• 제목/요약/키워드: Maximum Likelihood Estimation Method

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K-NN과 최대 우도 추정법을 결합한 소프트웨어 프로젝트 수치 데이터용 결측값 대치법 (A Missing Data Imputation by Combining K Nearest Neighbor with Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Numerical Software Project Data)

  • 이동호;윤경아;배두환
    • 한국정보과학회논문지:소프트웨어및응용
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    • 제36권4호
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    • pp.273-282
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    • 2009
  • 소프트웨어 프로젝트 데이터를 이용한 각종 분석 예측 모델 생성시 직면하는 문제 중 하나는 데이터에 포함된 결측값이며 이에 대한 효과적인 방안은 결측값 대치 법이다. 대표적인 결측값 대치법인 K 최근접 이웃 대치법은 대치과정에서 결측값을 포함하는 인스턴스의 관측정보를 활용하지 못한다는 단점이 있다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 단점을 극복하기 위해 K 최근접 이웃 대치법과 최대 우도 추정법을 결합한 새로운 소프트웨어 프로젝트 수치 데이터용 결측값 대치법을 제안한다. 또한 결측값 대치법의 정확도를 비교하기 위한 새로운 측도를 함께 제안한다.

Bayesian Inference for Censored Panel Regression Model

  • Lee, Seung-Chun;Choi, Byongsu
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.193-200
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    • 2014
  • It was recognized by some researchers that the disturbance variance in a censored regression model is frequently underestimated by the maximum likelihood method. This underestimation has implications for the estimation of marginal effects and asymptotic standard errors. For instance, the actual coverage probability of the confidence interval based on a maximum likelihood estimate can be significantly smaller than the nominal confidence level; consequently, a Bayesian estimation is considered to overcome this difficulty. The behaviors of the maximum likelihood and Bayesian estimators of disturbance variance are examined in a fixed effects panel regression model with a limited dependent variable, which is known to have the incidental parameter problem. Behavior under random effect assumption is also investigated.

Wakeby Distribution and the Maximum Likelihood Estimation Algorithm in Which Probability Density Function Is Not Explicitly Expressed

  • Park Jeong-Soo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.443-451
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    • 2005
  • The studied in this paper is a new algorithm for searching the maximum likelihood estimate(MLE) in which probability density function is not explicitly expressed. Newton-Raphson's root-finding routine and a nonlinear numerical optimization algorithm with constraint (so-called feasible sequential quadratic programming) are used. This algorithm is applied to the Wakeby distribution which is importantly used in hydrology and water resource research for analysis of extreme rainfall. The performance comparison between maximum likelihood estimates and method of L-moment estimates (L-ME) is studied by Monte-carlo simulation. The recommended methods are L-ME for up to 300 observations and MLE for over the sample size, respectively. Methods for speeding up the algorithm and for computing variances of estimates are discussed.

Inference for exponentiated Weibull distribution under constant stress partially accelerated life tests with multiple censored

  • Nassr, Said G.;Elharoun, Neema M.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.131-148
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    • 2019
  • Constant stress partially accelerated life tests are studied according to exponentiated Weibull distribution. Grounded on multiple censoring, the maximum likelihood estimators are determined in connection with unknown distribution parameters and accelerated factor. The confidence intervals of the unknown parameters and acceleration factor are constructed for large sample size. However, it is not possible to obtain the Bayes estimates in plain form, so we apply a Markov chain Monte Carlo method to deal with this issue, which permits us to create a credible interval of the associated parameters. Finally, based on constant stress partially accelerated life tests scheme with exponentiated Weibull distribution under multiple censoring, the illustrative example and the simulation results are used to investigate the maximum likelihood, and Bayesian estimates of the unknown parameters.

Parameter estimation of an extended inverse power Lomax distribution with Type I right censored data

  • Hassan, Amal S.;Nassr, Said G.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제28권2호
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    • pp.99-118
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    • 2021
  • In this paper, we introduce an extended form of the inverse power Lomax model via Marshall-Olkin approach. We call it the Marshall-Olkin inverse power Lomax (MOIPL) distribution. The four- parameter MOIPL distribution is very flexible which contains some former and new models. Vital properties of the MOIPL distribution are affirmed. Maximum likelihood estimators and approximate confidence intervals are considered under Type I censored samples. Maximum likelihood estimates are evaluated according to simulation study. Bayesian estimators as well as Bayesian credible intervals under symmetric loss function are obtained via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach. Finally, the flexibility of the new model is analyzed by means of two real data sets. It is found that the MOIPL model provides closer fits than some other models based on the selected criteria.

Comparison of Parameter Estimation for Weibull Distribution

  • Wang, Fu-Kwun;J. Bert Keats;B. Y. Leu
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.41-50
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    • 2003
  • This paper represents the first comprehensive comparison of the Newton-Raphson's method and Simple Iterative Procedure (SIP) in the maximum likelihood estimation of the two-parameter Weibull distribution. Computer simulation is employed to compare these two methods for multiply censored, singly censored data (Type I or Type Ⅱ censoring) and complete data. Results indicate the Newton-Raphson's with the Menon's estimated value, as an initial point remains the effective iterative procedure for estimating the parameters.

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브라운다리 근사를 통한 확산모형의 우도 근사법 (Likelihood Approximation of Diffusion Models through Approximating Brownian Bridge)

  • 이은경;심송용;이윤동
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제28권5호
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    • pp.895-906
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    • 2015
  • 확산모형은 입자의 운동현상과 금융자산의 미시적 가격변동을 설명하기 위하여 사용되는 수리적 모형이다. 확산모형의 추정방법에 관한 논의는 다양한 분야에서 이루어져 왔다. 통계학적 관점에서 우도적 방법에 기반한 확산모형의 추정방법을 개발하려는 시도가 계속되어 왔다. 이산시간 간격으로 관측된 자료를 이용하여 확산모형을 추정할 때 최대우도 추정법을 적용하기 위해서는 확산모형에 대한 전이확률 밀도함수를 구해야 한다. 본 연구에서는 확산모형의 전이확률밀도를 근사하기 위하여, 정규분포를 따르는 확률변수를 이용하여 브라운다리 확률과정에 대한 경로적분을 대체하는 방법을 제안하고, 그 수치적 성질을 다른 방법들과 비교한다.

Integration of Multi-spectral Remote Sensing Images and GIS Thematic Data for Supervised Land Cover Classification

  • Jang Dong-Ho;Chung Chang-Jo F
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제20권5호
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    • pp.315-327
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    • 2004
  • Nowadays, interests in land cover classification using not only multi-sensor images but also thematic GIS information are increasing. Often, although useful GIS information for the classification is available, the traditional MLE (maximum likelihood estimation techniques) does not allow us to use the information, due to the fact that it cannot handle the GIS data properly. This paper propose two extended MLE algorithms that can integrate both remote sensing images and GIS thematic data for land-cover classification. They include modified MLE and Bayesian predictive likelihood estimation technique (BPLE) techniques that can handle both categorical GIS thematic data and remote sensing images in an integrated manner. The proposed algorithms were evaluated through supervised land-cover classification with Landsat ETM+ images and an existing land-use map in the Gongju area, Korea. As a result, the proposed method showed considerable improvements in classification accuracy, when compared with other multi-spectral classification techniques. The integration of remote sensing images and the land-use map showed that overall accuracy indicated an improvement in classification accuracy of 10.8% when using MLE, and 9.6% for the BPLE. The case study also showed that the proposed algorithms enable the extraction of the area with land-cover change. In conclusion, land cover classification results produced through the integration of various GIS spatial data and multi-spectral images, will be useful to involve complementary data to make more accurate decisions.

Maximum Likelihood Estimation Using Laplace Approximation in Poisson GLMMs

  • Ha, Il-Do
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제16권6호
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    • pp.971-978
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    • 2009
  • Poisson generalized linear mixed models(GLMMs) have been widely used for the analysis of clustered or correlated count data. For the inference marginal likelihood, which is obtained by integrating out random effects is often used. It gives maximum likelihood(ML) estimator, but the integration is usually intractable. In this paper, we propose how to obtain the ML estimator via Laplace approximation based on hierarchical-likelihood (h-likelihood) approach under the Poisson GLMMs. In particular, the h-likelihood avoids the integration itself and gives a statistically efficient procedure for various random-effect models including GLMMs. The proposed method is illustrated using two practical examples and simulation studies.

단계별로 얻어진 이차원 분할표의 모수 추정을 위한 정확최대우도추정법과 단계별추출추정법의 비교 (Comparison of Step-Wise and Exact Maximum Likelihood Estimations on Cell Probabilities of Contingency Table)

  • 이상은;강기훈;정석오;신기일
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.67-77
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    • 2010
  • 단계별로 얻어진 $I{\times}J$ 이차원 범주형 자료에서 분할표 일부의 칸에서 도수가 붕괴(collapse)된 상태로 조사가 이루어진 것을 단계별추출(step-wise sampling)이라 한다. 단계별추출로 얻어진 자료를 분석할 경우 단계별추출법을 사용하여 분석하면 분석의 효과를 얻을 수 있다. 본 논문에서는 단계별추출법 중에서 최대우도추정법을 이용하여 얻어진 정확최대우도추정량(exact maximum likelihood estimator)과 단계별추출최대우도추정량을 연구하였다. 또한 MSE와 편향(bias)을 기준으로 모의실험을 통하여 두 추정법을 비교하였다.