• Title/Summary/Keyword: Power option

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CHOOSER OPTIONS ON VARIOUS UNDERLYING OPTIONS

  • Wonjoong Kim;Jinyoung Lee
    • Communications of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.39 no.2
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    • pp.535-546
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    • 2024
  • We consider chooser options written on various underlying assets other than vanilla call and put options. Specifically, we deal with (i) the chooser option written on the power call and put options, and (ii) the chooser option written on the exchange options. We provide explicit formulas for the prices of these chooser options whose underlying assets are either power options or exchange options, rather than the vanilla call and put options.

PRICING OF VULNERABLE POWER EXCHANGE OPTION UNDER THE HYBRID MODEL

  • Jeon, Jaegi;Huh, Jeonggyu;Kim, Geonwoo
    • East Asian mathematical journal
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    • v.37 no.5
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    • pp.567-576
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    • 2021
  • In this paper, we deal with the pricing of vulnerable power exchange option. We consider the hybrid model as the credit risk model. The hybrid model consists of a combination of the reduced-form model and the structural model. We derive the closed-form pricing formula of vulnerable power exchange option based on the change of measure technique.

PRICING VULNERABLE POWER OPTION UNDER A CEV DIFFUSION

  • Ha, Mijin;Kim, Donghyun;Yoon, Ji-Hun
    • East Asian mathematical journal
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    • v.37 no.5
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    • pp.553-566
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    • 2021
  • In the over-the-counter market, option's buyers could have a problem for default risk caused by option's writers. In addition, many participants try to maximize their benefits obviously in investing the financial derivatives. Taking all these circumstances into consideration, we deal with the vulnerable power options under a constant elasticity variance (CEV) model. We derive an analytic pricing formula for the vulnerable power option by using the asymptotic analysis, and then we verify that the analytic formula can be obtained accurately by comparing our solution with Monte-Carlo price. Finally, we examine the effect of CEV on the option price based on the derived solution.

Real Option Valuation of a Wind Power Project Based on the Volatilities of Electricity Generation, Tariff and Long Term Interest Rate (발전량, 가격, 장기금리 변동성을 기초로 한 풍력발전사업의 실물옵션 가치평가)

  • Kim, Youngkyung;Chang, Byungman
    • New & Renewable Energy
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.41-49
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    • 2014
  • For a proper valuation of wind power project, it is necessary to consider volatilities of key parameters such as annual energy production, electricity sales price, and long term interest rate. Real option methodology allows to calculate option values of these parameters. Volatilities to be considered in wind project valuation are 1) annual energy production (AEP) estimation due to meteorological variation and estimation errors in wind speed distribution, 2) changes in system marginal price (SMP), and 3) interest rate fluctuation of project financing which provides refinancing option to be exercised during a loan tenor for commercial scale projects. Real option valuation turns out to be more than half of the sales value based on a case study for a FIT scheme wind project that was sold to a financial investor.

To Donate or Not: Effects of Price Difference and Reference Groups on Intention to Purchase a Donation Option (소비자는 기부를 선택할까: 가격차이, 준거집단이 기부옵션 선택에 미치는 영향력 검증)

  • Sei Jin Park;Sojin Jung
    • Fashion & Textile Research Journal
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.239-250
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    • 2024
  • This study aims to investigate the factors influencing donation intention when the option to donate is presented during a purchase decision. Through an experimental design, we examined how price differences and reference group effects impact donation intention. We created stimuli with three price difference conditions (high, low, and control) and two levels of referent power (high and low), and involved 480 Korean consumer panels in the experiments. After controlling for psychological reactance levels, a two-way MANCOVA confirmed the main effects of price difference and referent power but found no interaction effect between these variables. Notably, consumers were less likely to feel guilty for not selecting the donation option when its price was slightly higher than that of the non-donation option, compared to the scenario where the prices were the same. Additionally, consumers exposed to high referent power experienced greater irritation, guilt, and shame if they did not choose the donation option compared to the low referent power group. Multiple regression results showed that guilt significantly influenced the intention to purchase a donation option, whereas irritation and shame did not. These findings suggest that understanding situational factors such as price differences and referent power can help develop effective marketing strategies and encourage voluntary participation in donations.

THE PRICING OF VULNERABLE POWER OPTIONS WITH DOUBLE MELLIN TRANSFORMS

  • HA, MIJIN;LI, QI;KIM, DONGHYUN;YOON, JI-HUN
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.39 no.5_6
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    • pp.677-688
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    • 2021
  • In the modern financial market, the scale of financial instrument transactions in the over-the-counter (OTC) market are increasing. However, in this market, there exists a counterparty credit risk. Herein, we obtain a closed-form solution of power option with credit risks, using the double Mellin transforms. We also use a numerical method to compare the differentiations of option price between the closed-form solution and Monte-Carlo simulation. The result shows that the closed-form solution is precise. In addition, the option's price is sensitive to the exponent of the maturity stock price.

A Study on Economic Evaluation of SNG Project using Real Option Valuation Model (실물옵션을 이용한 SNG 사업투자의 경제성 평가 연구)

  • Kang, Seung Jin;Hong, Jin Pyo
    • Transactions of the Korean hydrogen and new energy society
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.319-335
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    • 2014
  • This study attempts to suggest an economic analysis model for SNG projects, which can reflect the future uncertainty objectively and applies the real option valuation incorporating the flexible investment decision. Based on this analysis model, net present value and internal rate of return were estimated by using preliminary feasibility study report of SNG project. And economic evaluation of SNG project was performed with real option valuation using binomial option model. Through this, the difference of analysis results between the real option valuation model and the discounted cash flow model were compared and the usefulness of the real option valuation model was confirmed. From the actual proof analysis, it is confirmed that the real option valuation model showed higher SNG project value than the discounted cash flow model did. It was confirmed that by applying the real option valuation model, economic analysis can be performed on not only the current straightforward SNG project, but also various future portfolios having options such as expansion, modification, or decommission.

Evaluating Economic Feasibility of Solar Power Generation Under the RPS System Using the Real Option Pricing Method: Comparison Between Regulated and Non-regulated Power Providers (실물옵션을 활용한 RPS 실시에 따른 태양광 발전의 경제성 평가: 공급의무 발전사와 일반 발전사와의 비교)

  • Kim, Eun-Man;Kim, Myung-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers
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    • v.26 no.9
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    • pp.690-700
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    • 2013
  • This study reviewed how the changes of the government policy on solar power generation projects affected the annual mandatory quotas of the regulated power providers under the RPS (renewable portfolio standard) system and analysed economic feasibility of the investment for meeting their quotas as compared to the case of non-regulated power providers. The analysis results showed that under the discount rate of 7.5%, which was used for the annual national electricity plans for the recent years, both the regulated and non-regulated power providers achieved economic feasibility under both the NPV (net present value) method and the real option pricing method. It was also shown that higher profitability was attained by non-regulated power providers than by their regulated counterparts, which can be attributable to the fact that regulated providers are required to out-source 50% of the total quota. The results of this study are considered to be useful for establishing a meaningful mid term or long term strategy for the future of solar power generation linked to the current RPS system.

Analysis of Investment Time for a Residential Photovoltaic Power System in China and Thailand Applying a Real Option Model and SAM Data (Real Option 모형과 SAM데이터를 활용한 중국과 태국의 주거용 태양광 투자 시점 분석)

  • Moon, Yongma
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.125-141
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    • 2019
  • This paper provides economic analysis for a residential photovoltaic (PV) power system of 5 districts in China and Thailand, using SAM (System Advisor Model) data. Unlike existing literature, the analysis is conducted from the investment timing perspective, as applying to a real option model which can incorporate the cost uncertainty of the PV system and a resident's option to delay the investment. This study shows that the gap of optimal investment times between a real option model and a generally used net present value model ranges from about 6 to 14 years. Also, we found a contracting result for a particular district that, while the investment is appropriate according to the net present value model, it is more reasonable to delay the PV system investment in terms of the real option model.