• 제목/요약/키워드: Multivariate Normal Distribution

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다변량 확률밀도함수와 베이지안 정리를 이용한 교전공간내 공중항적의 격추확률 분포 특성 (Characteristics of Kill Probability Distribution of Air Track Within the Engagement Space Using Multivariate Probability Density Function & Bayesian Theorem)

  • 홍동욱;예승만;김주현
    • 한국항공우주학회지
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    • 제49권6호
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    • pp.521-528
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    • 2021
  • 위협평가가 끝난 공중항적에 대해 적절한 대응무기를 할당하기 위해서는 교전예상지점을 고려하여 교전적합성을 평가하는 것이 필요하다. 논문에서는 공중항적이 교전공간을 통과할 때 공중항적의 상대거리, 접근방위각 및 고도 등 다변량 속성정보를 가지고 베이지안 정리를 적용하여 교전공간내 위치에 따른 격추확률을 계산하는 방법을 제시하였다. 계산결과 교전공간내에서의 각 지점별 격추확률값의 분포형태는 최적의 예상요격지점을 기준으로 다변량 정규분포를 따르고 있음을 확인하였고, 계산된 격추확률값은 교전공간을 통과하는 공중항적의 교전가능성 평가에 적용가능할 것으로 기대된다.

Power Exponential Distributions

  • Zheng, Shimin;Bae, Sejong;Bartolucci, Alfred A.;Singh, Karan P.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제4권3호
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    • pp.97-111
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    • 2003
  • By applying Theorem 2.6.4 (Fang and Zhang, 1990, p.66) the dispersion matrix of a multivariate power exponential (MPE) distribution is derived. It is shown that the MPE and the gamma distributions are related and thus the MPE and chi-square distributions are related. By extending Fang and Xu's Theorem (1987) from the normal distribution to the Univariate Power Exponential (UPE) distribution an explicit expression is derived for calculating the probability of an UPE random variable over an interval. A representation of the characteristic function (c.f.) for an UPE distribution is given. Based on the MPE distribution the probability density functions of the generalized non-central chi-square, the generalized non-central t, and the generalized non-central F distributions are derived.

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독립성분분석을 이용한 다변량 시계열 모의 (Multivariate Time Series Simulation With Component Analysis)

  • 이태삼;호세살라스;주하카바넨;노재경
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2008년도 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.694-698
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    • 2008
  • In hydrology, it is a difficult task to deal with multivariate time series such as modeling streamflows of an entire complex river system. Normal distribution based model such as MARMA (Multivariate Autorgressive Moving average) has been a major approach for modeling the multivariate time series. There are some limitations for the normal based models. One of them might be the unfavorable data-transformation forcing that the data follow the normal distribution. Furthermore, the high dimension multivariate model requires the very large parameter matrix. As an alternative, one might be decomposing the multivariate data into independent components and modeling it individually. In 1985, Lins used Principal Component Analysis (PCA). The five scores, the decomposed data from the original data, were taken and were formulated individually. The one of the five scores were modeled with AR-2 while the others are modeled with AR-1 model. From the time series analysis using the scores of the five components, he noted "principal component time series might provide a relatively simple and meaningful alternative to conventional large MARMA models". This study is inspired from the researcher's quote to develop a multivariate simulation model. The multivariate simulation model is suggested here using Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and Independent Component Analysis (ICA). Three modeling step is applied for simulation. (1) PCA is used to decompose the correlated multivariate data into the uncorrelated data while ICA decomposes the data into independent components. Here, the autocorrelation structure of the decomposed data is still dominant, which is inherited from the data of the original domain. (2) Each component is resampled by block bootstrapping or K-nearest neighbor. (3) The resampled components bring back to original domain. From using the suggested approach one might expect that a) the simulated data are different with the historical data, b) no data transformation is required (in case of ICA), c) a complex system can be decomposed into independent component and modeled individually. The model with PCA and ICA are compared with the various statistics such as the basic statistics (mean, standard deviation, skewness, autocorrelation), and reservoir-related statistics, kernel density estimate.

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On the Dependence Structure of Concornitants of Order Statistics

  • Song-Ho Kim;Tae-Sung Kim
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.255-263
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    • 1996
  • Let $(X_{1j}, X_{2j}, … , X_{nj}, Y_j/)$j = 1, 2, … , n, be a sample of size n on an (m + l)-dimensional vector $(X_1, X_2, … , X_m, Y)$, m .geq. 1. If $Y_{(r)}$ denote the rth order statistic from Y, then the $X_{[r:n]}$ paired with $Y_(r)$ is termed the concomitant vector of the order statistics. The general distributions of concomitant of order statistics will be found. The mean, variance and covariance of$X_{[r:n]}$ Will be studied. Then we will apply the results to the multivariate normal variate case.e.

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Multi-sensor data-based anomaly detection and diagnosis of a pumped storage hydropower plant

  • Sojin Shin;Cheolgyu Hyun;Seongpil Cho;Phill-Seung Lee
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제88권6호
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    • pp.569-581
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    • 2023
  • This paper introduces a system to detect and diagnose anomalies in pumped storage hydropower plants. We collect data from various types of sensors, including those monitoring temperature, vibration, and power. The data are classified according to the operation modes (pump and turbine operation modes) and normalized to remove the influence of the external environment. To detect anomalies and diagnose their types, we adopt a multivariate normal distribution analysis by learning the distribution of the normal data. The feasibility of the proposed system is evaluated using actual monitoring data of a pumped storage hydropower plant. The proposed system can be used to implement condition monitoring systems for other plants through modifications.

SEQUENTIAL ESTIMATION OF THE MEAN VECTOR WITH BETA-PROTECTION IN THE MULTIVARIATE DISTRIBUTION

  • Kim, Sung Lai;Song, Hae In;Kim, Min Soo;Jang, Yu Seon
    • 충청수학회지
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 2013
  • In the treatment of the sequential beta-protection procedure, we define the reasonable stopping time and investigate that for the stopping time Wijsman's requirements, coverage probability and beta-protection conditions, are satisfied in the estimation for the mean vector ${\mu}$ by the sample from the multivariate normal distributed population with unknown mean vector ${\mu}$ and a positive definite variance-covariance matrix ${\Sigma}$.

On Computing a Cholesky Decomposition

  • Park, Jong-Tae
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제3권2호
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    • pp.37-42
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    • 1996
  • Maximum likelihood estimation of Cholesky decomposition is considered under normality assumption. It is shown that maximum liklihood estimation gives a Cholesky decomposition of the sample covariance matrix. The joint distribution of the maximum likelihood estimators is derived. The ussual algorithm for a Cholesky decomposition is shown to be equivalent to a maximumlikelihood estimation of a Cholesky root when the underlying distribution is a multivariate normal one.

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A statistical quality control for the dispersion matrix

  • Jo, Jinnam
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.1027-1034
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    • 2015
  • A control chart is very useful in monitoring various production process. There are many situations in which the simultaneous control of two or more related quality variables is necessary. When the joint distribution of the process variables is multivariate normal, multivariate Shewhart control charts using the function of the maximum likelihood estimator for monitoring the dispersion matrix are considered for the simultaneous monitoring of the dispersion matrix. The performances of the multivariate Shewhart control charts based on the proposed control statistic are evaluated in term of average run length (ARL). The performance is investigated in three cases, where the variances, covariances, and variances and covariances are changed respectively. The numerical results show that the performances of the proposed multivariate Shewhart control charts are not better than the control charts using the trace of the covariance matrix in the Jeong and Cho (2012) in terms of the ARLs.

다특성을 고려한 상황하에서의 공정능력지수에 관한 연구 (A Study on Process Capability Index using Loss Function Under the Muli-Attribute Conditions)

  • 김연희;김수열;박명규
    • 대한안전경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한안전경영과학회 2005년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.503-521
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    • 2005
  • Process capability indices are widely used in industries and quality assurance system. When designing the parameter on the multiple quality characteristics, there has been a study for optimization of problems, but there has been few former study on the possible conflicting phenomena in considertion of the correlations among the characteristics. To solve the issue on the optimal design for muliple quality characteristics, the study propose the expected loss function with cross-product terms among the characteristics and derived range of the coefficients of terms. Therefore, the analysis have to be required a multivariate statistical technique. This paper introduces to multivariate capability indices and then selects a multivariate process capability index incorporated both the process variation and the process deviation from target among these indices under the multivariate normal distribution. We propose a new multivariate capability index $MC_{pm}^{++}$ using quality loss function instead of the process variation and this index is compared with the proposed indices when quality characteristics are independent and dependent of each other,

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기대손실함수를 이용한 다특성치 공정능력지수에 관한 연구 (A Study on Multiple Characteristics Process Capability Index using Expected Loss Function)

  • 김수열;조용욱;박명규
    • 대한안전경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한안전경영과학회 2004년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.69-79
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    • 2004
  • Process capability indices are widely used in industries and quality assurance system. When designing the parameter on the multiple quality characteristics, there has been a study for optimization of problems, but there has been few former study on the possible conflicting phenomena in considertion of the correlations among the characteristics. To solve the issue on the optimal design for multiple quality characteristics, the study propose the expected loss function with cross-product terms among the characteristics and derived range of the coefficients of terms. Therefore, the analysis have to be required a multivariate statistical technique. This paper introduces to multivariate capability indices and then selects a multivariate process capability index incorporated both the process variation and the process deviation from target among these indices under the multivariate normal distribution. We propose a new multivariate capability index $MC_{pm}^{++}$ using quality loss function instead of the process variation and this index is compared with the proposed indices when quality characteristics are independent and dependent of each other.

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