. It turns out that the 'MLE' prior gives better fit than the 'uniform' prior in viewpoints of goodness-of-fit measures.

Noninformative priors for common scale parameter in the regular Pareto distributions

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Kim, Yong-Ku
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.353-363
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, we introduce the noninformative priors such as the matching priors and the reference priors for the common scale parameter in the Pareto distributions. It turns out that the posterior distribution under the reference priors is not proper, and Jeffreys' prior is not a matching prior. It is shown that the proposed first order prior matches the target coverage probabilities in a frequentist sense through simulation study.

Bayesian Hypothesis Testing for the Ratio of Two Quantiles in Exponential Distributions

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.833-845
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    • 2007
  • When X and Y have independent exponential distributions, we develop a Bayesian testing procedure for the ratio of two quantiles under reference prior. The noninformative prior such as reference prior is usually improper which yields a calibration problem that makes the Bayes factor to be defined up to a multiplicative constant. So we develop a Bayesian testing procedure based on fractional Bayes factor and intrinsic Bayes factor. We show that the posterior density under the reference prior is proper and propose the Bayesian testing procedure for the ratio of two quantiles using fractional Bayes factor and intrinsic Bayes factor. Simulation study and a real data example are provided.

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INCORPORATING PRIOR BELIEF IN THE GENERAL PATH MODEL: A COMPARISON OF INFORMATION SOURCES

  • Coble, Jamie;Hines, J. W esley
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.46 no.6
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    • pp.773-782
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    • 2014
  • The general path model (GPM) is one approach for performing degradation-based, or Type III, prognostics. The GPM fits a parametric function to the collected observations of a prognostic parameter and extrapolates the fit to a failure threshold. This approach has been successfully applied to a variety of systems when a sufficient number of prognostic parameter observations are available. However, the parametric fit can suffer significantly when few data are available or the data are very noisy. In these instances, it is beneficial to include additional information to influence the fit to conform to a prior belief about the evolution of system degradation. Bayesian statistical approaches have been proposed to include prior information in the form of distributions of expected model parameters. This requires a number of run-to-failure cases with tracked prognostic parameters; these data may not be readily available for many systems. Reliability information and stressor-based (Type I and Type II, respectively) prognostic estimates can provide the necessary prior belief for the GPM. This article presents the Bayesian updating framework to include prior information in the GPM and compares the efficacy of including different information sources on two data sets.

Noninformative Priors for the Ratio of the Scale Parameters in the Inverted Exponential Distributions

  • Kang, Sang Gil;Kim, Dal Ho;Lee, Woo Dong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.387-394
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, we develop the noninformative priors for the ratio of the scale parameters in the inverted exponential distributions. The first and second order matching priors, the reference prior and Jeffreys prior are developed. It turns out that the second order matching prior matches the alternative coverage probabilities, is a cumulative distribution function matching prior and is a highest posterior density matching prior. In addition, the reference prior and Jeffreys' prior are the second order matching prior. We show that the proposed reference prior matches the target coverage probabilities in a frequentist sense through a simulation study as well as provide an example based on real data is given.

SEGMENTATION WITH SHAPE PRIOR USING GLOBAL AND LOCAL IMAGE FITTING ENERGY

  • Terbish, Dultuya;Kang, Myungjoo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.225-244
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    • 2014
  • In this work, we discuss segmentation algorithms based on the level set method that incorporates shape prior knowledge. Fundamental segmentation models fail to segment desirable objects from a background when the objects are occluded by others or missing parts of their whole. To overcome these difficulties, we incorporate shape prior knowledge into a new segmentation energy that, uses global and local image information to construct the energy functional. This method improves upon other methods found in the literature and segments images with intensity inhomogeneity, even when images have missing or misleading information due to occlusions, noise, or low-contrast. We consider the case when the shape prior is placed exactly at the locations of the desired objects and the case when the shape prior is placed at arbitrary locations. We test our methods on various images and compare them to other existing methods. Experimental results show that our methods are not only accurate and computationally efficient, but faster than existing methods as well.

Bayesian Model Selection for Nonlinear Regression under Noninformative Prior

  • Na, Jonghwa;Kim, Jeongsuk
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.719-729
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    • 2003
  • We propose a Bayesian model selection procedure for nonlinear regression models under noninformative prior. For informative prior, Na and Kim (2002) suggested the Bayesian model selection procedure through MCMC techniques. We extend this method to the case of noninformative prior. The difficulty with the use of noninformative prior is that it is typically improper and hence is defined only up to arbitrary constant. The methods, such as Intrinsic Bayes Factor(IBF) and Fractional Bayes Factor(FBF), are used as a resolution to the problem. We showed the detailed model selection procedure through the specific real data set.

Effects of Prior Information About Intensive Care Unit Environment on Anxiety and Environmental Stress in Patients Undergoing Open Heart Surgery (중환자실 환경에 대한 사전정보 제공이 개심술 환자의 불안과 환경적 스트레스에 미치는 효과)

  • Shin, Kyong Mi;Choi, Hye Ran
    • The Journal of Korean Academic Society of Nursing Education
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.28-35
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to examine the effects of prior information about ICU environment on the anxiety and environmental stress of cardiac surgery ICU patients. Methods: A non-equivalent control group non-synchronized quasi-experimental research design was used. Participants were 60 (control 30, experimental 30) patients who had been admitted to ICU. Prior information about the ICU environment was provided to the experimental group. The anxiety level of subjects was measured by State-Trait Anxiety Inventory (STAI) and the stress level of subjects was measured by the Intensive Care Unit Environmental Stressor Scale (ICUESS). Data were analyzed using a Chi-square test or a Fisher's exact test, independent samples t-test, and paired samples t-test. Results: There was no difference in Anxiety (t=-0.58, p=.563), but there was a significant difference in environmental stress (t=10.46, p<.001). Conclusion: Providing prior information would be an effective nursing intervention to reduce environmental stress.