• Title/Summary/Keyword: Population Estimation

Search Result 832, Processing Time 0.028 seconds

THE CALIBRATED VARIANCE ESTIMATOR UNDER THE UNIT NONRESPONSE

  • Son, Chang-Kyoon;Hong, Ki-Hak;Lee, Gi-Sung
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
    • /
    • v.8 no.3
    • /
    • pp.975-987
    • /
    • 2001
  • We treat the problem of variance estimation for the estimator of population total, which is derived from the calibration estimation procedure corresponding to the levels of auxiliary information under nonresponse situation. We develop the calibrated variance estimation procedure using the fact that the population total and variance as well as the sample total and variance of the auxiliary variable are known. We show that the proposed variance estimation procedure improves the $Lundst\ddot{o}rm$ and $S\ddot{a}rndal's$ (1999) procedure with respect to the variance and nonresponse bias reduction through the simulation study.

A Hybrid Estimation of Distribution Algorithm with Differential Evolution based on Self-adaptive Strategy

  • Fan, Debin;Lee, Jaewan
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
    • /
    • v.22 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-11
    • /
    • 2021
  • Estimation of distribution algorithm (EDA) is a popular stochastic metaheuristic algorithm. EDA has been widely utilized in various optimization problems. However, it has been shown that the diversity of the population gradually decreases during the iterations, which makes EDA easily lead to premature convergence. This article introduces a hybrid estimation of distribution algorithm (EDA) with differential evolution (DE) based on self-adaptive strategy, namely HEDADE-SA. Firstly, an alternative probability model is used in sampling to improve population diversity. Secondly, the proposed algorithm is combined with DE, and a self-adaptive strategy is adopted to improve the convergence speed of the algorithm. Finally, twenty-five benchmark problems are conducted to verify the performance of HEDADE-SA. Experimental results indicate that HEDADE-SA is a feasible and effective algorithm.

Forensic age-at-death estimation using the sternal junction in Thai adults: an autopsy study

  • Adisuan Kuatrakul;Vijarn Vachirawongsakorn
    • Anatomy and Cell Biology
    • /
    • v.56 no.3
    • /
    • pp.367-373
    • /
    • 2023
  • One of the main parameters in the analysis of skeletal remains in forensic anthropological cases is the estimation of age. This study aimed to investigate the correlation between age and the fusion status of the sternal junction. This cross-sectional study was carried out on 184 sterna from 94 females and 90 males obtained from known-age cadavers in the Thai population. By direct observation, the fusion stage of the manubrio-sternal and sterno-xiphoidal junctions was studied and divided into unfused and fused joints. The results showed that a large proportion of the sterna remain unfused throughout adulthood, with fusion observed in both young and old cadavers. Insignificant differences in the rate of fusion, the sexes and ages were observed. None of the sterna under 30 years of age in females and 32 years of age in males showed fusion of the manubrio-sternal and sterno-xiphoidal junctions. Based on the variability of the sternal fusions observed in this study, we highlighted a very limited role of the sternum alone in the estimation of age in the Thai population.

Optimum Population Projection in Korea: An Environmental Perspective (환경 측면에서 한국의 적정인구 추계)

  • Jeong, Dae-Yuon
    • Korea journal of population studies
    • /
    • v.29 no.1
    • /
    • pp.269-292
    • /
    • 2006
  • The current environmental problem is global, and threatens the very existence of human beings. Many factors have been argued as the causes of environmental problem. The examples include anthroponcentric human perspective on nature, increase in the knowledge on nature, development of technology, economic growth and unequal distribution, and population increase, etc. The scholars who argues population increase have focused on over-population. However, the estimation of optimum population size has not been attempted in terms of environmental carrying capacity. In such a context, this paper aims at estimating optimum population size in South Korea in terms of environmental carrying capacity. The estimation was done from two approaches. One was based on the state of environment, the other was based on 'the desirable state of environment' Koreans expect. The former is termed an objective approach, while the latter is termed an approach based on social consensus. About 47.5 millions were estimated from the former approach, and 48.5 millions from the latter approach. However, optimum population size increase by 50.5 millions if government increase environmental budget to 2.00% among total budget. As such, different optimum population size is estimated according to the values of variables. The most significant variable determining optimum population size is environmental budget, and followed by supply of clean energy. The estimated optimum population size was based on the time-series data from 1993 to 2002. Therefore, time-series data collected from other years will result in different estimation model, and then different optimum population size will be estimated.

Parameter Estimation From Singly Censored Normal Sample (관측중단된 정규표본으로부터의 모수추정에 관한 연구)

  • Gwon, Yeong-Il
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
    • /
    • v.15 no.2
    • /
    • pp.61-68
    • /
    • 1987
  • This paper considers the estimation of the parameters of a normal population from which a sample which has been censored at a known point is obtained. Simple estimators are presented which are given in closed forms. It is shown that maximum likelihood estimators are obtained by using the estimation procedure iteratively. Some computer simulation results are given.

  • PDF

Stature estimation using the sacrum in a Thai population

  • Waratchaya Keereewan;Tawachai Monum;Sukon Prasitwattanaseree;Pasuk Mahakkanukrauh
    • Anatomy and Cell Biology
    • /
    • v.56 no.2
    • /
    • pp.259-267
    • /
    • 2023
  • Stature is an essential component of biological profile analysis since it determines an individual's physical identity. Long bone dimensions are generally used to estimate the stature of skeletal remains; however, non-long bones such as the sternum, cranium, and sacrum may be necessary for some forensic situations. This study aimed to generate a regression equation for stature estimation of the skeletal remains in the Thai population. Ten measurements of the sacrum were measured from 200 dry sacra. The results revealed that the maximum anterior breadth (MAB) provided the most accurate stature prediction model among males (correlation coefficient [r]=0.53), standard error of estimation (SEE=5.94 cm), and females (r=0.48, SEE=6.34 cm). For the multiple regression model, the best multiple regression models were stature equals 41.2+0.374 (right auricular surface height [RASH])+1.072 (anterior-posterior outer diameter of S1 vertebra corpus [APOD])+0.256 (dorsal height [DH])+0.417 (transverse inner diameter of S1 vertebra corpus [TranID])+0.2 (MAB) with a SEE of 6.42 cm for combined sex. For males, stature equals 63.639+0.478 (MAB)+0.299 (DH)+0.508 (APOD) with a SEE of 5.35, and stature equals 75.181+0.362 (MAB)+0.441 (RASH)+0.132 (maximum anterior height [MAH]) with a SEE of 5.88 cm for females. This study suggests that regression equations derived from the sacrum can be used to estimate the stature of the Thai population, especially when a long bone is unavailable.

Validation of Age Estimation Methods Using Pulpal Volume Changes in Radiographs for Korean Adults

  • Lee, Tae-Hoon;Hong, Jung-Hun;Lee, Sang-Seob;Kwon, Jeong-Seung;Choi, Jong-Hoon
    • Journal of Oral Medicine and Pain
    • /
    • v.39 no.2
    • /
    • pp.69-77
    • /
    • 2014
  • Purpose: It aims to verify the applicability of existing age estimation methods derived from data of foreign population groups to Korean population groups. Moreover it is to suggest a new way applicable to practical age estimation on the basis of newly calculated regression formulae from data of Korean population groups and develop a subsidiarily applicable method to the existing method. Methods: Ratio of pulp cavity to dental crown was calculated by measuring the height and width of dental crowns and pulp cavities at the cervical line from 4,034 first and second upper molars, first and second upper premolars, first and second lower molars and first and second lower premolars on both left and right sides of 400 patients who had been treated in Dental Hospital of Yonsei University College of Dentistry, and regression equations were derived from the values of the ratio. Results: The equation with correlation coefficients the highest among females was as follows: age=$107.96-75.684{\times}{\sharp}17$ TCHI-$53.741{\times}{\sharp}26$ TCVI-$40.664{\times}{\sharp}45$ TCVI-$56.307{\times}{\sharp}46$ TCVI. Randomized anohter Korean female subjects (n=20) are applicated to the new equation. Mean of error of estimate is 10.322 years, standard deviation is 12.852 years. Minimum of error of estimate is 1.018 years, maximum is 21.365 years Conclusions: The error range of age estimation was found to be slightly wider when the existing regression formulae of Drusini were applied to Korean population groups. Also age estimation in females using the ratio of pulp cavity to dental crown measured with the length and width of dental crowns and pulp cavities from maxillomandibular molars was observed to have the highest reliability in the research. However, we consider that advanced equations of regression are needed to apply to both molars and premolars of males and females in the future.

Development of a Rural Population Model Considering Shift-Share Effects in Cohort-Survival Method (집단생잔모델에 변화할당효과를 고려한 농촌지역 인구모델의 개발)

  • Jung, Nam-Su;Lee, Haeng-Woo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
    • /
    • v.12 no.3 s.32
    • /
    • pp.39-42
    • /
    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study is to develop rural population model adapting cohort survival method with sift-share effects. Administrative district in this study is below Myun: about 2,000 population. Population data of rural area in 1990, 1995, and 2000 by age cohort were selected for applying developed model. Damping coefficient from population data was calculated as 7% and results applying this coefficient in rural population data below the error from 12% to 1.06%. In detail, most of cohorts fitted with developed model except from 15 to 29 age groups. Application result of small population area; DaesulMyun revealed that main factor of population change is not natural change but migration.

Long-term population monitoring with population viability analysis of river otter in Korea (홍천강 유역에 서식하는 멸종위기종 수달의 개체군변이분석을 통한 생태모니터링 연구)

  • Lee, Sang-Don
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
    • /
    • v.22 no.5
    • /
    • pp.525-528
    • /
    • 2013
  • River otter(Lutra lutra) are listed as endangered species and Natural monument in Korea, and this study examined the possibility of extinct of river otter in Hongchon river using with the application of Population Viability Analysis (PVA) technique. In Hongchon river areas population was estimated 9 individuals for the last 1999-2005 years and PVA analysis was done for the next 10 years using the average population of 9. Using the initial population the river otter was estimated 30% of extinct for the next 10 years. This estimation was quite low considering water pollution and construction of highways. Also PVA only used population size lacking in other life history information. Nonetheless river otter population can be in risk of extinction if the current construction of crossovers, cement bank are maintained. Long term information regarding life history needs essential.

An Empirical Study on Variations in ICT Development Level and ODA Policies (저개발 국가의 정보화 수준에 관한 분석과 원조정책 상 시사점)

  • Jang, Jong-Moon;Sung, Tae-Eung;Bae, Kuk-Jin;Yoon, Choong-Han
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
    • /
    • v.15 no.2
    • /
    • pp.323-344
    • /
    • 2012
  • We investigate and analyze the effect of population density on digital divide in Africa by applying the panel data analysis therein. From the estimation results based on the panel data analysis, it has been found that population density as well as both levels of income and education has a significant effect on the digital divide in African region. In particular, the fact that the variable of population density makes a significantly influential role implies that the construction cost of information infrastructure in Africa behaves such a considerable obstacle to Africa wishing to enter into information society. In conclusion, throughout the integration of the estimation results in the paper, the following implications for economic cooperation with Africa can be drawn. The estimation results mentioned above strongly imply that the variable referred to as population density should be considered in selecting which countries to assist for construction of information infrastructure.

  • PDF