• Title/Summary/Keyword: Metropolis-Hastings sampler

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Hierarchical Bayesian Inference of Binomial Data with Nonresponse

  • Han, Geunshik;Nandram, Balgobin
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.45-61
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    • 2002
  • We consider the problem of estimating binomial proportions in the presence of nonignorable nonresponse using the Bayesian selection approach. Inference is sampling based and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are used to perform the computations. We apply our method to study doctor visits data from the Korean National Family Income and Expenditure Survey (NFIES). The ignorable and nonignorable models are compared to Stasny's method (1991) by measuring the variability from the Metropolis-Hastings (MH) sampler. The results show that both models work very well.

DEFAULT BAYESIAN INFERENCE OF REGRESSION MODELS WITH ARMA ERRORS UNDER EXACT FULL LIKELIHOODS

  • Son, Young-Sook
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.169-189
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    • 2004
  • Under the assumption of default priors, such as noninformative priors, Bayesian model determination and parameter estimation of regression models with stationary and invertible ARMA errors are developed under exact full likelihoods. The default Bayes factors, the fractional Bayes factor (FBF) of O'Hagan (1995) and the arithmetic intrinsic Bayes factors (AIBF) of Berger and Pericchi (1996a), are used as tools for the selection of the Bayesian model. Bayesian estimates are obtained by running the Metropolis-Hastings subchain in the Gibbs sampler. Finally, the results of numerical studies, designed to check the performance of the theoretical results discussed here, are presented.

Bayesian Inference for Switching Mean Models with ARMA Errors

  • Son, Young Sook;Kim, Seong W.;Cho, Sinsup
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.981-996
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    • 2003
  • Bayesian inference is considered for switching mean models with the ARMA errors. We use noninformative improper priors or uniform priors. The fractional Bayes factor of O'Hagan (1995) is used as the Bayesian tool for detecting the existence of a single change or multiple changes and the usual Bayes factor is used for identifying the orders of the ARMA error. Once the model is fully identified, the Gibbs sampler with the Metropolis-Hastings subchains is constructed to estimate parameters. Finally, we perform a simulation study to support theoretical results.

The Exponentiated Weibull-Geometric Distribution: Properties and Estimations

  • Chung, Younshik;Kang, Yongbeen
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.147-160
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, we introduce the exponentiated Weibull-geometric (EWG) distribution which generalizes two-parameter exponentiated Weibull (EW) distribution introduced by Mudholkar et al. (1995). This proposed distribution is obtained by compounding the exponentiated Weibull with geometric distribution. We derive its cumulative distribution function (CDF), hazard function and the density of the order statistics and calculate expressions for its moments and the moments of the order statistics. The hazard function of the EWG distribution can be decreasing, increasing or bathtub-shaped among others. Also, we give expressions for the Renyi and Shannon entropies. The maximum likelihood estimation is obtained by using EM-algorithm (Dempster et al., 1977; McLachlan and Krishnan, 1997). We can obtain the Bayesian estimation by using Gibbs sampler with Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. Also, we give application with real data set to show the flexibility of the EWG distribution. Finally, summary and discussion are mentioned.

Inverted exponentiated Weibull distribution with applications to lifetime data

  • Lee, Seunghyung;Noh, Yunhwan;Chung, Younshik
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.227-240
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, we introduce the inverted exponentiated Weibull (IEW) distribution which contains exponentiated inverted Weibull distribution, inverse Weibull (IW) distribution, and inverted exponentiated distribution as submodels. The proposed distribution is obtained by the inverse form of the exponentiated Weibull distribution. In particular, we explain that the proposed distribution can be interpreted by Marshall and Olkin's book (Lifetime Distributions: Structure of Non-parametric, Semiparametric, and Parametric Families, 2007, Springer) idea. We derive the cumulative distribution function and hazard function and calculate expression for its moment. The hazard function of the IEW distribution can be decreasing, increasing or bathtub-shaped. The maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is obtained. Then we show the existence and uniqueness of MLE. We can also obtain the Bayesian estimation by using the Gibbs sampler with the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. We also give applications with a simulated data set and two real data set to show the flexibility of the IEW distribution. Finally, conclusions are mentioned.

Bayesian Parameter Estimation using the MCMC method for the Mean Change Model of Multivariate Normal Random Variates

  • Oh, Mi-Ra;Kim, Eoi-Lyoung;Sim, Jung-Wook;Son, Young-Sook
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.79-91
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    • 2004
  • In this thesis, Bayesian parameter estimation procedure is discussed for the mean change model of multivariate normal random variates under the assumption of noninformative priors for all the parameters. Parameters are estimated by Gibbs sampling method. In Gibbs sampler, the change point parameter is generated by Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. We apply our methodology to numerical data to examine it.

Bayesian Procedure for the Multiple Change Point Analysis of Fraction Nonconforming (부적합률의 다중변화점분석을 위한 베이지안절차)

  • Kim, Kyung-Sook;Kim, Hee-Jeong;Park, Jeong-Soo;Son, Young-Sook
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Quality Management Conference
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    • 2006.04a
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    • pp.319-324
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, we propose Bayesian procedure for the multiple change points analysis in a sequence of fractions nonconforming. We first compute the Bayes factor for detecting the existence of no change, a single change or multiple changes. The Gibbs sampler with the Metropolis-Hastings subchain is run to estimate parameters of the change point model, once the number of change points is identified. Finally, we apply the results developed in this paper to both a real and simulated data.

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A Hierarchical Bayesian Model for Survey Data with Nonresponse

  • Han, Geunshik
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.435-451
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    • 2001
  • We describe a hierarchical bayesian model to analyze multinomial nonignorable nonresponse data. Using a Dirichlet and beta prior to model the cell probabilities, We develop a complete hierarchical bayesian analysis for multinomial proportions without making any algebraic approximation. Inference is sampling based and Markove chain Monte Carlo methods are used to perform the computations. We apply our method to the dta on body mass index(BMI) and show the model works reasonably well.

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Marginal Likelihoods for Bayesian Poisson Regression Models

  • Kim, Hyun-Joong;Balgobin Nandram;Kim, Seong-Jun;Choi, Il-Su;Ahn, Yun-Kee;Kim, Chul-Eung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.381-397
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    • 2004
  • The marginal likelihood has become an important tool for model selection in Bayesian analysis because it can be used to rank the models. We discuss the marginal likelihood for Poisson regression models that are potentially useful in small area estimation. Computation in these models is intensive and it requires an implementation of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. Using importance sampling and multivariate density estimation, we demonstrate a computation of the marginal likelihood through an output analysis from an MCMC sampler.

Bayesian logit models with auxiliary mixture sampling for analyzing diabetes diagnosis data (보조 혼합 샘플링을 이용한 베이지안 로지스틱 회귀모형 : 당뇨병 자료에 적용 및 분류에서의 성능 비교)

  • Rhee, Eun Hee;Hwang, Beom Seuk
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.131-146
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    • 2022
  • Logit models are commonly used to predicting and classifying categorical response variables. Most Bayesian approaches to logit models are implemented based on the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. However, the algorithm has disadvantages of slow convergence and difficulty in ensuring adequacy for the proposal distribution. Therefore, we use auxiliary mixture sampler proposed by Frühwirth-Schnatter and Frühwirth (2007) to estimate logit models. This method introduces two sequences of auxiliary latent variables to make logit models satisfy normality and linearity. As a result, the method leads that logit model can be easily implemented by Gibbs sampling. We applied the proposed method to diabetes data from the Community Health Survey (2020) of the Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency and compared performance with Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. In addition, we showed that the logit model using auxiliary mixture sampling has a great classification performance comparable to that of the machine learning models.