• 제목/요약/키워드: Prediction approach

검색결과 2,113건 처리시간 0.028초

Assessment of the effect of biofilm on the ship hydrodynamic performance by performance prediction method

  • Farkas, Andrea;Degiuli, Nastia;Martic, Ivana
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.102-114
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    • 2021
  • Biofouling represents an important problem in the shipping industry since it causes the increase in surface roughness. The most of ships in the current world fleet do not have good coating condition which represents an important problem due to strict rules regarding ship energy efficiency. Therefore, the importance of the control and management of the hull and propeller fouling is highlighted by the International Maritime Organization and the maintenance schedule optimization became valuable energy saving measure. For adequate implementation of this measure, the accurate prediction of the effects of biofouling on the hydrodynamic characteristics is required. Although computational fluid dynamics approach, based on the modified wall function approach, has imposed itself as one of the most promising tools for this prediction, it requires significant computational time. However, during the maintenance schedule optimization, it is important to rapidly predict the effect of biofouling on the ship hydrodynamic performance. In this paper, the effect of biofilm on the ship hydrodynamic performance is studied using the proposed performance prediction method for three merchant ships. The applicability of this method in the assessment of the effect of biofilm on the ship hydrodynamic performance is demonstrated by comparison of the obtained results using the proposed performance prediction method and computational fluid dynamics approach. The comparison has shown that the highest relative deviation is lower than 4.2% for all propulsion characteristics, lower than 1.5% for propeller rotation rate and lower than 5.2% for delivered power. Thus, a practical tool for the estimation of the effect of biofouling with lower fouling severity on the ship hydrodynamic performance is developed.

A SPATIAL PREDICTION THEORY FOR LONG-TERM FADING IN MOBILE RADIO COMMUNICATIONS

  • Yoo, Seong-Mo
    • ETRI Journal
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    • 제15권3_4호
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    • pp.27-34
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    • 1994
  • There have been traditional approaches to model radio propagation path loss mechanism both theoretically ad empirically. Theoretical approach is simple to explain and effective in certain cases. Empirical approach accommodates the terrain configuration and distance between base station and mobile unit along the propagation path only. In other words, it does not accommodate natural terrain configuration over a specific area. In this paper, we propose a spatial prediction technique for the mobile radio propagation path loss accommodating complete natural terrain configuration over a specific area. Statistical uncertainty analysis is also considered.

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Bunsen Buner 난류 예혼합 화염장의 해석 (Prediction of Turbulent Premixed Flamefield in Bunsen Burner)

  • 조지호;김후중;김용모
    • 한국연소학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국연소학회 제26회 KOSCO SYMPOSIUM 논문집
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    • pp.195-199
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    • 2003
  • The stoichiometric methan/air premixed turbulent flames at the axisymmetric Bunsen burner situation are numerically investigated. To account for the chemistry-turbulence interaction in the turbulent premixed flames, the steady laminar flamelet library method has been adopted. The flame front is tracked by using the Level-Set Approach. Turbulence is represented by the ${\kappa}-{\varepsilon}$ modeling with a Pope's correction. The detailed comparison between prediction and measurement has made for the flame field in terms of velocity, turbulent kinetic energy, and normarlized temperature.

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다중 가설 추적 알고리듬의 추적 성능예측 (Performance Prediction of Multiple Hypothesis Tracking Algorithm)

  • 정영헌
    • 대한전자공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전자공학회 2003년도 하계종합학술대회 논문집 V
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    • pp.2787-2790
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, we predict tracking performance of the multiple hypothesis tracking (MHT) algorithm. The MHT algorithm is known to be an optimal Bayesian approach and is superior to asly other tracking filters because it takes into account the events that the measurements can be originated from new targets and false alarms 3s well as interesting targets. In the MHT algorithm, a number of candidate hypotheses are generated and evaluated later as more data are received. The probability of each candidate hypotheses is approximately evaluated by using the hybrid conditional average approach (HYCA). We performed numerical experiments to show the validity of our performance prediction.

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영 이득 예측법에 의한 적응 제어기 (An Adaptive Controller based on Zero-gain prediction Approach)

  • 윤세봉;한흥석;양해원
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 1987년도 정기총회 및 창립40주년기념 학술대회 학회본부
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    • pp.73-75
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    • 1987
  • The paper proposes a class of discrete-time adaptive controller which may be applicable without sufficient a priori information. Against choices of the Information, GPC algorithm may seem to be more robust than any other methods reported, but it is the method based on Indirect approach. It is, therefore, reasonable to propose an algorithm via the zero-gain prediction, in which the control parameters are directly estimated and calculated.

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공구간섭과 절삭성을 고려한 자유 곡면의 4, 5축 NC 가공을 위한 공구 경로 산출 (Interference-Free Tool Path with High Machinability for 4- and 5-Axes NC Machining of Free-Formed Surfaces)

  • 강재관
    • 한국정밀공학회지
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    • 제15권2호
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    • pp.146-153
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    • 1998
  • NC machines with 4 or 5 axes are capable of various tool approach motions, which makes interference-free and high machinablity machining possible. This paper deals with how to integrate these two advantages (interference-free and high machinability machining) in multi-axes NC machining with a ball-end mill. Feasible tool approach region at a point on a surface is first computed, then among which an approach direction is determined so as to minimize the cutting force required. Tool and spindle volumes are considered in computing the feasible tool approach region, and the computing time is improved by trans-forming surface patches into minimal enclosing spheres. A cutting force prediction model is used for estimating the cutting force. The algorithm is developed so as to be applied to 4- or 5-axes NC machining in common.

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회귀분석에 의한 건물에너지 사용량 예측기법에 관한 연구 (A Study for Predicting Building Energy Use with Regression Analysis)

  • 이승복
    • 설비공학논문집
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    • 제12권12호
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    • pp.1090-1097
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    • 2000
  • Predicting building energy use can be useful to evaluate its energy performance. This study proposed empirical approach for predicting building energy use with regression analysis. For the empirical analysis, simple regression models were developed based on the historical energy consumption data as a function of daily outside temperature, the predicting equations were derived for different operational modes and day types, then the equations were applied for predicting energy use in a building. BY selecting a real building as a case study, the feasibilities of the empirical approach for predicting building energy use were examined. The results showed that empirical approach with regression analysis was fairly reliable by demonstrating prediction accuracy of $pm10%$ compared with the actual energy consumption data. It was also verified that the prediction by regression models could be simple and fairly accurate. Thus, it is anticipated that the empirical approach will be useful and reliable tool for many purposes: retrofit savings analysis by estimating energy usage in an existing building or the diagnosis of the building operational problems with real time analysis.

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A New Resonance Prediction Method of Fabry-Perot Cavity (FPC) Antennas Enclosed with Metallic Side Walls

  • Kim, Dong-Ho;Yeo, Jun-Ho
    • Journal of electromagnetic engineering and science
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.220-226
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    • 2011
  • We have proposed a new method to accurately predict the resonance of Fabry-Perot Cavity (FPC) antennas enclosed with conducting side walls. When lateral directions of an FPC antenna are not blocked with metallic walls, the conventional technique is accurate enough to predict the resonance of the FPC antenna. However, when the FPC antenna has side walls, especially for case with only a short distance between the walls, the conventional prediction method yields an inaccurate result, inevitably requiring a tedious, time-consuming tuning process to determine the correct resonant height to provide the maximum antenna gain in a target frequency band using three-dimensional full-wave computer simulations. To solve that problem, we have proposed a new resonance prediction method to provide a more accurate resonant height calculation of FPC antennas by using the well-known resonance behavior of a rectangular resonant cavity. For a more physically insightful explanation of the new prediction formula, we have reinvestigated our proposal using a wave propagation characteristic in a hollow rectangular waveguide, which clearly confirms our approach. By applying the proposed technique to an FPC antenna covered with a partially reflecting superstrate consisting of continuously tapered meander loops, we have proved that our method is very accurate and readily applicable to various types of FPC antennas with lateral walls. Experimental result confirms the validness of our approach.

전통적 사고예측모형의 한계 및 개선방안 : Hauer 사고예측모형의 소개 및 적용 (What goes problematic in the Existing Accident Prediction Models and How to Make it Better)

  • 한상진;김근정;오순미
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.19-29
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    • 2008
  • 사고예측모형은 도로에서 발생한 교통사고자료를 통계적으로 모형화한 것으로 종속변수는 과거의 사고건수가 되고 설명 변수로는 주로 사고가 일어난 장소의 도로 기하구조 조건, 교통조건, 운영조건 등 도료의 속성자료가 이용된다. 기존의 사고예측모형의 한계를 극복하고자 새로운 방안인 Hauer의 연구를 구체적으로 소개하고 이를 국내 고속도로 사망사고자료를 통해 적용하였다. Hauer의 방법론에 의한 사고예측모형을 구축한 결과 AADT와 종단구배를 통해 사고예측모형의 적합도를 상당히 높일 수 있었으나, 곡선반경은 사고건수와 직접적 인 관련이 있는 것으로 파악되지 않았다. 이러한 사고예측모형은 기존의 모형과 비교 시 여러 설명변수 중 어떤 변수가 모형에 도입되어야 하는지를 결정할 때 분명한 근거를 지니기 때문에 중요한 변수가 누락되거나 혹은 중요하지 않는 변수가 도입될 가능성 이 낮아지는 장점을 지니고 있다.

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베이지안 기반의 파손확률을 이용한 항공기 구조물 확률론적 피로수명 예측 응용에 관한 연구 (A study on Application of Probabilistic Fatigue Life Prediction for Aircraft Structures using the PoF based on Bayesian Approach)

  • 김근원;신대한;최주호;신기수
    • 한국군사과학기술학회지
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    • 제16권5호
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    • pp.631-638
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    • 2013
  • The probabilistic fatigue life analysis is one of the common methods to account the uncertainty of parameters on the structural failure. Frequently, the Bayesian approach has been demonstrated as a proper method to show the uncertainty of parameters. In this work, the application of probabilistic fatigue life prediction method for the aircraft structure was studied. This effort was conducted by using the PoF(Probability of Failure) based on Bayesian approach. Furthermore, numerical example was carried out to confirm the validation of the suggested approach. In conclusion, it was shown that the Bayesian approach can calculate the probabilistic fatigue lives and the quantitative value of PoF effectively for the aircraft structural component. Moreover the calculated probabilistic fatigue lives can be utilized to determine the optimized inspection period of aircraft structures.