• Title/Summary/Keyword: Markov chain property

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On the Characteristics of Probability and Periodicity for the Daily Precipitaty Occureonce in Korea (우리나라 일별 강수발생의 확률과 주기성의 특성)

  • Moon, Sung-Euii;Kim, Baek-Jo;Ha, Chang-Hwan
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.95-106
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    • 1997
  • The characteristics on the transtion probabilities and periodicity for the daily precipitation occurrence in Korean peninsula are investigated by applying the Markov chain properties to daily precipitation occurrence. In order to examine the responses of Markov Chain properties to the applied period and their magnitudes, three cases (Case A: 1956~ 1985 at 14 stations, Case B: 1965~ 1994 at 14 stations, and Case C: 1985~ 1994 at 63 stations) are considered In this study. The transition probabilities from wet day to wet day for all cases are about 0.50 and in summer, especially July, are higher. In addition, considering them in each station we can find that they are the highest at Ullung-do and lowest at Inchon for all cases. The annual equilibrium probabilities of a wet day appear 0.31 In Case A, 0.30 Case B, and 0. 29 Case C, respectively. This may explain that as the data-period used becomes shorter, the higher the equilibrium probability is. The seasonal distributions of equilibrium probabilities are appeared the lowest(0.23~0.28) in winter and the highest(more than 0.39) in spring and monthly in .truly and in October, repectively. The annual mean wet duration for all cases is 2.04 days in Case A, 1.99 Case B, and 1.89 Case C, repectively. The weather cycle obtained from the annual mean wet and dry duration is 6.54~6.59 days, which are closely associated with the movement of synoptic systems. And the statistical tests show that the transitions of daily precipitation occurrence for all cases may have two-state first Markov chain property, being the stationarity in time and heterogeneity in space.

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The Conformity Effect in Online Product Rating: The Pattern Recognition Approach

  • Kim, Hyung Jun;Kim, Songmi;Kim, Wonjoon
    • International Journal of Contents
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.80-87
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    • 2017
  • Since the advent of the Internet, and the development of smart devices, people have begun to spend more time in online platforms; this phenomenon has created a large number of online Words of Mouth (WOM) daily. Under these changes, one of the important aspects to consider is the conformity effect in online WOM; that is, whether an individual's own opinion would be influenced by the majority opinion of other people. This study, therefore, investigates whether there is the conformity effect in online product ratings for Amazon.com using the method called Markov Chain analysis. Markov Chain analysis considers the stochastic process that satisfies the Markov property, and we assume that the generation of online product ratings follows the process. Under the assumption that people are usually independent when they express their opinion in online platforms, we analyze the interdependency among rating sequences, and we find weak evidence that there exists the conformity effect in online product rating. This suggests that people who leave online product ratings consider others' opinions.

Average run length calculation of the EWMA control chart using the first passage time of the Markov process (Markov 과정의 최초통과시간을 이용한 지수가중 이동평균 관리도의 평균런길이의 계산)

  • Park, Changsoon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2017
  • Many stochastic processes satisfy the Markov property exactly or at least approximately. An interested property in the Markov process is the first passage time. Since the sequential analysis by Wald, the approximation of the first passage time has been studied extensively. The Statistical computing technique due to the development of high-speed computers made it possible to calculate the values of the properties close to the true ones. This article introduces an exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control chart as an example of the Markov process, and studied how to calculate the average run length with problematic issues that should be cautioned for correct calculation. The results derived for approximation of the first passage time in this research can be applied to any of the Markov processes. Especially the approximation of the continuous time Markov process to the discrete time Markov chain is useful for the studies of the properties of the stochastic process and makes computational approaches easy.

Enhanced Markov-Difference Based Power Consumption Prediction for Smart Grids

  • Le, Yiwen;He, Jinghan
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.1053-1063
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    • 2017
  • Power prediction is critical to improve power efficiency in Smart Grids. Markov chain provides a useful tool for power prediction. With careful investigation of practical power datasets, we find an interesting phenomenon that the stochastic property of practical power datasets does not follow the Markov features. This mismatch affects the prediction accuracy if directly using Markov prediction methods. In this paper, we innovatively propose a spatial transform based data processing to alleviate this inconsistency. Furthermore, we propose an enhanced power prediction method, named by Spatial Mapping Markov-Difference (SMMD), to guarantee the prediction accuracy. In particular, SMMD adopts a second prediction adjustment based on the differential data to reduce the stochastic error. Experimental results validate that the proposed SMMD achieves an improvement in terms of the prediction accuracy with respect to state-of-the-art solutions.

A Short Report on the Markov Property of DNA Sequences on 200-bp Genomic Units of ENCODE/Broad ChromHMM Annotations: A Computational Perspective

  • Park, Hyun-Seok
    • Genomics & Informatics
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.65-70
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    • 2018
  • The non-coding DNA in eukaryotic genomes encodes a language which programs chromatin accessibility, transcription factor binding, and various other activities. The objective of this short report was to determine the impact of primary DNA sequence on the epigenomic landscape across 200-base pair genomic units by integrating nine publicly available ChromHMM Browser Extensible Data files of the Encyclopedia of DNA Elements (ENCODE) project. The nucleotide frequency profiles of nine chromatin annotations with the units of 200 bp were analyzed and integrative Markov chains were built to detect the Markov properties of the DNA sequences in some of the active chromatin states of different ChromHMM regions. Our aim was to identify the possible relationship between DNA sequences and the newly built chromatin states based on the integrated ChromHMM datasets of different cells and tissue types.

A Short Report on the Markov Property of DNA Sequences on 200-bp Genomic Units of Roadmap Genomics ChromHMM Annotations: A Computational Perspective

  • Park, Hyun-Seok
    • Genomics & Informatics
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.27.1-27.6
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    • 2018
  • The non-coding DNA in eukaryotic genomes encodes a language that programs chromatin accessibility, transcription factor binding, and various other activities. The objective of this study was to determine the effect of the primary DNA sequence on the epigenomic landscape across a 200-base pair of genomic units by integrating 127 publicly available ChromHMM BED files from the Roadmap Genomics project. Nucleotide frequency profiles of 127 chromatin annotations stratified by chromatin variability were analyzed and integrative hidden Markov models were built to detect Markov properties of chromatin regions. Our aim was to identify the relationship between DNA sequence units and their chromatin variability based on integrated ChromHMM datasets of different cell and tissue types.

A Note on the Covariance Matrix of Order Statistics of Standard normal Observations

  • Lee, Hak-Myung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.285-290
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    • 2000
  • We noted a property of a stationary distribution on the matrix C, which is the covariance matrix of order statistics of standard normal distribution That is the sup norm of th powers of C is ee' divided by its dimension. The matrix C can be taken as a transition probability matrix in an acyclic Markov chain.

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ON THE MARTINGALE PROPERTY OF LIMITING DIFFUSION IN SPECIAL DIPLOID MODEL

  • Choi, Won
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.31 no.1_2
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    • pp.241-246
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    • 2013
  • Choi [1] identified and characterized the limiting diffusion of this diploid model by defining discrete generator for the rescaled Markov chain. In this note, we define the operator of projection $S_t$ on limiting diffusion and new measure $dQ=S_tdP$. We show the martingale property on this operator and measure. Also we conclude that the martingale problem for diffusion operator of projection is well-posed.

STATIONARITY AND β-MIXING PROPERTY OF A MIXTURE AR-ARCH MODELS

  • Lee, Oe-Sook
    • Bulletin of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.43 no.4
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    • pp.813-820
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    • 2006
  • We consider a MAR model with ARCH type conditional heteroscedasticity. MAR-ARCH model can be derived as a smoothed version of the double threshold AR-ARCH model by adding a random error to the threshold parameters. Easy to check sufficient conditions for strict stationarity, ${\beta}-mixing$ property and existence of moments of the model are given via Markovian representation technique.

On geometric ergodicity and ${\beta}$-mixing property of asymmetric power transformed threshold GARCH(1,1) process

  • Lee, Oe-Sook
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.353-360
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    • 2011
  • We consider an asymmetric power transformed threshold GARCH(1.1) process and find sufficient conditions for the existence of a strictly stationary solution, geometric ergodicity and ${\beta}$-mixing property. Moments conditions are given. Box-Cox transformed threshold GARCH(1.1) is also considered as a special case.