• Title/Summary/Keyword: Inference function

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Effects of Model Complexity, Structure and Objective Function on Calibration Process (모형의 복잡성, 구조 및 목적함수가 모형 검정에 미치는 영향)

  • Choi, Kyung Sook
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.45 no.4
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    • pp.89-97
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    • 2003
  • Using inference models developed for estimation of the parameters necessary to implement the Runoff Block of the Stormwater Management Model (SWMM), a number of alternative inference scenarios were developed to assess the influence of inference model complexity and structure on the calibration of the catchment modelling system. These inference models varied from the assumption of a spatially invariant value (catchment average) to spatially variable with each subcatchment having its own unique values. Fur-thermore, the influence of different measures of deviation between the recorded information and simulation predictions were considered. The results of these investigations indicate that the model performance is more influenced by model structure than complexity, and control parameter values are very much dependent on objective function selected as this factor was the most influential for both the initial estimates and the final results.

A Study of Fuzzy Inference System Based Task Prioritizations for the Improvement of Tracking Performance in Multi-Function Radar (다기능 레이더의 추적 성능 개선을 위한 퍼지 추론 시스템 기반 임무 우선 순위 선정 기법 연구)

  • Kim, Hyun-Ju;Park, Jun-Young;Kim, Dong-Hwan;Kim, Seon-Joo
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.198-206
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    • 2013
  • This paper presents the improvement of tracking performance using fuzzy inference system based task prioritizations for multi-function radars. The presented technique calculates elemental priorities using track information of a target and obtain the total priority from fuzzy inference system of each fuzzy set's membership function. In this paper, we proposed the task prioritization algorithms based on fuzzy inference system, and evaluated the tracking performance on multi-function radar scenario using it. As a result, we confirmed that excellent performance could be achieved when using the proposed algorithm.

Posterior Inference in Single-Index Models

  • Park, Chun-Gun;Yang, Wan-Yeon;Kim, Yeong-Hwa
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.161-168
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    • 2004
  • A single-index model is useful in fields which employ multidimensional regression models. Many methods have been developed in parametric and nonparametric approaches. In this paper, posterior inference is considered and a wavelet series is thought of as a function approximated to a true function in the single-index model. The posterior inference needs a prior distribution for each parameter estimated. A prior distribution of each coefficient of the wavelet series is proposed as a hierarchical distribution. A direction $\beta$ is assumed with a unit vector and affects estimate of the true function. Because of the constraint of the direction, a transformation, a spherical polar coordinate $\theta$, of the direction is required. Since the posterior distribution of the direction is unknown, we apply a Metropolis-Hastings algorithm to generate random samples of the direction. Through a Monte Carlo simulation we investigate estimates of the true function and the direction.

Reject Inference of Incomplete Data Using a Normal Mixture Model

  • Song, Ju-Won
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.425-433
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    • 2011
  • Reject inference in credit scoring is a statistical approach to adjust for nonrandom sample bias due to rejected applicants. Function estimation approaches are based on the assumption that rejected applicants are not necessary to be included in the estimation, when the missing data mechanism is missing at random. On the other hand, the density estimation approach by using mixture models indicates that reject inference should include rejected applicants in the model. When mixture models are chosen for reject inference, it is often assumed that data follow a normal distribution. If data include missing values, an application of the normal mixture model to fully observed cases may cause another sample bias due to missing values. We extend reject inference by a multivariate normal mixture model to handle incomplete characteristic variables. A simulation study shows that inclusion of incomplete characteristic variables outperforms the function estimation approaches.

Fuzzy Inference Mechanism Based on Fuzzy Cognitive Map for B2B Negotiation

  • Lee, Kun-Chang;Kang, Byung-Uk
    • Proceedings of the CALSEC Conference
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    • 2004.02a
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    • pp.134-149
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    • 2004
  • This paper is aimed at proposing a fuzzy inference mechanism to enhancing the quality of cognitive map-based inference. Its main virtue lies in the two mechanisms: (1) a mechanism for avoiding a synchronization problem which is often observed during inference process with traditional cognitive map, and (2) a mechanism for fuzzifying decision maker's subjective judgment. Our proposed fuzzy inference mechanism (FIM) is basically based on the cognitive map stratification algorithm which can stratify a cognitive map into number of strata and then overcome the synchronization problem successfully. Besides, the proposed FIM depends on fuzzy membership function which is administered by decision maker. With an illustrative B2B negotiation problem, we applied the proposed FIM, deducing theoretical and practical implications. Implementation was conducted by Matlab language.

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Application of Fuzzy Algorithm with Learning Function to Nuclear Power Plant Steam Generator Level Control

  • Park, Gee-Yong-;Seong, Poong-Hyun;Lee, Jae-Young-
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 1993.06a
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    • pp.1054-1057
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    • 1993
  • A direct method of fuzzy inference and a fuzzy algorithm with learning function are applied to the steam generator level control of nuclear power plant. The fuzzy controller by use of direct inference can control the steam generator in the entire range of power level. There is a little long response time of fuzzy direct inference controller at low power level. The rule base of fuzzy controller with learning function is divided into two parts. One part of the rule base is provided to level control of steam generator at low power level (0%∼30% of full power). Response time of steam generator level control at low power level with this rule base is shown generator level control at low power level with this rule base is shown to be shorter than that of fuzzy controller with direct inference.

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Structure Identification of Nonlinear System Using Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference Technique (적응 뉴로 퍼지추론 기법에 의한 비선형 시스템의 구조 동정에 관한 연구)

  • 이준탁;정형환;심영진;김형배;박영식
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 1996.10a
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    • pp.298-301
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    • 1996
  • This paper describes the structure Identification of nonlinear function using Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference Technique(ANFIS). Nonlinear mapping relationship between inputs and outputs were modeled by Sugeno-Takaki's Fuzzy Inference Method. Specially, the consequent parts were identified using a series of 1st order equations and the antecedent parts using triangular type membership function or bell type ones. According to learning Rules of ANFIS, adjustable parameters were converged rapidly and accurately.

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Learning and inference of fuzzy inference system with fuzzy neural network (퍼지 신경망을 이용한 퍼지 추론 시스템의 학습 및 추론)

  • 장대식;최형일
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics B
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    • v.33B no.2
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    • pp.118-130
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    • 1996
  • Fuzzy inference is very useful in expressing ambiguous problems quantitatively and solving them. But like the most of the knowledge based inference systems. It has many difficulties in constructing rules and no learning capability is available. In this paper, we proposed a fuzzy inference system based on fuzy associative memory to solve such problems. The inference system proposed in this paper is mainly composed of learning phase and inference phase. In the learning phase, the system initializes it's basic structure by determining fuzzy membership functions, and constructs fuzzy rules in the form of weights using learning function of fuzzy associative memory. In the inference phase, the system conducts actual inference using the constructed fuzzy rules. We applied the fuzzy inference system proposed in this paper to a pattern classification problem and show the results in the experiment.

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Inference on the reliability P(Y < X) in the gamma case

  • Moon, Yeung-Gil;Lee, Chang-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.219-223
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    • 2009
  • We shall derive a quotient distribution of two independent gamma variables and its moment and reliability are represented by hypergeometric function and Wittaker's function. And we shall consider an inference on the reliability in two independent gamma random variables.

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Reliability and ratio in exponentiated complementary power function distribution

  • Moon, Yeung-Gil;Lee, Chang-Soo;Ryu, Se-Gi
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.955-960
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    • 2009
  • As we shall dene an exponentiated complementary power function distribution, we shall consider moments, hazard rate, and inference for parameter in the distribution. And we shall consider an inference of the reliability and distributions for the quotient and the ratio in two independent exponentiated complementary power function random variables.

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