• Title/Summary/Keyword: Horizon

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Optimal Reporting Stategy of an Insured -Dynamic Programming Approach-

  • Min, Jae-Hyung
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.83-97
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    • 1990
  • We consider an insured who wishes to determine his optimal reporting strategy over a given planning horizon, when he has option of reporting of not reporting his at-fault accidents. Assuming that the premium in future period is continually adjusted by the insured's loss experience, the insured would not report every loss incurred. Rather, considering the benefits and costs of each decision, the insured may want to seek a way of optimizing his interests over the planning horizon. The situation is modeled as a dynamic programming problem. We consider an insured's discounted expected cost minimization problem, where the premium increase in future period is affected by the size of the current claim. More specifically, we examine two cases ; (1) the premium increase in the next is a linear function (a constant fraction) of the current claim size; (2) the premium increase in the next period is a concave function of the current claim size. In each case, we derive the insured's optimal reporting strategy.

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Design of a temperature controller in the water-tank system using RHC (이동구간제어를 이용한 물탱크의 온도제어기 설계)

  • Choo, Young-Ok;Chung, Yang-Woong;Lee, Sang-Chul;Chung, Chan-Soo
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1999.07b
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    • pp.633-635
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    • 1999
  • We design to the temperature control system based on Receding horizon control(RHC) with a terminal output weighting for stochastic state model. This system has a large time delay, a nonlinear temperature characteristics, a perturbation, a disturbance, etc. In this paper, we show that RHC can easily be applied to the system to track the desired temperature, since it takes the receding horizon strategy for both controller and filter.

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Structural Change in the Price-Dividend Ratio and Implications on Stock Return Prediction Regression

  • Lee, Ho-Jin
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.183-206
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    • 2007
  • The price-dividend ratio is one of the most frequently used financial variables to predict long-horizon stock return. However, the persistency of the price-dividend ratio is found to cause the spuriousness of the stock return prediction regression. The stable relationship between the stock price and the dividend, however, seems to weaken after World War II and to experience structural break. In this paper, we identify a structural change in the cointegrating relationship between the log of the stock price and the log of the dividend. Confirming a structural break in 1962, we subdivide the sample and apply the fully modified estimator to correct for the nonstationarity of the regressor. With the subdivided sample, we exercise the nonparametric bootstrap procedure to derive the empirical distribution of the test statistics and fail to find return predictability in each subsample period.

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Receding horizon LQG controller with FIR filter

  • Yoo, Kyung-Sang;Shim, Jae-Hoon;Kwon, Oh-Kyu
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1992.10b
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    • pp.193-196
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    • 1992
  • When there exist parameter uncertainty, modelling errors and nonminimum phase zeros in control object system. the stability robustness of conventional LQG and LOG/LTR methods are not satisfactory[2, 8]. Since these methods are performed on the infinite horizon, it is very hard to establish exact design parameters and thus they have lots of problems to be applied to real systems, So in this paper we propose RHLQG/FIRF optimal controller which has robust stability against parameter uncertainty, nonminimum phase zeros and modelling errors. This method uses only the information around at present and therefore shows good performance even when we do not know exact design parameters. We here compare LQG and LQG/LTR method with RHLQG/FIRF controller and exemplify that RHLQG/FIRF controller has better robust stability performance via simulations.

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Robust H(sup)$\infty$ FIR Sampled-Data Filtering for Uncertain Time-Varying Systems with Lipschitz Nonlinearity

  • Ryu, Hee-Seob;Yoo, Kyung-Sang;Kwon, Oh-Kyu
    • Transactions on Control, Automation and Systems Engineering
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    • v.2 no.4
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    • pp.255-261
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    • 2000
  • This paper presents the results of the robust H(sub)$\infty$ FIR filtering for a class of nonlinear continuous time-varying systems subject to real norm-bounded parameter uncertainty and know Lipschitz nonlinearity under sampled measurements. We address the problem of designing filters, using sampled measurements, which guarantee a prescribed H(sub)$\infty$ performance in continuous time-varying context, irrespective of the parameter uncertainty and unknown initial states. The infinite horizon causal H(sub)$\infty$FIR filter are investigated using the finite moving horizon in terms of two Riccati equations with finite discrete jumps.

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A Model of Dynamic Transportation Planning of the Distribution System Using Genetic Algorithm (유전 알고리듬을 이용한 물류시스템의 동적 수송계획 모형)

  • Chang Suk-Hwa
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.102-113
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    • 2004
  • This paper addresses the transportation planning that is based on genetic algorithm for determining transportation time and transportation amount of minimizing cost of distribution system. The vehicle routing of minimizing the transportation distance of vehicle is determined. A distribution system is consisted of a distribution center and many retailers. The model is assumed that the time horizon is discrete and finite, and the demand of retailers is dynamic and deterministic. Products are transported from distribution center to retailers according to transportation planning. Cost factors are the transportation cost and the inventory cost, which transportation cost is proportional to transportation distance of vehicle when products are transported from distribution center to retailers, and inventory cost is proportional to inventory amounts of retailers. Transportation time to retailers is represented as a genetic string. The encoding of the solutions into binary strings is presented, as well as the genetic operators used by the algorithm. A mathematical model is developed. Genetic algorithm procedure is suggested, and a illustrative example is shown to explain the procedure.

An Optimal FIR Filter for Discrete Time-varying State Space Models (이산 시변 상태공간 모델을 위한 최적 유한 임펄스 응답 필터)

  • Kwon, Bo-Kyu
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.17 no.12
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    • pp.1183-1187
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, an optimal FIR (Finite-Impulse-Response) filter is proposed for discrete time-varying state-space models. The proposed filter estimates the current state using measured output samples on the recent time horizon so that the variance of the estimation error is minimized. It is designed to be linear, unbiased, with an FIR structure, and is independent of any state information. Due to its FIR structure, the proposed filter is believed to be robust for modeling uncertainty or numerical errors than other IIR filters, such as the Kalman filter. For a general system with system and measurement noise, the proposed filter is derived without any artificial assumptions such as the nonsingular assumption of the system matrix A and any infinite covariance of the initial state. A numerical example show that the proposed FIR filter has better performance than the Kalman filter based on the IIR (Infinite- Impulse-Response) structure when modeling uncertainties exist.

Uniform Stability of Intervalwise Receding Horizon Controls for Linear Time-Varying Systems (선형 시변 시스템에 대한 주기 예측 제어기의 시불변 안정성)

  • Kim, Ki-Baek;Kwon, Wook-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1997.11a
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    • pp.139-141
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    • 1997
  • In this paper, intervalwise receding horizon controls (IRHCs) are proposed for linear time systems subject to $H_2$ and $H_{\infty}$ problems. Uniform stability conditions are provided for those systems. Under given conditions stability is proved without using an adjoint system. It is also shown that under proposed stability conditions for $H_{\infty}$ problem, $H_{\infty}$-norm bound is satisfied. The results in this paper arc also applicable to periodic systems which belong to the class of time systems.

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The Optimal Ordering Policy for the Generalized Two-Stage Inventory System (일반화된 2단계 재고체계에서의 최적주문정책)

  • 정남기;차동원
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.25-31
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    • 1979
  • We consider the optimal ordering policy for a single-product two-stage inventory system where the main assumptions are as follows: (i) constant continuous demand only at stage 2, (ii) constant input (production) rate at stage 1, (iii) instantaneous delivery (transportation) from stage 1 to stage 2, (iv) backlogging is allowed only at stage 2, (v) an infinite planning horizon. Costs considered are ordering and linear holding costs at both stages, and linear shortage cost only at stages 2. By solving 9 different case problems, we have observed the general from of the optimal ordering policies for our model which minimizes the total cost per unit time. It is noticeable from this observation that the questionable but more often than not adopted assumption by many authors in determining the optimal potimal policy for multistage inventory systems, that the ordering (lot) sizes at each stage remain constant thruout the planning horizon, is not valid.

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Multiple Product Single Facility Stockout Avoidance Problem (SAP) and Weighted Stockout Problem (WSP)

  • Moon, Il-Kyeong
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.137-158
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    • 1992
  • We study the Multiple Product Single Facility Stockout Avoidance Problem (SAP). That is the problem of determining, given initial inventories, whether there is a multiple product single facility production schedule that avoids stockouts over a given time horizon. The optimization version of the SAP where stockouts are pnelized linearly is also studied. We call this problem the Weighted Stockout Problem (WSP). Both problems are NP-hard in the strong sense. We develop Mixed Integer Linear Programming (MIP) formulations for both the SAP and the WSP. In addition, several heuristic algorithms are presented and performances are tested using computational experiments. We show that there exist polynomial algorithms for some special cases of the SAP and the WSP. We also present a method to phase into a target cyclic schedule for infinite horizon problems. These can be used as a practical scheduling tool for temporarily overloaded facilities or to reschedule production after a disruption.

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