• Title/Summary/Keyword: Lotka-Volterra Model

Search Result 30, Processing Time 0.022 seconds

Forecasting of IMT-2000 Market Size using Modified Multi-generation Lotka-Volterra Model (변형된 다세대 Lotka-Volterra 모형을 적용한 IMT-2000 가입자 수요예측)

  • Kim, Yun-Bae;Kim, Jae-Beom;Lee, Hee-Sang
    • IE interfaces
    • /
    • v.14 no.1
    • /
    • pp.54-58
    • /
    • 2001
  • In this study, we suggest a multi-generation Lotka-Volterra model, which is a competition model using game theory and complex system theory. The suggested model shows many improvements to weakness of a well known Bass model to forecast new technology in competitive markets. We show that the Lotka-Volterra model has strong power to forecast mobile communication services when it is used for competition of 1st generation mobile phone service and 2nd generation phone service in Korea. We finally use the model to forecast IMT-2000 service, the 3rd generation mobile communication service.

  • PDF

Application of Model of Plant Population Structure and Phenotypic Divergence

  • Huh, Man-Kyu
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
    • /
    • v.20 no.2
    • /
    • pp.155-161
    • /
    • 2011
  • In application and discussion of population structure and phenotypic divergence in plant community, the classic Lotka-Volterra models of competition and spatial model are conceived as a mechanism that is composed by multiple interacting processes. Both the Lotka-Volterra and spatial simulation formulae predict that species diversity increases with genotypic richness (GR). The two formulae are also in agreement that species diversity generally decreases within increasing niche breadth (NB) and increases with increasing potential genotypic range (PGR). Across the entire parameter space in the Lotka-Volterra model and most of the parameter space in the spatial simulations, variance in community composition decreased with increasing genotypic richness. This was, in large part, a consequence of selecting genotypes randomly from a set pool.

STABILITY AND BIFURCATION ANALYSIS OF A LOTKA-VOLTERRA MODEL WITH TIME DELAYS

  • Xu, Changjin;Liao, Maoxin
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
    • /
    • v.29 no.1_2
    • /
    • pp.1-22
    • /
    • 2011
  • In this paper, a Lotka-Volterra model with time delays is considered. A set of sufficient conditions for the existence of Hopf bifurcation are obtained via analyzing the associated characteristic transcendental equation. Some explicit formulae for determining the stability and the direction of the Hopf bifurcation periodic solutions bifurcating from Hopf bifurcations are obtained by applying the normal form method and center manifold theory. Finally, the main results are illustrated by some numerical simulations.

A Dynamic Analysis on the Competition Relationships in Korean Stock Market Using Lotka-Volterra Model (Lotka-Volterra 모형을 이용한 국내 주식시장의 경쟁관계 동태적 분석)

  • Lee, Sung Joon;Lee, Deok-Joo;Oh, Hyungsik
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
    • /
    • v.29 no.1
    • /
    • pp.14-20
    • /
    • 2003
  • The purpose of this paper is an attempt to analyze the dynamic relationship between KSE and KOSDAQ, two competing markets in Korean stock market, in the viewpoint of competition. Lotka-Volterra model, one of well-known competitive diffusion model, is adopted to represent the competitive situations of Korean stock market and it is estimated using daily empirical index data of KSE and KOSDAQ during 1997~2001. The results show that there existed a predator-prey relationship between two markets in which KSE acted as a predator right after the emergence of KOSDAQ. This interaction was altered to a symbiotic relationship and finally to the pure competition relationship. We also perform an equilibrium analysis of the estimated Lotka-Volterra equations and, as a result, it is found that there is a market index equilibrium point that would be stable in the latest relationship.

THE ASYMPTOTIC STABILITY BEHAVIOR IN A LOTKA-VOLTERRA TYPE PREDATOR-PREY SYSTEM

  • Ko, Youn-Hee
    • Bulletin of the Korean Mathematical Society
    • /
    • v.43 no.3
    • /
    • pp.575-587
    • /
    • 2006
  • In this paper, we provide 3 detailed and explicit procedure of obtaining some regions of attraction for the positive steady state (assumed to exist) of a well known Lotka-Volterra type predator-prey system. Also we obtain the sufficient conditions to ensure that the positive equilibrium point of a well known Lotka-Volterra type predator-prey system with a single discrete delay is globally asymptotically stable.

QUALITATIVE ANALYSIS OF A LOTKA-VOLTERRA TYPE IMPULSIVE PREDATOR-PREY SYSTEM WITH SEASONAL EFFECTS

  • Baek, Hun-Ki
    • Honam Mathematical Journal
    • /
    • v.30 no.3
    • /
    • pp.521-533
    • /
    • 2008
  • We investigate a periodically forced Lotka-Volterra type predator-prey system with impulsive perturbations - seasonal effects on the prey, periodic releasing of natural enemies(predator) and spraying pesticide at the same fixed times. We show that the solutions of the system are bounded using the comparison theorems and find conditions for the stability of a stable prey-free solution and for the permanence of the system.

An analysis on the competition patterns between Paper-book and E-book using the Lotka-Volterra model (Lotka-Volterra 모형을 적용한 Paper-boook과 E-book의 경쟁관계 유형 분석)

  • Kim, Ka-Hee
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.11 no.12
    • /
    • pp.4766-4773
    • /
    • 2010
  • Electronic book(E-book) is a digitalized content which provides online service and digitalized text-based information that has been distributed in the form of Paper-book. E-book has been attracting people's attention in earnest since the Steven King's novel, 'Riding the Bullet' was published as a form of E-book in 2000. Since then, customers have paid attention to E-book, and the scale of E-book market has been growing sharply in Europe, China, Japan and Korea as well as the US. The purpose of this study is for actual analysis how Paper-book and E-book market compete with each other and expand into the world publication market. The relationship between Paper-book and E-book is modeled by the Lotka-Volterra Model designed for competitive relationships and estimate spreading curves. Also, competition patterns between Paper-book and E-book are analyzed by estimating coefficient of curve expression. This study shows the change of customers' demand which has been created since E-book was introduced to the publication market.

ON A LOTKA-VOLTERRA TYPE SIMPLE FOOD-CHAIN MODEL

  • Ko, Wonlyul;Ryu, Kimun
    • Journal of the Chungcheong Mathematical Society
    • /
    • v.20 no.3
    • /
    • pp.231-243
    • /
    • 2007
  • In this paper, we study a Lotka-Volterra type simple food chain model. We investigate the positive coexistence of the steady states to the model and give some results for the extinction of species under certain assumptions which can be interpreted as Domino effect and Biological control. The methods of a decoupling operator and the fixed point index theory on a positive cone are used as well as the comparison argument. Numerical evidences for our results also are provided.

  • PDF

Application of an Augmented Predator-Prey Model to the Population Dynamics of Roe Deer in Jeju (제주도 노루의 개체수 관리를 위한 확장적 피식-포식모형의 적용에 관한 연구)

  • Jeon, Dae-Uk;Kim, Doa-Hoon
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
    • /
    • v.12 no.2
    • /
    • pp.95-126
    • /
    • 2011
  • This paper aims at developing a System Dynamics model with an augmented predator-prey interaction structure to deal with the population management of roe deer in Jeju, Korea. Although people still regard the creature as one of the important tourist attractions, there has been much debate on the issues of the appropriateness of the population size of roe deers because they have been stigmatized as crop damagers, and roadkill/poaching victims due to their natural habit to move around from the top mountain to the lowland of the island. The model is therefore to incorporate these migrating and grazing behaviors into an augmented Lotka-Volterra model coupling roe deer population in both parts of the island to that of predators and preys of the species. The authors also provide a comprehensive set of dynamic hypotheses and relevant CLD/SFD to understand the population dynamics of roe deer and co-evolving species and perform the steady-state analysis of the proposed equation system to verify the model behavior of the numerical example lastly presented in this paper.

  • PDF

Forecasting Next Generation Technology Using Lotka-Volterra Competition Model and Factors for Technology Substitution (기술대체 영향요인과 Lotka-Volterra 경쟁 모형을 이용한 차세대 기술 예측)

  • Kim, Hyein;Jeong, Yujin;Yoon, Byungun
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
    • /
    • v.20 no.4
    • /
    • pp.1262-1287
    • /
    • 2017
  • Recently, forecasting for next-generation technologies have influenced the competitiveness of companies. However, in previous studies, only extract factors influencing the adoption of technology have been investigated. Also, there are few researches on the importance of each decision factors or the competition between technologies. In this research, Lotka-Volterra model is used to confirm the technological competition in the new technology choice timing when the competition is intensified due to the emergence of new technologies. For purpose of this study, estimate the LVC model based on the data of the past competition and then derived the factors affecting the technology of competition and substitution from the literature survey. After that, we confirmed the factor value between the past and the present technology competition. The difference between the factor values derived from the previous step is used to revise the model estimated from the past data base. At this stage, regression analysis is used to derive the importance of each factor and use it as the weight. Through the correction model, the competitiveness is identified through 1:1 comparison with competition candidate technology and existing dominant design technology. In this research, we quantitatively propose the possibility that a specific technology can become a dominant design in the next generation, based on the difference in factor values and importance. This results will help the company's R&D strategy and decision making.