• 제목/요약/키워드: Prior

검색결과 11,837건 처리시간 0.034초

Note on Properties of Noninformative Priors in the One-Way Random Effect Model

  • Kang, Sang Gil;Kim, Dal Ho;Cho, Jang Sik
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.835-844
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    • 2002
  • For the one-way random model when the ratio of the variance components is of interest, Bayesian analysis is often appropriate. In this paper, we develop the noninformative priors for the ratio of the variance components under the balanced one-way random effect model. We reveal that the second order matching prior matches alternative coverage probabilities up to the second order (Mukerjee and Reid, 1999) and is a HPD(Highest Posterior Density) matching prior. It turns out that among all of the reference priors, the only one reference prior (one-at-a-time reference prior) satisfies a second order matching criterion. Finally we show that one-at-a-time reference prior produces confidence sets with expected length shorter than the other reference priors and Cox and Reid (1987) adjustment.

Noninformative priors for stress-strength reliability in the Pareto distributions

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.115-123
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we develop the noninformative priors for stress-strength reliability from the Pareto distributions. We develop the matching priors and the reference priors. It turns out that the second order matching prior does not match the alternative coverage probabilities, and is not a highest posterior density matching or a cumelative distribution function matching priors. Also we reveal that the one-at-a-time reference prior and Jeffreys' prior are the second order matching prior. We show that the proposed reference prior matches the target coverage probabilities in a frequentist sense through simulation study, and an example is given.

Effect of Prior Probabilities on the Classification Accuracy under the Condition of Poor Separability

  • Kim, Chang-Jae;Eo, Yang-Dam;Lee, Byoung-Kil
    • 한국측량학회지
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.333-340
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    • 2008
  • This paper shows that the use of prior probabilities of the involved classes improve the accuracy of classification in case of poor separability between classes. Three cases of experiments are designed with two LiDAR datasets while considering three different classes (building, tree, and flat grass area). Moreover, random sampling method with human interpretation is used to achieve the approximate prior probabilities in this research. Based on the experimental results, Bayesian classification with the appropriate prior probability makes the improved classification results comparing with the case of non-prior probability when the ratio of prior probability of one class to that of the other is significantly different to 1.0.

Bayesian estimation for Rayleigh models

  • Oh, Ji Eun;Song, Joon Jin;Sohn, Joong Kweon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제28권4호
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    • pp.875-888
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    • 2017
  • The Rayleigh distribution has been commonly used in life time testing studies of the probability of surviving until mission time. We focus on a reliability function of the Rayleigh distribution and deal with prior distribution on R(t). This paper is an effort to obtain Bayes estimators of rayleigh distribution with three different prior distribution on the reliability function; a noninformative prior, uniform prior and inverse gamma prior. We have found the Bayes estimator and predictive density function of a future observation y with each prior distribution. We compare the performance of the Bayes estimators under different sample size and in simulation study. We also derive the most plausible region, prediction intervals for a future observation.

BAYESIAN INFERENCE FOR THE POWER LAW PROCESS WITH THE POWER PRIOR

  • KIM HYUNSOO;CHOI SANGA;KIM SEONG W.
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제34권4호
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    • pp.331-344
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    • 2005
  • Inference on current data could be more reliable if there exist similar data based on previous studies. Ibrahim and Chen (2000) utilize these data to characterize the power prior. The power prior is constructed by raising the likelihood function of the historical data to the power $a_o$, where $0\;{\le}\;a_o\;{\le}\;1$. The power prior is a useful informative prior in Bayesian inference. However, for model selection or model comparison problems, the propriety of the power prior is one of the critical issues. In this paper, we suggest two joint power priors for the power law process and show that they are proper under some conditions. We demonstrate our results with a real dataset and some simulated datasets.

Minimizing Weighted Mean of Inefficiency for Robust Designs

  • Seo, Han-Son
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.95-104
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    • 2008
  • This paper addresses issues of robustness in Bayesian optimal design. We may have difficulty applying Bayesian optimal design principles because of the uncertainty of prior distribution. When there are several plausible prior distributions and the efficiency of a design depends on the unknown prior distribution, robustness with respect to misspecification of prior distribution is required. We suggest a new optimal design criterion which has relatively high efficiencies across the class of plausible prior distributions. The criterion is applied to the problem of estimating the turning point of a quadratic regression, and both analytic and numerical results are shown to demonstrate its robustness.

Noninformative Priors for the Common Shape Parameter in the Gamma Distributions

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.247-257
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we develop the noninformative priors for the common shape parameter in the gamma distributions. We develop the matching priors and reveal that the second order matching prior does not exist. It turns out that the one-at-a-time reference prior and the two group reference prior satisfy a first order probability matching criterion. Some simulation study is peformed.

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Noninformative Priors for the Common Scale Parameter in the Inverse Gaussian Distributions

  • Kang, Sang-Gil
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제15권4호
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    • pp.981-992
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, we develop the noninformative priors for the common scale parameter in the inverse gaussian distributions. We developed the first and second order matching priors. Next we revealed that the second order matching prior satisfies a HPD matching criterion. Also we showed that the second order matching prior matches alternative coverage probabilities up to the second order. It turns out that the one-at-a-time reference prior satisfies a second order matching criterion. Some simulation study is performed.

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OBJECTIVE BAYESIAN APPROACH TO STEP STRESS ACCELERATED LIFE TESTS

  • Kim Dal-Ho;Lee Woo-Dong;Kang Sang-Gil
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제35권3호
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    • pp.225-238
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    • 2006
  • This paper considers noninformative priors for the scale parameter of exponential distribution when the data are collected in step stress accelerated life tests. We find the Jeffreys' and reference priors for this model and show that the reference prior satisfies first order matching criterion. Also, we show that there exists no second order matching prior in this problem. Some simulation results are given and we perform Bayesian analysis for proposed priors using some data.

Jeffrey′s Noninformative Prior in Bayesian Conjoint Analysis

  • Oh, Man-Suk;Kim, Yura
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제29권2호
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    • pp.137-153
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    • 2000
  • Conjoint analysis is a widely-used statistical technique for measuring relative importance that individual place on the product's attributes. Despsite its practical importance, the complexity of conjoint model makes it difficult to analyze. In this paper, w consider a Bayesian approach using Jeffrey's noninformative prior. We derive Jeffrey's prior and give a sufficient condition under which the posterior derived from the Jeffrey's prior is paper.

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