• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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• v.4 no.2
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• pp.149-158
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• 2009

It is important to derive reliable parameter values in the measurement-based load model development of electric power systems. However parameter estimation tasks, in practice, often face the parameter identifiability issue; whether or not the model parameters can be estimated with a given input-output data set in reliable manner. This paper introduces concepts and practical definitions of the local identifiability of model parameters. A posteriori local identifiability is defined in the sense of nonlinear least squares. As numerical examples, local identifiability of third-order induction motor (IM) model and a Z-induction motor (Z-IM) model is studied. It is shown that parameter ill-conditioning can significantly affect on reliable parameter estimation task. Numerical studies show that local identifiability can be quite sensitive to input data and a given local solution. Finally, several countermeasures are proposed to overcome ill-conditioning problem in measurement-based load modeling.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 1998.10a
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• pp.423-428
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• 1998

This paper studies the regional identifiability of spatially-varying parameters in distributed parameter systems of hyperbolic type. Let Ω be a bounded domain of R$^n$and let Ωo be a subregion of the closed domain Ω. The distributed parameter systems having unknown parameters defined on Ω are described by the second order evolution equations in the filbert space L$^2$(Ω) and the observations are made on the subregion Ωo ⊂ Ω. The regional identifiability is formulated as the uniqueness of parameters by the identity of solutions on the subregion. Several regional identifiability results of the spatially-varying parameters of hyperbolic distributed parameter systems are established by means of the Riesz spectral representations.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• v.50 no.4
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• pp.599-605
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• 2018

Fault diagnosis depends critically on the selection of sensors monitoring crucial process variables. Boolean network (BN) is composed of nodes and directed edges, where the node state is quantized to the Boolean values of True or False and is determined by the logical functions of the network parameters and the states of other nodes with edges directed to this node. Since BN can describe the fault propagation in a sensor network, it can be applied to propose sensor selection strategy for fault diagnosis. In this article, a sufficient condition for parameter identifiability of BN is first proposed, based on which the sufficient condition for fault identifiability of a sensor network is given. Then, the fault identifiability condition induces a sensor selection strategy for sensor selection. Finally, the theoretical result is applied to the fault diagnosis-oriented sensor selection for a nuclear heating reactor plant, and both the numerical computation and simulation results verify the feasibility of the newly built BN-based sensor selection strategy.

• Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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• v.16 no.5
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• pp.13-25
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• 2015

This paper proposes an extended model evaluation method that considers not only the model performance but also the model structure and parameter uncertainties in hydrologic modeling. A simple reservoir model (SFM) and distributed kinematic wave models (KWMSS1 and KWMSS2 using topography from 250-m, 500-m, and 1-km digital elevation models) were developed and assessed by three evaluative criteria for model performance, model structural stability, and parameter identifiability. All the models provided acceptable performance in terms of a global response, but the simpler SFM and KWMSS1 could not accurately represent the local behaviors of hydrographs. Moreover, SFM and KWMSS1 were structurally unstable; their performance was sensitive to the applied objective functions. On the other hand, the most sophisticated model, KWMSS2, performed well, satisfying both global and local behaviors. KMSS2 also showed good structural stability, reproducing hydrographs regardless of the applied objective functions; however, superior parameter identifiability was not guaranteed. A number of parameter sets could result in indistinguishable hydrographs. This result indicates that while making hydrologic models complex increases its performance accuracy and reduces its structural uncertainty, the model is likely to suffer from parameter uncertainty.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2010.05a
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• pp.591-595
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• 2010

Conventional methods of model evaluation usually rely only on model performance based on a comparison of simulated variables to corresponding observations. However, this type of model evaluation has been criticized because of its insufficient consideration of the various uncertainty sources involved in modeling processes. This study aims to propose an extended model evaluation method using multiple assesment indices (MAIs) that consider not only the model performance but also the model structure and parameter uncertainties in rainfall-runoff modeling. A simple reservoir model (SFM) and distributed kinematic wave models (KWMSS1 and KWMSS2 using topography from 250m, 500m, and 1km digital elevation models) were developed and assessed by three MAIs for model performance, model structural stability, and parameter identifiability. All the models provided acceptable performance in terms of a global response, but the simpler SFM and KWMSS1 could not accurately represent the local behaviors of hydrographs. In addition, SFM and KWMSS1 were structurally unstable; their performance was sensitive to the applied objective functions. On the other hand, the most sophisticated model, KWMSS2, performed well, satisfying both global and local behaviors. KMSS2 also showed good structural stability, reproducing hydrographs regardless of the applied objective functions; however, superior parameter identifiability was not guaranteed. Numerous parameter sets could lead to indistinguishable hydrographs. This result supports that while making a model complex increases its performance accuracy and reduces its structural uncertainty, the model is likely to suffer from parameter uncertainty. The proposed model evaluation process can provide an effective guideline for identifying a reliable hydrologic model.

• Coupled systems mechanics
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• v.11 no.2
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• pp.133-149
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• 2022

The accurate prediction of elastoplasticity under prescribed workloads is essential in the optimization of engineering structures. Mechanical experiments are carried out with the goal of obtaining reliable sets of material parameters for a chosen constitutive law via inverse identification. In this work, two sample geometries made of high strength steel plates were evaluated to determine the optimal configuration for the identification of Ludwik's nonlinear isotropic hardening law. Finite element model updating(FEMU) was used to calibrate the material parameters. FEMU computes the parameter changes based on the Hessian matrix, and the sensitivity fields that report changes of computed fields with respect to material parameter changes. A sensitivity analysis was performed to determine the influence of the sample geometry on parameter identifiability. It was concluded that the sample with thinned gauge region with a large curvature radius provided more reliable material parameters.

• Water for future
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• v.27 no.1
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• pp.89-99
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• 1994

Flood forecasting in Korea has been based on the off-line parameter estimation method. But recent flood forecasting studies explore on-line recursive parameter estimation algorithms. In this study, a simultaneous adaptive estimation of system states and parameters for rainfall-runoff model is investigated for on-line real-time flood forecasting and parameter estimation. The proposed flood routing system is composed of Flood forecasting in Korea has been based on the off-line parameter estimation method. But recent flood forecasting studies explore on-line recursive parameter estimation algorithms. In this study, a simultaneous adaptive estimation of system states and parameters for rainfall-runoff model is investigated for on-line real-time flood forecasting and parameter estimation. The proposed flood routing system is composed of ø-index in the assessment of effective rainfall and the cascade of nonlinear reservoirs accounting for translation effect in flood routing. To combine the flood routing model with a parameter estimation model, system states and parameters are treated with the extended state-space formulation. Generalized least squares and maximum a posterior estimation algorithms are comparatively examined as estimation techniques for the state-space model. The sensitivity analysis is to investigate the identifiability of the parameters. The index of sensitivity used in this study is the covariance matrix of the estimated parameters.-index in the assessment of effective rainfall and the cascade of nonlinear reservoirs accounting for translation effect in flood routing. To combine the flood routing model with a parameter estimation model, system states and parameters are treated with the extended state-space formulation. Generalized least squares and maximum a posterior estimation algorithms are comparatively examined as estimation techniques for the state-space model. The sensitivity analysis is to investigate the identifiability of the parameters. The index of sensitivity used in this study is the covariance matrix of the estimated parameters.

• 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2005.04a
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• pp.83-126
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• 2005

Single-index models have found applications in econometrics and biometrics, where multidimensional regression models are often encountered. Here we propose a nonparametric estimation approach that combines wavelet methods for non-equispaced designs with Bayesian models. We consider a wavelet series expansion of the unknown regression function and set prior distributions for the wavelet coefficients and the other model parameters. To ensure model identifiability, the direction parameter is represented via its polar coordinates. We employ ad hoc hierarchical mixture priors that perform shrinkage on wavelet coefficients and use Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for a posteriori inference. We investigate an independence-type Metropolis-Hastings algorithm to produce samples for the direction parameter. Our method leads to simultaneous estimates of the link function and of the index parameters. We present results on both simulated and real data, where we look at comparisons with other methods.

• Journal of Hydrospace Technology
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• v.2 no.2
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• pp.24-35
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• 1996

This paper describes parameter identification techniques formulated for the estimation of maneuvering coefficients of a submerged body. The first part of this paper is concerned with the identifiability of the system parameters. The relationship between a stochastic linear time-invariant system and the equivalent dynamic system is investigated. The second is concerned with the development of the numerically stable identification technique. Two identification techniques are tested; one is the ma7mum likelihood (ML) methods using the Holder & Mead simplex search method and using the modified Newton-Raphson method, and the other is the modified extended Kalman filter (MEKF) method with a square-root algorithm, which can improve the numerical accuracy of the extended Kalman filter. As a results, it is said that the equations of motion for a submerged body have higher probability to generate simultaneous drift phenomenon compared to general state equations and only the ML method using the Holder & Mead simplex search method and the MEKF method with a square-root algorithm gives acceptable results.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.55 no.11
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• pp.887-901
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• 2022

Estimation of the parameters for individual rainfall-rainfall events can lead to a different set of parameters for each event which result in lack of parameter identifiability. Moreover, it becomes even more ambiguous to determine a representative set of parameters for the watershed due to enhanced variability exceeding the range of model parameters. To reduce the variability of estimated parameters, this study proposed a parameter optimization framework with the simultaneous use of multiple rainfall-runoff events based on NSE as an objective function. It was found that the proposed optimization framework could effectively estimate the representative set of parameters pertained to their physical range over the entire watershed. It is found that the difference in NSE value of optimization when it performed individual and multiple rainfall events, is 0.08. Furthermore, In terms of estimating the observed floods, the representative parameters showed a more improved (or similar) performance compared to the results obtained from the single-event optimization process on an NSE basis.