• Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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• v.35 no.1
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• pp.24-34
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• 2007

This paper investigates the average run length (ARL) of a selectively moving average (S-MA) control chart. The S-U chart is designed to detect shifts in the process mean. The basic idea of the S-MA chart is to accumulate previous samples selectively in order to increase the sensitivity. The ARL of the S-MA chart was shown to be monotone decreasing with respect to the decision length in a previous research [3]. This paper derives the steady-state ARL in a closed-form and shows that the monotone property is resulted from head-start assumption. The steady-state ARL is shown to be a sum of head-start ARL and an additional term. The statistical design procedure for the S-MA chart is revised according to this result. Sensitivity study shorts that the steady-state ARL performance is still better than the CUSUM chart or the Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) chart.

• Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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• v.33 no.4
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• pp.457-468
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• 2007

This paper proposes an adaptive moving average (A-MA) control chart with variable sampling intervals (VSI) for detecting shifts in the process mean. The basic idea of the VSI A-MA chart is to adjust sampling intervals as well as to accumulate previous samples selectively in order to increase the sensitivity. The VSI A-MA chart employs a threshold limit to determine whether or not to increase sampling rate as well as to accumulate previous samples. If a standardized control statistic falls outside the threshold limit, the next sample is taken with higher sampling rate and is accumulated to calculate the next control statistic. If the control statistic falls within the threshold limit, the next sample is taken with lower sampling rate and only the sample is used to get the control statistic. The VSI A-MA chart produces an 'out-of-control' signal either when any control statistic falls outside the control limit or when L-consecutive control statistics fall outside the threshold limit. The control length L is introduced to prevent small mean shifts from being undetected for a long period. A Markov chain model is employed to investigate the VSI A-MA sampling process. Formulae related to the steady state average time-to signal (ATS) for an in-control state and out-of-control state are derived in closed forms. A statistical design procedure for the VSI A-MA chart is proposed. Comparative studies show that the proposed VSI A-MA chart is uniformly superior to the adaptive Cumulative sum (CUSUM) chart and to the Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) chart, and is comparable to the variable sampling size (VSS) VSI EWMA chart with respect to the ATS performance.

• Communications of the Korean Mathematical Society
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• v.12 no.3
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• pp.743-754
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• 1997

We introduce a class of finite and infinite moving average (MA) sequences of multivariate random vectors exponential marginals. The theory of dependence is used to show that in various cases the class of MA sequences consists of associated random variables. We utilize positive dependence properties to obtain some probability bounds for the multivariate processes.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.6 no.3
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• pp.677-686
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• 1999

In this paper we introduce a class of moving-average(MA) sequences of multivariate random vectors with geometric marginals. The theory of positive dependence is used to show that in various cases the class of MA sequences consists of associated random variables. We utilize positive dependence properties to obtain weakly probability inequality of the multivariate processes.

• Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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• v.34 no.3
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• pp.328-336
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• 2008

This research proposes a method for economic-statistical design of adaptive moving average (A-MA) charts. The basic idea of the A-MA chart is to accumulate previous samples selectively in order to increase the sensitivity. The A-MA chart is a kind of adaptive chart such as the variable sampling size (VSS) chart. A major advantage of the A-MA chart over the VSS chart is that it is easy to maintain rational subgroups by using the fixed sampling size. A steady state cost rate function is constructed based on Lorenzen and Vance (1986) model. The cost rate function is optimized with respect to five design parameters. Computational experiments show that the A-MA chart is superior to the VSS chart as well as to the Shewhart $\bar{X}$ chart in the economic-statistical sense.

• International Journal of Quality Innovation
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• v.2 no.1
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• pp.69-86
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• 2001

The economic design of control charts has been researched for over four decades since Duncan proposed the concept in 1956. Few studies, however, have focused attention on the economic design of a moving average (MA) control chart. An MA control chart is more effective than the Shewhart chart in detecting small process shifts [9]. This paper provides an economic model for determining the optimal parameters of an MA control chart with multiple assignable causes and two failures in the production process. These parameters consist of the sample size, the spread of the control limit and the sampling interval. A numerical example is shown and the sensitivity analysis shows that the magnitude of shift, rate of occurrence of assignable causes and increasing cost when the process is out of control have a more significant effect on the loss cost, meaning that one should more carefully estimate these values when conducting an economic analysis.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.17 no.2
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• pp.223-229
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• 2010

We consider the asymptotic results of the variance ratio statistic when the underlying processes have moving average(MA) unit roots. This degenerate situation of zero spectral density near the origin cause the limit of the variance ratio to become zero. Its asymptotic behaviors are different from non-degenerating case, where the convergence rate of the variance ratio statistic is formally derived.

• International Journal of Quality Innovation
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• v.7 no.3
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• pp.107-115
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• 2006

Control charts are important tools of statistical quality control. In 1956, Duncan first proposed the economic design of $\bar{x}-control$ charts to control normal process means and insure that the economic design control chart actually has a lower cost, compared with a Shewhart control chart. An moving average (MA) control chart is more effective than a Shewhart control chart in detecting small process shifts and is considered by some to be simpler to implement than the CUSUM. An economic design of MA control chart has also been proposed in 2005. The weaknesses to only the economic design are poor statistics because it dose not consider type I or type II errors and average time to signal when selecting design parameters for control chart. This paper provides a construction of an economic-statistical model to determine the optimal parameters of an MA control chart to improve economic design. A numerical example is employed to demonstrate the model's working and its sensitivity analysis is also provided.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• v.16 no.1
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• pp.1-9
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• 1987

Recently a new form of the extended Yule-Walker equations for a mixed autoregressive moving-average process of orders p and q has been proposed. It can be used to obtain p+q+1 parameter values from the first p+q+1 autocovariance terms. The autoregressive part of the equations is linear and can be easily solved. In contrast the moving-average part is composed of nonlinear simultaneous equations. Thus some iterative algorithms are necessary to solve them. The iterative algorithm presented by Choi(1986) is very simple but its convergence has not been proved yet. In this paper a Newton-Raphson solution for the moving-average parameters is presented and its convergence is shown. Also numerical example illustrate the performance of the algorithm.

• Journal of the Korean Society for information Management
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• v.36 no.4
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• pp.83-105
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• 2019

This study aims to suggest an effective method for the automatic classification of keywords with similar patterns by calculating pattern similarity of temporal data. For this, large scale news on the Web were collected and time series data composed of 120 time segments were built. To make training data set for the performance test of the proposed model, 440 representative keywords were manually classified according to 8 types of trend. This study introduces a Dynamic Time Warping(DTW) method which have been commonly used in the field of time series analytics, and proposes an application model, MA-DTW based on a Moving Average(MA) method which gives a good explanation on a tendency of trend curve. As a result of the automatic classification by a k-Nearest Neighbor(kNN) algorithm, Euclidean Distance(ED) and DTW showed 48.2% and 66.6% of maximum micro-averaged F1 score respectively, whereas the proposed model represented 74.3% of the best micro-averaged F1 score. In all respect of the comprehensive experiments, the suggested model outperformed the methods of ED and DTW.